• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.59-74
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• 2016

Electricity sales are directly measured from individual consumers, which could minimize the time gap between data collection and public announcement. Furthermore, industrial electricity sales are highly linked with production and output. Therefore, industrial electricity consumption can be used to track production and output in real time. By using the high-frequency data of industrial electricity sales, this study develops the daily electricity business index (DEBI) to capture the daily economic status. The steps used to formulate DEBI are as follows: (1)selection of the explanatory variables and period, (2) amendment of the seasonal adjustment to eliminate daily temperature and effective day effects, (3) estimation of the weighted value via variables by using PCA, (4) calculation of DEBI and commencement of validation tests. Our empirical analysis and the Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis show that DEBI is highly related to existing economic indices.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.419-430
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• 2014

An accurate prediction of electricity supply and demand is important for daily life, industrial activities, and national management. In this paper electricity sales is predicted by time series modelling. Real data analysis shows the transfer function model with cooling and heating days as an input time series and a pulse function as an intervention variable outperforms other time series models for the root mean square error and the mean absolute percentage error.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.63-71
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• 2016

Purpose - A variety of indicators are used for the diagnosis of economic situation. However, most indicators explain the past economic situation because of the time difference between the measurement and announcement. This study aims to argue for the resurrection of an idea: electricity demand can be used as an indicator of economic activity. In addition, this study made an endeavor to develop a new Real Business Index(RBI) which could quickly represent the real economic condition based on the sales statistics of industrial and public electricity. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study monthly sales of industrial and public electricity from 2000 to 2015 was investigated to analyze the relationship between the economic condition and the amount of electricity consumption and to develop a new Real Business Index. To formulate the Index, this study followed next three steps. First, we decided the explanatory variables, period, and collected data. Second, after calculating the monthly changes for each variable, standardization and estimating the weighted value were conducted. Third, the computation of RBI finalized the development of empirical model. The principal component analysis was used to evaluate the weighted contribution ratio among 3 sectors and 17 data. Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis was used to verify the robustness of out model. Results - The empirical results are as follows. First, compatibility of the predictability between the new RBI and the existing monthly cycle of coincident composite index was extremely high. Second, two indexes had a high correlation of 0.7156. In addition, Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis demonstrated that two indexed also had accompany relationship. Third, when the changes of two indexes were compared, they were found that the times when the highest and the lowest point happened were similar, which suggested that it is possible to use the new RBI index as a complementing indicator in a sense that the RBI can explain the economic condition almost in real time. Conclusion - A new economic index which can explain the economic condition needs to be developed well and rapidly in a sense that it is useful to determine accurately the current economic condition to establish economic policy and corporate strategy. The salse of electricity has a close relationship with economic conditions because electricity is utilized as a main resource of industrial production. Furthermore, the result of the sales of electricity can be gathered almost in real time. This study applied the econometrics model to the statistics of the sales of industrial and public electricity. In conclusion, the new RBI index was highly related with the existing monthly economic indexes. In addition, the comparison between the RBI index and other indexes demonstrated that the direction of the economic change and the times when the highest and lowest points had happened were almost the same. Therefore, this RBI index can become the supplementary indicator of the official indicators published by Korean Bank or the statistics Korea.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11b
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• pp.195-197
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• 2001

The Distribution Network costs are currently part of the total cost of KEPCO covered through aggregated final consumer tariffs. There is no unbundling of Power Sale and Distribution Network activities. This situation will change with the introduction of competition in supply. The Distribution Network Service Providers will have to provide access and set explicitly Distribution Service Charges in order to enable the Power Sales Businesses to convey electricity to their consumers using the Distribution Network for these purposes. The Distribution Service Charges will be made up of Distribution Connection Charge and Distribution Use of Network Charge. The Distribution Losses will be considered through Distribution Loss Factors and included in the electricity purchased by the Power Sales Businesses.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.53 no.2
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• pp.97-103
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• 2004

CHP system supplies electricity and heating together with high efficiency. Current utility's CHP system uses electric power by itself and sells thermal energy to KDHC(Korea District Heating Corporation). CHP's operation cost except sales revenue of heating was covered by the sale revenue of electricity. Thus Electric generation cost in district Heating CHP system has close relationship with the level of heating price. However, after the restructuring of electricity industry, the operation cost could not be covered by sales revenue of heating and electricity. This loss was compensated by energy subsidy program in the electric power industry infrastructure fund. This paper suggests reasonable evaluation and improvement methods of the loss calculation of CHP system utilizing the infrastructure fund efficiency In terms of the direction of support by the fund, it provides the methods to prevent inefficient operation through setting up the upper limit of subsidy and to improve the loss calculation. Moreover, it suggest fixed rate support by heating supply level and reducing subsidy gradually for an efficient operation of CHP system.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.417-438
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• 2016

The choice of SMEs between standardization and R&D is one of the strategies of building capabilities for achieving competitive advantages under the liabilities of newness and smallness. This paper provides empirical evidence of Korean SMEs choice between standardization and R&D. We hypothesize two possible impacts of standardization intensity on sales performance; a positive linear and a U-shaped relationship. The analysis of data on 821 Korean SMEs from information and technology, and electricity and electronics industries in 2013 shows an U-shaped relationship between relative standardization intensity over R&D and sales performance.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.41-49
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• 2014

For a proper valuation of wind power project, it is necessary to consider volatilities of key parameters such as annual energy production, electricity sales price, and long term interest rate. Real option methodology allows to calculate option values of these parameters. Volatilities to be considered in wind project valuation are 1) annual energy production (AEP) estimation due to meteorological variation and estimation errors in wind speed distribution, 2) changes in system marginal price (SMP), and 3) interest rate fluctuation of project financing which provides refinancing option to be exercised during a loan tenor for commercial scale projects. Real option valuation turns out to be more than half of the sales value based on a case study for a FIT scheme wind project that was sold to a financial investor.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.60 no.4
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• pp.726-732
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• 2011

To establish the transmission system expansion plan based on reliability, valuation of outage cost become more important. In previous studies about outage cost estimation, macroscopic, microscopic and analytic methods are proposed but they have some limit. For instance, microscopic method involves a complex field survey process and macroscopic method can not estimate regional outage cost. So in this paper, a new method to estimate regional macroscopic outage cost using the reduction of value added due to power outages is proposed. This method uses regional add value according to production activities called Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) and regional electricity sales.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.52 no.6
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• pp.796-806
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• 2014

The key for the commercial deployment of IGCC power plants or chemical (methanol, dimethyl ether, etc.) production plants based on coal gasification is their economic advantage over plants producing electricity or chemicals from crude oil or natural gas. The better economy of coal gasification based plants can be obtained by co-production of electricity and chemicals. In this study, we carried out the economic feasibility analysis on the process of co-producing electricity and DME (dimethyl ether) using coal gasification. The plant's capacity was 250 MW electric and DME production of 300,000 ton per year. Assuming that the sales price of DME is 500,000 won/ton, the production cost of electricity is in the range of 33~58% of 150.69 won/kwh which is the average of SMP (system marginal price) in 2013, Korea. At present, the sales price of DME in China is approximately 900,000 won/ton. Therefore, there are more potential for lowering the price of co-produced electricity when comparing that from IGCC only. Since the co-production system can not only use the coal gasifier and the gas purification process as a common facility but also can control production rates of electricity and DME depending on the market demand, the production cost of electricity and DME can be significantly reduced compared to the process of producing electricity or DME separately.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.349-371
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• 2000

Data Envelopment Analysis model is a linear programming based technique for measuring the relative performance of organizational units where the presence of multiple inputs and outputs makes comparison difficult. A common measure for relative efficiency is weighted sum of outputs divided by weighted sum of inputs. DEA model allows each unit to adopt a set of weight that shows it in the most favorable light in comparison to the other unit. In this paper, we present the mathematical background and characteristics of DEA model, and give a short case study where we apply the DEA model to evaluate the relative efficiencies of 51 global electricity companies. The technical efficiency and scale efficiency are also to be investigated. Generating capacity and the number of employees are used for input data, and revenue, net profit and electricity sales are used for output data. We find that the companies with 100% relative efficiency are only 9 among 51 electricity companies. And the technical and scale efficiency of KEPCO is 98.7% and 78.89%, respectively. This means that the inefficiency of KEPCO is caused by the scale inefficiency. The analysis shows that the employees should be decreased by 15% at minimum to get the 100% efficiency. The result suggests that KEPCO needs the structural reform to improve the efficiency.