• 제목/요약/키워드: Earthquake scenario

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지진재해예측을 위한 HAZUS와 ShakeMap의 한반도에서의 적용가능성 연구 (A Preliminary Study of the Global Application of HAZUS and ShakeMap for Loss Estimation from a Scenario Earthquake in the Korean Peninsular)

  • 강수영;김광희;김동춘;유해수;민동주;석봉출
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2007년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.152-155
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    • 2007
  • Efficiency and limitations of HAZUS-MH, a GIS based systematic and informative system developed by FEMA and NIBS for natural hazard loss estimations, are discussed by means of a pilot study in the Korean Peninsular. Gyeongsang-do has been selected for the test after careful reviews of previous studies including historical and modern seismicity in the peninsular. A ShakeMap for the selected scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.7 in Gyeongju area is prepared. Then, any losses due to the scenario event have been estimated using HAZUS. Results of the pilot test show that the study area may experience significant physical, economic and social damages. Detailed study in the future will provide efficient and crucial information to the decision makers and emergency agents to mitigate any disaster posed by natural hazards.

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Hazus-MH 방법을 이용한 대구시 교량의 시나리오 지진에 의한 피해 예측 (Scenario-Based Earthquake Damage Estimation of Bridge Structures in Daegu City Using Hazus-MH Methodology)

  • 김시윤;김승직;장준호
    • 한국공간구조학회논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • The paper presents the damage estimation of bridge structures in Daegu city based on the scenario-based earthquakes. Since the fragility curves for domestic bridge strucures are limited, the Hazus methodology is employed to derive the fragility curves and estimate the damage. A total of four earthuquake scenarios near Daegu city are assumed and structure damage is investigated for 81 bridge structures. The seismic fragility function and damage level of each bridge had adopted from the analytical method in HAZUS and then, the damage probability using seismic fragility function for each bridge was evaluated. It was concluded that the seismic damage to bridges was higher when the magnitude of the earthquake was large or nearer to the epicenter.

모의 지진하중에 의한 교량의 사가에 따른 축방향변위에 대한 확률론적 해석 (Probabilistic Analysis for Longitudinal Displacement due to Skew Angle of Bridges under Scenario Earthquakes)

  • 전환석;이대형;정영수
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 가을 학술발표논문집(II)
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    • pp.553-558
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    • 1998
  • Since the mid of the 20th century in the world, it has been observed that the number of minor or moderate earthquake motions tend to be increased year by year. Owing to the topographical condition, moreover, large numbers of skew bridges have been constructed for the requirements of more than DB18 ton bridge in Korea. It has been also observed from foreign countries that lots of superstructures collapse in bridge were occurred in previous earthquakes, inclusive of 1995 Kobe earthquake. This is caused by a relative displacement between the upper and lower structure of bridge by the earthquake and the rotation with respect to the vertical axis of skew bridges, which were subjected to and earthquake motion. In this study, the probabilistic analysis of unseating failure of skew bridges under scenario earthquake has been carried out by evaluating the longitudinal displacement of skew bridges.

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Assessment of seismic risk of a typical RC building for the 2016 Gyeongju and potential earthquakes

  • Jee, Hyun Woo;Han, Sang Whan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2021
  • On September 12, 2016, the Gyeongju earthquake occurred in the south-eastern region of the Korean peninsula. The event was ranked as the largest magnitude earthquake (=5.8) since instrumental recording was started by the Korean Metrological Administration (KMA) in 1978. The objective of this study is to provide information obtained from the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake and to propose a procedure estimating seismic risk of a typical old RC building for past and potential earthquakes. Ground motions are simulated using the point source model at 4941 grid locations in the Korean peninsula that resulted from the Gyeongju earthquake and from potential future earthquakes with the same hypocenter considering different soil conditions. Nonlinear response history analyses are conducted for each grid location using a three-story gravity-designed reinforced concrete (RC) frame that most closely represents conventional old school and public buildings. Then, contour maps are constructed to present the seismic risk associated with this building for the Gyeongju earthquake and potential future scenario earthquakes. These contour maps can be useful in the development of a mitigation plan for potential earthquake damage to school and public buildings at all grid locations on the Korean peninsula.

Earthquake Damage Monitoring for Underground Structures Based Damage Detection Techniques

  • Kim, Jin Ho;Kim, Na Eun
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 2014
  • Urban railway systems are located under populated areas and are mostly constructed for underground structures which demand high standards of structural safety. However, the damage progression of underground structures is hard to evaluate and damaged underground structures may not effectively stand against successive earthquakes. This study attempts to examine initial damage-stage and to access structural damage condition of the ground structures using Earthquake Damage Monitoring (EDM) system. For actual underground structure, vulnerable damaged member of Ulchiro-3ga station is chosen by finite element analysis using applied artificial earthquake load, and then damage pattern and history of damaged members is obtained from measured acceleration data introduced unsupervised learning recognition. The result showed damage index obtained by damage scenario establishment using acceleration response of selected vulnerable members is useful. Initial damage state is detected for selected vulnerable member according to established damage scenario. Stiffness degrading ratio is increasing whereas the value of reliability interval is decreasing.

면진된 모형디젤발전기의 지진응답실험 (The Shaking Table Test of Isolated Model EDG System)

  • 김민규;전영선
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.479-486
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents tile results of experimental studies of the isolated Model EDG Systems. For the experimental work, the scaled model of EDG system and the isolation systems were developed. The target EDG model is 16PC2-5V400 which was manufactured by the SEMT Pielstick corporation. The Coil Spring and Viscous Damper Systems were selected for the isolation system. The Coil Spring and Viscous Damper systems can reduce not only seismic forces but also the operating vibration. For the input seismic motions, the scenario earthquake and the artificial earthquakes which were developed as NRC design spectrum and Uniform hazard Spectrum(UHS) were selected. As a result, at least 20% of seismic forces were decreased as the isolation system.

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지진대응 교육 및 훈련을 위한 Serious Game 시나리오 설계방법론 개발 -경상북도를 사례로- (Serious Game Scenario Design for Earthquake Response Education and Training in the Gyeongsangbuk-do Province)

  • 김성재;최지향;남광현
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.769-777
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 지진재난은 다양한 변수와 돌발상황들로 예측할 수 없는 상황이 빈번하게 발생하게 때문에 업무과정 자체가 일률적이지 못해 재난안전부서 공무원들은 지진 대응 행동 매뉴얼 숙지에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 경상북도청 재난안전대책본부에 한하여 이루어지고 있는 현재의 업무 상황을 구체적이고 정확하게 파악하여 업무 진행 과정에 필요한 매뉴얼 학습의 시리어스 게임 시나리오 설계방안을 제시하고자 한다. 연구방법: 본 연구에서는 GBS(Goal Based Scenarios)모형을 기반으로 시나리오를 설계하고, 경상북도 재난 현장조치 행동 매뉴얼을 기반으로 미션과 역할을 부여하는 과정에서 경상북도청 지진관련 공무원들이 실제적인 과제를 해결하는 지식과 기능을 습득할 수 있도록 하였다. 연구결과: 제안된 기법의 시나리오 데이터는 지진관련 다양한 정보를 논리적 데이터로 가공하여 지진상황훈련을 위한 게임상 표현을 위하여 단순화, 추상화하여 체계적인 절차로 구현하였다. 결론: 시리어스 게임을 통한 학습으로 지진 상황 발생 시, 경상북도청 재난안전대책본부의 관련 공무원들은 다양한 지진재난에 신속한 대응이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

Review of earthquake-induced landslide modeling and scenario-based application

  • Lee, Giha;An, Hyunuk;Yeon, Minho;Seo, Jun Pyo;Lee, Chang Woo
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.963-978
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    • 2020
  • Earthquakes can induce a large number of landslides and cause very serious property damage and human casualties. There are two issues in study on earthquake-induced landslides: (1) slope stability analysis under seismic loading and (2) debris flow run-out analysis. This study aims to review technical studies related to the development and application of earthquake-induced landslide models (seismic slope stability analysis). Moreover, a pilot application of a physics-based slope stability model to Mt. Umyeon, in Seoul, with several earthquake scenarios was conducted to test regional scale seismic landslide mapping. The earthquake-induced landslide simulation model can be categorized into 1) Pseudo-static model, 2) Newmark's dynamic displacement model and 3) stress-strain model. The Pseudo-static model is preferred for producing seismic landslide hazard maps because it is impossible to verify the dynamic model-based simulation results due to lack of earthquake-induced landslide inventory in Korea. Earthquake scenario-based simulation results show that given dry conditions, unstable slopes begin to occur in parts of upper areas due to the 50-year earthquake magnitude; most of the study area becomes unstable when the earthquake frequency is 200 years. On the other hand, when the soil is in a wet state due to heavy rainfall, many areas are unstable even if no earthquake occurs, and when rainfall and 50-year earthquakes occur simultaneously, most areas appear unstable, as in simulation results based on 100-year earthquakes in dry condition.

우리나라 건축물 설계 스펙트럼에 상응하는 지진규모와 진앙거리의 추정 (Estimation of Earthquake Magnitude-Distance Combination Corresponding to Design Spectrum in Korean Building Code 2016)

  • 정기현;이한선;황경란
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2017
  • In this study, to estimate the combination of earthquake magnitude ($M_w$) and distance (R) corresponding to the design spectrum defined in Korean Building Code (KBC) 2016, the response spectra predicted from the attenuation relationships with the variation of $M_w$ (5.0~7.0) and R (10~30km) are compared with the design spectrum in KBC 2016. Four attenuation relationships, which were developed based on local site characteristics and seismological parameters in Southern Korea and Eastern North America (ENA), are used. As a result, the scenario ground motions represented by the combinations of $M_w$ and R corresponding to the design spectrum for Seoul defined in KBC 2016 are estimated as (1) when R =10 km, $M_w=6.2{\sim}6.7$; (2) when R = 15 km, $M_w=6.5{\sim}6.9$; and (3) when R = 20 km, $M_w=6.7{\sim}7.1$.