• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic variable

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Yield Loss Assessment and Determination of Economic Thresholds Limits against Soybean Anthracnose (콩탄저병의 피해 해석 및 요방제 수준 설정)

  • Moon, Youn-Gi;Lee, Jae-Hong;Choi, Jun-Keun;Kang, An-Seok;Han, Seong-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.133-137
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    • 2010
  • A field investigation was carried out for two years to analyze yield loss due to soybean anthracnose caused by Colletotrichum truncatum and to determine its economic threshold limit. Anthracnose severity in terms of % diseased pods was negatively correlated with yield, number of normal seeds per plant and number of pods per plant, and positively correlated with % abnormal seeds with correlation coefficients of -0.85, -0.78, -0.64, and 0.80, respectively. A simple linear regression model was obtained as Y=-1.7781X+164.22 with $R^2$=0.8092, when the soybean yields (Y) were predicted using anthracnose severity (X) as an independent variable. The yield levels could be predicted as high as 80.92%. Based on this equation, spray threshold without economic considerations was estimated as 6.9 in % pods infected with anthracnose. Economic threshold limit and economic spray threshold able to compensate the costs of fungicide sprays were determined as 11.9% and 9.5%, respectively.

Yield Loss Assessment and Economic Thresholds of Squash Powdery Mildew Caused by Sphaerotheca fuliginea (호박 흰가루병의 피해 해석 및 경제적 방제수준 설정)

  • Moon, Youn-Gi;Choi, Jun-Keun;Kang, An-Seok
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.285-289
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    • 2010
  • The experiments were carried out in fields for two years from 2008 to assess yield losses of squash due to powdery mildew caused by Sphaerotheca fuliginea and to determine its economic thresholds. Powdery mildew disease was first observed in late June, about 50 days after field-transplanting, progressed rapidly during late July to early August, and began to reduce from late August. Powdery mildew severity was negatively correlated with squash yields. A positive correlation was observed between fruit weight and % marketable fruits. A simple linear regression model was obtained as Y=-10.399 X + 6607.5 with $R^2$ = 0.9700 when squash yields (Y) was predicted using powdery mildew severity as an independent variable(X). Spray threshold for maximizing squash yields without economic considerations was estimated as 6.5% in terms of leaf lesion area with powdery mildew. Economic threshold and economic spray threshold able to compensate the costs of fungicide sprays were determined as 21.6% and 17.3% in leaf lesion area, respectively.

A Basic Study to Measure the Effectiveness of the Korean Green Building Certification System in Terms of Sustainability

  • Park, Young Jun;Son, Kiyoung;Ahn, Sungjin;Kim, Sunkuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.615-623
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    • 2012
  • Humanity is facing a number of serious issues associated with increased energy consumption and environmental pollution. Various studies/guidelines concerning sustainable building construction have suggested solutions to these disastrous problems, including: net-zero energy buildings, the green building certification system, and others. Sustainability pursues three expected effects: environmental, social, and economic merits. Korean Green Building Council (K-GBC) has also announced the Korean Green Building Certification System (K-GBCS) since 2003 based on sustainability. Some positive social and environmental aspects of the K-GBCS have already been reported. However, it is somewhat difficult to verify its economic merits, which are crucial to ensuring the validity of the K-GBCS. This research aims to verify the economic merits of the eco-friendly Korean-style condominiums accredited by K-GBCS. Following this, the expected economic effectiveness of K-GBCS will be examined in terms of sustainability. The underlying assumption is that the potential economic effect should reflect the actual economic merits, and should reflect the value of the housing in particular. According to the analysis of the variance, it can be concluded the value of green certified buildings is statistically higher than the value of non-certified buildings. Furthermore, it was also observed that this tendency was more dominant in Gyeonggi Province than in the City of Seoul. This may be caused by one of the variables: the proximity to downtown. In future studies, this variable should be studied in greater detail.

Regional Patterns of Farmland Price Changes for the Farmland Reverse Mortgage System (농지연금 도입에 따른 지역별 농지가격의 변동형태 분석 -경기도와 경상북도 지역을 대상으로-)

  • Lim, Dae-Bong;Cho, Deok-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.663-680
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims at analysing Regional Patterns of Farmland Price Changes for the Farmland Reverse Mortgage System. Farmland Reverse Mortgage(FRM) is a system in which the aged farmers in the rural areas receive certain amount of money monthly through the liquidation of their own farmlands for the life time. Farmland price affects the farmland annuity considerably. In the future, if the farmland price goes down than the price when the borrower joined FRM, the borrower can get profits from the pension. Based on the results, the farmland price of Kyeonggi-do is strongly related to economic growth rates(index of industrial product). while that of Gyeongsangbuk-do is weakly related to economic variables including economic growth rates. Therefore, the expectation of farmland value rising rate will be higher in Kyeonggi-do than in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Thus the number of borrowers who want to join FRM in Gyeongsangbuk-do will be more than those in Kyeonggi-do.

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A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry (수산기업의 부실화 요인 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Won;Jang, Chang-Ik;Hong, Jae-Beom
    • Proceedings of the Fisheries Business Administration Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2007.12a
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    • pp.167-184
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    • 2007
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut-down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t-test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non-distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990$\sim$1993), period 2(1994$\sim$1997), period 3(1998$\sim$2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub-samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub-sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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A Study on the Distress Prediction in the Fishery Industry (수산기업의 부실화 요인과 그 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Chang-Ick;Lee, Yun-Weon;Hong, Jae-Bum
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.61-79
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this paper are to identify the causes of the corporate distress and to develop a distress prediction model with the financial information in fishery industry. In this study, the corporate distress is defined as economic failure and technical insolvency. Economic failure occurs by reduction, shut - down, or change of the business and technical insolvency results from failure to pay the financial debt of companies. The 33 distressed firms from 1991 to 2003 were composed by 14 economic failure companies, 15 technical insolvency companies. 4 companies applied to the both cases. The analysis of distress prediction of fishery companies were accomplished according to the distress definition. The analysis was carried out as two steps. The first step was the univariate analysis, which was used for checking the prediction power of individual financial variable. The t - test is used to identify the differences in financial variables between the distressed group and the non - distressed group. The second step was to develop distress prediction model with logistic regression. The variables showed the significant difference in univariate analysis were selected as the prediction variables. The financial ratios, used in the logistic regression model, were selected by backward elimination method. To test stability of the distress prediction model, the whole sample was divided as three sub-samples, period 1(1990 - 1993), period 2(1994 - 1997), period 3(1998 - 2002). The final model built from whole sample appled each three sub - samples. The results of the logistic analysis were as follows. the growth, profitability, stability ratios showed the significant effect on the distress. the some different result was found in the sub - sample (economic failure and technical insolvency). The growth and the profitability were important to predict the economic failure. The profitability and the activity were important to predict technical insolvency. It means that profitability is the really important factor to the fishery companies.

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An Analysis of Economic Integration with Free Trade and Differences in Gains from Trade (자유무역으로의 경제통합과 국가 간 무역이득의 배분에 관한 분석)

  • Jongmin Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - How are gains from trade distributed between countries when economic integration is achieved through free trade? The purpose of this paper is to answer this question. Design/methodology/approach - This study attempts to address the issue of distribution of trade gains between participating countries following economic integration in terms of positive economics. The analysis is therefore based on a theoretical methodology. Findings - First, commodity prices fall and consumer surplus increases in both large and small countries. Second, when economic integration into free trade is achieved, gains from trade always exist in small countries. However, the size of trade gains depends on the degree of difference from the market size of the partner country, the large country. However, the size of the gains from trade depends on the extent of difference between the market size of the large country. If the market size of a large country is much larger and there is a large difference, trade gains will be very large, whereas if the market size is similar, profits of domestic firm will decrease. Therefore, in that case, the size of the gains from trade becomes relatively small because only the gains from exchange exists. On the other hand, in a large country with a large market size, there is a possibility of trade gains only when the market size is similar to that of a small country, which is a trading partner. However, if there is a large difference in market size, the decrease in profits of domestic firm is relatively larger than the increase in consumer surplus due to trade, and rather, a trade loss occurs. Research implications or Originality - Our analysis contributes to filling the gaps in the literature regarding the distribution of gains from trade, and from a policy point of view, it is meaningful in examining the impact of market size, an important variable considered in regional economic integration of countries.

Real-time private consumption prediction using big data (빅데이터를 이용한 실시간 민간소비 예측)

  • Seung Jun Shin;Beomseok Seo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.13-38
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    • 2024
  • As economic uncertainties have increased recently due to COVID-19, there is a growing need to quickly grasp private consumption trends that directly reflect the economic situation of private economic entities. This study proposes a method of estimating private consumption in real-time by comprehensively utilizing big data as well as existing macroeconomic indicators. In particular, it is intended to improve the accuracy of private consumption estimation by comparing and analyzing various machine learning methods that are capable of fitting ultra-high-dimensional big data. As a result of the empirical analysis, it has been demonstrated that when the number of covariates including big data is large, variables can be selected in advance and used for model fit to improve private consumption prediction performance. In addition, as the inclusion of big data greatly improves the predictive performance of private consumption after COVID-19, the benefit of big data that reflects new information in a timely manner has been shown to increase when economic uncertainty is high.

Estimation of Aggregate Matching Function in Korea (한국의 구인·구직 매칭함수 추정)

  • Lee, Daechang
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2015
  • The aggregate matching function is estimated to explain dynamics among job seekers, vacancies and new hires in Korea. Due to measurement errors inherent in vacancies data, I introduce a latent variable for job openings and use the instrumental variables to correct its endogeneity. Matching efficiency is also estimated using some explanatory variables like job seekers' characteristics and public employment services. The result shows that Korea's matching function also exhibits a constant returns to scale.

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Study of Bridge Design of The Length-Depth Ratio is 34 (경간/형고비 34를 실현한 IPC 거더교의 연구)

  • 한만엽;곽창현
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.839-844
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    • 2001
  • The length-depth ratio of the preflex and PSC girder is very important variable. But PSC girder is very difficult to reduce the depth. If the bridge that girder depth is most important variable, then generally the great part of engineers are use the preflex girder that more expensive method then PSC girder. This paper introduce the design example that replace the preflex girder with the IPC girder The bridge span is 44m, and depth is 1.15m. The depth is restrained in 1.15m by several conditions. And it is compare preflex with IPC girder in semi condition. These two girders are very different in economy and execution. So, this paper present more economic and easy construction method.

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