• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.7
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• pp.489-502
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• 2017

The objective of this study is to propose and evaluate the BAYES-ESP, which is a dam inflow prediction method based on Ensemble Streamflow Prediction method (ESP) and Bayesian theory. ABCD rainfall-runoff model was used to predict monthly dam inflow. Monthly meteorological data collected from KMA, MOLIT and K-water and dam inflow data collected from K-water were used for the model calibration and verification. To estimate the performance of ABCD model, ESP and BAYES-ESP method, time series analysis and skill score (SS) during 1986~2015 were used. In time series analysis monthly ESP dam inflow prediction values were nearly similar for every years, particularly less accurate in wet and dry years. The proposed BAYES-ESP improved the performance of ESP, especially in wet year. The SS was used for quantitative analysis of monthly mean of observed dam inflows, predicted values from ESP and BAYES-ESP. The results indicated that the SS values of ESP were relatively high in January, February and March but negative values in the other months. It also showed that the BAYES-ESP improved ESP when the values from ESP and observation have a relatively apparent linear relationship. We concluded that the existing ESP method has a limitation to predict dam inflow in Korea due to the seasonality of precipitation pattern and the proposed BAYES-ESP is meaningful for improving dam inflow prediction accuracy of ESP.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.10
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• pp.843-851
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• 2011

In hydrology, it is appropriate to use probabilistic method for forecasting mid/long term streamflow due to the uncertainty of input data. Through this study, it is expanded mid/long term forecasting system more effectively adding priory process function based on PDF-ratio method to the RRFS-ESP system for Guem River Basin. For implementing this purpose, weight is estimated using probabilistic weather forecasting information from KMA. Based on these results, ESP probability is updated per scenario. Through the estimated result per method, the average forecast score using ESP method is higher than that of naive forecasting and it confirmed that ESP method results in appropriate score for RRFS-ESP system. It is also shown that the score of ESP method applying revised inflow scenario using probabilistic weather forecasting is higher than that of ESP method. As a results, it will be improved the accuracy of forecasting using probabilistic weather forecasting.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.6
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• pp.523-533
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• 2018

The objective of this study is to analyze uncertainties of ensemble-based streamflow prediction method for model parameters and input data. ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) and BAYES-ESP (Bayesian-ESP) based on ABCD rainfall-runoff model were selected as streamflow prediction method. GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) was applied for the analysis of parameter uncertainty. The analysis of input uncertainty was performed according to the duration of meteorological scenarios for ESP. The result showed that parameter uncertainty was much more significant than input uncertainty for the ensemble-based streamflow prediction. It also indicated that the duration of observed meteorological data was appropriate to using more than 20 years. And the BAYES-ESP was effective to reduce uncertainty of ESP method. It is concluded that this analysis is meaningful for elaborating characteristics of ESP method and error factors of ensemble-based streamflow prediction method.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.96-105
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• 1989

This laboratory study was performed to produce basic data for the estimation of water requirements for desalinization, through analyzing changes of the electrical conductivity and the exchangeable sodium percentage during the desalinization of reclaimed tidelands. Desalinization experiments were carried out by two water management practices, namely, the leaching method by subsurface drainage and the rinsing method by surface drainage, using samples of silt loam soil and silty clay loam soil collected in reclaimed tidelands. The results obtained from this study were summarized as follows : 1. The sample soils used in this study were saline-sodic soils with the high electrical conductivity and the high exchangeable sodium percentage. 2. Changes of the electrical conductivity and the exchangeable sodium percentage with water requirements for desalinization showed a similar tendency in the desalinization experiment by the same water management practice. 3. The regression equation between the relative electrical conductivity(EC/EC) and water requirements for desalinization(Dw/Ds) could be described by Dw/Ds=O. 29x(EC/EC.) -0.982 (Leaching method), Dw/Ds=3. 678X0. 030(EC/EC ) (Rinsing method). 4. The regression equation between the relative exchangeable sodium percentage (ESP/ESP ) and water requirements for desalinization (Dw/Ds) could be expressed in Dw/Ds = 0.039 x (ESP/ESP. ) - 1. 134 (Leaching method), Dw/Ds=7. 197X0. 024(ESP/ESP ) (Rinsing method). 5. It was estimated that water requirements for the adequate desalinization would be Dw/Ds=0.3 (Leaching method) and Dw/Ds=3.0 (Rinsing method)

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.37-50
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• 2019

In this study, we analyzed the soil salinity of Saemangeum agricultural land using GIS spatial interpolation method. Dominant soils series of experimental sites were Munpo (coarseloamy, mixed, non-acid, mesic, typically fluvaquents), which was based on the fluvio-marine deposit. Soil samples were periodically collected at 0~20cm and 20~40cm layer from each site. First, the distribution characteristics of EC, ESP, and SAR according to spatial interpolation were analyzed using 142 sample points. Through the error analysis of 143 validation points, the IDW method for EC and SAR, and the Kriging interpolation method for ESP were selected as the optimal interpolation method. Using the optimal interpolation method, the characteristics of EC, ESP, and SAR were analyzed for the change of soil salinity from 2014 to 2016. As a result, EC, ESP and SAR were decreased by 0.26mg/L, 5.97mg/L and 0.73mg/L respectively due to the dilution effect caused by rainfall.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.84-89
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• 1997

Recentely, a compact and small size air-cleaning Electrostatic Precipitator(ESP) is needed to develop for air conditioning devices. From Deutsch formula for ESP efficiency, collection efficiency is affected not only the structure of collection section but also the charge rate of dust. In terms of collection area, the most useful type is a scroll type ESP. In this work, we investigated experimentally aptimum design factor of scroll type ESP by application of Taguchi method. And we developed the scroll type ESP by using optimal condition of control factor.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.87-87
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• 2017

최근 이상기후로 인해 국내 가뭄피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 미래 가뭄의 심도 및 지속시간은 증가할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 특히 우리나라는 용수공급의 56.5%를 댐에 의존하여 댐 유역의 가뭄은 생 공 농업용수 공급제한 등의 광범위한 피해를 발생시킬 수 있다. 다만 가뭄은 홍수와 달리 진행속도가 비교적 느리기 때문에 사전에 정확한 댐 유입량 예측이 가능하다면, 용수공급량 조정을 통해 피해를 최소화할 수 있다. 국내에서는 댐 유입량 예측에 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법을 활용하고 있으며, ESP 기법은 과거 기상자료를 기반으로 미래를 예측하기 때문에 기상자료, 초기수문조건, 매개변수 등에 불확실성을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 베이지안 이론을 이용하여 댐 예측유입량의 정확도 향상기법을 개발하고 예측성을 평가하고자 하며, 강우유출모델은 ABCD를 활용하였다. 대상유역은 국내의 대표 다목적댐인 충주댐 유역을 선정하였으며, 기상자료는 기상청, 국토교통부 및 한국수자원공사의 지점자료를 수집하였다. 예측성 평가기법으로는 도시적 분석방법인 시계열 분석, 통계적 분석방법인 Skill Score (SS)를 활용하였다. 시계열 분석 결과 ESP 댐 예측유입량(ESP)은 매년 월별 전망값의 큰 차이가 없었으며, 다우년 및 과우년의 예측성이 떨어지는 것으로 나타났다. 베이지안 기반의 댐 예측유입량(BAYES-ESP)는 ESP의 과소모의하는 경향을 보정하였으며, 다우년에 예측성이 향상되었다. 월별 평균 댐 관측유입량과 ESP, BAYES-ESP의 SS 비교분석 결과 ESP는 유입량 값이 적은 1, 2, 3월에 SS가 양의 값을 가졌으며, 이외의 월에는 음의 값으로 나타났다. BAYES-ESP는 ESP와 관측값이 비교적 선형관계를 나타내는 1, 2, 3월에 ESP의 예측성을 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. ESP 기법은 강수량의 월별, 계절별 변동성이 큰 우리나라에 적용하기에는 예측성의 한계가 있었으며, 이를 개선한 BAYES-ESP 기법은 댐 유입량 예측 연구에 가치가 있는 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.1-9
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• 2022

Selection of a suitable artificial lift is important in terms of efficient operation and economics for oil production. In general, process of well design includes the selection of artificial lift, but the oil recovery could be enhanced by use of hybrid system combined with two types of artificial lift method according to reservoir condition for oil production. Electric submersible pump (ESP), as a presentative artificial lift method, is a manner for supplying the pressure in the lower part of oil well by using of a multi-stage centrifugal pump with an electric energy. However, there is a disadvantage that has a limit to the application period because of mechanical defection on ESP. Accordingly, it is possible to reduce the shutdown time of production well by applying the ESP/Gas lift hybrid system, which is to switch to a gas lift when an ESP is defective. This study describes the effect of ESP/gas lift hybrid system compared with ESP method for a onshore horizontal well locating in the of Permian basin, USA. As a result of study, ESP/gas lift hybrid system could make more effective productivity than ESP method. Also, we quantitatively predicted how much economic benefit would be obtained when the hybrid system was applied in the production well.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.12
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• pp.967-974
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• 2011

Based on daily time series from RDAPS numerical weather forecast, Streamflow prediction was simulated and the result of ESP analysis was implemented considering quantitative mid- and long-term forecast to compare the results and review applicability. The result of ESP, ESP considering quantitative weather forecast, and flow forecast from RDAPS numerical weather forecast were compared and analyzed with average observed streamflow in Guem River Basin. Through this process, the improvement effect per method was estimated. The result of ESP considering weather information was satisfactory relatively based on long-term flow forecast simulation result. Discrepancy ratio analysis for estimating accuracy of probability forecast had similar result. It is expected to simulate more accurate flow forecast for RDAPS numerical weather forecast with improved daily scenario including time resolution, which is able to accumulate 3 hours rainfall or continuous simulation estimation.

• Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.269-277
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• 2004

Trichinella spiralis is one of the important zoonotic parasites with a wide variety of vertebrates hosts in nature. The purpose of this study were to analyze ESP(Excretory-Secretory Protein) antigen, to evaluate ELISA for the serological diagnosis of Trichinosis, and to survey T. spiralis infection in finishing pigs using the pepsin digestion method and ELISA in Korea. In the analysis of ESP antigen by SDS-PAGE and Western blot, 4 major bands (70, 55, 52.6, and 49 kDa) were revealed from the ESP antigen. Predilection sites of T. spiralis were the diaphragm, the tongue, masseter muscles, intercostal muscle, and hindlimb in orders in the experimentally infected rats. Sera from 581 swine were tested by ELISA with ESP antigen. The 54 (9.3%) sera were suspected as positive reactors, however, these 54 sera were determined as false positives by the use of Western blotting. This study demonstrated that the ELISA was not suitable for the examination of T. spiralis in pork. The diaphragm muscle samples of 251 finishing pigs were tested by the method of pepsin-digestion for the presence of Trichinella larvae, however, T. spiralis was not detected from the samples. We could not find out T. spiralis infection in pig in Korea pork.