• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic partial equilibrium model

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Determinants of Korea's Goods Balances with Japan: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Model (동태 패널모형을 이용한 대일 상품수지 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Jounggu;Hwang, Shinmo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.331-350
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    • 2011
  • This paper analyzes balance of goods for a panel data of 56 industry classification in the MTI from 1980 to 2009. This study also develops the equilibrium adjustment process, which is a trade-off between the adjustment costs towards equilibrium costs for balance of goods and the cost of being in disequilibrium. In this framework, the GMM estimation procedure is used to estimate this dynamic panel model consistently. It is found that equilibrium balances of goods in Korean adjust to the speed is very slow to 0.0389. because of this is necessary to adjust the equilibrium goods balance as the cost of goods balance deficit is larger than by the cost. In addition, the real income elasticity for goods balance of resin in Japan and Korea, the real income elasticity 4.38168 and -0.835225, respectively, the marks were consistent with economic theory. The exchange rate elasticity of goods balance in japan to 0.478435 were found in the inelastic.

Equilibria and Dynamics of Toluene and Trichloroethylene onto Activated Carbon Fiber

  • Park, Jee-Won;Lee, Young-Whan;Choi, Dae-Ki;Lee, Sang-Soon
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2002
  • Adsorption dynamics for toluene and trichloroethylene with an isothermal fixed bed of activated carbon fiber were investigated. Equilibrium isotherms were measured by a static method for toluene and trichloroethylene onto activated carbon fiber at temperatures of 298, 323, and 348 K and pressure up to 3 kPa for toluene and 6 kPa for trichloroethylene, respectively. These results were correlated by the Toth equation. And dynamic experiments in an isothermal condition of 298 K were examined. Breakthrough curves reflected the effects of the experimental variables such as partial pressures for adsorbate and interstitial bulk velocities of gas flow. To present the column dynamics, a dynamic model based on the linear driving force (LDF) mass transfer model was applied.

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Policy evaluation of the rice market isolation system and production adjustment system

  • Dae Young Kwak;Sukho Han
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.629-643
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effectiveness and efficiency of a policy by comparing and analyzing the impact of the rice market isolation system and production adjustment system (strategic crops direct payment system that induces the cultivation of other crops instead of rice) on rice supply, rice price, and government's financial expenditure. To achieve this purpose, a rice supply and demand forecasting and policy simulation model was developed in this study using a partial equilibrium model limited to a single item (rice), a dynamic equation model system, and a structural equation system that reflects the casual relationship between variables with economic theory. The rice policy analysis model used a recursive model and not a simultaneous equation model. The policy is distinct from that of previous studies, in which changes in government's policy affected the price of rice during harvest and the lean season before the next harvest, and price changes affected the supply and demand of rice according to the modeling, that is, a more specific policy effect analysis. The analysis showed that the market isolation system increased government's financial expenditure compared to the production adjustment system, suggesting low policy financial efficiency, low policy effectiveness on target, and increased harvest price. In particular, the market isolation system temporarily increased the price during harvest season but decreased the price during the lean season due to an increase in ending stock caused by increased production and government stock. Therefore, a decrease in price during the lean season may decrease annual farm-gate prices, and the reverse seasonal amplitude is expected to intensify.

Analysis of Dynamic Crack Propagation using MLS Difference Method (MLS 차분법을 이용한 동적균열전파 해석)

  • Yoon, Young-Cheol;Kim, Kyeong-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a dynamic crack propagation algorithm based on the Moving Least Squares(MLS) difference method. The derivative approximation for the MLS difference method is derived by Taylor expansion and moving least squares procedure. The method can analyze dynamic crack problems using only node model, which is completely free from the constraint of grid or mesh structure. The dynamic equilibrium equation is integrated by the Newmark method. When a crack propagates, the MLS difference method does not need the reconstruction of mode model at every time step, instead, partial revision of nodal arrangement near the new crack tip is carried out. A crack is modeled by the visibility criterion and dynamic energy release rate is evaluated to decide the onset of crack growth together with the corresponding growth angle. Mode I and mixed mode crack propagation problems are numerically simulated and the accuracy and stability of the proposed algorithm are successfully verified through the comparison with the analytical solutions and the Element-Free Galerkin method results.

The Economic Impact of Government Purchases on the Price Volatility of Korean Dried Red Pepper (건고추 정부수매의 가격안정화효과에 대한 사후영향평가분석)

  • Park, Su-Yeon;Kim, In-Seck
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - Unstable vegetable prices have been one of the major concerns in Korean agricultural and food marketing system. The Korean government has implemented a number of policy instruments, including government purchasing programs in order to alleviate fluctuations in vegetable prices. The economic impact of policy instruments has been assessed based on the average monthly price change rate before and after the implementation of the policy. However, this approach failed to provide a net impact of policy measures on price stabilization in the vegetable markets, as policy impacts could not be successfully distinguished from other effects on price changes in the vegetable market. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the net impact of the government purchasing program on the price volatility of dried red pepper which is considered one of the major vegetables in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - This study develops a monthly dynamic partial equilibrium model of Korean dried red pepper market. Behavioral equations in the model were estimated by OLS and synthetic method based on the annual and monthly time series data from 1993 to 2015. The model is first simulated to yield actual dried red pepper market conditions in 2015 as a baseline and then compared it to the scenario assuming that there were no government purchases of dried red pepper in 2015. Results - According to the ex-post scenario analysis using the developed model, without the government procurements in 2015, the average monthly price change rate and the value of coefficient of variation of dried red pepper in 2015 would be respectably 7.9 percent and 0.10. It is relatively higher than the actual average monthly price change rate and the value of coefficient of variation of dried red pepper in 2015 which were respectively 1.7 percent and 0.06. Conclusions - The ex-post simulation results in this study shows that if there were no government purchases of dried red pepper in 2015, the dried red pepper market would have had much higher volatile price movements. The results of this study would provide useful information for future price stabilization policy of vegetable markets in Korea.

Capital Structure's Mean-Reversion and Long-Term Equilibrium (자본구조의 평균회귀현상과 장기균형)

  • Son, Pan-Do;Son, Seung-Tae
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.33-78
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    • 2008
  • This paper empirically examines whether firms engage in a dynamic adjustment process toward target capital structure and, whether there is a target capital structure or mean reverting using the partial adjustment model while allowing for costly adjustment. Also we investigate the empirical determinants of optimal target capital structure in long term equilibrium. As a result, our empirical model captures at least several important features of capital structure behavior for Korean listed firms. First, Korean firms pursue target capital structure and also there is mean reverting phenomenon. Second, Non-Chaebol and small firm in adjustment speed is faster than Chaebol and large firm. Third, even capital market restricts the adjustment speed interestingly. Fourth, Korean firms have target behavior according to a degree of observed gap. Fifth, Korean firms close about one-fourth of the gap between their actual and target debt ratios within one year and thence targeting behavior explains far more of the observed changes in capital structure than market timing or pecking order considerations. Sixth, capital market is significant in determining optimal capital structure.

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Economic Impacts of the increase in Green Immature Citrus Demand on Jeju Field Citrus Industry (풋귤 수요증대가 제주 노지감귤 산업에 미치는 파급영향)

  • Kim, Hwa-Nyeon;Ko, Seong-Bo;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2021
  • Green colored citrus is the immature fruit of the field citrus crop in Jeju, and its demand has been growing recently as it is known to contain a large amount of carotinoid, pectin, and vitamin C. It differs from the traditional varieties of blue tangerine, which are green in February and turn in yellow in March-April. This study analyzed the effects of the increased demand in green citrus on the field citrus industry. For our analysis, a partial equilibrium supply-demand model was established with a dynamic recursive structure using data from 1989-2017. Model calibration was also conducted to determine the best supply-demand model and then, the impacts of increasing demand for green immature citrus in Jeju for 2018-2030 was simulated. The simulation results show that there is no significant impact on the producing area prior to 2022, but there is a distinguishable increase of 18ha in 2023, 52ha in 2025, and 142ha in 2030. It was also predicted that revenue would increase by KRW 7.75 billion on average from 2021-2030.

A study of an oyster monthly forecasting model using the structural equation model approach based on a panel analysis

  • Sukho Han;Seonghwan Song;Sujin Heo;Namsu Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.1001-1013
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to build an oyster outlook model. In particular, by limiting oyster items, it was designed as a partial equilibrium model based on a panel analysis of a fixed effect model on aquaculture facilities. The model was built with a dynamic ecological equation (DEEM) system that considers aquaculture and harvesting processes. As a result of the estimation of the initial aquaculture facilities based on the panel analysis, the elasticity of the remaining facility volume in the previous month was estimated to be 0.63. According to Nerlove's model, the adjustment coefficient was interpreted as 0.31 and the adjustment speed was analyzed to be very slow. Also, the relative income coefficient was estimated to be 2.41. In terms of elasticity, it was estimated as 0.08% in Gyeongnam, 0.32% in Jeonnam, and 1.98% in other regions. It was analyzed that the elasticity of relative income was accordingly higher in non-main production area. In case of the estimation of the monthly harvest facility volume, the elasticity of the remaining facility volume in the previous month was estimated as 0.53, and the elasticity of the farm-gate price was estimated as 0.23. Both fresh and chilled and frozen oysters' exports were estimated to be sensitive to fluctuations in domestic prices and exchange rates, while Japanese wholesale prices were estimated to be relatively low in sensitivity, especially to the exchange rate with Japan. In estimating the farm-gate price, the price elasticity coefficient of monthly production was estimated to be inelastic at 0.25.

Modelling headed stud shear connectors of steel-concrete pushout tests with PCHCS and concrete topping

  • Lucas Mognon Santiago Prates;Felipe Piana Vendramell Ferreira;Alexandre Rossi;Carlos Humberto Martins
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.451-469
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    • 2023
  • The use of precast hollow-core slabs (PCHCS) in civil construction has been increasing due to the speed of execution and reduction in the weight of flooring systems. However, in the literature there are no studies that present a finite element model (FEM) to predict the load-slip relationship behavior of pushout tests, considering headed stud shear connector and PCHCS placed at the upper flange of the downstand steel profile. Thus, the present paper aims to develop a FEM, which is based on tests to fill this gap. For this task, geometrical non-linear analyses are carried out in the ABAQUS software. The FEM is calibrated by sensitivity analyses, considering different types of analysis, the friction coefficient at the steel-concrete interface, as well as the constitutive model of the headed stud shear connector. Subsequently, a parametric study is performed to assess the influence of the number of connector lines, type of filling and height of the PCHCS. The results are compared with analytical models that predict the headed stud resistance. In total, 158 finite element models are processed. It was concluded that the dynamic implicit analysis (quasi-static) showed better convergence of the equilibrium trajectory when compared to the static analysis, such as arc-length method. The friction coefficient value of 0.5 was indicated to predict the load-slip relationship behavior of all models investigated. The headed stud shear connector rupture was verified for the constitutive model capable of representing the fracture in the stress-strain relationship. Regarding the number of connector lines, there was an average increase of 108% in the resistance of the structure for models with two lines of connectors compared to the use of only one. The type of filling of the hollow core slab that presented the best results was the partial filling. Finally, the greater the height of the PCHCS, the greater the resistance of the headed stud.

An Ex-post Impact Assessment of the KOR-USA Free Trade Agreement on the Korean Citrus Industry (한·미 FTA 체결 이후 감귤산업 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Man-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.538-545
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    • 2020
  • This study measured the economic impact (from 2012 through the end of 2017) of the KOR-USA FTA (Free Trade Agreement) on the Korean citrus industry according to importing orange from the USA after the implementation of the KOR-USA FTA. Citrus fruits were divided into field citrus grown in open fields, house citrus grown in green houses, and late-maturing citrus (including winter season citrus) based on the cultivation methods and the varieties of citrus. We specified the structural and dynamic recursive demand-supply equilibrium models of three citrus fruits to analyze policy simulations. The results showed that for field citrus, due to the impact of some amounts of TRQ, the annual average of the real gross revenue dropped by 2.39 billion KRW between 2012 and 2017. As for house citrus, due to the impact of oranges and cherries, the annual average of the real gross revenue declined by 3.01 billion KRW between 2012 and 2017, and for late-maturing citrus (including winter season citrus), the annual average of the real gross revenue fell by 15.11 billion KRW between 2012 and 2017. This paper also suggests several policy implications.