• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble Modeling

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An Automatic Method of Detecting Audio Signal Tampering in Forensic Phonetics (법음성학에서의 오디오 신호의 위변조 구간 자동 검출 방법 연구)

  • Yang, Il-Ho;Kim, Kyung-Wha;Kim, Myung-Jae;Baek, Rock-Seon;Heo, Hee-Soo;Yu, Ha-Jin
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2014
  • We propose a novel scheme for digital audio authentication of given audio files which are edited by inserting small audio segments from different environmental sources. The purpose of this research is to detect inserted sections from given audio files. We expect that the proposed method will assist human investigators by notifying suspected audio section which considered to be recorded or transmitted on different environments. GMM-UBM and GSV-SVM are applied for modeling the dominant environment of a given audio file. Four kinds of likelihood ratio based scores and SVM score are used to measure the likelihood for a dominant environment model. We also use an ensemble score which is a combination of the aforementioned five kinds of scores. In the experimental results, the proposed method shows the lowest average equal error rate when we use the ensemble score. Even when dominant environments were unknown, the proposed method gives a similar accuracy.

Design optimization of a nuclear main steam safety valve based on an E-AHF ensemble surrogate model

  • Chaoyong Zong;Maolin Shi;Qingye Li;Fuwen Liu;Weihao Zhou;Xueguan Song
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.4181-4194
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    • 2022
  • Main steam safety valves are commonly used in nuclear power plants to provide final protections from overpressure events. Blowdown and dynamic stability are two critical characteristics of safety valves. However, due to the parameter sensitivity and multi-parameter features of safety valves, using traditional method to design and/or optimize them is generally difficult and/or inefficient. To overcome these problems, a surrogate model-based valve design optimization is carried out in this study, of particular interest are methods of valve surrogate modeling, valve parameters global sensitivity analysis and valve performance optimization. To construct the surrogate model, Design of Experiments (DoE) and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations of the safety valve were performed successively, thereby an ensemble surrogate model (E-AHF) was built for valve blowdown and stability predictions. With the developed E-AHF model, global sensitivity analysis (GSA) on the valve parameters was performed, thereby five primary parameters that affect valve performance were identified. Finally, the k-sigma method is used to conduct the robust optimization on the valve. After optimization, the valve remains stable, the minimum blowdown of the safety valve is reduced greatly from 13.30% to 2.70%, and the corresponding variance is reduced from 1.04 to 0.65 as well, confirming the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimization method proposed in this paper.

An Enhanced Text Mining Approach using Ensemble Algorithm for Detecting Cyber Bullying

  • Z.Sunitha Bai;Sreelatha Malempati
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2023
  • Text mining (TM) is most widely used to process the various unstructured text documents and process the data present in the various domains. The other name for text mining is text classification. This domain is most popular in many domains such as movie reviews, product reviews on various E-commerce websites, sentiment analysis, topic modeling and cyber bullying on social media messages. Cyber-bullying is the type of abusing someone with the insulting language. Personal abusing, sexual harassment, other types of abusing come under cyber-bullying. Several existing systems are developed to detect the bullying words based on their situation in the social networking sites (SNS). SNS becomes platform for bully someone. In this paper, An Enhanced text mining approach is developed by using Ensemble Algorithm (ETMA) to solve several problems in traditional algorithms and improve the accuracy, processing time and quality of the result. ETMA is the algorithm used to analyze the bullying text within the social networking sites (SNS) such as facebook, twitter etc. The ETMA is applied on synthetic dataset collected from various data a source which consists of 5k messages belongs to bullying and non-bullying. The performance is analyzed by showing Precision, Recall, F1-Score and Accuracy.

Stochastic Simulation Model for non-stationary time series using Wavelet AutoRegressive Model

  • Moon, Young-Il;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1437-1440
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    • 2007
  • Many hydroclimatic time series are marked by interannual and longer quasi-period features that are associated with narrow band oscillatory climate modes. A time series modeling approach that directly considers such structures is developed and presented. The essence of the approach is to first develop a wavelet decomposition of the time series that retains only the statistically significant wavelet components, and to then model each such component and the residual time series as univariate autoregressive processes. The efficacy of this approach is demonstrated through the simulation of observed and paleo reconstructions of climate indices related to ENSO and AMO, tree ring and rainfall time series. Long ensemble simulations that preserve the spectral attributes of the time series in each ensemble member can be generated. The usual low order statistics are preserved by the proposed model, and its long memory performance is superior to the direction application of an autoregressive model.

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A Jittering-based Neural Network Ensemble Approach for Regionalized Low-flow Frequency Analysis

  • Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.382-382
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    • 2020
  • 과거 많은 연구에서 다수의 모형의 결과를 이용한 앙상블 방법론은 인공지능 모형 (artificial neural network)의 예측 능력에 향상을 갖고 온다 논하였다. 본 연구에서는 미계측유역의 저수량(low flow)의 예측을 위하여 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 기본적인 방법론은 설명변수들에게 백색 잡음(white noise)를 삽입하여 훈련되는 자료를 증가시키는 것이다. Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형에 대한 효과를 검증하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 Multi-output neural network model을 기반으로 모형을 구축하였다. 다음으로 Jittering을 기반으로 한 앙상블 모형을 variable importance measuring algorithm과 결합시켜서 유역특성치와 예측되는 저수량의 특성치들의 관계를 추론하였다. 본 연구에서 사용되는 방법론들의 효용성을 평가하기 위해서 미동북부에 위치하고 있는 총 207개의 유역을 사용하였다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서 제시한 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 앙상블 모형은 단일예측모형 (single modeling approach)을 정확도 측면에서 우수한 것으로 확인되었다. 또한, 적은 숫자의 앙상블 모형에서도 그 정확성이 단일예측모형보다 우수한 것을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 본 연구에서는 유역특성치들의 효과가 살펴보고자 하는 저수량의 특성치들에 따라서 일관적으로 영향을 미치거나 그 중요도가 변화하는 것을 확인하였다.

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H-PaDiM : Anomaly Segmentation Performance Analysis Based on PaDiM-Based Homogeneous Ensemble Method (H-PaDiM : PaDiM 기반 동종 앙상블 기법에 따른 이상 탐지성능 분석)

  • Kim, InKi;Gwak, Jeonghwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.95-97
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문에서는 산업 현장에서 발생하는 불량품 탐지 분야에서 효율적으로 생산품의 불량을 탐지할 수 있는 PaDiM 구조의 Backbone 모델을 단일 Wide-ResNet 대신 두 개의 Wide-ResNet을 사용함으로써, 단일 모델에서 추출된 저차원의 Feature를 앙상블을 통해 성능 향상을 일으킬 수 있는 것을 증명하였다. 단일 Wide-ResNet 환경에서는 MVTec 데이터셋에서 생성된 다변량 가우시안 분포가 데이터셋의 적은 샘플수로 인하여 각 클래스 간 불균형이 발생하는 문제를 동종 앙상블을 통해 해결할 수 있었다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 제안하는 동종 모델의 앙상블을 사용함으로써 기존의 One-class classification 환경에서 불량품 탐지환경에서 적은 수의 데이터 샘플 환경에서 성능 향상을 나타낼 수 있음을 입증하였다.

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Ensemble Daily Streamflow Forecast Using Two-step Daily Precipitation Interpolation (일강우 내삽을 이용한 일유량 시뮬레이션 및 앙상블 유량 발생)

  • Hwang, Yeon-Sang;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Jung, Young-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.209-220
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    • 2011
  • Input uncertainty is one of the major sources of uncertainty in hydrologic modeling. In this paper, first, three alternate rainfall inputs generated by different interpolation schemes were used to see the impact on a distributed watershed model. Later, the residuals of precipitation interpolations were tested as a source of ensemble streamflow generation in two river basins in the U.S. Using the Monte Carlo parameter search, the relationship between input and parameter uncertainty was also categorized to see sensitivity of the parameters to input differences. This analysis is useful not only to find the parameters that need more attention but also to transfer parameters calibrated for station measurement to the simulation using different inputs such as downscaled data from weather generator outputs. Input ensembles that preserves local statistical characteristics are used to generate streamflow ensembles hindcast, and showed that the ensemble sets are capturing the observed steamflow properly. This procedure is especially important to consider input uncertainties in the simulation of streamflow forecast.

Study on Control Model Based on Signal Processing In End-Milling Process (엔드밀 공정에서의 신호처리에 따른 제어모델에 관한 연구)

  • 양우석;이건복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.192-196
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    • 2001
  • This work describes the modeling of cutting process for feedback control based on signal processing in end-milling. Here, cutting force is used to design control model by a variety of schemes which are moving average, ensemble average, peak value, root mean square and analog low-pass filtering. It is expected that each model offers its own peculiar advantage in following cutting force control.

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Development of Multisite Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Model for Rainfall Using GCM Multi Model Ensemble (다중 기상모델 앙상블을 활용한 다지점 강우시나리오 상세화 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Ki-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2015
  • General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the basic tool used for modelling climate. However, the spatio-temporal discrepancy between GCM and observed value, therefore, the models deliver output that are generally required calibration for applied studies. Which is generally done by Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) approach. Stochastic downscaling methods have been used extensively to generate long-term weather sequences from finite observed records. A primary objective of this study is to develop a forecasting scheme which is able to make use of a MME of different GCMs. This study employed a Nonstationary Hidden Markov Chain Model (NHMM) as a main tool for downscaling seasonal ensemble forecasts over 3 month period, providing daily forecasts. Our results showed that the proposed downscaling scheme can provide the skillful forecasts as inputs for hydrologic modeling, which in turn may improve water resources management. An application to the Nakdong watershed in South Korea illustrates how the proposed approach can lead to potentially reliable information for water resources management.

Climate Change Scenario Generation and Uncertainty Assessment: Multiple variables and potential hydrological impacts

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Rae-Gun;Choi, Byung-Kyu;Park, Se-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2010
  • The research presented here represents a collaborative effort with the SFWMD on developing scenarios for future climate for the SFWMD area. The project focuses on developing methodology for simulating precipitation representing both natural quasi-oscillatory modes of variability in these climate variables and also the secular trends projected by the IPCC scenarios that are publicly available. This study specifically provides the results for precipitation modeling. The starting point for the modeling was the work of Tebaldi et al that is considered one of the benchmarks for bias correction and model combination in this context. This model was extended in the framework of a Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) to formally and simultaneously consider biases between the models and observations over the historical period and trends in the observations and models out to the end of the 21st century in line with the different ensemble model simulations from the IPCC scenarios. The low frequency variability is modeled using the previously developed Wavelet Autoregressive Model (WARM), with a correction to preserve the variance associated with the full series from the HBM projections. The assumption here is that there is no useful information in the IPCC models as to the change in the low frequency variability of the regional, seasonal precipitation. This assumption is based on a preliminary analysis of these models historical and future output. Thus, preserving the low frequency structure from the historical series into the future emerges as a pragmatic goal. We find that there are significant biases between the observations and the base case scenarios for precipitation. The biases vary across models, and are shrunk using posterior maximum likelihood to allow some models to depart from the central tendency while allowing others to cluster and reduce biases by averaging. The projected changes in the future precipitation are small compared to the bias between model base run and observations and also relative to the inter-annual and decadal variability in the precipitation.

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