• Title/Summary/Keyword: Effort Estimation

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Application of a Hydroinformatic System for Calibration of a Catchment Modelling System (강우-유출모형의 검정을 위한 수문정보시스템의 적용)

  • Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2003
  • A new methodology for selecting spatially variable model control parameter values through consideration of inference models within a Hydroinformatic system has been developed to overcome problems associated with determination of spatially variable control parameter values for both ungauged and gauged catchment. The adopted Hydroinformatic tools for determination of control parameter values were a GIS(Arc/Info) to handle spatial and non-spatial attribute information, the SWMM(stormwater management model) to simulate catchment response to hydrologic events, and lastly, L_BFGS_B(a limited memory quasi-Newton algorithm) to assist in the calibration process. As a result, high accuracy of control parameter estimation was obtained by considering the spatial variations of the control parameters based on landuse characteristics. Also, considerable time and effort necessary for estimating a large number of control parameters were reduced from the new calibration approach.

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Estimation of Over Consolidation Ratio in Southern Coasts (남해안 지역의 과압밀비에 대한 평가)

  • Kang, Seokbeom;Heo, Yol;Bae, Wooseok
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2012
  • Efforts to understand and develop reasonable analysis methods for the uncertainty of ground have been made since the 20th century, and the concept of safety factor has been used. However, this concept has limitation in measuring the relative reliability of ground structures because the representative values of the actually used factors have uncertainty. Nevertheless, there is no method to completely remove uncertainty. In most cases, the ground investigation results in Korea are not enough for applying such statistical methods. Furthermore, performing a design without accurate investigation of consolidation state even though consolidation characteristics such as settlement and consolidation velocity vary greatly by the consolidation history can lead to many problems. Therefore, in this paper, as part of the effort to reduce the uncertainty of design around over consolidation ratio among the consolidation factors, the consolidation state was assessed on the basis of the results of high-quality laboratory tests that were performed in Gwangyang and Busan in the southern coast of Korea. Furthermore, consolidation characteristics such as over consolidation ratio by depth were proposed for different regions through statistical processes such as the test of normality and the removal of abnormal values to reduce the uncertainty of design parameters.

WLAN-based Indoor Positioning Algorithm Using The Environment Information Surround Access Points (AP 주변 환경 정보를 이용한 WLAN 기반 실내 위치추정 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Shin, Yo-Soon;Park, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.551-560
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    • 2011
  • Recently, There has been increasing concern about WLAN-based indoor positioning system. Most of the existing WLAN-based positioning systems use a fingerprinting method as a main approach. In the fingerprinting approach, the accuracy of the location of a mobile objects is proportional to the number of reference points. However, depending on the increasing number of reference points in the training phase, it requires more time and effort to create fingerprint database. To solve these problems, we propose the new indoor positioning algorithm that calculate the distance between a mobile objects and an AP using the information of surrounding environment WLAN based APs and applied the particle filter to the proposed algorithm in order to improve the accuracy of the estimated location in this paper. To implement this algorithm, at first environmental information database such as wall, iron door, glass door, partition etc. existing in the periphery of the AP should be established. The positioning use attenuation model and path loss model. Our experimental results with proposed algorithm are verified that the positioning accuracy was low but solved the problems with fingerprinting, compared with other positioning algorithms.

Development of seismic fragility curves for high-speed railway system using earthquake case histories

  • Yang, Seunghoon;Kwak, Dongyoup;Kishida, Tadahiro
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2020
  • Investigating damage potential of the railway infrastructure requires either large amount of case histories or in-depth numerical analyses, or both for which large amounts of effort and time are necessary to accomplish thoroughly. Rather than performing comprehensive studies for each damage case, in this study we collect and analyze a case history of the high-speed railway system damaged by the 2004 M6.6 Niigata Chuetsu earthquake for the development of the seismic fragility curve. The development processes are: 1) slice the railway system as 200 m segments and assigned damage levels and intensity measures (IMs) to each segment; 2) calculate probability of damage for a given IM; 3) estimate fragility curves using the maximum likelihood estimation regression method. Among IMs considered for fragility curves, spectral acceleration at 3 second period has the most prediction power for the probability of damage occurrence. Also, viaduct-type structure provides less scattered probability data points resulting in the best-fitted fragility curve, but for the tunnel-type structure data are poorly scattered for which fragility curve fitted is not meaningful. For validation purpose fragility curves developed are applied to the 2016 M7.0 Kumamoto earthquake case history by which another high-speed railway system was damaged. The number of actual damaged segments by the 2016 event is 25, and the number of equivalent damaged segments predicted using fragility curve is 22.21. Both numbers are very similar indicating that the developed fragility curve fits well to the Kumamoto region. Comparing with railway fragility curves from HAZUS, we found that HAZUS fragility curves are more conservative.

Prediction of Atomic Oxygen Erosion for Coating Material of LEO Satellite's Solar Array by Using the Real Ram Direction Accumulation Method (실 궤도면 누적량 계산법을 활용한 원자산소의 저궤도위성 태양전지판 코팅재료 침식량 예측)

  • Kim, You-Gwang;Lee, Sang-Taek;Baek, Myung-Jin;Lee, Suk-Hoon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2017
  • This objective of this study is an effort to predict atomic oxygen (ATOX) erosion as ot affects coating material(s) of LEO satellite's solar array by implementing the 'real ram direction accumulation method'. We observed the difference of ATOX Fluence between the previous 'Maximum worst case estimation method' and 'Real ram direction accumulation method' and we plan to implement these findings for the purpose of evaluating the level of compliance for design submitted by solar array suppliers. We used the SPENVIS(Space Environment Information System) served by ESA based on assumption orbit information, and applied the satellite orbit calculation software for calculating the ATOX Flux crushed solar array in real orbit surface.

Modeling Heavy-tailed Behavior of 802.11b Wireless LAN Traffic (무선 랜 802.11b 트래픽의 두꺼운 꼬리분포 모델링)

  • Yamkhin, Dashdorj;Won, You-Jip
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.357-365
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    • 2009
  • To effectively exploit the underlying network bandwidth while maximizing user perceivable QoS, mandatory to make proper estimation on packet loss and queuing delay of the underling network. This issue is further emphasized in wireless network environment where network bandwidth is scarce resource. In this work, we focus our effort on developing performance model for wireless network. We collect packet trace from actually wireless network environment. We find that packet count process and bandwidth process in wireless environment exhibits long range property. We extract key performance parameters of the underlying network traffic. We develop an analytical model for buffer overflow probability and waiting time. We obtain the tail probability of the queueing system using Fractional Brown Motion (FBM). We represent average queuing delay from queue length model. Through our study based upon empirical data, it is found that our performance model well represent the physical characteristics of the IEEE 802.11b network traffic.

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Study on The Infertility Rate of Korean Women (한국 부인의 불임증실태에 관한 고찰)

  • 홍문식;김택일
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 1982
  • One of the primary objectives of Korean family planning program is to assist parents in having the number of children they want, both by providing fertility-en-hancing services to infecund and subfecund women and by providing fertility-limitation services to fecund women. As far as fertility-enhancing services to infecund and subfecund women is concerned, there has been little effort from the national family planning program, So far, there is no any basic data on infertility prevalence rate among the Korean women. Therefore, an attempt has been made to review data of 1976 and 1978 fertility and family planning surveys in order to estimate the level of infertility rate among the Korean women. In the 1978 survey 3. 7 percent of the current married women responded that they were physically infertile while in the 1976 survey physically infer-tile women was calculated as 3 percent of the total ever married women which is similar level of 1978 data of 3.7 percent. Mean age at first marriage of Korean women is 23 and most of the women are married in the high fecund age. Only 0.3 percent of the respondents married age 30. in addition, the rate of women with no children among the ever married women whose married duration is more than 5 year is very low;2. 5 percent among 5-9 years, 1. 4 percent among 10- 14 years; 1.8 precent among 15-19 years; 1.0 percent among 20-24 years; and 0. 7 percent among 25 or more years of marriage duration. If we consider those data shown above, it is manifest that infertility rate of Korean women is less than 5 percent level which is much lower than the 10 percent level of infertility rate in the United States of America. However, this kind of estimation is still not able to show definite data on fertility rate. Therefore, a nationwide planned survey should be carried out as early as possible to figure out the real situation of infertility rate in Korea.

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A Study on the Solution of Y2K Problem (Y2k 문제 해결 방안)

  • 박민수;최수길
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.270-273
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    • 1999
  • Y2k will be able to enormous disaster. The many make an effort to find a solution to problem of Y2k. Problem of Y2k must solution to as follow. First, problem of Y2k solution organization must constructed. Second, in step with each stage-the first, developing and complete stage, stage of Y2k solution must be constructed. Third, solution of Y2k must construct to hierarchy. hierarchy structure constructed form six stage to first stage, first stage is investigation resources, second stage is estimation influence, third stage is planing conversion, fourth stage is working conversion, fifte spot, sixth stage is diffusion on the spot.

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Validation of a Robust Flutter Prediction by Optimization

  • Chung, Chan-Hoon;Shin, Sang-Joon
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.43-57
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    • 2012
  • In a modern aircraft, there are many variations in its mass, stiffness, and aerodynamic characteristics. Recently, an analytical approach was proposed, and this approach uses the idea of uncertainty to find out the most critical flight flutter boundary due to the variations in such aerodynamic characteristics. An analytical method that has been suggested to predict robust stability is the mu method. We previously analyzed the robust flutter boundary by using the mu method, and in that study, aerodynamic variations in the Mach number, atmospheric density, and flight speed were taken into consideration. The authors' previous attempt and the results are currently quoted as varying Mach number mu analysis. In the author's previous method, when the initial flight conditions were located far from the nominal flutter boundary, conservative predictions were obtained. However, relationships among those aerodynamic parameters were not applied. Thus, the varying Mach number mu analysis results required validation. Using an optimization approach, the varying Mach number mu analysis was found out to be capable of capturing a reasonable robust flutter boundary, i.e., with a low percentage difference from boundaries that were obtained by optimization. Regarding the optimization approach, a discrete nominal flutter boundary is to be obtained in advance, and based on that boundary, an interpolated function was established. Thus, the optimization approach required more computational effort for a larger number of uncertainty variables. And, this produced results similar to those from the mu method which had lower computational complexity. Thus, during the estimation of robust aeroelastic stability, the mu method was regarded as more efficient than the optimization method was. The mu method predicts reasonable results when an initial condition is located near the nominal flutter boundary, but it does not consider the relationships that are among the aerodynamic parameters, and its predictions are not very accurate when the initial condition is located far from the nominal flutter boundary. In order to provide predictions that are more accurate, the relationships among the uncertainties should also be included in the mu method.

Correlation Model between Strength and stiffness characteristics for Subgrade Soils in Korea (국내 노상토의 강도 및 강성도 특성 상관모형)

  • Kweon, Gi-Chul;Jo, Jung-Nam;Hwang, Taik-Jean
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2009
  • Deformational characteristics of subgrade soils are very important input parameters for pavement design. It is necessary to make an amount of effort to estimate experimentally the modulus of subgrade soils. In case of designing simple (or lower level) pavement section, the estimation of the modulus based on experiments must cause an excessive cost. It has proposed various empirical correlation models to estimate the modulus from basic properties of the materials or more simple alternative tests. Seven subgrade soils in Korea were tested in this study. It was founded that the deformational characteristics of subgrade soils in Korea has a close relation to strength characteristics, the empirical correlation model was proposed. There was a close relation between cohesion value and modulus at low confining stress ($r^2=0.93$). By comparing with the measured modulus and the modulus determined by proposed correlation model from strength characteristics, the value of the coefficient of determination ($r^2$) is 0.75.

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