• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster Rate Analysis

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Analysis on the Implementation Status of Domestic PBD (Performance Based Design) - Focusing on the Fire Scenario and Simulation (국내 성능위주설계의 시행현황 분석 - 화재시나리오 및 시뮬레이션을 중심으로)

  • An, Sung-Ho;Mun, Sun-Yeo;Ryu, Ill-Hyun;Choi, Jun-Ho;Hwang, Cheol-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2017
  • The current status of Performance-Based Design (PBD) implemented in 4 wide areas (Seoul, Gyeonggi, Incheon and Busan) over the past 5 years was reviewed with regard to the number of PBD implementation and target buildings. Then, detailed status related to fire scenarios, input information for fire simulation, and grid size were analyzed with the pre-review for the PBD. As a result, the domestic PBD was mainly applied to the mixed occupancy. In the fire simulations performed on the identical fire scenario and fire space, the maximum heat release rate (HRR) varied significantly depending on the PBD designer. Various combustibles were also considered for the identical fire source, and their combustion properties also showed considerable uncertainty. In addition, the applicability of accurate input information for predictive models of heat and smoke detectors was examined. Finally, the average grid size for the fire simulation using Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) was analyzed, and the improvement of PBD to minimize designer dependency was proposed.

Cause Analysis and Improvement Suggestion for Flood Accident in Dorimcheon - Focused on the Tripping and Isolation Accidents (도림천에서 발생한 고립 및 실족사고의 원인분석을 통한 개선방안 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Su;Jeon, Jong-Hyeong;Kim, Tai-Hoon;Kim, Hyunju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the causes of flood accidents, such as isolation and lost footing accidents in Dorimcheon, to provide legal and institutional improvements. For cause analysis, Field Investigation, Stakeholder Interview, Report, manual, Law et al. Review, Analysis of water level change characteristics, automatic alarm issuance standard level analysis, and evacuation time according to river control were evaluated. Dorimcheon has the characteristics of a typical urban river, which is disadvantageous in terms of water control. In addition, the risk of flood accidents is high because the section where fatal accidents occur forms sharply curved channels. Tripping and isolation accidents occur in the floodplain watch and evacuation stage, which is the stage before the flood watch and warning is issued. Because floodplain evacuation is issued only when the water level rises to the floodplain, an immediate response according to the rainfall forecast is essential. Furthermore, considering that the rate of water level rise is up to 2.62 cm/min in Sillimgyo 3 and Gwanakdorimgyo, sufficient evacuation time is not secured after the floodplain watch is issued. Considering that fatal accidents occurred 0.46 m below the standard water level for the flood watch, complete control is very important, such as blocking the entry of rivers to prevent accidents. Based on these results, four improvement measures were suggested, and it is expected to contribute to the prevention of Tripping and Isolation Accidents occurring in rivers.

An Actual Analysis of Web Accessibility of Disaster Response Agencies using K-WAH4.4 (K-WAH4.4를 이용한 재난대응기관의 웹 접근성 실태분석)

  • Lee, Young-Sik;Choi, Chul-Jae;Jang, Jae-Yeol;Choi, Jin-Sik
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the web accessibility of institutions and organizations that are related to disaster response we evaluate analysis. Along with the legal enforcement of Web accessibility, It is because shall comply with web accessibility. we have applied the K-WAH4.4 as an evaluation tool for web accessibility compliance of actual conditions. Look at the degree of compliance with the six detailed procedure of the web site, we request to the improvement of Web accessibility. Based on the guidelines 2.0, looked to the insufficient compliance rate at 61.8%. Then, we propose the need for improvement to enhance Web accessibility.

Simulation Analysis of Safety Evacuation in University Experiment Building

  • Tao Zhang;Ha-Sung Kong
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.218-226
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    • 2024
  • According to the actual situation of a university, the emergency evacuation simulation is modeled based on the physical sign, evacuation speed and personnel ratio using the pathfinder software.The experimental construction export utilization rate is compared with the preliminary simulation scenario. The simulation results show that the utilization rate of evacuation stairs and evacuation exits is significantly improved.The optimized solution can provide the most effective evacuation passage, and the research results can provide the basis for the rational planning and management of evacuation passage in university experiment building.

A Study on Fire Scenario Analysis Based on Fire Statistics for Building Fire Risk Analysis (건축물 화재위험평가를 위한 화재통계 기반 화재시나리오 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-Hyeon;Kim, Hye-Won;Koo, In-Hyuk;Kwon, Yeong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.81-82
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to establish a methodology for rational fire risk assessment for building evacuation safety in case of fire, and specifically, to propose a fire risk assessment technique using fire scenarios considering various uncertain factors in case of fire. In order to analyze the extent to which the assumed conditions can occur, that is, the probability of each accident caused by fire, the safety rate is analyzed according to the presence or absence of each factor by using fire statistics. Factors related to the fire protection performance and evacuation ability of buildings are defined as disaster factors. In this study, disaster factors were classified into the following three categories.

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Measurement of Severity of Hazards and Investment in Occupational Safety & Health According to Ship Types Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 조선업 선종별 위험도 및 안전관리 수요 예산에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Bin;Chang, Seong-Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 2012
  • Although reinforcement of work intensity caused by the recent prosperity of shipbuilding businesses and the steady increasing of results which produces orders has difficulties with heavy workload, unique work circumstance in shipbuilding industry where main and subcontractor do the job together is not easy to manage its safety systematically. According to KOSHA(Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency), there were 2, 587 deaths of 95,806 disaster victims a year on average for late 6 years(2003-2008), therein 36,605 disaster victims and 646 death in manufacture where shipbuilding have 2,287 victims, 6.25% of total disaster victims and 45 deaths, 6.97%. Moreover it shows much higher accident rate in shipbuilding industry in Korea than well developed countries in this industry as Japan, Singapore, Taiwan and so it does about 3 to 10 times higher in case of death. Compared to Japan with a shipbuilding competition of orders received system, 2 times and 2.3 times higher for each and it is more than 2 times higher than accident rate of all domestic industries. These increasing of disaster result in a labor-management dispute and it is necessary that more positive efforts and investments because there occurs blind spot, neglected industry safety and health management by lack of them, Therefore this study, for the effective safety and health management of shipbuilding industry, attempts to analyze risk on kinds of ships and budget needed in safety management through classifying ships that are being made recently by three dominate major companies. For this, we carried out a survey and interview targeting experts related to shipbuilding industry and used AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) for result analysis. It is considered that cost of safety and health management will be spent more effectively on the results about risk on kinds of ships and budget needed in safety management in the study and that this study can contribute to decreasing disasters in shipbuilding industry.

Characteristics of HFIX Insulated Wire Sheaths Contaminated by Pollutants (오염물질에 따른 HFIX 절연전선 피복의 특성 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Su-Gil;Nam, Yeong-Jae;Jin, Se-Young;Kim, Si-Kuk
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.8-17
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the characteristics of HFIX insulated wire sheaths contaminated by pollutants were examined. KS C IEC 60811-1-3 standard was followed in performing the water-resistance wire tests. Pollutants were selected, and the specimens were exposed to the pollutants for a maximum duration of four weeks. The maximum tensile load and the elongation rate were measured each week. As the period of pollution exposure increased, the maximum tensile load of the specimens decreased by 6.22% and 6.52% at room temperature and high temperature, respectively, and 19.94% for specimens coated with a rust-proof lubricant. The elongation rate also decreased rapidly, such that the reductions in the properties of the sheath were significant. From the analysis of the surfaces using a scanning microscope, as the contamination period increased, structural changes such as perforation, split, and melting occurred, and the mechanical properties of the specimens decreased. Therefore, it is necessary to develop and follow an inspection cycle and periodically carry out repairs to prevent the deterioration of insulated wires.

Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster Using Spatial Prediction Model (공간 예측 모델을 이용한 산사태 재해의 인명 위험평가)

  • Jang, Dong-Ho;Chung, C.F.
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2006
  • The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

UPV Prediction Method on Compressive Strength of High Strength Concrete Mixed with Non-Sintered Hwangto at Early Age (초기 재령에서 비소성 황토 혼입 고강도 콘크리트의 압축강도 발현 예측을 위한 초음파 속도법 검토)

  • Young-Jin Nam;Won-Chang Kim;Hyeong-Gil Choi;Gyu-Yong Kim;Tae-Gyu Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the mechanical properties of high-strength concrete according to the substitution rate of NSH(Non-sintered Hwangto) as an alternative material for cement were measured and evaluated. Through UPV(Ultrasonic pulse velocity) analysis, the compressive strength prediction equation was proposed, and the substitution rate of NSH was set at 15 % and 30 %. The evaluation items were compressive strength and UPV, and the curing period was set to 24 hours. In compressive strength and UPV, as the NSH substitution rate increased, lower strength and lower UPV were shown. In addition, the correlation number(R2 ) between compressive strength and UPV was 0.99 for NC(Normal Concrete), 0.97 for NSHC(Non-sintered Hwangto Concrete)33-15, and 0.94 for NSHC33-30.

Analysis of Discriminant Accuracy of Estimated Load Carrying Capacity in Bridges (교량 추정 내하율 판별 정확도 분석)

  • Kyu San Jung;Dong Woo Seo;Byeong Cheol Kim;Gun Soo Kim;Ki Tae Park;Woo Jong Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2023
  • This paper presents the results of an analysis of the discrimination accuracy of a bridge load carrying capacity estimation model based on data from inspection reports. The load carrying rate estimation model was derived using statistical methods through the collection of 2,161 inspection reports. By entering the bridge specifications and maintenance information, you can check the estimated load carrying capacity of the bridge. In order to verify the discrimination accuracy of the estimated load carrying rate model, the estimated load carrying rate was compared with the load carrying rate in the inspection and diagnosis report for 164 public bridges for which data was available. Although there are differences depending on the bridge type, the results were obtained with an accuracy of over 80% in determining the estimated load carrying capacity.