• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution limit

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What Prompted Shadow Banking in China? Wealth Management Products and Regulatory Arbitrage

  • SHAH, Syed Mehmood Raza;LI, Jianjun;FU, Qiang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2020
  • Shadow banking in China has been growing rapidly; banks use wealth management products aggressively to evade regulatory constraints. The loan-to-deposit ratio or LDR targets both sides of the balance sheet; loans in terms of asset-side, and deposits in terms of liabilities-side; banks needed to control and maintain both sides. Regulators restricted Chinese banks to maintain a 75% limit for their loan-depositratio. Banks' needed to either lower their loans or increase the deposits; WMPs helped banks to evade this limit. Banks issue more WMPs to control and manage a 75% statutory ceiling LDR. This WMPs-LDR positive association disappeared post-2015 period. This study empirically examined how Chinese banks use WMPs issuance to avoid regulatory constraints. Quarterly panel data for 30 top Chinese banks were used by analyzing pre-2015 (during the 75% LDR limit) and post-2015 (after removal of the LDR limit). This study also performed fixed-effects model as recommended by the Hausman specification test, with feasible generalized least squares FGLS estimation technique. The results of this study show that for the pre-2015 period, Chinese banks use issuance of WMPs aggressively to manage their LDR limit; this WMPs-LDR relationship disappeared post-2015 period. Moreover, SMBs use WMPs more eagerly as compare to Big4 banks.

Comparison of Fatigue Strength Criteria for TiNi/Al6061-T6 and TiNi/Al2024-T4 Shape Memory Alloy Composite (TiNi/Al6061-T6과 TiNi/Al2024-T4 형상기억복합재료에 대한 피로강도기준의 비교)

  • Jo, Young-Jik;Park, Young-Chul
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2009
  • This study produced a design curve and fatigue limit for a variation in volume ratio and reduction ratio of TiNi/Al composites. In many cases, stress-life curve does not indicate fatigue limit, so it was presented by probabilistic-stress-life curve. Goodman diagram was used to analyze the fatigue strength of materials with a finite life determined by repeated load and the fatigue strength of endurance limit with an infinite life. The fatigue experiment was conducted using the scenk-type plane bending specimen in same shape. The result of the fatigue test, which had been conducted under consistent stress amplitude, was examined. (i) The optimal condition for TiNi/Al in accordance with hot pressing (ii) Impacts of fatigue limit caused by a variation in reduction ratio and volume ratio of TiNi/Al composites (iii) Probability distribution for fatigue limit of TiNi/Al2024 and TiNi/Al6061.

Evaluation of Fatigue Strength by Graphite in Ductile Cast Iron (구상흑연주철재의 흑연에 의한 피로강도의 평가)

  • 이경모;윤명진;이종형
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.214-221
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    • 2003
  • In this study, based on the effect of the interaction of fracture mechanics by graphite and fatigue limit phenomena of the microscopic observation various matrix structure, spheroidal ratio, size of graphite and distribution etc. parameters containd with Ductile Cast Iron. Therefore, in this study, different ferrite-pearlite matrix structure and spheroidal ratio of graphite of 70%, 80% and 90%, GCD40, GCD45-1 and GCD45-2 series and three different ferrite-pearlite matrix structure, GCD 45-3, GCD 50, GCD 60 series, all of which contain more than 90% spheroidal ratio of graphite, were used to obtain the correlation between mean size of spheroidal graphite and fatigue strength. (1) 73% pearlite structure had the highest fatigue limitation while 36% pearlite structure had the lowest fatigue limitation among ferrite-pearlite matrix. the increase in spheroidal ratio with increasing fatigue limitation, 90% had the highest, 14.3% increasing more then 10%, distribution range of fatigue life was small in same stress level. (2) (equation omitted) of graphite can be used to predict fatigue limit of Ductile Cast Iron. The Statistical distribution of extreme values of (equation omitted) may be used as a guideline for the control of inclusion size in the steelmaking processes.

Optimal Capacity Determination Method of Battery Energy Storage System for Demand Management of Electricity Customer (수용가 수요관리용 전지전력저장시스템의 최적용량 산정방법)

  • Cho, Kyeong-Hee;Kim, Seul-Ki;Kim, Eung-Sang
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2013
  • The paper proposes an optimal sizing method of a customer's battery energy storage system (BESS) which aims at managing the electricity demand of the customer to minimize electricity cost under the time of use(TOU) pricing. Peak load limit of the customer and charging and discharging schedules of the BESS are optimized on annual basis to minimize annual electricity cost, which consists of peak load related basic cost and actual usage cost. The optimal scheduling is used to assess the maximum cost savings for all sets of candidate capacities of BESS. An optimal size of BESS is determined from the cost saving curves via capacity of BESS. Case study uses real data from an apartment-type factory customer and shows how the proposed method can be employed to optimally design the size of BESS for customer demand management.

Clamp Type-dependent HCF Life Estimation of the Overhead Cable for Distribution Grids (고정 방식 차이에 따른 배전 가공전선의 고주기피로 수명 특성 비교 평가)

  • Lee, Dooyoung;Jung, Jinseung;Kim, Youngdae;Bang, Jiye
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.241-248
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    • 2021
  • High cycle fatigue life for the cables with two different types of clamps is estimated comparatively through acceleration testing. The high cycle fatigue fracture of overhead lines is caused mainly by the aeolian vibration which is induced by vortex shedding. It is necessary to manage the integrity of cables continuedly considering that the aeolian vibration is unavoidable since it occurs in steady and relatively low wind velocity. Two types of clamps which are largely used for overhead lines of the distribution grids are selected and failure data are obtained by step stress testing with a electrodynamic shaker with them. The inverse power law is assumed to describe the stress-life relationship and the fatigue limit at any specified life is supposed to follow Weibull distribution. The life of the cable is defined as the number of cycles to the time that one of strands is completely broken. Finally, the fatigue limits of the cables with two clamp types are estimated at the reference life of 500 Mcycles and compared each other based on a bending vibration amplitude.

Statistical analysis of S-N type environmental fatigue data of Ni-base alloy welds using weibull distribution

  • Jae Phil Park;Junhyuk Ham;Subhasish Mohanty;Dayu Fajrul Falaakh;Ji Hyun Kim;Chi Bum Bahn
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.1924-1934
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the probabilistic fatigue life model for Ni-base alloys was developed based on the Weibull distribution using statistical analysis of fatigue data reported in NUREG/CR-6909 and the new fatigue data of Alloy 52M/152 and 82/182. The developed Weibull model can consider right-censored data (i.e., non-failed data) and quantify the improved safety (or reliability) based on the level of failure probability. The overall margin in the current fatigue design limit model (ASME design curve + NUREG/CR-6909 Fen model) is similar to that of the Weibull model with a cumulative failure probability of approximately 2.5%. The margin in the current fatigue design limit model demonstrated inconsistencies for the Ni-base alloy weld data, whereas the Weibull model showed a consistent margin. Therefore, the Weibull model can systematically mitigate the excessive safety margin.

Effect of zero imputation methods for log-transformation of independent variables in logistic regression

  • Seo Young Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.409-425
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    • 2024
  • Logistic regression models are commonly used to explain binary health outcome variable using independent variables such as patient characteristics in medical science and public health research. Although there is no distributional assumption required for independent variables in logistic regression, variables with severely right-skewed distribution such as lab values are often log-transformed to achieve symmetry or approximate normality. However, lab values often have zeros due to limit of detection which makes it impossible to apply log-transformation. Therefore, preprocessing to handle zeros in the observation before log-transformation is necessary. In this study, five methods that remove zeros (shift by 1, shift by half of the smallest nonzero, shift by square root of the smallest nonzero, replace zeros with half of the smallest nonzero, replace zeros with the square root of the smallest nonzero) are investigated in logistic regression setting. To evaluate performances of these methods, we performed a simulation study based on randomly generated data from log-normal distribution and logistic regression model. Shift by 1 method has the worst performance, and overall shift by half of the smallest nonzero method, replace zeros with half of the smallest nonzero method, and replace zeros with the square root of the smallest nonzero method showed comparable and stable performances.

Testing Exponentiality Based on EDF Statistics for Randomly Censored Data when the Scale Parameter is Unknown (척도모수가 미지인 임의중도절단자료의 EDF 통계량을 이용한 지수 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2012
  • The simplest and the most important distribution in survival analysis is exponential distribution. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function; however, it could not be practical for a real data set since the statistic is for testing a simple goodness of fit hypothesis. We generalized it to the composite hypothesis for exponentiality with an unknown scale parameter. We also considered the classical Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and generalized it by the exact same way. The two statistics are compared through a simulation study. As a result, we can see that the generalized Koziol-Green statistic has better power in most of the alternative distributions considered.

Testing Log Normality for Randomly Censored Data (임의중도절단자료에 대한 로그정규성 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.883-891
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    • 2011
  • For survival data we sometimes want to test a log normality hypothesis that can be changed into normality by transforming the survival data. Hence the Shapiro-Wilk type statistic for normality is generalized to randomly censored data based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version under the simpl hypothesis. These two test statistics are compared through a simulation study. As for the distribution of censoring variables, we consider Koziol and Green (1976)'s model and other similar models. Through the simulation results, we can see that the power of the proposed statistic is higher than that of Koziol-Green statistic and that the proportion of the censored observations (rather than the distribution of censoring variables) has a strong influence on the power of the proposed statistic.

Extreme value modeling of structural load effects with non-identical distribution using clustering

  • Zhou, Junyong;Ruan, Xin;Shi, Xuefei;Pan, Chudong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.74 no.1
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2020
  • The common practice to predict the characteristic structural load effects (LEs) in long reference periods is to employ the extreme value theory (EVT) for building limit distributions. However, most applications ignore that LEs are driven by multiple loading events and thus do not have the identical distribution, a prerequisite for EVT. In this study, we propose the composite extreme value modeling approach using clustering to (a) cluster initial blended samples into finite identical distributed subsamples using the finite mixture model, expectation-maximization algorithm, and the Akaike information criterion; (b) combine limit distributions of subsamples into a composite prediction equation using the generalized Pareto distribution based on a joint threshold. The proposed approach was validated both through numerical examples with known solutions and engineering applications of bridge traffic LEs on a long-span bridge. The results indicate that a joint threshold largely benefits the composite extreme value modeling, many appropriate tail approaching models can be used, and the equation form is simply the sum of the weighted models. In numerical examples, the proposed approach using clustering generated accurate extrema prediction of any reference period compared with the known solutions, whereas the common practice of employing EVT without clustering on the mixture data showed large deviations. Real-world bridge traffic LEs are driven by multi-events and present multipeak distributions, and the proposed approach is more capable of capturing the tendency of tailed LEs than the conventional approach. The proposed approach is expected to have wide applications to general problems such as samples that are driven by multiple events and that do not have the identical distribution.