• Title/Summary/Keyword: Econometric

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Research on Spatial Dependence and Influencing Factors of Korean Intra-Industry Trade of Agricultural Products: From South Korea's Agricultural Trade Data

  • Lv, Hong-Qu;Huang, Chen-Yang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.116-133
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - Intra-industry trade of agricultural products can eliminate the disadvantage of Korea's traditional agriculture and improve its lack of comparative advantage. The main purpose of this paper is to measure the level and index of intra-industry trade of Korean agricultural products and to explore the spatial dependence and spillover effect associated with this type of trade. The main factors influencing intra-agricultural trade are analyzed from two perspectives: the population and the classification of agricultural products. Design/methodology - First, the level of intra-industry trade of Korean agricultural products is measured. Second, to obtain a more accurate estimate of the influence of various factors, and based on two types of weight matrices, a spatial econometric model is constructed from two aspects: population and classification of agricultural products. The status and the factors influencing intra-industry trade are also studied. Findings - It is concluded that there is a positive spatial correlation between Korea's intra-industry trade in agricultural products and that of its trading partners. The spatial spillover effect of this type of trade is verified by using the spatial autoregressive model (SAR). Labor-intensive agricultural products are found to have a positive spillover effect on intra-industry trade, while land-intensive products do not have a significant effect. Originality/value - In this paper, the two types of agricultural products are meticulously distinguished, and the spatial effect of the intra-industry trade of agricultural products as well as the influence of various factors are analyzed. In addition, the accuracy of the estimation of the coefficients of the factors by using the spatial econometric model is higher than that of the ordinary panel data model.

Unbiasedness or Statistical Efficiency: Comparison between One-stage Tobit of MLE and Two-step Tobit of OLS

  • Park, Sun-Young
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2003
  • This paper tried to construct statistical and econometric models on the basis of economic theory in order to discuss the issue of statistical efficiency and unbiasedness including the sample selection bias correcting problem. Comparative analytical tool were one stage Tobit of Maximum Likelihood estimation and Heckman's two-step Tobit of Ordinary Least Squares. The results showed that the adequacy of model for the analysis on demand and choice, we believe that there is no big difference in explanatory variables between the first selection model and the second linear probability model. Since the Lambda, the self- selectivity correction factor, in the Type II Tobit is not statistically significant, there is no self-selectivity in the Type II Tobit model, indicating that Type I Tobit model would give us better explanation in the demand for and choice which is less complicated statistical method rather than type II model.

Oil Price Forecasting : A Markov Switching Approach with Unobserved Component Model

  • Nam, Si-Kyung;Sohn, Young-Woo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2008
  • There are many debates on the topic of the relationship between oil prices and economic growth. Through the repeated processes of conformations and contractions on the subject, two main issues are developed; one is how to define and drive oil shocks from oil prices, and the other is how to specify an econometric model to reflect the asymmetric relations between oil prices and output growth. The study, thus, introduces the unobserved component model to pick up the oil shocks and a first-order Markov switching model to reflect the asymmetric features. We finally employ unique oil shock variables from the stochastic trend components of oil prices and adapt four lags of the mean growth Markov Switching model. The results indicate that oil shocks exert more impact to recessionary state than expansionary state and the supply-side oil shocks are more persistent and significant than the demand-side shocks.

An Analysis of Spatial Determinants of Innovative Activities in Korea (혁신활동의 공간적 결정요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.394-413
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    • 2007
  • This paper attempts to analyze spatial determinants of innovative activities at the municipal level in Korea, capitalizing upon spatial econometric techniques. Several spatially weighted matrices will be employed, implying diverse spatial conceptions and interactions. A contribution can be have been made to enhancing an understanding of the spatial interaction and structure of knowledge spillovers in Korea.

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Network, Channel, and Geographical Proximity of Knowledge Transfer: The Case of University-Industry Collaboration in South Korea

  • Kwon, Ki-Seok;Jang, Duckhee;Park, Han Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.242-262
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    • 2015
  • The relationship between geographical proximity and academics' formal and informal knowledge-transfer activities in the network is analyzed with a mixed research method. With social network analysis as a basis, we have explored the networks between academics and firms in the 16 regions of South Korea. The result shows Seoul and Gyunggi are identified as central nodes, meaning that the academics in other regions tend to collaborate with firms in these regions. An econometric analysis is performed to confirm the localization of knowledge-transfer activities. The intensity of formal channels measured by the number of academic papers is negatively, but significantly associated with the geographical proximity. However, we have not found any significant relationship between the formality of the channels and geographical proximity. Possibly, the regional innovation systems in South Korea are neither big enough nor strong enough to show a localization effect.

Asymptotic Properties of Variance Change-point in the Long-memory Process

  • Chu Minjeong;Cho Sinsup
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2000
  • It is noted that many econometric time series have long-memory properties. A long-memory process, or strongly dependent process, is characterized by hyperbolic decaying autocorrelations and unbounded spectral density at the origin. Since the long-memory property can be observed by data obtained from rather a long period, there is some possibility of parameter change in the process. In this paper, we consider the estimation of change-point when there is a change in the variance of a long-memory process. The estimator is based on some reasonable statistic and the consistency is shown using Taqqu's strong reduction theorem

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The Empirical Evidence on Government Bond Market Integration in East Asia

  • Liu, Lian
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.37-65
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    • 2016
  • This research intends to investigate the progress made in East Asian bond market integration thus far. Price-based measures (AAD indicator and beta-convergence measure), quantity-based measures and econometric techniques (co-integration test, error correction model based Granger causality test) are employed in the analysis. Even though East Asian government bond markets have become more integrated since 2001, the differentials among the markets still remain significantly high. The bond market integration process seems slow. The convergence of bond markets sped up in 2003 and after the 2008 world financial crisis, implying the important role of government policies in integrating the regional bond markets. East Asian bond market integration may need more government-directed measures.

경쟁적 가격 행동과 시장구조분석: 한국 이동통신 시장에의 응용

  • 전덕빈;김예구
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2003
  • After the launch of PCS in 1997, price competition between five mobile carriers was so severe that the Korean mobile telephony market achieved a remarkable subscriber base growth. But in that optimal pricing behavior depends on how each fm is likely to react to other frims'choice of price, it is very interesting to analyze competitive pricing behavior and understand market structure in terms of pricing competitiveness in the Korean mobile telecommunications market. In this paper, we use structural econometric models in New Empirical Industrial Organization (NEIO) framework. But previously used models in this framework generally assume that market size is fixed and that all firms maximize their profits. To fit in with the Korean mobile telephony market, we derive various models in using NML market share model under the assumptions that market size varies with industry's total attractions and that firms maximize their market share. In this paper, we find that the model under market share maximization with the assumption that market size varies with total attraction shows the best fitting results.

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A Study on Demanding forecasting Model of a Cadastral Surveying Operation by analyzing its primary factors (지적측량업무 영향요인 분석을 통한 수요예측모형 연구)

  • Song, Myeong-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.477-481
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to provide the ideal forecasting model of cadastral survey work load through the Economeatric Analysis of Time Series, Granger Causality and VAR Model Analysis, it suggested the forecasting reference materials for the total amount of cadastral survey general work load. The main result is that the derive of the environment variables which affect cadastral survey general work load and the outcome of VAR(vector auto regression) analysis materials(impulse response function and forecast error variance decomposition analysis materials), which explain the change of general work load depending on altering the environment variables. And also, For confirming the stability of time series data, we took a unit root test, ADF(Augmented Dickey-Fuller) analysis and the time series model analysis derives the best cadastral forecasting model regarding on general cadastral survey work load. And also, it showed up the various standards that are applied the statistical method of econometric analysis so it enhanced the prior aggregate system of cadastral survey work load forecasting.

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A Linear and Consistent Class of Econometric Estimators in Simultaneous Equations

  • Srivastava, V.K.;Dwivedi, T.D.;Agnihotri, B.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 1979
  • Striaght-forward application of the ordinary least squares model for estimating the parameters of a simultaneous linear stochastic equations model does not provide consistent estimators due to the fact that the explanatory jointly dependent variables are correlated with the disturbances. The search for consistent estimators during the last three decades has yielded a variety of estimators which can be broadly classified into two groups, namely, limited information and full information. Both the groups fails to uilize the over-identifying restrictions in the structural equations except the one under study while the latter group succeeds; see, e.g. Srivastava(1978) for a brief review and Theil (1961) for a detail description.

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