• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제53권3호
• /
• pp.155-166
• /
• 2020

In this study, we applied the Radar-AWS Rainrates (RAR), weather radar-based quantitative precipitation estimations (QPEs), to the Yongdam study watershed in order to perform the flood runoff simulation and calculate the inflow of the dam during flood events using hydrologic model. Since the Yongdam study watershed is a representative area of the mountainous terrain in South Korea and has a relatively large number of monitoring stations (water level/flow) and data compared to other dam watershed, an accurate analysis of the time and space variability of radar rainfall in the mountainous dam watershed can be examined in the flood modeling. HEC-HMS, which is a relatively simple model for adopting spatially distributed rainfall, was applied to the hydrological simulations using HEC-GeoHMS and ModClark method with a total of eight independent flood events that occurred during the last five years (2014 to 2018). In addition, two NCL and Python script programs are developed to process the radar-based precipitation data for the use of hydrological modeling. The results demonstrate that the RAR QPEs shows rather underestimate trends in larger values for validation against gauged observations (R² 0.86), but is an adequate input to apply flood runoff simulation efficiently for a dam watershed, showing relatively good model performance (E_NS 0.86, R² 0.87, and PBIAS 7.49%) with less requirements for the calibration of transform and routing parameters than the spatially averaged model simulations in HEC-HMS.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제55권12호
• /
• pp.1115-1124
• /
• 2022

The impact of climate change on water resources was evaluated for Chungju Dam and Soyang-gang Dam basins by constructing an integrated modeling framework consisting of a dam inflow prediction model based on the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, a distributed hydrologic model, and an LSTM based dam outflow prediction model. Considering the uncertainty of future climate data, four models of CMIP6 GCM were used as input data of VIC model for future period (2021-2100). As a result of applying future climate data, the average inflow for period increased as the future progressed, and the inflow in the far future (2070-2100) increased by up to 22% compared to that of the observation period (1986-2020). The minimum value of dam discharge lasting 4~50 days was significantly lower than the observed value. This indicates that droughts may occur over a longer period than observed in the past, meaning that citizens of Seoul metropolitan areas may experience severe water shortages due to future droughts. In addition, compared to the near and middle futures, the change in water storage has occurred rapidly in the far future, suggesting that the difficulties of water resource management may increase.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.45-55
• /
• 2008

The impact on streamflow and groundwater recharge considering future potential climate and land use change was assessed using SLURP (Semi-distributed Land-Use Runoff Process) continuous hydrologic model. The model was calibrated and verified using 4 years (1999-2002) daily observed streamflow data for a $260.4km^2$ which has been continuously urbanized during the past couple of decades. The model was calibrated and validated with the coefficient of determination and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency ranging from 0.8 to 0.7 and 0.7 to 0.5, respectively. The CCCma CGCM2 data by two SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) climate change scenarios (A2 and B2) of the IPCC (Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change) were adopted and the future weather data was downscaled by Delta Change Method using 30 years (1977 - 2006, baseline period) weather data. The future land uses were predicted by CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov technique using the time series land use data of Landsat images. The future land uses showed that the forest and paddy area decreased 10.8 % and 6.2 % respectively while the urban area increased 14.2 %. For the future vegetation cover information, a linear regression between monthly NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) from NOAA/AVHRR images and monthly mean temperature using five years (1998 - 2002) data was derived for each land use class. The future highest NDVI value was 0.61 while the current highest NDVI value was 0.52. The model results showed that the future predicted runoff ratio ranged from 46 % to 48 % while the present runoff ratio was 59 %. On the other hand, the impact on runoff ratio by land use change showed about 3 % increase comparing with the present land use condition. The streamflow and groundwater recharge was big decrease in the future.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제47권10호
• /
• pp.945-958
• /
• 2014

Soil temperature is one of the most important environmental factors that govern hydrological and biogeochemical processes related to diffuse pollution. In this study, considering the snowmelting and the soil freezing-thawing processes, a set of computer codes to estimate winter soil temperature has been developed for CAMEL (Chemicals, Agricultural Management and Erosion Losses), a distributed watershed model. The model was calibrated and validated against the field measurements for three months at 4 sites across the study catchment in a rural area of Yeoju, Korea. The degree of agreement between the simulated and the observed soil temperature is good for the soil surface ($R^2$ 0.71~0.95, RMSE $0.89{\sim}1.49^{\circ}C$). As for the subsurface soils, however, the simulation results are not as good as for the soil surface ($R^2$ 0.51~0.97, RMSE $0.51{\sim}5.08^{\circ}C$) which is considered resulting from vertically-homogeneous soil textures assumed in the model. The model well simulates the blanket effect of snowpack and the latent heat flux in the soil freezing-thawing processes. Although there is some discrepancy between the simulated and the observed soil temperature due to limitations of the model structure and the lack of data, the model reasonably well simulates the temporal and spatial distributions of the soil temperature and the snow water equivalent in accordance with the land uses and the topography of the study catchment.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
• /
• pp.1797-1801
• /
• 2006

수문모형은 많은 물리적, 식생적, 기후적, 인위적 요소들의 결과로 기인하는 수문학적 특성을 나타내는 유역의 복잡한 시스템을 현실적으로 표현하는 도구로써 인식되어 왔다. 공간적으로 분포된 수문모형들은 1960년대 처음으로 개발되었으며, 수문학과 수자원관리 분야에서 원격탐사데이터와 지리정보시스템의 그 역할은 급속도록 증가하였다. 비록 원격탐사자료가 수문학분야에 실제 적용된 경우는 매우 적지만, 그 효용성은 크다고 할 수 있다. 수문 모델링과 모니터링분야에서 원격탐사 자료를 이용함에 있어 가장 큰 장점 중의 하나는 시공간적인 정보를 지속적으로 생산할 수 있게 되었다는 점이다. 이와 같은 능력은 성공적인 모형의 분석과 예측, 검증을 위한 작업에 필수적이다. 본 연구는 준 분포형 수문학적 모형인 SLURP 모형을 경안천 유역을 대상으로 적용하였으며, MODIS 위성영상을 이용하여 제작한 엽면적지수(LAI), 정규식생지수(NDVI)를 수문모형의 입력자료로 활용하여 경안 수위표 지점에서 일 유출량 모의를 실시하였다. 또한, 각각의 원격탐사 자료가 모의된 증발산량의 민감도에 어떤 영향을 미치는 가를 분석하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제40권8호
• /
• pp.617-628
• /
• 2007

The purpose of this paper is to prepare snowmelt parameters using RS and GIS and to assess the snowmelt impact in SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Process) model for Chungju-Dam watershed $(6,661.5km^2)$. Three sets of NOAA AVHRR images (1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2001-2002) were analyzed to prepare snow-related data of the model during winter period. Snow cover areas were extracted using 1, 3 and 4 channels, and the snow depth was spatially interpolated using snowfall data of ground meteorological stations. With the snowmelt parameters, DEM (Digital Elevation Model), land cover, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and weather data, the model was calibrated for 3 years (1998, 2000, 2001), and verified for 1 year (1999) using the calibrated parameters. The average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies for 4 years (1998-2001) discharge comparison with and without snowmelt parameters were 0.76 and 0.73 for the full period, and 0.57 and 0.19 for the period of January to May. The results showed that the spatially prepared snow-related data reduced the calibration effort and enhanced the model results.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제43권11호
• /
• pp.995-1009
• /
• 2010

Accelerated soil erosion due to extreme climate change, such as increased rainfall intensity, and human-induced environmental changes, is a widely recognized problem. Existing soil erosion models are generally based on the gross erosion concept to compute annual upland soil loss in tons per acre per year. However, such models are not suitable for event-based simulations of erosion and deposition in time and space. Recent advances in computer geographic information system (GIS) technologies have allowed hydrologists to develop physically based models, and the trend in erosion prediction is towards process-based models, instead of conceptually lumped models. This study aims to propose an effective and robust distributed rainfall-sediment yield-runoff model consisting of basic element modules: a rainfall-runoff module based on the kinematic wave method for subsurface and surface flow, and a runoff-sediment yield-runoff model based on the unit stream power method. The model was tested on the Cheoncheon catchment, upstream of the Yongdam dam using hydrological data for three extreme flood events due to typhoons. The model provided acceptable simulation results with respect to both discharge and sediment discharge even though the simulated sedigraphs were underestimated, compared to observations. The spatial distribution of erosion and deposition demonstrated that eroded sediment loads were deposited in the cells along the channel network, which have a short overland flow length and a gentle local slope while the erosion rate increased as rainfall became larger. Additionally, spatially heterogeneous rainfall intensity, dependant on Thiessen polygons, led to spatially-distinct erosion and deposition patterns.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• 제38권8호
• /
• pp.645-653
• /
• 2005

Water cycle analysis in the Cheonggyecheon watershed(river length: 13.75 km, area: $50.96\;km^2$) was performed using WEP model, a physically based distributed rainfall-runoff model. As the application results of the model, the hydrological characteristics of the Cheonggyecheon watershed are significantly consistent with those of a typical urbanized watershed. The direct runoff from the watershed was larger and the evapotranspiration. was lower, and the response of runoff to rainfall was occurred very fast, as compared to forest watersheds. The river channel routing simulation results are similar to the change pattern and scale of the field data. The possible supply period of instream flow from Cheonggyecheoon watershed itself was estimated using WEP. According to the WEP simulation results for the annual water balance of the Cheonggyecheon watershed in 2002, the amount of direct runoff, infiltration and evapotranspiration were 830 mm, 388 mm and 397 mm respectively for an annual precipitation of 1,388 mm. The runoff to rivers was 1,288 mm. And the proportion of direct runoff, intermediate runoff and groundwater runoff were $67.6\%,\;12.7\%$ and $19.7\%$ respectively.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• 제38권4호
• /
• pp.517-526
• /
• 2018

As groundwater recharge shows the heterogeneity in space and time due to land use and soil types, estimating daily recharge by integrated hydrologic analysis is needed. In this work, the SWAT-MODFLOW model was applied to compute daily based groundwater recharge in Jangseong region. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by comparing the observed and calculated values of the unsteady groundwater flow levels after calibrating the observed and calculated flow rates of the stream for a hydrological analysis. The estimated hydrologic components showed a strong correlation with each other and significant spatial variations regarding the groundwater recharge rate in accordance with the heterogeneous watershed characteristics such as subbasin slope, land use, and soil type. Overall, it was concluded that the coupled hydrologic models were capable of simulating the spatial variation with respect to the hydrologic component process in surface water and groundwater. The average recharge rate was estimated at approximately 20.8%.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
• /
• 제17권2호
• /
• pp.71-79
• /
• 2009

In this study, a distributed rainfall-runoff model, K-DRUM, based on physical kinematic wave was developed to simulate temporal and spatial distribution of flood discharge considering grid rainfall and grid based GIS hydrological parameters. The developed model can simulate temporal and spatial distribution of surface flow and sub-surface flow during flood period, and input parameters of ASCII format as pre-process can be extracted using ArcView. Output results of ASCII format as post-process can be created to express distribution of discharge in the watershed using GIS and express discharge as animation using TecPlot. an auto calibration method for initial soil moisture conditions that have an effect on discharge in the physics based K-DRUM was additionally developed. The baseflow for Namgang Dam Watershed was analysed to review the applicability of the developed auto calibration method. The accuracy of discharge analysis for application of the method was evaluated using RMSE and NRMSE. Problems in running time and inaccuracy setting using the existing trial and error method were solved by applying an auto calibration method in setting initial soil moisture conditions of K-DRUM.