• 제목/요약/키워드: Ecological change

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Scenario Generator를 활용한 사회경제경로 시나리오 반영 미래 토지피복 추정 (Estimation of Future Land Cover Considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways using Scenario Generators)

  • 송철호;유소민;김문일;임철희;김지원;김세진;김강선;이우균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 2018
  • Estimation of future land cover based on climate change scenarios is an important factor in climate change impact assessment and adaptation policy. This study estimated future land cover considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) using Scenario Generators. Based on the storylines of SSP1-3, future population and estimated urban area were adopted for the transition matrix, which contains land cover change trends of each land cover class. In addition, limits of land cover change and proximity were applied as spatial data. According to the estimated land cover maps from SSP1-3 in 2030, 2050, and 2100, respectively, urban areas near a road were expanded, but agricultural areas and forests were gradually decreased. More drastic urban expansion was seen in SSP3 compared to SSP1 and SSP2. These trends are similar with previous research with regard to storyline, but the spatial results were different. Future land cover can be easily adjusted based on this approach, if econometric forecasts for each land cover class added. However, this requires determination of econometric forecasts for each land cover class.

토지이용변화에 따른 거시적 습지경관에서의 생태네트워크의 구조 및 기능적 변화 평가 (Evaluation of Structural and Functional Changes of Ecological Networks by Land Use Change in a Wetlandscape)

  • 김빈;박제량
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 2020
  • 다양한 생태계 서비스를 제공할 수 있는 습지는 지속가능한 수질 개선 및 기후변화로 인한 영향의 완충작용 등 중요한 자연기반해법기술로 간주되어 왔다. 특히 토지이용 변화, 기후 변화 및 수문 변화에 따른 영향 저감을 위한 습지 보전의 중요성은 부각되었으나 경관규모에서의 거시적 자연기반해법기술 가능성의 검토가 미비하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 생태 네트워크 분석을 통한 공학적 솔루션 제공 가능성을 검토하기 위해 습지경관 가상 서식종의 이동모델을 기반으로 형성된 습지 생태네트워크를 이용하여 토지이용변화에 따른 생태네트워크의 구조적, 기능적 특성 (연결성, 이동 효율성 및 집단화 계수)이 어떻게 변화하는지 분석하였다. 이를 위해 습지 밀도가 다른 네 구역의 토지이용변화를 가정하여 두 가지의 초기 면적조건에 대한 각 구역의 동시다발적 토지이용변화를 통해 생태 네트워크 특성의 변화를 분석하였다. 모든 분석결과에서 습지밀도가 높은 구역이 파괴된 경우 생태네트워크의 평균 연결성과 이동 효율성이 크게 감소하였으며, 특히 허브 (매우 높은 연결성을 지니는 노드)가 포함된 구역의 습지가 제거될 때 급격한 감소가 발생하는 것을 확인하였다. 반면, 집단화 계수는 증가하는 것으로 관찰되었다. 이를 통해 토지이용변화에 따른 생태네트워크에 대한 영향을 평가할 수 있으며 특히 향후 매개중심성 분석을 추가하여 적합한 대체습지를 조성할 수 있는 자연기반의 공학적 솔루션을 제공할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

이용자참여에 의한 환경친화적 주거건축 사례조사 연구 (A Case Study on the Ecological Dwellings by User's Participation)

  • 정진주
    • 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2006
  • The nature accompanies with natural and ecological truth, worsening living environment without think using of our nature. Now, the sustainable researches to study peculiarities in ecological dwellings considered with nature and the development of human life's quality in housing itself, have been progressing. Also it is needed to show understanding about ecological dwellings in the user participant's consciousness such as, unification thought with nature, circulation thought of substance, and environment friendly thought of the traditional housing. Chose five examples which is applying ecological architectural concept by each Chungbuk, Chungnam, Jeonbuk, Gyeongbuk, Gyeonggi district and I investigated change of exterior or interior material, application of ecological system, and etc. With these background, this study will survey cases of ecological dwellings and find peculiar characteristics of ecological dwellings through researching the correlation between the concept in user's consciousness and application method.

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제주 곶자왈 숲 자연 놀이 체험 학습이 초등학생의 환경 감수성 변화에 미치는 영향 (Effects of the Nature Game Experience Learning on Schoolchild's Environmental Sensitivity Change in Jeju Gotjawal Forest)

  • 고성우;홍승호
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.97-114
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    • 2010
  • The aims of this study are to develop and apply a Nature Game program for the ecological experience learning in Jeju Gotjawal forest and analyze the environmental sensitivity change of the students. The results obtained in 4th graders of A elementary school of Seogwipo-city are as follows: It was found that attention, susceptibility and practice will of environment protection for forest environment of the experimental class were significantly higher than those of the comparison class. And it was found that interest and curiosity into forest environment were also elevated in the results of the qualitative evaluation, suggesting that we could get the effect of developed Nature Game program on ecological experience learning. If various ecological experience learning programs considering the regional-specific characteristics are developed to cause students' interest and curiosity, students would come to participate in the protection activity of environment aggressively a little more.

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Trend Analysis of Research Topics in Ecological Research

  • Suntae Kim
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed research trends in the field of ecological research. Data were collected based on a keyword search of the SCI, SSCI, and A&HCI databases from January 2002 to September 2022. The seven keywords, including biodiversity, ecology, ecotourism, species, climate change, ecosystem, restoration, wildlife, were recommended by ecological research experts. Word clouds were created for each of the searched keywords, and topic map analysis was performed. Topic map analysis using biodiversity, climate change, ecology, ecosystem, and restoration each generated 10 topics; topic maps analysis using the ecotourism keyword generated 5 topics; and topic map analysis using the wildlife keyword generated 4 topics. Each topic contained six keywords.

드론사진측량을 이용한 노천광산 생태복원지역의 변화 모니터링 (Change Monitoring in Ecological Restoration Area of Open-Pit Mine Using Drone Photogrammetry)

  • 이동국;유영걸;유지호;이현직
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 강원도에 존재하는 노천 채굴 방식의 석회석 광산 내부에 존재하는 생태복원지역에 대한 변화 분석 및 모니터링을 수행하고자 고해상도의 다시기 정사영상을 이용하여 식생 분포 지역의 식생 분포 변화 분석을 수행하고자 하였으며, DEM을 이용한 지형의 변화 분석을 수행하였고, 드론 사진측량의 활용성을 검토하고자 하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2014년 항공레이저측량 및 2015년 고정익 드론사진측량으로 제작된 정사영상과 포인트 클라우드를 수집하였다. 또한 2016년 회전익 드론사진측량을 이용하여 정사영상 및 포인트 클라우드를 제작하고, 이를 이용하여 생태복원지역의 변화 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 유인 항공측량시스템보다 단시간, 저비용으로 지형공간정보를 생성하고 이를 이용하여 노천광산 생태복원지역의 변화 모니터링 수행이 가능하였다. RGB 정사영상을 활용하여 식생 분포 지역을 추출하는 nEGI 및 VARI를 통해 식생 분포 지역을 추출한 결과 식생 분포 지역이 대상지역의 면적 대비 약 10~30%가 증가하여 생태복원이 원활하게 진행되고 있는 것으로 나타났다. DEM을 이용해 제작된 단면과 복원 계획선을 비교 분석한 결과 드론의 활용으로 제작된 단면과 복원 계획선이 ${\pm}10cm$의 오차로 유사한 형태를 나타냈으며, 토공량 분석이 가능하였다.

미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 우리나라 소나무 임분의 재적 추정 (Estimating Stand Volume Pinus densiflora Forest Based on Climate Change Scenario in Korea)

  • 김문일;이우균;;;;최솔이;김창길;권태성
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제103권1호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 주요 수종인 소나무림을 대상으로 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway)8.5 시나리오에 따른 임목 재적의 시 공간적 변이를 예측하기 위해 수행되었다. 전국 규모의 예측을 위해 5차임상도와 국가산림자원조사 자료를 이용하였으며, 기후와 공간의 변이가 임목 생장에 미치는 영향을 반영하기 위해 기상 및 지형인자를 반영한 생장모형을 적용하였다. 모형의 검증을 위해 시, 도별 산림통계와 모형 결과를 비교한 결과, 비교적 높은 적합도를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화를 고려하였을 때, 소나무림의 임분 재적은 현재 $131m^3/ha$에서 2050년에는 $212.42m^3/ha$까지 증가 할 것으로 예측되었으며, 현재의 기후가 유지될 경우에는 $221.92m^3/ha$까지 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 기후변화의 영향으로 인해 일부 고산지대를 제외한 대부분의 지역에서 소나무림의 생장률이 감소할 것으로 예측되었으며, 특히 해안지역과 남부지역에서 생장률의 감소가 클 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 기후변화가 소나무림 생장에 미치는 영향을 시 공간에 따라 정량화 할 수 있었으며, 이는 기후변화 적응을 고려한 산림관리 및 시업계획을 수립하는데 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

LULUCF 부문 산림 온실가스 인벤토리 구축을 위한 Sampling과 Wall-to-Wall 방법론 비교 (Comparison of Sampling and Wall-to-Wall Methodologies for Reporting the GHG Inventory of the LULUCF Sector in Korea)

  • 박은빈;송철호;함보영;김지원;이종열;최솔이;이우균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.385-398
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    • 2018
  • Although the importance of developing reliable and systematic GHG inventory has increased, the GIS/RS-based national scale LULUCF (Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) sector analysis is insufficient in the context of the Paris Agreement. In this study, the change in $CO_2$ storage of forest land due to land use change is estimated using two GIS/RS methodologies, Sampling and Wall-to-Wall methods, from 2000 to 2010. Particularly, various imagery with sampling data and land cover maps are used for Sampling and Wall-to-Wall methods, respectively. This land use matrix of these methodologies and the national cadastral statistics are classified by six land-use categories (Forest land, Cropland, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, and Other land). The difference of area between the result of Sampling methods and the cadastral statistics decreases as the sample plot distance decreases. However, the difference is not significant under a 2 km sample plot. In the 2000s, the Wall-to-Wall method showed similar results to sampling under a 2 km distance except for the Settlement category. With the Wall-to-Wall method, $CO_2$ storage is higher than that of the Sampling method. Accordingly, the Wall-to-Wall method would be more advantageous than the Sampling method in the presence of sufficient spatial data for GHG inventory assessment. These results can contribute to establish an annual report system of national greenhouse gas inventory in the LULUCF sector.

수문기상 관측정보를 활용한 안동댐 유역 기후권역 구분 및 분석 (Analyzing Climate Zones Using Hydro-Meteorological Observation Data in Andong Dam Watershed, South Korea)

  • 김세진;임철희;임윤진;문주연;송철호;이우균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.269-282
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    • 2016
  • Watershed area can be submerged due to constructions and management of dams, and these change can impact not only on ecosystem and environment of river basin area but also on local climate. This study is conducted to construct and classify climate zones of Andong Dam watershed where the area is submerged due to the construction of the dam. By applying Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ statistics, three climate zones were classified for the result. Each zone was then analyzed and validated with climatic and geological features including topography, land cover, and forest type map. As a result of the analysis, there was a difference in temperature, elevation, precipitation and tree species distribution among the zones. Also, an analysis of land cover map showed that there were more agricultural land near Andong Reservoir. This study on the climatic classification is considered to be useful as the basis for decision-making or policy enforcement regarding ecosystem, environmental management or climate change response.

주산지 기상정보를 활용한 주요 채소작물의 단수 예측 모형 개발 (Development on Crop Yield Forecasting Model for Major Vegetable Crops using Meteorological Information of Main Production Area)

  • 임철희;김강선;이은정;허성봉;김태연;김용석;이우균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.193-203
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    • 2016
  • The importance of forecasting agricultural production is receiving attention while climate change is accelerating. This study suggested three types of crop yield forecasting model for major vegetable crops by using downscaled meteorological information of main production area on farmland level, which identified as limitation from previous studies. First, this study conducted correlation analysis with seven types of farm level downscaled meteorological informations and reported crop yield of main production area. After, we selected three types of meteorological factors which showed the highest relation with each crop species and regions. Parameters were deducted from meterological factor with high correlation but crop species number was neglected. After, crop yield of each crops was estimated by using the three suggested types of models. Chinese cabbage showed high accuracy in overall, while the accuracy of daikon and onion was quiet revised by neglecting the outlier. Chili and garlic showed differences by region, but Kyungbuk chili and Chungnam, Kyungsang garlic appeared significant accuracy. We also selected key meteorological factor of each crops which has the highest relation with crop yield. If the factor had significant relation with the quantity, it explains better about the variations of key meteorological factor. This study will contribute to establishing the methodology of future studies by estimating the crop yield of different species by using farmland meterological information and relatively simplify multiple linear regression models.