• Journal of Wetlands Research
• /
• v.15 no.1
• /
• pp.115-125
• /
• 2013

This study established a methodology for the application of downscaling technique in a mountainous area having large spatial variations of rainfall and tried to estimate the change of rainfall characteristics in the future under climate change using the established method. The Namhan river basin, which is in the mountainous area of the Korean peninsula, has been chosen as the study area. Artificial Neural Network - Simple Kriging with varying local means (ANN-SKlm) has been built by combining artificial neural network, which is one of the general downscaling techniques, and SKlm technique, which can reflect the geomorphologic characteristics like elevation of the study area. The evaluation of SKlm technique was done by using the monthly rainfalls at six weather stations which KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) is managing in the basin. The ANN-SKlm technique was compared with the Thiessen technique and ordinary kriging(OK) technique. According to the evaluation result of each technique the SKlm technique showed the best result.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2009.05a
• /
• pp.112-115
• /
• 2009

The research of climate change impact in hydrometeorology often relies on climate change information. In this paper, neural networks models such as support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM) and multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) are proposed statistical downscaling of the monthly precipitation. The input nodes of neural networks models consist of the atmospheric meteorology and the atmospheric pressure data for 2 grid points including $127.5^{\circ}E/35^{\circ}N$ and $125^{\circ}E/35^{\circ}N$, which produced the best results from the previous study. The output node of neural networks models consist of the monthly precipitation data for Seoul station. For the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training and test performances, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM and MLP-NNM performances for the downscaling of the monthly precipitation data. We should, therefore, construct the credible monthly precipitation data for Seoul station using statistical downscaling method. The proposed methods can be applied to future climate prediction/projection using the various climate change scenarios such as GCMs and RCMs.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2009.05a
• /
• pp.1142-1146
• /
• 2009

A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2005.09a
• /
• pp.65-65
• /
• 2005

• Journal of Climate Change Research
• /
• v.9 no.1
• /
• pp.47-58
• /
• 2018

In this study, we evaluated the uncertainty in the process of selecting GCM and downscaling method for assessing the impact of climate change, and influence of user-centered climate change information on reproducibility of Chungju Dam inflow was analyzed. First, we selected the top 16 GCMs through the evaluation of spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 raw GCMs using 30-year average of 10-day precipitation without any bias-correction. The climate extreme indices including annual total precipitation and annual maximum 1-day precipitation were selected as the relevant indices to the dam inflow. The Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) downscaling method was selected through the evaluation of reproducibility of selected indices and spatial correlation among weather stations. SWAT simulation results for the past 30 years period by considering limitations in weather input showed the satisfactory results with monthly model efficiency of 0.92. The error in average dam inflow according to selection of GCMs and downscaling method showed the bests result when 16 GCMs selected raw GCM analysi were used. It was found that selection of downscaling method rather than selection of GCM is more is important in overall uncertainties. The average inflow for the future period increased in all RCP scenarios as time goes on from near-future to far-future periods. Also, it was predicted that the inflow volume will be higher in the RCP 8.5 scenario than in the RCP 4.5 scenario in all future periods. Maximum daily inflow, which is important for flood control, showed a high changing rate more than twice as much as the average inflow amount. It is also important to understand the seasonal fluctuation of the inflow for the dam management purpose. Both average inflow and maximum inflow showed a tendency to increase mainly in July and August during near-future period while average and maximum inflows increased through the whole period of months in both mid-future and far-future periods.

• Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.185-191
• /
• 2005

In this paper, we proposed a downscaled 3D object technique using medical images for telediagnostic use. The proposed system consisted of downscaling/thresholding processes for building a downscaled 3D object and a process for obtaining 2D images at specific angles for diagnosis support. We used 80 slices of Digital Imaging and Communication in Medicine(DICOM) CT images as sample images and the platform-independent Java language for the experiment. We confirmed that the total image set size and transmission time of the original DICOM image set using a down-scaled 3D object decreased approximately $99\%\;and\;98.41\%,$ respectively. With additional studies, the proposed technique obtained from these results will become useful in supporting diagnosis for home and hospital care.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.65 no.1
• /
• pp.1-13
• /
• 2023

Various techniques for bias correction and statistical downscaling have been developed to overcome the limitations related to the spatial and temporal resolution and error of climate change scenario data required in various applied research fields including agriculture and water resources. In this study, the characteristics of three different statistical dowscaling methods (i.e., SQM, SDQDM, and BCSA) provided by AIMS were summarized, and climate change scenarios produced by applying each method were comparatively evaluated. In order to compare the average rainfall characteristics of the past period, an index representing the average rainfall characteristics was used, and the reproducibility of extreme weather conditions was evaluated through the abnormal climate-related index. The reproducibility comparison of spatial distribution and variability was compared through variogram and pattern identification of spatial distribution using the average value of the index of the past period. For temporal reproducibility comparison, the raw data and each detailing technique were compared using the transition probability. The results of the study are presented by quantitatively evaluating the strengths and weaknesses of each method. Through comparison of statistical techniques, we expect that the strengths and weaknesses of each detailing technique can be represented, and the most appropriate statistical detailing technique can be advised for the relevant research.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.52 no.4
• /
• pp.83-91
• /
• 2010

Generally, the GCM (General Circulation Model) data by IPCC climate change scenarios are used for future weather prediction. IPCC GCM models predict well for the continental scale, but is not good for the regional scale. This paper tried to generate future temperature and precipitation of 8 scattered meteorological stations in South Korea by using the MIROC3.2 hires GCM data and applying LARS-WG downscaling method. The MIROC3.2 A1B scenario data were adopted because it has the similar pattern comparing with the observed data (1977-2006) among the scenarios. The results showed that both the future precipitation and temperature increased. The 2080s annual temperature increased $3.8{\sim}5.0^{\circ}C$. Especially the future temperature increased up to $4.5{\sim}7.8^{\circ}C$ in winter period (December-February). The future annual precipitation of 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s increased 17.5 %, 27.5 %, and 39.0 % respectively. From the trend analysis for the future projected results, the above middle region of South Korea showed a statistical significance for winter precipitation and south region for summer rainfall.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
• /
• v.9 no.1
• /
• pp.31-45
• /
• 2018

This study implemented the prediction of drought properties (number of drought events, intensity, duration) using the user-oriented systematical procedures of downscaling climate change scenarios based the multiple global climate models (GCMs), AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) program. The drought properties were defined and estimated with Effective Drought Index (EDI). The optimal 10 models among 29 GCMs were selected, by the estimation of the spatial and temporal reproducibility about the five climate change indices related with precipitation. In addition, Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) as the downscaling technique is much better in describing the observed precipitation events than Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM). Even though the procedure was systematically applied, there are still limitations in describing the observed spatial precipitation properties well due to the offset of spatial variability in multi-model ensemble (MME) analysis. As a result, the farther into the future, the duration and the number of drought generation will be decreased, while the intensity of drought will be increased. Regionally, the drought at the central regions of the Korean Peninsula is expected to be mitigated, while that at the southern regions are expected to be severe.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.47-53
• /
• 2021

In this paper, we propose a quadtree-based optimization technique that enables fast Super-resolution(SR) computation by efficiently classifying and dividing physics-based simulation data required to calculate SR. The proposed method reduces the time required for quadtree computation by downscaling the smoke simulation data used as input data. By binarizing the density of the smoke in this process, a quadtree is constructed while mitigating the problem of numerical loss of density in the downscaling process. The data used for training is the COCO 2017 Dataset, and the artificial neural network uses a VGG19-based network. In order to prevent data loss when passing through the convolutional layer, similar to the residual method, the output value of the previous layer is added and learned. In the case of smoke, the proposed method achieved a speed improvement of about 15 to 18 times compared to the previous approach.