• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic Probability Maps

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Search for Ground Moving Targets Using Dynamic Probability Maps (동적 확률지도를 이용한 지상 이동표적 탐색)

  • Kim, Eun-Kyu;Choi, Bong-Wan;Yim, Dong-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2015
  • In order to achieve success in ground operations, searching for moving targets is one of critical factors. Usually, the system of searching for adversary ground moving targets has complex properties which includes target's moving characteristics, camouflage level, terrain, weather, available search time window, distance between target and searcher, moving speed, target's tactics, etc. The purpose of this paper is to present a practical quantitative method for effectively searching for infiltrated moving targets considering aforementioned complex properties. Based upon search theories, this paper consists of two parts. One is infiltration route analysis, through terrain and mobility analysis. The other is building dynamic probability maps through Monte Carlo simulation to determine the prioritized searching area for moving targets. This study primarily considers ground moving targets' moving pattern. These move by foot and because terrain has a great effect on the target's movement, they generally travel along a constrained path. With the ideas based on the terrain's effect, this study deliberately performed terrain and mobility analysis and built a constrained path. In addition, dynamic probability maps taking terrain condition and a target's moving speed into consideration is proposed. This analysis is considerably distinct from other existing studies using supposed transition probability for searching moving targets. A case study is performed to validate the effectiveness and usefulness of our methodology. Also, this study suggests that the proposed approach can be used for searching for infiltrated ground moving target within critical time window. The proposed method could be used not only to assist a searcher's mission planning, but also to support the tactical commander's timely decision making ability and ensure the operations' success.

A Study on the Environmental Factors affecting Child Loss through Correlation Analysis between Child Loss and Pedestrian Density in Large-scale Parks - Focused on Busan Citizens Park and Dream Forest - (대규모 공원에서의 미아발생과 보행밀도와의 상관분석을 통한 미아발생 환경요인 도출 - 부산시민공원과 북서울 꿈의 숲을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Soyoung;Choi, Jaepil
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to derive the environmental factors affecting child loss through correlation analysis between child loss and pedestrian density. The status of lost children was identified through the lost child records and interviews in large parks. In addition, the behavior survey was conducted by photographing the entire outdoor of each park, and visitors was marked on the behavioral maps. Also, the pedestrian density was analyzed by GIS as 100㎡ and 1㎡ grid. As a result, child loss was related to the pedestrian density rather than the number of visitors or the area. Especially, 'Dynamic pedestrian density' and 'Ratio of pedestrian in high density to area' was related to child loss. In other words, the more dynamic behaviors such as play and movement appear, and the more the local area of high density, the higher the probability of child loss. In addition, environmental factors that induce such high density include bottlenecks, overlap of circulation due to multi-functionality of space, concentration of rides, and concentration of guardians due to visual obstacles.

A Hybrid Active Queue Management for Stability and Fast Adaptation

  • Joo Chang-Hee;Bahk Sae-Woong;Lumetta Steven S.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2006
  • The domination of the Internet by TCP-based services has spawned many efforts to provide high network utilization with low loss and delay in a simple and scalable manner. Active queue management (AQM) algorithms attempt to achieve these goals by regulating queues at bottleneck links to provide useful feedback to TCP sources. While many AQM algorithms have been proposed, most suffer from instability, require careful configuration of nonintuitive control parameters, or are not practical because of slow response to dynamic traffic changes. In this paper, we propose a new AQM algorithm, hybrid random early detection (HRED), that combines the more effective elements of recent algorithms with a random early detection (RED) core. HRED maps instantaneous queue length to a drop probability, automatically adjusting the slope and intercept of the mapping function to account for changes in traffic load and to keep queue length within the desired operating range. We demonstrate that straightforward selection of HRED parameters results in stable operation under steady load and rapid adaptation to changes in load. Simulation and implementation tests confirm this stability, and indicate that overall performances of HRED are substantially better than those of earlier AQM algorithms. Finally, HRED control parameters provide several intuitive approaches to trading between required memory, queue stability, and response time.

A Property of Seismic Response with Log-normal Distribution at SDOF Structure (단자유도계 구조물의 로그정규분포 지진응답 특성)

  • Chung, Youn-In;Kim, Koon-Chan;Chey, Min-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.303-308
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    • 2019
  • This study suggests a method for deriving earthquake response based on log-normal distribution in order to obtain realistic and reliable probability and statistical seismic response of structures. The development of three earthquake suites were presented, with a brief description of 2%, 10%, and 50% in 50 years probability of exceedance according the USGS Los Angeles probabilistic seismic hazard maps. In order to analyze the basic dynamic behavior, a Single-Degree-of-Freedom (SDOF) structure was selected and the seismic response spectrum representing the response of each natural period was plotted. Overall, the mean response values presented through the log-normal distribution is lower than the standard normal distribution. Thus, it is considered that the former method can be provided as the effective cost on performance-based seismic design more than the latter one.

Linear and nonlinear site response analyses to determine dynamic soil properties of Kirikkale

  • Sonmezer, Yetis Bulent;Bas, Selcuk;Isik, Nihat Sinan;Akbas, Sami Oguzhan
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.435-448
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    • 2018
  • In order to make reliable earthquake-resistant design of civil engineering structures, one of the most important considerations in a region with high seismicity is to pay attention to the local soil condition of regions. It is aimed in the current study at specifying dynamic soil characteristics of Kirikkale city center conducting the 1-D equivalent linear and non-linear site response analyses. Due to high vulnerability and seismicity of the city center of Kirikkale surrounded by active many faults, such as the North Anatolian Fault (NAF), the city of Kirikkale is classified as highly earthquake-prone city. The first effort to determine critical site response parameter is to perform the seismic hazard analyses of the region through the earthquake record catalogues. The moment magnitude of the city center is obtained as $M_w=7.0$ according to the recorded probability of exceedance of 10% in the last 50 years. Using the data from site tests, the 1-D equivalent linear (EL) and nonlinear site response analyses (NL) are performed with respect to the shear modulus reduction and damping ratio models proposed in literature. The important engineering parameters of the amplification ratio, predominant site period, peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration values are predicted. Except for the periods between the period of T=0.2-1.0 s, the results from the NL are obtained to be similar to the EL results. Lower spectral acceleration values are estimated in the locations of the city where the higher amplification ratio is attained or vice-versa. Construction of high-rise buildings with modal periods higher than T=1.0 s are obtained to be suitable for the city of Kirikkale. The buildings at the city center are recommended to be assessed with street survey rapid structural evaluation methods so as to mitigate seismic damages. The obtained contour maps in this study are estimated to be effective for visually characterizing the city in terms of the considered parameters.