• Title/Summary/Keyword: Discrete Choice Model

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Relative Importance of Different Attributes of Graphic Health Warnings on Tobacco Packages in Viet Nam

  • Kim, Bao Giang;Le, Hong Chung;Hoang, Van Minh;Vu, Duy Kien;Vu, Van Giap;Nguyen, Duc Hinh;Nguyen, Manh Cuong;Pham, Duc Manh;Ha, Anh Duc;Yang, Jui-Chen
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.sup1
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2016
  • Graphic health warnings (GHW) on tobacco packages have proven to be effective in increasing quit attempts among smokers and reducing initial smoking among adolescents. This research aimed to examine the relative importance of different attributes of graphic health warnings on tobacco packages in Viet Nam. A discrete choice experimental (DCE) design was applied with a conditional logit model. In addition, a ranking method was used to list from the least to the most dreadful GHW labels. With the results from DCE model, graphic type was shown to be the most important attribute, followed by cost and coverage area of GHW. The least important attribute was position of the GHW. Among 5 graphic types (internal lung cancer image, external damaged teeth, abstract image, human suffering image and text), the image of lung cancer was found to have the strongest influence on both smokers and non-smokers. With ranking method, the image of throat cancer and heart diseases were considered the most dreadful images. GHWs should be designed with these attributes in mind, to maximise influence on purchase among both smokers and non-smokers.

A Study on the Flight Service Network for Incheon International Airport to be a Successful Hub Airport in Northeast Asia (인천국제공항의 허브 경쟁력 강화를 위한 효율적 비행편 서비스망 구성방법에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Kwang Eui;Lee, Yeong Heok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 1998
  • Incheon International Airport(IIA) is planned to open in about two years. Korean government has an ambition to make IIA a major hub airport in Northeast Asia. The most essential and required condition for an airport to be a successful hub airport in a certain region is to have more efficient flight service network than the other airports in the same region. IIA should compete with Japanese airports to be a major hub in Northeast Asia because Japanese government also has a plan to expand greatly the airport capacity in Tokyo area and Kansai airport in Osaka. It is necessary for both IIA and Korean national air carriers to compose efficient flight service network considering hub competition with Japanese major airports. As the liberalization of international air transport industry would give more marketing freedom to airlines, they would plan the flight service network and flight schedule based on market analysis instead of governmental regulations. In the economically liberalized environment, it is very required to analyze air passengers' flight choice behaviour in order to induce other carriers and passengers through IIA's attractive flight service network. Disaggregate model is more appropriate than aggregate model to analyze consumers' behaviour. The information derived from disaggregate choice model of air passengers could be utilized in devising efficient flight network and schedule plan. Value of travel time or trade off ratio between flight frequency and travel time which could be estimated from discrete choice model could be utilized for scheduling an efficient flight plan for airlines and composing efficient flight service network for IIA.

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Analysis of the Elderly Travel Characteristics and Travel Behavior with Daily Activity Schedules (the Case of Seoul, Korea) (활동 스케줄 분석을 통한 고령자의 통행특성과 통행행태에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Sang-Eon;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok;Kim, Sun-Gwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.89-108
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    • 2006
  • Korea has been entering the ageing society as the population of age over 65 shared over 7% since the year 2000. The ageing society needs to have transportation facility considering elderly people's travel behavior. This study aims to understand the elderly people's travel behavior using recent data in Korea. The activity schedule approach begins with travel outcomes are part of an activitv scheduling decision. For tho?e approach. used discrete choice models (especially. Nested Logit Model) to address the basic modeling problem capturing decision interaction among the many choice dimensions of the immense activity schedule choice set The day activity schedule is viewed as a sot of tours and at-home activity episodes tied togather with overarching day activity pattern using the Seoul Metropolitan Area Transportation Survey data, which was conducted in June, 2002. Decisions about a specific tour in the schedule are conditioned by the choice of day activity pattern. The day activity scheduling model estimated in this study consists of tours interrelated in a day activity pattern. The day activity pattern model represents the basic decision of activity participation and priorities and places each activity in a configuration of tours and at-home episodes. Each pattern alternative is defined by the primary activity of the day, whether the primary activity occurs at home or away, and the type of tour for the primary activity. In travel mode choice of the elderly and non-workers, especially, travel cost was found to be important in understanding interpersonal variations in mode choice behavior though, travel time was found to be less important factor in choosing travel mode. In addition, although, generally, the elderly was likely to choose transit mode, private mode was preferred for the elderly over 75 years old owing to weakened physical health for such things as going up and down of stairs. Therefore. as entering the ageing society, transit mode should be invested heavily in transportation facility Planning tor improving elderly transportation service. Although the model has not yet been validated in before-and-after prediction studies. this study gives strong evidence of its behavioral soundness, current practicality. and potential for improving reliability of transportation Projects superior to those of the best existing systems in Korea.

Preferences for Supercomputer Resources Using the Logit Model

  • Hyungwook Shim;Jaegyoon Hahm
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2023
  • Public research, which requires large computational resources, utilizes the supercomputers of the National Supercomputing Center in the Republic of Korea. The average utilization rate of resources over the past three years reached 80%. Therefore, to ensure the operational stability of this national infrastructure, specialized centers have been established to distribute the computational demand concentrated in the national centers. It is necessary to predict the computational demand accurately to build an appropriate resource scale. Therefore, it is important to estimate the inflow and outflow of computational demand between the national and specialized centers to size the resources required to construct specialized centers. We conducted a logit model analysis using the probabilistic utility theory to derive the preferences of individual users for future supercomputer resources. This analysis shows that the computational demand share of specialized centers is 59.5%, which exceeds the resource utilization plan of existing specialized centers.

Electricity Demand and the Impact of Pricing Reform: An Analysis with Household Expenditure Data (가구별 소비자료를 이용한 전력수요함수 추정 및 요금제도 변경의 효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Kang, Hye-Jung;Kim, Yong-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.409-434
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    • 2014
  • This paper estimates household demand for electricity using a micro-level household expenditure data set. A two-stage estimation method where the endogenous block price estimates are obtained from a discrete block choice model is used. This method successfully identifies a downward sloping conditional demand function with the data, while both the usual two-stage method with instrumental variable estimation and the Hewitt-Hanemann discrete-continuous model fail to do that. The paper simulates the impacts of two hypothetical pricing reforms that reduce the number of blocks and make the price gap smaller. It is shown that the reform may increase the overall consumer benefit, but is regressive.

The application of Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value Model on fresh meat purchase in Korea (다중 이산 연속선택모형(MDCEV)을 이용한 한국 소비자의 신선육 구매 결정 요인)

  • Song, Cheol Ho;Eom, Jin Yong;Jang, Ik Hoon;Choe, Young Chan
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 2017
  • Modeling the consumer demand of fresh meat requires its distinct feature which other types of food product does not have. Most of the fresh meat products are likely to be unbranded, bought on a weight basis and affected by macro shocks such as seasonality, holiday effect and the disease incidence. Furthermore, consumers tend to purchase multiple categories of fresh meat in a week. Therefore, we apply a multiple discrete/continuous model on fresh meat consumption data to study the effect of macro shocks on fresh meat sales as well as of price change. As a result shows, Each fresh meat is relatively more likely to be bought in peak season of each fresh meat compared with imported pork which is set as a 'reference category' in this analysis. For clarity of the effect of disease incidence, we perform further analysis regarding the effect of livestock disease on fresh meat purchase probability. It shows that the avian flu in 2014 has strong negative impact on the purchase probability of chicken and the foot-and-mouth disease has negative impact on the purchase probability of pork and beef for part of outbreak periods.

The Least Absolute Deviations Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model (조건부가치측정모형의 최소절대편차추정)

  • Kim, Dongil
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.515-545
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces the least absolute deviations estimation of the contingent valuation model, which corresponds to the semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models by Manski (1975, 1985) and Lee (1992). The least absolute deviations estimation is more robust to mis-specified distributional assumptions in the estimation of the contingent valuation model, compared to the maximum likelihood estimation. The full identification and strong consistency of the estimation are proved and its application to different formats of contingent valuation survey data is discussed. Simulation studies are designed to evaluate its operational characteristics including computational strategies, small sample properties and the efficiency gain of a follow-up question. The bias and efficiency of least absolute deviations and maximum likelihood estimation are compared in the presence of heteroskedasticity.

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Inherent Random Heterogeneity Logit Model for Stated Preference Freight Mode Choice (SP 화물수단선택을 위한 Inherent Random Heterogeneity 로짓 모형 연구)

  • KIM, Kang-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2002
  • Freight mode choice models are essential to the analysis of many areas of transport research. However, observations of actual market choices have only been made in a limited number of situations. Therefore, stated preference(SP) techniques have emerged as an alternative source of actual market choices to be used for estimating freight mode choice models. Considerable confidence exists about SP data, but little consideration has been given to the potential for estimation bias. This paper has been motivated by the theoretical side of estimating SP discrete choice models, focusing on a case study of freight mode choice. Recently developed simulation methods are used to construct inherent random heterogeneity legit models, which consider individual heterogeneity, its inheritance to the next choices and overcome the independence from irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property. This Paper contributes to the development of models dealing with heterogeneity and its inheritance, and sheds light on the heterogeneity of freight transport.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on Freeway Climbing Lanes (고속도로 오르막차로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Youn, Seokmin;Joo, Shinhye;Lee, Seolyoung;Oh, Cheol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to analyze factors affecting traffic accident severity for determining countermeasures on freeway climbing lanes. METHODS : In this study, an ordered probit model, which is a widely used discrete choice model for categorizing crash severity, was employed. RESULTS : Results suggest that factors affecting traffic accident severity on climbing lanes include speed, drowsy driving, grade of uphill 3%, gender (male offender and male victim), and cloud weather. CONCLUSIONS : Several countermeasures are proposed for improving traffic safety on freeway climbing lanes based on the analysis of crash severity. More extensive analysis with a larger data set and various modeling techniques are required for generalizing the results.

Estimating the Cost of Air Pollution on Morbidity: Focusing on Hospital Visit for Acute Respiratory Diseases (대기오염으로 인한 건강효과의 경제적 비용 -급성 호흡기 질환 외래환자를 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Young Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.659-687
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    • 2002
  • This study used a discrete choice model to investigate an association between air pollution and hospital visits for acute respiratory symptoms with the national health interview survey conducted in 1998 in South Korea. The results showed that $NO_2$ and TSP were significantly related to hospital visits in a single-pollutant model, but when they were simultaneously considered, only $NO_2$ remained significant. It was estimated as $NO_2$ level increased by 10%(0.0027ppm) from 0.027ppm (the mean $NO_2$ level), hospital visits increase by 0.176%. This study also measured respondent's out-of-pocket expense and the time cost for commuting and waiting for the visit. We found that on the average, out-of-pocket expense is 5,600 won per hospital visit, but the total cost per hospital visit is measured at 33,440 won with time cost of commuting and waiting at 27,840 won. Time cost was over 63.6~83.3% of the total cost per hospital visit.

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