• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution statistical model

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Confidence Intervals and Joint Confidence Regions for the Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution based on Records

  • Asgharzadeh, A.;Abdi, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2011
  • Exponential distribution is widely adopted as a lifetime model. Many authors have considered the interval estimation of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on complete and censored samples. In this paper, we consider the interval estimation of the location and scale parameters and the joint confidence region of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on upper records. A simulation study is done for the performance of all proposed confidence intervals and regions. We also propose the predictive intervals of the future records. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed methods.

The Characteristics of Wave Statistical Data and Quality Assurance (파랑 통계자료의 특성과 신뢰성 검토)

  • Park, J.H.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2009
  • This paper discusses the influence on long-tenn predictions of the ship response in ocean by using the Global Wave Statistics data, GWS, and wave information from the remote sensing satellites. GWS's standard scatter diagrams of significant wave height and zero-crossing wave period are suggested to be corrected to a round number of 0.01/1000 fitted with a statistical analytic model of the conditional lognormal distribution for zero-crossing wave period. The GEOSAT satellite data are utilized which presented by I. R. Young and G. J. Holland (1996, named as GEOSAT data). At first, qualities of this data are investigated, and statistical characteristic trends are studied by means of applying known probability distribution functions. The wave height data of GEOSAT are compared to the data observed onboard merchant ships, the data observed by measure instrument installed on the ocean-going container ship and so on. To execute a long-tenn prediction of ship response, joint probability functions between wave height and wave period are introduced, therefore long-term statistical predictions are executed by using the functions.

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A Comparison Study on Statistical Modeling Methods (통계모델링 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2016
  • The statistical modeling of input random variables is necessary in reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization, and statistical validation and calibration of analysis models of mechanical systems. In statistical modeling methods, there are the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), AIC correction (AICc), Bayesian Information Criterion, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), and Bayesian method. Those methods basically select the best fitted distribution among candidate models by calculating their likelihood function values from a given data set. The number of data or parameters in some methods are considered to identify the distribution types. On the other hand, the engineers in a real field have difficulties in selecting the statistical modeling method to obtain a statistical model of the experimental data because of a lack of knowledge of those methods. In this study, commonly used statistical modeling methods were compared using statistical simulation tests. Their advantages and disadvantages were then analyzed. In the simulation tests, various types of distribution were assumed as populations and the samples were generated randomly from them with different sample sizes. Real engineering data were used to verify each statistical modeling method.

Statistical Analysis of K-League Data using Poisson Model

  • Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.775-783
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    • 2012
  • Several statistical models for bivariate poisson data are suggested and used to analyze 2011 K-league data. Our interest is composed of two purposes: The first purpose is to exploit potential attacking and defensive abilities of each team. Particular, a bivariate poisson model with diagonal inflation is incorporated for the estimation of draws. A joint model is applied to estimate an association between poisson distribution and probability of draw. The second one is to investigate causes on scoring time of goals and a regression technique of recurrent event data is applied. Some related future works are suggested.

ELCIC: An R package for model selection using the empirical-likelihood based information criterion

  • Chixiang Chen;Biyi Shen;Ming Wang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.355-368
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    • 2023
  • This article introduces the R package ELCIC (https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ELCIC/index.html), which provides an empirical likelihood-based information criterion (ELCIC) for model selection that includes, but is not limited to, variable selection. The empirical likelihood is a semi-parametric approach to draw statistical inference that does not require distribution assumptions for data generation. Therefore, ELCIC is more robust and versatile in the context of model selection compared to the currently existing information criteria. This paper illustrates several applications of ELCIC, including its use in generalized linear models, generalized estimating equations (GEE) for longitudinal data, and weighted GEE (WGEE) for missing longitudinal data under the mechanisms of missing at random and dropout.

Gibbs Sampling for Double Seasonal Autoregressive Models

  • Amin, Ayman A.;Ismail, Mohamed A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we develop a Bayesian inference for a multiplicative double seasonal autoregressive (DSAR) model by implementing a fast, easy and accurate Gibbs sampling algorithm. We apply the Gibbs sampling to approximate empirically the marginal posterior distributions after showing that the conditional posterior distribution of the model parameters and the variance are multivariate normal and inverse gamma, respectively. The proposed Bayesian methodology is illustrated using simulated examples and real-world time series data.

Estimation of slope , βusing the Sequential Slope in Simple Linear Regression Model

  • Choi, Yong;Kim, Dongjae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2003
  • Distribution-free estimation methods are proposed for slope, $\beta$ in the simple linear regression model. In this paper, we suggest the point estimators using the sequential slope based on sign test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. Also confidence intervals are presented for each estimation methods. Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the efficiency of these methods with least square method and Theil´s method. Some properties for the proposed methods are discussed.

A Bayes Reliability Estimation from Life Test in a Stress-Strength Model

  • Park, Sung-Sub;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1983
  • A stress-strength model is formulated for s out of k system of identical components. We consider the estimation of system reliability from survival count data from a Bayesian viewpoint. We assume a quadratic loss and a Dirichlet prior distribution. It is shown that a Bayes sequential procedure can be established. The Bayes estimator is compared with the UMVUE obtained by Bhattacharyya and with an estimator based on Mann-Whitney statistic.

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Comparison of Bootstrap Methods for LAD Estimator in AR(1) Model

  • Kang, Kee-Hoon;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.745-754
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    • 2006
  • It has been shown that LAD estimates are more efficient than LS estimates when the error distribution is double exponential in AR(1) model. In order to explore the performance of LAD estimates one can use bootstrap approaches. In this paper we consider the efficiencies of bootstrap methods when we apply LAD estimates with highly variable data. Monte Carlo simulation results are given for comparing generalized bootstrap, stationary bootstrap and threshold bootstrap methods.

A Model for a State-Dependent Deteriorating System

  • Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.433-442
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    • 1999
  • A model for a system whose deteriorating rate depends on the state is introduced. A repairman arrives according to Poisson process and increases the state of the system by the random amount if the state is below a threshold. If the system fails at arrival of the repairman it is assumed that the system is replaced by new one. The stationary distribution function of the state of the system and the expected life length of the system are deduced.

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