• 제목/요약/키워드: Energy Scenarios

검색결과 612건 처리시간 0.027초

Flexible operation and maintenance optimization of aging cyber-physical energy systems by deep reinforcement learning

  • Zhaojun Hao;Francesco Di Maio;Enrico Zio
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.1472-1479
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    • 2024
  • Cyber-Physical Energy Systems (CPESs) integrate cyber and hardware components to ensure a reliable and safe physical power production and supply. Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) add uncertainty to energy demand that can be dealt with flexible operation (e.g., load-following) of CPES; at the same time, scenarios that could result in severe consequences due to both component stochastic failures and aging of the cyber system of CPES (commonly overlooked) must be accounted for Operation & Maintenance (O&M) planning. In this paper, we make use of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to search for the optimal O&M strategy that, not only considers the actual system hardware components health conditions and their Remaining Useful Life (RUL), but also the possible accident scenarios caused by the failures and the aging of the hardware and the cyber components, respectively. The novelty of the work lies in embedding the cyber aging model into the CPES model of production planning and failure process; this model is used to help the RL agent, trained with Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and Imitation Learning (IL), finding the proper rejuvenation timing for the cyber system accounting for the uncertainty of the cyber system aging process. An application is provided, with regards to the Advanced Lead-cooled Fast Reactor European Demonstrator (ALFRED).

계층화 분석과정법과 디지털 목업을 이용한 정량적 해체 시나리오 평가 (Quantitative Comparison and Analysis of Decommissioning Scenarios Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method and Digital Mock-up System)

  • 김성균;박희성;이근우;정종헌
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 해체 시나리오를 정량적 및 정성적 고려사항을 반영하여 평가하기 위하여 계층적분석이론(Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP)을 이용한 평가모델을 개발하였으며 또한 해체 시나리오의 정량적인 자료산출을 위하여 해체일정, 폐기물량, 방사화 가시화, 해체비용, 작업자 피폭량 등과 같은 해체정보산출모듈을 개발하였다. 그리고 해체공정을 가상환경에서 구현하여 해체절차를 파악하기 위하여 디지털 목업(Digital Mock-Up, DMU)을 개발하였으며 DMU 시스템은 해체정보산출모듈, 해체 DB 및 해체 시나리오 평가 모듈을 통합적으로 관리하도록 개발되었다. 마지막으로 개발된 해체 DMU 시스템과 계층분석과정 모델을 연구로 1호기(Korea Research Reactor-1, KRR-1) thermal column의 플라즈마 절단 시나리오와 nibbler 절단 시나리오에 적용하여 비교 평가하였다.

Enhancing Network Service Survivability in Large-Scale Failure Scenarios

  • Izaddoost, Alireza;Heydari, Shahram Shah
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.534-547
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    • 2014
  • Large-scale failures resulting from natural disasters or intentional attacks are now causing serious concerns for communication network infrastructure, as the impact of large-scale network connection disruptions may cause significant costs for service providers and subscribers. In this paper, we propose a new framework for the analysis and prevention of network service disruptions in large-scale failure scenarios. We build dynamic deterministic and probabilistic models to capture the impact of regional failures as they evolve with time. A probabilistic failure model is proposed based on wave energy behaviour. Then, we develop a novel approach for preventive protection of the network in such probabilistic large-scale failure scenarios. We show that our method significantly improves uninterrupted delivery of data in the network and reduces service disruption times in large-scale regional failure scenarios.

경제성장과 산업구조 변화에 따른 장기 온실가스 배출량 전망 시나리오 분석 (An Analysis of Long-Term Scenarios for The GHG Emissions Projections Considering Economic Growth and Industrial Structure Change)

  • 권승문;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.257-268
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    • 2016
  • Both economic growth and industrial structure have great influence on energy consumption and GHG emissions. This study analyzed long-term scenarios for GHG emissions projections considering economic growth and industry value added change. In consideration of 3 GDP and 3 industry value added outlook, total 9 scenarios were set; 'Assembly Industry Baseline(AI)', 'Assembly KEIT industry(AK)', 'Assembly Advanced Country industry(AA)', 'KDI Industry Baseline(KI)', 'KDI KEIT industry(KK)', 'KDI Advanced Country industry(KA)', 'OECD Industry Baseline(OI)', 'OECD KEIT industry(OK)', and 'OECD Advanced Country industry(OA)' scenarios. In consideration of the GDP increase rate and industry value added outlook, it is estimated that AI scenario's GHG emissions would be 777 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. On the other hand, in the case of OA scenario, GHG emissions would be 560.2 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. Differences between AI scenario's and OA scenario's were 216.8 million tons of $CO_2eq$. It can be identified by that GDP and industry value added change have great influence on GHG emissions. In view of the fact that Korea's amount of GHG emission reduction targets in 2030 were 218.6 million tons of $CO_2eq$ that the result of this research could give us valuable insight.

Analysis of the Economic and Environmental Effects of Renewable Portfolio Standards with DECADES

  • Rbo Jae-Hyung;Chung Koo-Hyung;Kim Balho H.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제5A권1호
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    • pp.70-78
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyzes the environmental impact and economic effect of introducing the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) into the Korean electricity market using the DECADES (Database and Methodologies for Comparative Assessment of Different Energy Sources for Electricity Generation) model, a comparative assessment tool developed by IAEA. A bottom up approach is adopted for the evaluation of air pollutant emission and its impact of several RPS scenarios. The environmental damage costs of RPS scenarios are evaluated based on the Extern-E results and the Thailand externality study carried out by EGAT. The results of this study can be applied in determining or analyzing the national electricity policy and energy policy.

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SAFETY ASSESSMENT APPROACH AND ITS IMPLICATION ON THE ADVANCED NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE

  • Hwang, Yong-Soo;Kang, Chul-Hyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2010
  • The development of advanced nuclear fuel cycle(ANFC) technology is essential to meet the national mission for energy independence via a nuclear option in Korea. The action target is to develop environmentally friendly, cost-effective measures to reduce the burden of long term disposal. The proper scenarios regarding potential radionuclide release from a repository have been developed in this study based on the advanced korean Reference Disposal System(A-KRS). To predict safety for the various scenarios, a new assessment code based on the GoldSim software has also been developed. Deterministic analysis indicates an environmental benefit from the ANFC as long as the solid waster from the ANFC act as a proper barrier.