• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution of Rainfall

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Suggestion of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula Considering the Pattern Change of Maximum Rainfall at Incheon City (최대강우 패턴 변화를 고려한 인천지방 확률강우강도식의 제안)

  • Han Man-Shin;Choi Gye-Woon;Chung Yeun-Jung;Ahn Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.6 s.167
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    • pp.521-531
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    • 2006
  • The formula was proposed through the examination of probability rainfall intensity formula used in Incheon based upon recent occurrences of heavy rain and extraordinary storms. Random-time maximum annual rainfalls were estimated for durations from ten minutes to twenty-four hours from the data by Korea Meteorological Administration. Eleven types of probability distribution are considered to estimate probable rainfall depths for different storm durations at Incheon city. Three goodness-of-fit tests including Chi-square, Kolmogorov-Smirmov and framer Von Misses were used to analyze the tendency of recent rainfall. Considering maximum rainfall occurred, General Extreme Value(GEV) distribution was chosen as the appropriate probability distribution. Five types of probability rainfall formulas including Talbot type, Sherman type, Japanese type, unified type I and unified type II are considered to determine the best type for rainfall intensity at Incheon. The formula was determined considering the time of concentration of sewer system and river at Incheon city. Unified type I was chosen for its accuracy and was proposed to represent rainfall intensity of Incheon district.

Spatial Distribution and Casual Causes of Shallow Landslides in Jinbu Area of Korea

  • Park, Jin Woo;Choi, Byoung Koo;Kim, Myung Hwan;Cha, Du Song
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2017
  • In temperate monsoon regions, extensive shallow landslides triggered by heavy rainfall are recurrent phenomena in mountainous areas. 1,357 landslides over Jinbu area, Korea that totaled 127 km2 were identified from aerial photographs and field survey. We examined characteristics of rainfall-induced shallow landslides and casual factors affecting landslide distribution with respect to topographic and forest settings, and land use. Most landslides occurred in the study area were the results of a complex combination of precondition, preparatory factors and triggering factors. Cumulative rainfall and high intensity rainfall during short period of time made the study area very sensitive to landslides and played as catalysts to enable other factors including topographic and forest settings, and land use to act more effectively. In addition, some landslides at lower elevation involved channel incision or bank erosion influenced by land use changes such as deforestation and intensification of agriculture surrounding riparian forests or hillslopes. The results suggest that most of landslide were triggered by heavy rainstorms while topographic, forest settings, and land use affected landslide distribution occurred in the study area.

A Runoff Characteristics Analysis for the Design of Interior Drainage Systems at Urbanization Catchment in the Cheju Volcanic Island (제주도 화산도서에서 도시화유역 내수처리시스템 설계를 위한 유출특성분석)

  • 김성원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 1999
  • This study has an object to evaluate runoff characteristics with ILLUDAS model and SWMM owing to each rainfall distribution type of Huff's quartile and each rainfall duration time of 30 ,60, 120 and 180 minutes. As a result of this study, Type-Ⅰ Extreme (TIE) rainfall distribution pattern with Huff's 2nd quartile is adequate for Cheju volcanic island . To decide optimal rain fall duration , time of concentration and critical duration should be compared and analyzed each other. In this study, 30 and 120 miniutes were suggeste to iptiaml duration time of A and B study basins. It is concluded that the magnitude of peak runoff discharge is maximum with Huff's 4th quartile, and that of total runoff volume is maximum with Huff's 4th quartile for ILLUDAS model and with Huff's 1st quartile for SWMM. As rainfall duration time increasing is increasing . Also in case of total runoff volume, volumen by SWMM is less than by ILLUDAS model as to variation ratio of total runoff volume in A and B study basin. Therefore, the resulots of this study canb e sued as basic data in determining adequate rainfoal duration time and rainfall distribution type and used for urban drainage systems analysis and design at small urbanization catchment is Cheju volcanic island.

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Estimating Quantiles of Extreme Rainfall Using a Mixed Gumbel Distribution Model (혼합 검벨분포모형을 이용한 확률강우량의 산정)

  • Yoon, Phil-Yong;Kim, Tae-Woong;Yang, Jeong-Seok;Lee, Seung-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2012
  • Recently, due to various climate variabilities, extreme rainfall events have been occurring all over the world. Extreme rainfall events in Korea mainly result from the summer typhoon storms and the localized convective storms. In order to estimate appropriate quantiles for extreme rainfall, this study considered the probability behavior of daily rainfall from the typhoons and the convective storms which compose the annual maximum rainfalls (AMRs). The conventional rainfall frequency analysis estimates rainfall quantiles based on the assumption that the AMRs are extracted from an identified single population, whereas this study employed a mixed distribution function to incorporate the different statistical characteristics of two types of rainfalls into the hydrologic frequency analysis. Selecting 15 rainfall gauge stations where contain comparatively large number of measurements of daily rainfall, for various return periods, quantiles of daily rainfalls were estimated and analyzed in this study. The results indicate that the mixed Gumbel distribution locally results in significant gains and losses in quantiles. This would provide useful information in designing flood protection systems.

A Derivation of Regional Representative Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship Using Multivariate Analysis (다변량 분석을 이용한 권역별 대표확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Lee, Jung-Sik;Cho, Seong-Geun;Jang, Jin-Uk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.2 s.25
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2007
  • This study is to derive the rainfall intensity formula based on the representative probability distribution using multivariate analysis in Korea. The annual maximum rainfall data at 57 stations having more than 30years long records were used for 12 durations(10min, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 18, 24hr). 50 rainfall characteristics elements are analyzed from the collected data. The widely used 14 probability distributions are applied to the basic data in hydrologic frequency analysis. The homogeneous tests(principal component and cluster analysis) are applied to find the rainfall homogeneity. The results of this study are as followings; (1) The homogeneous test shows that there is no appropriate representative distribution for the whole duration in Korea. But hydrological homogeneous regions of point rainfall could be divided by 5 regions. (2) The GEV distribution for zones I, III, IV, V and the Gumbel distribution for zone II are determined as the representative probability distribution. (3) Comparative analysis of the results shows that the probable rainfalls of representative zones are different from those of existing researches. (4) Rainfall intensity formulas are determined on the basis of the linearization technique for the probable rainfall.

Rainstorm Tracking Using Statistical Analysis Method (통계적 기법을 이용한 국지성집중호우의 이동경로 분석)

  • Kim Sooyoung;Nam Woo-Sung;Heo Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.194-198
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    • 2005
  • Although the rainstorm causes local damage on large scale, it is difficult to predict the movement of the rainstorm exactly. In order to reduce the rainstorm damage of the rainstorm, it is necessary to analyze the path of the rainstorm using various statistical methods. In addition, efficient time interval of rainfall observation for the analysis of the rainstorm movement can be derived by applying various statistical methods to rainfall data. In this study, the rainstorm tracking using statistical method is performed for various types of rainfall data. For the tracking of the rainstorm, the methods of temporal distribution, inclined Plane equations, and cross correlation were applied for various types of data including electromagnetic rainfall gauge data and AWS data. The speed and direction of each method were compared with those of real rainfall movement. In addition, the effective time interval of rainfall observation for the analysis of the rainstorm movement was also investigated for the selected time intervals 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 minutes. As a result, the absolute relative errors of the method of inclined plane equations are smaller than those of other methods in case of electromagnetic rainfall gauges data. The absolute relative errors of the method of cross correlation are smaller than those of other methods in case of AWS data. The absolute relative errors of 30 minutes or less than 30 minutes are smaller than those of other time intervals.

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Prediction of extreme rainfall with a generalized extreme value distribution (일반화 극단 분포를 이용한 강우량 예측)

  • Sung, Yong Kyu;Sohn, Joong K.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.857-865
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    • 2013
  • Extreme rainfall causes heavy losses in human life and properties. Hence many works have been done to predict extreme rainfall by using extreme value distributions. In this study, we use a generalized extreme value distribution to derive the posterior predictive density with hierarchical Bayesian approach based on the data of Seoul area from 1973 to 2010. It becomes clear that the probability of the extreme rainfall is increasing for last 20 years in Seoul area and the model proposed works relatively well for both point prediction and predictive interval approach.

Regression Analysis of the Log-Normally Distributed Data and Mean Field Bias Correction of Radar Rainfall (대수정규분포를 따르는 자료의 회귀분석과 레이더 강우의 편의 보정)

  • Yoo, Chul Sang;Park, Cheol Soon;Yoon, Jung Soo;Ha, Eun Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated the problem of mean-field bias correction under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge rainfall data follow the log-normal distribution. Regression curves for the average, median and mode of the radar and rain gauge rainfall were derived and evaluated for their usefulness. Additionally, these regression curves were compared with those derived under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge data follow the normal distribution. This study investigated the regression results for the Typhoon Meami occurred in 2003 as an example. As results, three regression lines with the radar rainfall as the independent variable were found to underestimate the rainfall, while those with the rain gauge rainfall as the independent variable to overestimate. Among three types of regression curves considered, the result for the average was most appropriate. However this case was found to be inferior to the regression line passing the origin under the assumption of the normal distribution with the rain gauge rainfall as its independent variable. So it was hard to conclude that the consideration of the log-normality on the correction of radar rainfall is beneficial.

Evaluation of the Application of Radar Data for Local Landslide Warning (국지적 산사태 발생 예보를 위한 레이더 자료의 활용성 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Choi, Cheon Kyu;Kim, Kyung Tak;Kim, Joo Hun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2013
  • Landslide in Korea occurs generally in summer, and rainfall is a major factor to trigger landslides. This study evaluates the applicability of radar rainfall to estimate landslide occurs locally in mountainous area. Temporal changes in spatial distribution of rainfall is analyzed using radar data, and the characteristics of rainfall in landslide area during the landslide occurred in Inje, July 2006. This study shows radar rainfall field can estimate local landslides more precisely than the rainfall data from ground gauges.

Rainfall-intensity distribution for an analysis of the effects of rain attenuation (강우감쇠의 영향 분석을 위한 국내 각 지역의 강우강도 분포)

  • 이형수;신철호
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1006-1015
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    • 1998
  • In general, attenuation at frequencies over 20GHz is mainly due to absorption by satmospheric gases, rain, and snow. Among this factors rain become an important limiting factor. Rain attenuation is highly influenced by rainfall-intensity and it varies over time and space. Thus it is requeired to obtain spatial and temporal data of rainfall-intensity for precise prediction of rainfall attenuation. In this paper, rainfall intensity of thiry-two measurement sites in South Korea excluding JeiJdo Islands over recent ten years is obtained and the regional relation between rainfall-intensity and percent of time is analyzed. Also we present the new method about rainfall-intensity cumulative distribution.

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