• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble system

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A Study on the Thermal Prediction Model cf the Heat Storage Tank for the Optimal Use of Renewable Energy (신재생 에너지 최적 활용을 위한 축열조 온도 예측 모델 연구)

  • HanByeol Oh;KyeongMin Jang;JeeYoung Oh;MyeongBae Lee;JangWoo Park;YongYun Cho;ChangSun Shin
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2023
  • Recently, energy consumption for heating costs, which is 35% of smart farm energy costs, has increased, requiring energy consumption efficiency, and the importance of new and renewable energy is increasing due to concerns about the realization of electricity bills. Renewable energy belongs to hydropower, wind, and solar power, of which solar energy is a power generation technology that converts it into electrical energy, and this technology has less impact on the environment and is simple to maintain. In this study, based on the greenhouse heat storage tank and heat pump data, the factors that affect the heat storage tank are selected and a heat storage tank supply temperature prediction model is developed. It is predicted using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), which is effective for time series data analysis and prediction, and XGBoost model, which is superior to other ensemble learning techniques. By predicting the temperature of the heat pump heat storage tank, energy consumption may be optimized and system operation may be optimized. In addition, we intend to link it to the smart farm energy integrated operation system, such as reducing heating and cooling costs and improving the energy independence of farmers due to the use of solar power. By managing the supply of waste heat energy through the platform and deriving the maximum heating load and energy values required for crop growth by season and time, an optimal energy management plan is derived based on this.

Estimation of Chlorophyll-a Concentration in Nakdong River Using Machine Learning-Based Satellite Data and Water Quality, Hydrological, and Meteorological Factors (머신러닝 기반 위성영상과 수질·수문·기상 인자를 활용한 낙동강의 Chlorophyll-a 농도 추정)

  • Soryeon Park;Sanghun Son;Jaegu Bae;Doi Lee;Dongju Seo;Jinsoo Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_1
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    • pp.655-667
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    • 2023
  • Algal bloom outbreaks are frequently reported around the world, and serious water pollution problems arise every year in Korea. It is necessary to protect the aquatic ecosystem through continuous management and rapid response. Many studies using satellite images are being conducted to estimate the concentration of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), an indicator of algal bloom occurrence. However, machine learning models have recently been used because it is difficult to accurately calculate Chl-a due to the spectral characteristics and atmospheric correction errors that change depending on the water system. It is necessary to consider the factors affecting algal bloom as well as the satellite spectral index. Therefore, this study constructed a dataset by considering water quality, hydrological and meteorological factors, and sentinel-2 images in combination. Representative ensemble models random forest and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were used to predict the concentration of Chl-a in eight weirs located on the Nakdong river over the past five years. R-squared score (R2), root mean square errors (RMSE), and mean absolute errors (MAE) were used as model evaluation indicators, and it was confirmed that R2 of XGBoost was 0.80, RMSE was 6.612, and MAE was 4.457. Shapley additive expansion analysis showed that water quality factors, suspended solids, biochemical oxygen demand, dissolved oxygen, and the band ratio using red edge bands were of high importance in both models. Various input data were confirmed to help improve model performance, and it seems that it can be applied to domestic and international algal bloom detection.

Mining Intellectual History Using Unstructured Data Analytics to Classify Thoughts for Digital Humanities (디지털 인문학에서 비정형 데이터 분석을 이용한 사조 분류 방법)

  • Seo, Hansol;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.141-166
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    • 2018
  • Information technology improves the efficiency of humanities research. In humanities research, information technology can be used to analyze a given topic or document automatically, facilitate connections to other ideas, and increase our understanding of intellectual history. We suggest a method to identify and automatically analyze the relationships between arguments contained in unstructured data collected from humanities writings such as books, papers, and articles. Our method, which is called history mining, reveals influential relationships between arguments and the philosophers who present them. We utilize several classification algorithms, including a deep learning method. To verify the performance of the methodology proposed in this paper, empiricists and rationalism - related philosophers were collected from among the philosophical specimens and collected related writings or articles accessible on the internet. The performance of the classification algorithm was measured by Recall, Precision, F-Score and Elapsed Time. DNN, Random Forest, and Ensemble showed better performance than other algorithms. Using the selected classification algorithm, we classified rationalism or empiricism into the writings of specific philosophers, and generated the history map considering the philosopher's year of activity.

Equalization Digital On-Channel Repeater Part 1 : Laboratory Test Results (등화형 디지털 동일 채널 중계기 Part 1 : 실험실 테스트 결과)

  • Park Sung Ik;Lee Yong-Tae;Eum Homin;Seo Jae Hyun;Kim Heung Mook;Kim Seung Won;Lee Soo-In
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.210-220
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents and analyzes laboratory test results of Equalization Digital On-Channel Repeater (EDOCR) using ATSC(Advanced Television Systems Committee) terrestrial digital TV broadcasting system. The EDOCR laboratory test, which is done at CRC(Communications Research Centre) Canada, is classified to receiver test, transmitter test, and synchronization test between transmission and reception frequencies. The receiver part includes feedback signal, random noise, single echo, multi-path ensemble, and NTSC/DTV interference test. The transmitter part includes out-of channel emission, quality of transmitting signal, and phase noise test. By the field test results, the receiver part of the EDOCR eliminates average 5.5 dB of feedback or single echo signal in range of 0 to 11 ${\mu}s$ and has average 18.6 dB at TOV(Threshold of Visibility) under random noise environment. Also, the transmitter part of the EDOCR satisfies the specification of US FCC(Federal Communications Commission), and frequency difference between transmitter and receiver is zero.

Development of Predictive Model for Length of Stay(LOS) in Acute Stroke Patients using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능을 이용한 급성 뇌졸중 환자의 재원일수 예측모형 개발)

  • Choi, Byung Kwan;Ham, Seung Woo;Kim, Chok Hwan;Seo, Jung Sook;Park, Myung Hwa;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2018
  • The efficient management of the Length of Stay(LOS) is important in hospital. It is import to reduce medical cost for patients and increase profitability for hospitals. In order to efficiently manage LOS, it is necessary to develop an artificial intelligence-based prediction model that supports hospitals in benchmarking and reduction ways of LOS. In order to develop a predictive model of LOS for acute stroke patients, acute stroke patients were extracted from 2013 and 2014 discharge injury patient data. The data for analysis was classified as 60% for training and 40% for evaluation. In the model development, we used traditional regression technique such as multiple regression analysis method, artificial intelligence technique such as interactive decision tree, neural network technique, and ensemble technique which integrate all. Model evaluation used Root ASE (Absolute error) index. They were 23.7 by multiple regression, 23.7 by interactive decision tree, 22.7 by neural network and 22.7 by esemble technique. As a result of model evaluation, neural network technique which is artificial intelligence technique was found to be superior. Through this, the utility of artificial intelligence has been proved in the development of the prediction LOS model. In the future, it is necessary to continue research on how to utilize artificial intelligence techniques more effectively in the development of LOS prediction model.

Meteorological drought outlook with satellite precipitation data using Bayesian networks and decision-making model (베이지안 네트워크 및 의사결정 모형을 이용한 위성 강수자료 기반 기상학적 가뭄 전망)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2019
  • Unlike other natural disasters, drought is a reoccurring and region-wide phenomenon after being triggered by a prolonged precipitation deficiency. Considering that remote sensing products provide consistent temporal and spatial measurements of precipitation, this study developed a remote sensing data-based drought outlook model. The meteorological drought was defined by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) achieved from PERSIANN_CDR, TRMM 3B42 and GPM IMERG images. Bayesian networks were employed in this study to combine the historical drought information and dynamical prediction products in advance of drought outlook. Drought outlook was determined through a decision-making model considering the current drought condition and forecasted condition from the Bayesian networks. Drought outlook condition was classified by four states such as no drought, drought occurrence, drought persistence, and drought removal. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis were employed to measure the relative outlook performance with the dynamical prediction production, Multi-Model Ensemble (MME). The ROC analysis indicated that the proposed outlook model showed better performance than the MME, especially for drought occurrence and persistence of 2- and 3-month outlook.

Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction Model using Explainable AI-based Feature Selection (설명가능 AI 기반의 변수선정을 이용한 기업부실예측모형)

  • Gundoo Moon;Kyoung-jae Kim
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.241-265
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    • 2023
  • A corporate insolvency prediction model serves as a vital tool for objectively monitoring the financial condition of companies. It enables timely warnings, facilitates responsive actions, and supports the formulation of effective management strategies to mitigate bankruptcy risks and enhance performance. Investors and financial institutions utilize default prediction models to minimize financial losses. As the interest in utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) technology for corporate insolvency prediction grows, extensive research has been conducted in this domain. However, there is an increasing demand for explainable AI models in corporate insolvency prediction, emphasizing interpretability and reliability. The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) technique has gained significant popularity and has demonstrated strong performance in various applications. Nonetheless, it has limitations such as computational cost, processing time, and scalability concerns based on the number of variables. This study introduces a novel approach to variable selection that reduces the number of variables by averaging SHAP values from bootstrapped data subsets instead of using the entire dataset. This technique aims to improve computational efficiency while maintaining excellent predictive performance. To obtain classification results, we aim to train random forest, XGBoost, and C5.0 models using carefully selected variables with high interpretability. The classification accuracy of the ensemble model, generated through soft voting as the goal of high-performance model design, is compared with the individual models. The study leverages data from 1,698 Korean light industrial companies and employs bootstrapping to create distinct data groups. Logistic Regression is employed to calculate SHAP values for each data group, and their averages are computed to derive the final SHAP values. The proposed model enhances interpretability and aims to achieve superior predictive performance.

A Study on the Application of the Price Prediction of Construction Materials through the Improvement of Data Refactor Techniques (Data Refactor 기법의 개선을 통한 건설원자재 가격 예측 적용성 연구)

  • Lee, Woo-Yang;Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2023
  • The construction industry suffers losses due to failures in demand forecasting due to price fluctuations in construction raw materials, increased user costs due to project cost changes, and lack of forecasting system. Accordingly, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of construction raw material price forecasting. This study aims to predict the price of construction raw materials and verify applicability through the improvement of the Data Refactor technique. In order to improve the accuracy of price prediction of construction raw materials, the existing data refactor classification of low and high frequency and ARIMAX utilization method was improved to frequency-oriented and ARIMA method utilization, so that short-term (3 months in the future) six items such as construction raw materials lumber and cement were improved. ), mid-term (6 months in the future), and long-term (12 months in the future) price forecasts. As a result of the analysis, the predicted value based on the improved Data Refactor technique reduced the error and expanded the variability. Therefore, it is expected that the budget can be managed effectively by predicting the price of construction raw materials more accurately through the Data Refactor technique proposed in this study.

Crack detection in concrete using deep learning for underground facility safety inspection (지하시설물 안전점검을 위한 딥러닝 기반 콘크리트 균열 검출)

  • Eui-Ik Jeon;Impyeong Lee;Donggyou Kim
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.555-567
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    • 2023
  • The cracks in the tunnel are currently determined through visual inspections conducted by inspectors based on images acquired using tunnel imaging acquisition systems. This labor-intensive approach, relying on inspectors, has inherent limitations as it is subject to their subjective judgments. Recently research efforts have actively explored the use of deep learning to automatically detect tunnel cracks. However, most studies utilize public datasets or lack sufficient objectivity in the analysis process, making it challenging to apply them effectively in practical operations. In this study, we selected test datasets consisting of images in the same format as those obtained from the actual inspection system to perform an objective evaluation of deep learning models. Additionally, we introduced ensemble techniques to complement the strengths and weaknesses of the deep learning models, thereby improving the accuracy of crack detection. As a result, we achieved high recall rates of 80%, 88%, and 89% for cracks with sizes of 0.2 mm, 0.3 mm, and 0.5 mm, respectively, in the test images. In addition, the crack detection result of deep learning included numerous cracks that the inspector could not find. if cracks are detected with sufficient accuracy in a more objective evaluation by selecting images from other tunnels that were not used in this study, it is judged that deep learning will be able to be introduced to facility safety inspection.

Trends identification of species distribution modeling study in Korea using text-mining technique (텍스트마이닝을 활용한 종분포모형의 국내 연구 동향 파악)

  • Dong-Joo Kim;Yong Sung Kwon;Na-Yeon Han;Do-Hun Lee
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.413-426
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    • 2023
  • Species distribution model (SDM) is used to preserve biodiversity and climate change impact. To evaluate biodiversity, various studies are being conducted to utilize and apply SDM. However, there is insufficient research to provide useful information by identifying the current status and recent trends of SDM research and discussing implications for future research. This study analyzed the trends and flow of academic papers, in the use of SDM, published in academic journals in South Korea and provides basic information that can be used for related research in the future. The current state and trends of SDM research were presented using philological methods and text-mining. The papers on SDM have been published 148 times between 1998 and 2023 with 115 (77.7%) papers published since 2015. MaxEnt model was the most widely used, and plant was the main target species. Most of the publications were related to species distribution and evaluation, and climate change. In text mining, the term 'Climate change' emerged as the most frequent keyword and most studies seem to consider biodiversity changes caused by climate change as a topic. In the future, the use of SDM requires several considerations such as selecting the models that are most suitable for various conditions, ensemble models, development of quantitative input variables, and improving the collection system of field survey data. Promoting these methods could help SDM serve as valuable scientific tools for addressing national policy issues like biodiversity conservation and climate change.