• 제목/요약/키워드: Earthquake scenario

검색결과 93건 처리시간 0.025초

지오소셜 정보 기반 개인 맞춤형 경보 시스템 원형 구현 (Prototype Implementation of a Personalized Warning Notification System based on Geosocial Information)

  • 부둑 티엡;뉘엔 반 퀴엣;김경백
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2015년도 추계학술발표대회
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    • pp.332-334
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays a disaster event such as a building on fire, an earthquake or typhoon could occur any time, and any where. In such event, a warning notification system is a vital tool to send warning notifications to at-risk people in advance and provide them useful information to escape the dangerous area. Though some systems have been proposed such as emergency alert system using android, SMS or P2P overlay network, these works mainly focus on a reliable message distribution methods. In this work, we introduce a full prototype implementation of a personalized warning notification system based on geosocial information, which generates a personalized warning message for each user and delivers the messages through email or an android application. The system consists of four main modules: a web interface, database, a knowledge-based message generator, and message distributor. An android application is also created for user to receive warning messages on their smart phone. The prototype has been demonstrated successfully with a building-on-fire scenario.

Seismic probabilistic risk assessment of weir structures considering the earthquake hazard in the Korean Peninsula

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2017
  • Seismic safety evaluation of weir structure is significant considering the catastrophic economical consequence of operational disruption. In recent years, the seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) has been issued as a key area of research for the hydraulic system to mitigate and manage the risk. The aim of this paper is to assess the seismic probabilistic risk of weir structures employing the seismic hazard and the structural fragility in Korea. At the first stage, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) approach is performed to extract the hazard curve at the weir site using the seismic and geological data. Thereafter, the seismic fragility that defines the probability of structural collapse is evaluated by using the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method in accordance with the four different design limit states as failure identification criteria. Consequently, by combining the seismic hazard and fragility results, the seismic risk curves are developed that contain helpful information for risk management of hydraulic structures. The tensile stress of the mass concrete is found to be more vulnerable than other design criteria. The hazard deaggregation illustrates that moderate size and far source earthquakes are the most likely scenario for the site. In addition, the annual loss curves for two different hazard source models corresponding to design limit states are extracted.

지진으로 인한 댐붕괴 시나리오 작성절차에 관한 연구 (A study on the dam break scenario process by earthquake)

  • 박기범;최광복;양준석;안승섭
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.298-298
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    • 2019
  • 과거에 경험하지 못한 집중호우가 빈번하게 발생하고 규모가 큰 태풍의 내습이 발생하고 있다. 2018년 7월23일 발생한 라오스 댐붕괴 발생으로 인해 6,600명의 이재민이 발생하였으며, 2008년 중국 쓰촨성 지진에 의해 댐 수백개가 균열이 발생하는 위험한 상황에 이르는 등 댐 붕괴에 따른 대규모 재난의 위험상황은 항시 존재하고 있다. 는 상황에서 댐의 붕괴에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되었다. 이러한 댐 붕괴 상황에 대한 대비책으로 저수지 댐의 안전관리 및 재해예방에 관한 법률 제3조와 자연재해 대책법 제37조에 총저수용량 30만톤 이상의 저수지에 대해 비상대처계획 수립을 하도록 되어 있다. 최근 경주와 포항에서 발생한 규모 5.4이상의 지진이 발생하여 지진에 의한 재난의 위험이 가중되고 있는 상황에서 지진에 의한 댐붕괴에 대한 적절한 시나리오와 분석이 필요하다. 지금까지의 지진붕괴에 의한 EAP의 작성은 단순히 만수위 상태에서 댐의 붕괴시간이 급격히 붕괴되어 범람되는 분석을 하였다. 그러나 지진에 의한 댐의 붕괴에 이르는 지진의 규모는 댐 주변의 건축물, 교량, 심지어 대피소도 붕괴 및 범람에 안전할 수 없는 상황에 이르게 될 것이다. 그러나 현재의 EAP는 단순 범람만을 통해 위험도를 나타내는 것으로 작성되어 있어 이에 대한 수정이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 지진에 의한 댐 붕괴 EAP 작성시 고려되어야 할 건물의 노후도, 교량, 공공시설물 등이 붕괴될 위험을 판단하고 이에 따른 범람도면의 작성과 시나리오가 작성되어야 한다. 이를 위한 행정안전부에서 제시된 지진 시 댐 붕괴 조건에서 고려되어야 할 시나리오의 구성요소에 대해 검토하였다.

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국내 재해도에 상응하는 공동구의 지반변위 산정 (Hazard-Consistent Ground Displacement Estimation for Seismic Input of Underground Utility Tunnels in Korea)

  • 김대환;임영우;정연하;이혜린
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제37권12호
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    • pp.7-23
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    • 2021
  • 전력, 통신, 상수, 난방, 중수 등의 공급망을 구성하는 지하공동구는 도시기능을 유지하기 위한 핵심 기간망이며, 재난 및 재해로 서비스의 정지 및 일시적 중단이 발생하는 경우 대규모 사회경제적 손실을 가져온다. 본 연구에서는 지중구조물에 대한 개선된 내진설계 및 평가를 위하여 국내 지진환경에 부합하는 지진원 스펙트럼으로부터 대상 지반의 증폭 및 감쇠 효과를 반영한 시나리오 지진에 기반한 지반변위 예측 방법을 제시하였다. 코사인법으로 통용되는 기존의 단순화 가정법 및 지반응답해석과의 비교를 통해서 본 연구가 제시하는 재해도에 상응하는 지반변위 산정방법이 합리적이며 공학 실무에서 충분히 적용 가능한 것을 확인하였다.

Assessment of seismic retrofitting for soft-story buildings using gapped inclined brace system

  • Tohamy, Mohamed. A.;Elsayed, Mostafa. M.;Akl, Adel. Y.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2022
  • Retrofit of soft-story buildings due to seismic loads using Gap-Inclined-Brace (GIB) system is considered a new retrofit technique that aims to maintain both strength and stiffness of structure. In addition, it provides more ductility and less P-delta effect, and subsequently better performance is observed. In this paper, the effect of the eccentricity between GIB and the retrofitted column due to installation on the efficiency of the retrofitting system is studied. In addition, a modification in the determination method of GIB properties is introduced to reduce the eccentricity effect. Also, the effect of GIB system on the seismic response of mid-rise buildings with different heights considering soft-story at various heights has been studied. A numerical model is developed to study the impact of such system on the response of retrofitted soft-story buildings under the action of seismic loads. To achieve that goal, this model is used to perform a numerical investigation, by considering five case study scenarios represent several locations of soft-story of two mid-rise reinforced concrete buildings. At first, Non-linear static pushover analysis was carried out to develop the capacity curves for case studies. Then, Non-linear time history analyses using ten earthquake records with five peak ground accelerations is performed for each case study scenario before and after retrofitting with GIB. The results show that large GIB eccentricity reduce the ultimate lateral resistance and deformation capacity of the retrofitting system. Moreover, the higher the retrofitted building, the more deformation capacity is observed but without significant increase in ultimate lateral resistance.

Acceleration data and shape change characteristics of a gravity quay wall according to inclination condition grades

  • Su-Kyeong Geum;Jong-Han Lee;Dohyoung Shin;Jiyoung Min
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제90권6호
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    • pp.591-600
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    • 2024
  • This study investigated the acceleration response and shape change characteristics of a gravity quay wall according to the magnitude of the applied acceleration. The quay wall was defined as a port facility damaged by the Kobe earthquake. Four experimental scenarios were established based on the inclination condition grades, considered to be a significant defect factor in the quay wall. Then, the shaking table test was conducted using scaled-down quay wall models constructed per each scenario. The ground acceleration was gradually increased from the peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.1 g to 0.7 g. After each ground acceleration test, acceleration installed on the wall and backfill ground and inclination on the top of the wall were measured to assess the amplification of peak response acceleration and maximum response amplitude and the change in the inclination of the quay wall. This study also analyzed the separation of the quay wall from the backfill and the crack pattern of the backfill ground according to PGA values and inclination condition grades. The result of this study shows that response acceleration could provide a reasonable prediction for the changes in the inclination of the quay wall and the crack generation and propagation on the backfill from a current inclination condition grade.

화재발생 시 대피시뮬레이션 시스템을 통한 최적대피경로 적용에 관한 연구 (A study on the Application of Optimal Evacuation Route through Evacuation Simulation System in Case of Fire)

  • 김대일;정주안;박성찬;고주연;염춘호
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.96-110
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    • 2020
  • 최근 국내외적으로 기후변화로 인한 대형화재, 집중호우, 지진 등으로 재난발생 가능성이 높아지고 있으며, 특히 어린이와 노약자등을 포함한 다양한 사람들이 몰리는 전통시장, 노유자시설, 다중이용시설 등 이용자 밀집지역에 대형 재난사고가 지속적으로 발생하고 있다. 연구목적: 본 연구에서는 화재발생 시 이용자 밀집시설에서 화재발생 사실을 조기에 감지하고, 대피자가 안전하게 대피하기 위해 빅데이터와 첨단기술을 활용한 재난감지 및 최적의 대피경로를 분석하고자 한다. 연구방법: 상황인지 기반의 3차원 객체모델 기술과 A*알고리즘의 최적화를 통한 새로운 알고리즘을 제안하고, 이들 활용한 시나리오 기반의 최적 대피경로 선정 기법을 제시하였다. 연구결과: HPA*E알고리즘을 이용하여 화재발생 시 대피시뮬레이션을 3D모델로 재현하고, 최적의 대피경로와 대피시간을 시나리오별로 산출하였다. 결론: 본 연구는 향후 우리나라에서 재난사고 발생 시 대피자가 안전하고 신속하게 대피할 수 있는 경로를 제시함으로써 인명피해를 줄 일 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Collapse Behavior of an 18-Story Steel Moment Frame during a Shaking Table Test

  • Suita, Keiichiro;Suzuki, Yoshitaka;Takahashi, Motomi
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2015
  • A shaking table test was conducted at the E-Defense shaking table facility to investigate the damage and collapse behavior of a steel high-rise building under exceedingly large ground motions. The specimen is a one-third scale 18-story steel moment frame designed and constructed according to design specifications and practices used in the 1980s and 1990s. The shaking table tests used a long-duration, long-period ground motion simulated for a sequential Tokai, Nankai, and Nankai earthquake scenario. The building specimen was subjected to a series of progressively increasing scaled motions until it completely collapsed. The damage to the steel frame began through the yielding of beams along lower stories and column bases of the first story. After several excitations by increasing scaled motions, cracks initiated at the welded moment connections and fractures in the beam flanges spread to the lower stories. As the shear strength of each story decreased, the drifts of lower stories increased and the frame finally collapsed and settled on the supporting frame. From the test, a typical progression of collapse for a tall steel moment frame was obtained, and the hysteretic behavior of steel structural members including deterioration due to local buckling and fracture were observed. The results provide important information for further understanding and an accurate numerical simulation of collapse behavior.

Combined seismic and energy upgrading of existing reinforced concrete buildings using TRM jacketing and thermal insulation

  • Gkournelos, Panagiotis D.;Bournas, Dionysios A.;Triantafillou, Thanasis C.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.625-639
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    • 2019
  • The concept of the combined seismic and energy retrofitting of existing reinforced concrete (RC) buildings was examined in this paper through a number of case studies conducted on model buildings (simulating buildings of the '60s-'80s in southern Europe) constructed according to outdated design standards. Specifically, seismic and thermal analyses have been conducted prior to and after the application of selected retrofitting schemes, in order to quantify the positive effect that retrofitting could provide to RC buildings both in terms of their structural and energy performance. Advanced materials, namely the textile reinforced mortars (TRM), were used for providing seismic retrofitting by means of jacketing of masonry infills in RC frames. Moreover, following the application of the TRM jackets, thermal insulation materials were simultaneously provided to the RC building envelope, exploiting the fresh mortar used to bind the TRM jackets. In addition to the externally applied insulation material, all the fenestration elements (windows and doors) were replaced with new high energy efficiency ones. Afterwards, an economic measure, namely the expected annual loss (EAL) was used to evaluate the efficiency of each retrofitting method, but also to assess whether the combined seismic and energy retrofitting is economically feasible. From the results of this preliminary study, it was concluded that the selected seismic retrofitting technique can indeed enhance significantly the structural behaviour of an existing RC building and lower its EAL related to earthquake risks. Finally, it was found that the combined seismic and energy upgrading is economically more efficient than a sole energy or seismic retrofitting scenario for seismic areas of south Europe.

A Systems Engineering Approach to Predict the Success Window of FLEX Strategy under Extended SBO Using Artificial Intelligence

  • Alketbi, Salama Obaid;Diab, Aya
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2020
  • On March 11, 2011, an earthquake followed by a tsunami caused an extended station blackout (SBO) at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP Units. The accident was initiated by a total loss of both onsite and offsite electrical power resulting in the loss of the ultimate heat sink for several days, and a consequent core melt in some units where proper mitigation strategies could not be implemented in a timely fashion. To enhance the plant's coping capability, the Diverse and Flexible Strategies (FLEX) were proposed to append the Emergency Operation Procedures (EOPs) by relying on portable equipment as an additional line of defense. To assess the success window of FLEX strategies, all sources of uncertainties need to be considered, using a physics-based model or system code. This necessitates conducting a large number of simulations to reflect all potential variations in initial, boundary, and design conditions as well as thermophysical properties, empirical models, and scenario uncertainties. Alternatively, data-driven models may provide a fast tool to predict the success window of FLEX strategies given the underlying uncertainties. This paper explores the applicability of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to identify the success window of FLEX strategy for extended SBO. The developed model can be trained and validated using data produced by the lumped parameter thermal-hydraulic code, MARS-KS, as best estimate system code loosely coupled with Dakota for uncertainty quantification. A Systems Engineering (SE) approach is used to plan and manage the process of using AI to predict the success window of FLEX strategies under extended SBO conditions.