• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Estimation

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효율적 기후변화 적응대책 수립을 위한 기후변화의 경제학적 분석 (Economic Analysis of Climate Change to Establish Effective Adaptation Policies)

  • 채여라;염유나
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제32권9호
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    • pp.818-829
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 기후변화의 영향평가와 경제학적 분석에 관한 국내 외 연구현황을 살펴봄으로써 우리나라의 효율적인 기후변화 적응대책 수립을 위한 방향을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구는 기존연구들이 분석한 기후변화의 경제학적 비용 및 농업, 건강 등과 같은 부문별로 기후변화의 경제학적 분석을 수행하는데 이용된 지표들을 살펴보았다. 분석에 이용된 지표들과 결과들을 비교, 분석하는 데에 있어 국내연구를 중점적으로 살펴봄으로써 국내연구의 현주소와 나아가야 할 방향을 제시한다. 마지막으로 기후변화 적응정책에 대한 연구현황을 통하여 적응정책의 발전과정과 적응방안들을 살펴보고 적응정책의 연구에 대한 방향을 제안하고자 한다.

무보수 가사노동의 국민경제에 대한 기여도 평가 (A Contribution to the National Economy System of Unpaid Household Labor)

  • 문숙재;윤소영;김은희
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제40권10호
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    • pp.161-176
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    • 2002
  • This study is a basic research for the estimation of the value of unpaid household labor within the national economy system to be reflected in the related policy-making. By measuring economic value of unpaid household labor and estimating the ration to GDP, this study attempted to confirm the productivity of the unpaid household labor and thus contribute to the improvement of socio-economic status of women. Especially, it focused on the development of a standard of estimating unpaid household labor as a method applicable to the present economic and legal system. To organize the method of economic valuation of unpaid household labor and calculate the ration to GDP, this study used three approaches: replacement cost method individual function, replacement cost method generalist and opportunity cost method. Although the estimated result revealed that the economic value of unpaid household labor showed a great extent of deviation according to the estimating methods and the wage rate, total value of household labor ranged from one hundred and thirty eight to two hundred and thirty trillion wens, about 28-48% of GDP in Korea.

농촌활성화사업과 지역특화발전특구제도의 고찰 (A Study on the Rural Activation Project and the Special Economic Zone for Regional Development Policy)

  • 정진주
    • 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • Decrease in Population and graying of rural area by industrialization and urbanization are gone continuously. This makes happened various rural problems and the differential of standard of living with is arising day by day. Government is unfolding rural supporting project to solve continuously these problems. Recent Projects which are choosing not top-down process by government leading but bottom-up process through village inhabitants' participation and expert consultant get positive estimation. But those have difficulties because the support is attained only in the beginning step not continuously and inhabitants' number by graying is decreasing. The Special Economic Zone for Regional Development Policy is new access that regulation can differ according to special quality of each area depending on Localization Age. Through this transfer the competence that can mitigate or reinforce various regulations according to special quality of area in local government. So, back and maintain activation systematically so that each area could be developed specially. The purpose of The Special Economic Zone for Regional Development Policy is the activation of regional economy through development that regional specific character is. And there is characteristic that local government plans and takes the lead in all project contents, government gives regulation benefit by appointing the special economic zone and do not support finance and various tax remissions. Through investigation of such new policy, I wish to recognize what long-term plan and method could be possible to success rural activation continuously.

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Economic-based approach for predicting optimal water pipe renewal period based on risk and failure rate

  • Kim, Kibum;Seo, Jeewon;Hyung, Jinseok;Kim, Taehyeon;Kim, Jaehag;Koo, Jayong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2019
  • This study suggests a method for calculating the benefits of water pipe renewal based on an estimate of the water supply suspension risk. The proposed method based on five benefit items is more direct and specific than other benefit estimation methods. In addition, a methodology evaluating the economics of pipe renewal based on pipe failure rate is proposed for estimating the optimal renewal point from an economic perspective. By estimating the optimal renewal period based on a yearly benefit cost ratio per pipe in a case study area, it was possible to draft an optimal renewal plan for the subject region from an economic perspective. Compared with other methodologies, a reasonable optimal renewal period was derived from an economic point of view. The result of this study may be used to develop future water pipe renewal plans. Moreover, the proposed methodologies and results derived from this study can be applied to asset management plans.

The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Financial Conditions of Emerging Economies

  • BAJAJ, Namarta Kumari;AZIZ, Tariq;KUMARI, Sonia;ALENEZI, Marim;MATHKUR, Naif Mansour
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2023
  • The detrimental impacts of financial instability on the world economy during the financial crisis highlighted the requirement to understand the existing financial circumstances. Stability and developments in financial conditions are important for economic prosperity. This study analyses the impact of geopolitical risk on the economic conditions of some specific emerging economies using monthly data from January 1999 to September 2016 by applying a fixed-effects panel data model. The estimation results demonstrated that geopolitical risk has a significant, negative impact on financial conditions. It shows geopolitical risk could be seen as a key factor that contributes towards financial conditions. Further, it implies that negative shocks of high geopolitical risk experienced by emerging economies are one of the primary reasons for the financial conditions' deterioration. The findings provide important insights for governments, policymakers, and investors. For instance, governments and politicians should refrain from expressing or producing tension, economic discomfort, or news that is likely to increase a high geopolitical risk. Maintaining a close eye on geopolitical risk and its sources may also help to stabilize financial conditions and develop a well-functioning financial system. As a result, investors would be better informed about an economy's economic and financial conditions, allowing them to diversify their international portfolios and devise investing strategies during uncertain economic times.

Lifetime Estimation for Mixed Replacement Grouped Data in Competing Failures Model

  • Lee, Tai-Sup;Yun, Sang-Un
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2001
  • The estimation of mean lifetimes in presence of interval censoring with mixed replacement procedure is examined when the distributions of lifetimes are exponential. It is assumed that, due to physical restrictions and/or economic constraints, the number of failures is investigated only at several inspection times during the lifetime test; thus there is interval censoring. The maximum likelihood estimator is found in an implicit form. The Cramor-Rao lower bound, which is the asymptotic variance of the estimator, is derived. The estimation of mean lifetimes for competing failures model has been expanded.

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Estimation of Initial Concentrations of Phenanthrene and Atrazine from Soil Properties and Bioavailability During Aging

  • Chung, Namhyun
    • Journal of Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.194-198
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    • 2001
  • Contaminated sites are often abandoned for an extended period of time, thus organopollutants becoming sequestered. The information on the initial concentrations of the contaminants would be helpful for the economic bioremediation of the chemicals. The present study estimated the initial concentrations of atrazine and phenanthrene through multiple regression analyses using soil properties and the amount of chemicals available in situ. Percentage mineralized or extracted was best correlated with organic C or logarithm of organic C, and the $R^2$ values were 0.548 and 0.894 for atrazine and phenanthrene, respectively. Estimation of the initial concentration of the chemicals was then calculated from both the percentage mineralized or extracted and the amount of chemicals extracted or mineralized. Results showed that the estimation of the initial concentration of the chemical at the time of contamination is feasible.

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최적화 기법을 이용한 에너지 효율 프로그램의 지원금 수준 산정 (Estimation of Rebate Level for Energy Efficiency Programs Using Optimization Technique)

  • 박종진;소철호;김진오
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권3호
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the evaluation procedures and the estimation method for the estimation of optimal rebate level for EE(Energy Efficiency) programs. The penetration amount of each appliance is estimated by applying price function to preferred diffusion model resulted from model compatibility test. To estimate the optimal rebate level, two objective functions which express the maximum energy saving and operation benefit are introduced and by multi-objective function which can simultaneously consider two objective functions the optimal rebate level of each appliance is estimated. And then, using the decided rebate level and each penetration amount, the priority order for reasonable investment of each high-efficiency appliance is estimated compared to the results of conventional method. Finally, using a benefit/cost analysis based on California standard practice manual, the economic analysis is implemented for the four perspectives such as participant, ratepayer impact measure, program administrator cost and total resource cost.

침수피해에 의한 벼 감수량 추정기법 개발 (Development of Estimation Technique for Rice Yield Reduction by Inundation Damage)

  • 박종민;김상민;성충현;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2004
  • The amount of rice yield reduction due to inundation should be estimated to analyse economic efficiency of the farmland drainage improvement projects because those projects are generally promoted to mitigate flood inundation damage to rice in Korea. Estimation of rice yield reduction will also provide information on the flood risk performance to farmers. This study presented the relationships between inundated durations and rice yield reduction rates for different rice growth stages from the observed data collected from 1966 to 2000 in Korea, and developed the rice yield reduction estimation model (RYREM). RYREM was applied to the test watershed for estimating the rice yield reduction rates and the amount of expected average annual rice yield reduction by the rainfalls with 48 hours duration, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 years return periods.

Bayesian Analysis of Multivariate Threshold Animal Models Using Gibbs Sampling

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Lee, Deukhwan
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.177-198
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    • 2002
  • The estimation of variance components or variance ratios in linear model is an important issue in plant or animal breeding fields, and various estimation methods have been devised to estimate variance components or variance ratios. However, many traits of economic importance in those fields are observed as dichotomous or polychotomous outcomes. The usual estimation methods might not be appropriate for these cases. Recently threshold linear model is considered as an important tool to analyze discrete traits specially in animal breeding field. In this note, we consider a hierarchical Bayesian method for the threshold animal model. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about random effects as well as fixed effects is described to analyze jointly discrete traits and continuous traits. Numerical example of the model with two discrete ordered categorical traits, calving ease of calves from born by heifer and calving ease of calf from born by cow, and one normally distributed trait, birth weight, is provided.