• International Journal of Automotive Technology
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• 제7권7호
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• pp.813-819
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• 2006

As the vehicle becomes bigger and faster, the importance of vehicle stability in an extreme driving condition caused by sudden steering, road condition or unexpected case has been emphasized. The ESP system is being utilized to improve the handling performance and the vehicle stability. In this study, we implemented various tests and proposed estimation methods for ESP characteristics in extreme driving situations. The estimation methods for ESP proposed in this paper are expected to facilitate developing the control logic and improving the performance of the ESP system.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제51권6호
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• pp.523-533
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 충주댐 유역에 대해 앙상블 유량예측기법의 강우-유출 모델 매개변수, 입력자료에 따른 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 앙상블 유량예측기법으로는 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법과 BAYES-ESP (Bayesian-ESP) 기법을 활용하였으며, 강우-유출 모델로는 ABCD를 활용하였다. 모델 매개변수에 따른 불확실성 분석은 GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) 기법을 적용하였으며, 입력자료에 따른 불확실성 분석은 유량예측 앙상블에 활용되는 기상시나리오의 기간에 따라 수행하였다. 연구결과 앙상블 유량예측 기법은 입력자료 보다 모델 매개변수의 영향을 크게 받았으며, 20년 이상의 관측 기상자료가 확보되었을 때 활용하는 것이 적절하였다. 또한 BAYES-ESP는 ESP에 비해 불확실성을 감소시킬 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 불확실성 분석을 통해 앙상블 유량예측기법의 특징을 규명하고 오차의 원인을 분석하였다는 점에서 가치가 있다고 판단된다.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.96-105
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• 1989

This laboratory study was performed to produce basic data for the estimation of water requirements for desalinization, through analyzing changes of the electrical conductivity and the exchangeable sodium percentage during the desalinization of reclaimed tidelands. Desalinization experiments were carried out by two water management practices, namely, the leaching method by subsurface drainage and the rinsing method by surface drainage, using samples of silt loam soil and silty clay loam soil collected in reclaimed tidelands. The results obtained from this study were summarized as follows : 1. The sample soils used in this study were saline-sodic soils with the high electrical conductivity and the high exchangeable sodium percentage. 2. Changes of the electrical conductivity and the exchangeable sodium percentage with water requirements for desalinization showed a similar tendency in the desalinization experiment by the same water management practice. 3. The regression equation between the relative electrical conductivity(EC/EC) and water requirements for desalinization(Dw/Ds) could be described by Dw/Ds=O. 29x(EC/EC.) -0.982 (Leaching method), Dw/Ds=3. 678X0. 030(EC/EC ) (Rinsing method). 4. The regression equation between the relative exchangeable sodium percentage (ESP/ESP ) and water requirements for desalinization (Dw/Ds) could be expressed in Dw/Ds = 0.039 x (ESP/ESP. ) - 1. 134 (Leaching method), Dw/Ds=7. 197X0. 024(ESP/ESP ) (Rinsing method). 5. It was estimated that water requirements for the adequate desalinization would be Dw/Ds=0.3 (Leaching method) and Dw/Ds=3.0 (Rinsing method)

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.264-272
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• 2011

The objective of this study was to develop a model for predicting long-term runoff in a basin using the ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) technique and review its reliability. To achieve the objective, this study improved not only the ESP technique based on the ensemble scenario analysis of historical rainfall data but also conventional ESP techniques used in conjunction with qualitative climate forecasting information, and analyzed and assessed their improvement effects. The model was applied to the Geum River basin. To undertake runoff forecasting, this study tried three cases (case 1: Climate Outlook + ESP, case 2: ESP probability through monthly measured discharge, case 3: Season ESP probability of case 2) according to techniques used to calculate ESP probabilities. As a result, the mean absolute error of runoff forecasts for case 1 proposed by this study was calculated as 295.8 MCM. This suggests that case 1 showed higher reliability in runoff forecasting than case 2 (324 MCM) and case 3 (473.1 MCM). In a discrepancy-ratio accuracy analysis, the Climate Outlook + ESP technique displayed 50.0%. This suggests that runoff forecasting using the Climate Outlook +ESP technique with the lowest absolute error was more reliable than other two cases.

• 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.48-55
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• 2019

The Electronic Stability Program (ESP), a system that improves vehicle safety, also known as YMC (Yaw Motion Controller) or VDC (Vehicle Dynamics Control), is a system that operates in unstable or sudden driving and braking situations. Developing conditions such as unstable or sudden driving and braking situations in a vehicle are very dangerous unless you are an experienced professional driver. Additionally, many repetitive tests are required to collect reliable data, and there are many variables to consider such as changes in the weather, road surface, and tire condition. To overcome this problem, in this paper, hardware and control software such as the ESP controller, vehicle engine, ABS, and TCS module, composed of three control zones, are modeled using MATLAB/SIMULINK, and the vehicle, climate, and road surface. Various environmental variables such as the driving course were modeled and studied for the real-time ESP real-time simulator that can be repeatedly tested under the same conditions.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제44권12호
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• pp.967-974
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• 2011

RDAPS 수치예보로부터 생산된 일단위 강우시계열을 바탕으로 유량 예측을 모의하고, 정성적인 중장기 예보를 고려한 ESP 분석을 수행하여 결과를 비교하고 적용성을 검토하였다. 금강유역을 대상으로 ESP, 정성적 기상예보를 고려한 ESP, RDAPS 기상수치예보에의한유량예측결과를평균유출량과비교 분석을 통해각기법별 결과의 개선효과를 평가하였다. 예측 모의 결과 기상정보를 고려한 ESP 방법의 결과가상대적으로 양호한 것으로 분석되었다. 확률예측의 정확도를 평가하기 위한 불일치율(Discrepancy Ratio) 분석 결과에서도 같은 결과를 얻었다. RDAPS 수치예보의 경우 3시간 단위의 누적강수라는 특성이 감안된 시간분해능을 갖는 일단위 시나리오로 개선되거나 장기간 동안 지속적인 모의 평가가 이루어진다면 더욱 정밀한 유량예측을 모의 할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제31권1B호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2011

유출예측량을 모의할 때 과거와 현재의 수문자료를 이용한다는 측면에서 미래 예측결과의 불확실성을 완전히 제거할 수는 없겠지만, 다양한 기법별 분석에 의하여 불확실성을 감소시킬 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 유출예측의 정확성 향상을 위해 다양한 유출예측 기법을 적용 및 평가하였으며 확률론적 예측을 가능하게 하는 예측기법인 ESP와 관측 시계열 자료를 이용한 통계기법으로 공주지점의 유출예측을 수행하였다. 각 기법에 따른 유출예측 결과의 신뢰성 평가는 MAE(Mean Absolute Error), RMSE(Root Mean Squared Error), RRMSE(Relative Root Mean Squared Error), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), TIC(Theil Inequality Coefficient)를 이용하였다. ESP 확률을 이용하여 예측한 유출결과와 통계적 시계열 분석에 의해 예측된 유출결과를 MAE, RMSE, RRMSE, MAPE, TIC를 이용하여 비교 분석하였으며 유출예측의 개선효과를 확인해본 결과, ESP 확률을 이용한 예측이 MAE(10.6), RMSE(15.14), RRMSE(0.244), MAPE(22.74%), TIC(0.13)으로 평가되었으며 MAE(23.2), RMSE(37.13), RRMSE(0.596), MAPE(26.69%), TIC(0.30)으로 평가된 ARMA와 MAE(26.4), RMSE(34.44), RRMSE(0.563), MAPE(47.38%), TIC(0.25)으로 평가된 Winters 에 비해 신뢰성이 높게 나타났다.

• 전기학회논문지P
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• 제60권4호
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• pp.236-240
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• 2011

Currently one of the most importance issues in industrial sector is energy cost and energy efficiency. The manufacturing plants especially have made many efforts to reduce energy cost by implementing maintenances. But in many cases, they are not aware that how much energy could be saved more. If we know the best energy consumption, which signifies energy baseline, we can control the intensity of maintenances. One way to obtain the baseline is using proper statistics from a specific plant, a sector of industry. Energy bandwidth signifies the gap between actual Specific Energy Consumption(SEC) of a certain plant and minimum SEC of the best plant, and estimate energy saving potential(ESP) is a result of bandwidth analysis. We chose a model plant and implemented some maintenance for a year, and then we obtained ESP. Additionally we could determine the decreased amount of carbon emissions from the plant using Carbon Emissions Factor(CEF) by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC).

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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• pp.1765-1770
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• 2005

Recently, particle filters have attracted attentions for nonlinear state estimation. In this approaches, a posterior probability distribution of the state variable is evaluated based on observations in simulation using so-called importance sampling. We proposed a new filter, Evolution Strategies based particle (ESP) filter to circumvent degeneracy phenomena in the importance weights, which deteriorates the filter performance, and apply it to simultaneous state and parameter estimation of nonlinear state space models. Results of numerical simulation studies illustrate the applicability of this approach.

• 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.69-81
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• 2012

Diverse geostatistical tools such as kriging have been used to estimate the volume and spatial coverage of contaminated soil needed for remediation. However, many approaches frequently yield estimation errors, due to inherent geostatistical uncertainties. Such errors may yield over- or under-estimation of the amounts of polluted soils, which cause an over-estimation of remediation cost as well as an incomplete clean-up of a contaminated land. Therefore, it is very important to use a better estimation tool considering uncertainties arising from incomplete field investigation (i.e., contamination survey) and mathematical spatial estimation. In the current work, as better estimation tools we propose stochastic simulation approaches which allow the remediation volume to be assessed more accurately along with uncertainty estimation. To test the efficiency of proposed methods, heavy metals (esp., Pb) contaminated soil of a shooting range area was selected. In addition, we suggest a quantitative method to delineate the confident interval of estimated volume (and spatial extent) of polluted soil based on the spatial aspect of uncertainty. The methods proposed in this work can improve a better decision making on soil remediation.