• Title/Summary/Keyword: Electric Power Loads

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Short-Term Forecasting of Monthly Maximum Electric Power Loads Using a Winters' Multiplicative Seasonal Model (Winters' Multiplicative Seasonal Model에 의한 월 최대 전력부하의 단기예측)

  • Yang, Moonhee;Lim, Sanggyu
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2002
  • To improve the efficiency of the electric power generation, monthly maximum electric power consumptions for a next one year should be forecasted in advance and used as the fundamental input to the yearly electric power-generating master plan, which has a greatly influence upon relevant sub-plans successively. In this paper, we analyze the past 22-year hourly maximum electric load data available from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) and select necessary data from the raw data for our model in order to reflect more recent trends and seasonal components, which hopefully result in a better forecasting model in terms of forecasted errors. After analyzing the selected data, we recommend to KEPCO the Winters' multiplicative model with decomposition and exponential smoothing technique among many candidate forecasting models and provide forecasts for the electric power consumptions and their 95% confidence intervals up to December of 1999. It turns out that the relative errors of our forecasts over the twelve actual load data are ranged between 0.1% and 6.6% and that the average relative error is only 3.3%. These results indicate that our model, which was accepted as the first statistical forecasting model for monthly maximum power consumption, is very suitable to KEPCO.

A Method to Allocate Real Power Losses of Transmission Lines using Loss Distribution factors (손실배분계수를 이용한 송전선로 유효전력 손실의 배분법)

  • Ro, Kyoung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1259-1261
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    • 1999
  • The paper proposes a simple method to calculate the portion of real power losses allocated to individual loads. The method is implemented by loss distribution factors, and analyses the share of loads in transmission line losses. Effectiveness of the algorithm is verified by a computer simulation. The results can be used to compute the cost of ancillary services under deregulated environment in electric power industries.

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A Study on the Application of the DVR System using EMTDC Simulation (EMTDC 시뮬레이션을 이용한 DVR 시스템 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Choy, Y.D.;Kwak, N.H.;Jeon, Y.S.;Jeon, D.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.69-71
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the interest on power quality has been hot issue because the equipments cause voltage disturbance and become more sensitive to the voltage disturbance. The DVR(Dynamic Voltage Restorer) is one of the Custom Power Device that can compensate the voltage. DVR operates as a series connected compensator whose output voltage can be controlled system voltage. And the magnitude of compensation voltage is limited by the characteristics of system and load. Compensation capability of DVR was simulated by EMTDC under several condition. This paper analyzed effect of DVR's compensation at power quality test center which has SSFG(Sag, swell, and Flicker Generator, CPDs(SSTS, DVR, DSTATCOM), and loads.

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Weekly Maximum Electric Load Forecasting Method for 104 Weeks Using Multiple Regression Models (다중회귀모형을 이용한 104주 주 최대 전력수요예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Si-Yeon;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.9
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    • pp.1186-1191
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    • 2014
  • Weekly and monthly electric load forecasting are essential for the generator maintenance plan and the systematic operation of the electric power reserve. This paper proposes the weekly maximum electric load forecasting model for 104 weeks with the multiple regression model. Input variables of the multiple regression model are temperatures and GDP that are highly correlated with electric loads. The weekly variable is added as input variable to improve the accuracy of electric load forecasting. Test results show that the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of electric load forecasting over the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model. We expect that the proposed algorithm can contribute to the systematic operation of the power system by improving the accuracy of the electric load forecasting.

The 24 Hourly Load Forecasting of the Election Day Using the Load Variation Rate (부하변동율을 이용한 선거일의 24시간 수요예측)

  • Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.1041-1045
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    • 2010
  • Short-term electric load forecasting of power systems is essential for the power system stability and the efficient power system operation. An accurate load forecasting scheme improves the power system security and saves some economic losses in power system operations. Due to scarcity of the historical same type of holiday load data, most big electric load forecasting errors occur on load forecasting for the holidays. The fuzzy linear regression model has showed good accuracy for the load forecasting of the holidays. However, it is not good enough to forecast the load of the election day. The concept of the load variation rate for the load forecasting of the election day is introduced. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy in that the average percentage error for the short-term 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is 2.27%. The accuracy of the proposed 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is compared with the fuzzy linear regression method. The proposed method gives much better forecasting accuracy with overall average error of 2.27%, which improved about average error of 2% as compared to the fuzzy linear regression method.

The Modeling of Power conversion system with PEM fuel cell (연료전지를 이용한 전력변환장치 시스템 모델링)

  • Han, Kyung-He;Kwon, Sam-Yung;Park, Hyun-June;Lee, Byung-Song;Baek, Soo-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1984-1989
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    • 2008
  • A powered system with fuel cell is regarded as a high current and low voltage source. Effects of the loads on the electrical power source are important to optimize the integrated power system. The design parameters of the system should be chosen by taking into account the characteristics of the fuel cell, so the costs of the power system at given operating conditions can be reduced. Furthermore, the dynamics characteristic of the system is crucial to acquire performance in applications, particularly interactions between loads and the fuel cell system. Currently, no integrated simulation has been approached to analyze interrelated effects. Therefore, the dynamic models of power conversion system with a PEM fuel cell that includes the PEM fuel cell stack, DC/DC converter and associated controls is developed. Electric lads for the system are derived by using a power theory that separates a load current into active, reactive, distortion or a mixed current component. Dependency of the DC capacitor on the loads are analyzed.

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VEHICLE ELECTRIC POWER SIMULATOR FOR OPTIMIZING THE ELECTRIC CHARGING SYSTEM

  • Lee, Wootaik;Sunwoo, MyoungHo
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2001
  • The vehicle electric power system, which consists of two major components: a generator and a battery, which have to provide numerous electrical and electronic systems with enough electrical energy. A detailed understanding of the characteristics of the electric power system, electrical load demands, and the driving environment such as road, season, and vehicle weight is required when the capacities of the generator and the battery are to be determined for a vehicle. An easy-to-use and inexpensive simulation program may be needed to avoid the over/under design problem of the electric power system. A vehicle electric power simulator is developed in this study. The simulator can be utilized to determine the optimal capacities of generators and batteries. To improve the expandability and easy usage of the simulation program, the program is organized in modular structures, and is run on a PC. Empirical electrical models of various generators and batteries, and the structure of the simulation program are presented. For executing the vehicle electric power simulator, data of engine speed profile and electric loads of a vehicle are required, and these data are obtained from real driving conditions. In order to improve the accuracy of the simulator, numerous driving data of a vehicle are logged and analyzed.

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Investigation of contactless power transfer system for electric railway (전기철도용 무접촉 급전방식일 환한 기초검토)

  • Lee, Byeong-Song;Bae, Chang-Han
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.272-274
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates contactless power transfer system for electric railway which makes use of electromagnetic induction among the coils. The transmission line efficiency and the quality factor are introduced to analyze the performance of the contactless power transfer system. Several instances of the mobile loads using contactless power transmission are described to understand practical usefulness.

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A Study on Out-of-Plane Flexural Behavior of the Structure with a Vertical Plane Connection between a Reinforced Concrete Wall and a Steel Plate Concrete Wall (철근 콘크리트 벽과 강판 콘크리트 벽이 수직으로 만나는 이질접합 구조물의 면외 휨 거동 특성 연구)

  • Hwang, Kyeong Min;Lee, Kyung Jin;Hahm, Kyung Won;Kim, Won Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2013
  • This paper describes the experimental study on the structural behavior of the vertical plane connection between a reinforced concrete wall and a steel plate concrete wall under out-of-plane flexural loads. The specimen was tested under a dynamic test with the use of cyclic loads. As a result of the test, ductile failure mode of vertical bars was shown under a push load and the failure load was more than that of the nominal strength of the specimen. However, the shear failure mode of the connection was confirmed in case of a pull test and thus demonstrates a need for a shear reinforcement.

Development of Power Supply for Voltage-Adaptable Converter to Drive Linear Amplifiers with Variable Loads (가변부하를 갖는 선형 증폭기를 구동하기 위한 전압적응 변환기용 전력공급기 개발)

  • Um, Kee-Hong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.251-257
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    • 2014
  • An actuator system is a type of motor designed to control a mechanism operated by a source of energy, in the form of an electric current by converting energy into some kind of motion. As audio actuators, transforming electric voltage signal into audio signal, speakers and amplifiers are commonly used. In applications of industry, high output power systems are required. For these systems to generate high-quality output, it is essential to control output impedance of audio systems. We have developed an adaptable power supply for driving active amplifier systems with variable loads. Depending on the changing values of resistance of the speaker which produces audible sound by transforming electric voltage signal, the power supply source of the active amplifier can generate the maximum power delivered to the speaker by an adaptable change of loads. The amplifier is well protected from the abrupt increment of peak current and an excess of current flow.