• 제목/요약/키워드: Engineering Economic Decision

검색결과 316건 처리시간 0.022초

시뮬레이션과 퍼지비선형계획 및 신경망 기법을 이용한 경제적 절삭공정 모델 (Economic Machining Process Models Using Simulation, Fuzzy Non-Linear Programming and Neural-Networks)

  • 이영해;양병희;전성진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents four process models for machining processes : 1) an economical mathematical model of machining process, 2) a prediction model for surface roughness, 3) a decision model for fuzzy cutting conditions, and 4) a judgment model of machinability with automatic selection of cutting conditions. Each model was developed the economic machining, and these models were applied to theories widely studied in industrial engineering which are nonlinear programming, computer simulation, fuzzy theory, and neural networks. The results of this paper emphasize the human oriented domain of a nonlinear programming problem. From a viewpoint of the decision maker, fuzzy nonlinear programming modeling seems to be apparently more flexible, more acceptable, and more reliable for uncertain, ill-defined, and vague problem situations.

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기회비용 개념을 이용한 실물투자 프로젝트의 전략적 순 현재가치의 구성요소와 경제적 해석 (Investigation of the Structure of the Strategic Net Present Value and Its Economic Interpretation through the Opportunity Cost Concept)

  • 김규태;최성호
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.126-134
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    • 2003
  • Among a variety of models proposed by so far to calculate the real options value when the investment decision about the underlying project may be delayed, the Black-Scholes and the binomial lattice models have been widely used and discussed by academics and practitioners. However these two models do not provide us with intuition into how it is constructed and what it does really mean. In this paper, we will therefore explore its components and practically more intuitive meaning. With the components explored, we developed the mathematical model to calculate the real options value and thus strategic net present value, based on the opportunity cost concept, for which the investment decision about the underlying project is postponed by one year. We will finally present a short illustrative example for readers better understanding on the model proposed in the paper.

Consumer Analysis for Increasing Occupancy Rates of Tourism Hotel

  • Gozaly, Jimmy
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2017
  • Tourism is a sector that plays an important role in the economic growth of Indonesia. Bandung as the capital of West Java province is known as the city with diverse tourism potential, both in the attractiveness of the city and surrounding natural beauty. DHR is a three stars resort hotel in the city with a strategic location. As a three stars resort hotel, DHR has been experiencing occupancy rate problems, consequently, it cannot often reach the set targets, both during high season and low season. The purpose of this study is to identify the factors of hotel performance that influences consumer staying back decision in the future. Questionnaires have been distributed to hotel guests to gather information regarding their interest and the performance assessment of the hotel services and facilities, and staying back decision in the future. Discriminant Analysis and Hypothesis Testing are used to determine which hotel performance variables will directly affect consumer staying back decision. The result of this study provide marketing strategy that should be implemented by the hotel management in order to increase its occupancy rate.

총괄계획을 위한 선형결정법과 탐색결정법에 관한 연구 (I) (A Study on the Linear Decision Rule and the Search Decision Rule for Aggregate Planning (I))

  • 고용해
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제6권8호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 1983
  • Aggregate planning coordinate the control variable over long-term to apply a demand variable and forcasting. In order to necessary the goal that doesn't make an inter-contradiction and explicitly defined. We made a considerable point of system approach for scheduling establishment. It include the control variables of aggregate planning : 1) employment 2) over time working and idle time 3) inventory 4) delivery delay S) subcontract 61 long - term facility capacity. Each variables composed of pure strategy as like a decision of inventory level, a change of employment level, etc. md alternative costs make a computation on the economic foundation. But the optimum alternative costs represent the mixed pure strategy. The faults of this method doesn't optimum guarantee a special scheduling as well as increasing a number of alternative combination. Theoretical, Linear Decision Rule make an including all variables, but it is almost impossible for this model to develope actually And also make use of the aggregate planning problem for developing system approach : LDR, heuristic model, Search Decision Rule, all kind of computers, simulation. But these models are very complex, each variables get an extremely inter-dependence. So this study be remained by theory level, some approach methods has not been brought the optimum solution to apply in every cases.

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대안 평가를 위한 의사결정 기법 (Decision Methods for Evaluation of Alternatives)

  • 남기창;홍상표
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2000
  • For any particular development project or environmental regulations, decision-making criteria is required and conflicts among criteria should be resolved. It is necessary to investigate criteria that government agencies employ in making decisions that influence the environment. The evaluation of alternative development proposals and regulatory measures involves much more than environmental issues. Economic, technical, and social factors should be considered along with environmental impacts when making evaluations. Evaluation should be based on values of all individuals who may be affected by public or private decisions. There are many evaluation methods for determining how individuals and groups value alternative public actions. Numerous weighting-scaling methodologies can be used in such evaluations. These methodologies represent adaptations of multiple-criteria or multiple-attribute decision-making techniques. Environmental risk assessment which accounts for uncertainties in choosing among alternative policies and projects is increasingly used.

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지진위험도평가 방법을 이용한 내진성능관리 의사결정 (Decision Making of Seismic Performance Management Using Seismic Risk Assessment)

  • 김동주;최지혜;김병화
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2019
  • The strategy for the management of earthquakes is shifting from post recovery to prevention; therefore, seismic performance management requires quantitative predictions of damage and the establishment of strategies for initial responses to earthquakes. Currently, seismic performance evaluation for seismic management in Korea consists of two stages: preliminary evaluation and detailed evaluation. Also, the priority of seismic performance management is determined in accordance with the preliminary evaluation. As a deterministic method, preliminary evaluation quantifies the physical condition and socio-economic importance of a facility by various predetermined indices, and the priority is decided by the relative value of the indices; however, with the deterministic method it is difficult to consider any uncertainty related to the return-year, epicenter, and propagation of seismic energy. Also this method cannot support tasks such as quantitative socio-economic damage and the provision of data for initial responses to earthquakes. Moreover, indirect damage is often greater than direct damage; therefore, a method to quantify damage is needed to enhance accuracy. In this paper, a Seismic Risk Assessment is used to quantify the cost of damage of road facilities in Pohang city and to support decision making.

Development of a multi criteria decision analysis framework for the assessment of integrated waste management options for irradiated graphite

  • Abrahamsen-Mills, Liam;Wareing, Alan;Fowler, Linda;Jarvis, Richard;Norris, Simon;Banford, Anthony
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.1224-1235
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    • 2021
  • An integrated waste management approach for irradiated graphite was developed during the European Commission project 'Treatment and Disposal of Irradiated Graphite and other Carbonaceous Waste'. This included the identification of potential options for the management of irradiated graphite, taking account of storage, retrieval, treatment and disposal methods. This paper describes how these options can be assessed using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) for a case study relating to a generic power reactor. Criteria have been defined to account for safety, environmental, economic and socio-political factors, including radiological impact, resource usage, economic costs and risks. The impact of each option against each criterion has been assessed using data from the project and the wider literature. A linear additive approach has been used to convert the calculated impacts to scores. To account for the relative importance of the criteria, example weightings were allocated. This application has shown that MCDA approaches can be used to support complex decisions regarding irradiated graphite management, accounting for a wide range of criteria. Use of this approach by individual countries or organisations will need to account for the specific options, scores, weightings and constraints that apply, based on their national strategies, regulatory requirements and public acceptability.

면역알고리즘 기반의 MECs (에너지 허브) 시스템 (An Immune Algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System)

  • 손병락;강유경;이현
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2014
  • Recently, in power system studies, Multiple Energy Carriers (MECs) such as Energy Hub has been broadly utilized in power system planners and operators. Particularly, Energy Hub performs one of the most important role as the intermediate in implementing the MECs. However, it still needs to be put under examination in both modeling and operating concerns. For instance, a probabilistic optimization model is treated by a robust global optimization technique such as multi-agent genetic algorithm (MAGA) which can support the online economic dispatch of MECs. MAGA also reduces the inevitable uncertainty caused by the integration of selected input energy carriers. However, MAGA only considers current state of the integration of selected input energy carriers in conjunctive with the condition of smart grid environments for decision making in Energy Hub. Thus, in this paper, we propose an immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System which can adopt the learning process in order to make a self decision making in Energy Hub. In particular, the proposed immune algorithm considers the previous state, the current state, and the future state of the selected input energy carriers in order to predict the next decision making of Energy Hub based on the probabilistic optimization model. The below figure shows the proposed immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System. Finally, we will compare the online economic dispatch of MECs of two algorithms such as MAGA and immune algorithm based MECs by using Real Time Digital Simulator (RTDS).

경제성 환경성 통합평가를 위한 정보통합시스템 (Integrated Information System for Environmental and Economic Evaluation)

  • 김창학;신민호;강인석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권6D호
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    • pp.615-622
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    • 2010
  • 최근 국내외적으로 친환경건설을 위해 환경성 및 경제성을 고려하여 통합평가하는 것은 일반화되어 가고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 VE/LCC와 LCA를 통합분석하기 위한 시스템을 제시하는 것이다. 의사결정자가 환경성 및 경제성을 통합평가하고 이것을 의사결정에 반영하기 위해서는 현실적으로 매우 많은 비용자료, 설계도서 및 문서들을 적절히 관리하고 통합할 수 있어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 정보의 통합수단으로 WBS를 기본으로 한 관리수단을 제시하고, DB와 효율적으로 연계하여 의사결정을 할 수 있도록 하였다. 또한 본 시스템은 VE분석, LCC분석, LCA분석을 위한 모듈을 별개로 제시하여 사용자의 편의성을 좋게 하였다.

Developing a comprehensive model of the optimal exploitation of dam reservoir by combining a fuzzy-logic based decision-making approach and the young's bilateral bargaining model

  • M.J. Shirangi;H. Babazadeh;E. Shirangi;A. Saremi
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2023
  • Given the limited water resources and the presence of multiple decision makers with different and usually conflicting objectives in the exploitation of water resources systems, especially dam's reservoirs; therefore, the decision to determine the optimal allocation of reservoir water among decision-makers and stakeholders is a difficult task. In this study, by combining a fuzzy VIKOR technique or fuzzy multi-criteria decision making (FMCDM) and the Young's bilateral bargaining model, a new method was developed to determine the optimal quantitative and qualitative water allocation of dam's reservoir water with the aim of increasing the utility of decision makers and stakeholders and reducing the conflicts among them. In this study, by identifying the stakeholders involved in the exploitation of the dam reservoir and determining their utility, the optimal points on trade-off curve with quantitative and qualitative objectives presented by Mojarabi et al. (2019) were ranked based on the quantitative and qualitative criteria, and economic, social and environmental factors using the fuzzy VIKOR technique. In the proposed method, the weights of the criteria were determined by each decision maker using the entropy method. The results of a fuzzy decision-making method demonstrated that the Young's bilateral bargaining model was developed to determine the point agreed between the decisions makers on the trade-off curve. In the proposed method, (a) the opinions of decision makers and stakeholders were considered according to different criteria in the exploitation of the dam reservoir, (b) because the decision makers considered the different factors in addition to quantitative and qualitative criteria, they were willing to participate in bargaining and reconsider their ideals, (c) due to the use of a fuzzy-logic based decision-making approach and considering different criteria, the utility of all decision makers was close to each other and the scope of bargaining became smaller, leading to an increase in the possibility of reaching an agreement in a shorter time period using game theory and (d) all qualitative judgments without considering explicitness of the decision makers were applied to the model using the fuzzy logic. The results of using the proposed method for the optimal exploitation of Iran's 15-Khordad dam reservoir over a 30-year period (1968-1997) showed the possibility of the agreement on the water allocation of the monthly total dissolved solids (TDS)=1,490 mg/L considering the different factors based on the opinions of decision makers and reducing conflicts among them.