• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dementia Prediction Model

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A Prediction Model for Unmet Needs of Elders with Dementia and Caregiving Experiences of Family Caregivers (재가치매 환자의 미충족요구와 가족부양자의 돌봄경험 예측모형)

  • Choi, Sora;Park, Myonghwa
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.663-674
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purposes of this study were to develop and test a prediction model for caregiving experiences including caregiving satisfaction and burden in dementia family caregivers. Methods: The stress process model and a two factor model were used as the conceptual frameworks. Secondary data analysis was done with 320 family caregivers who were selected from the Seoul Dementia Management Survey (2014) data set. In the hypothesis model, the exogenous variable was patient symptomatology which included cognitive impairment, behavioral problems, dependency in activity of daily living and in instrumental activity of daily living. Endogenous variables were caregiver's perception of dementia patient's unmet needs, caregiving satisfaction and caregiving burden. Data were analysed using SPSS/WINdows and AMOS program. Results: Caregiving burden was explained by patient symptomatology and caregiving satisfaction indicating significant direct effects and significant indirect effect from unmet needs. The proposed model explained 37.8% of the variance. Caregiving satisfaction was explained by patient symptomatology and unmet needs. Mediating effect of unmet needs was significant in the relationship between patient symptomatology and caregiving satisfaction. Conclusion: Results indicate that interventions focusing on relieving caregiving burden and enhancing caregiver satisfaction should be provided to caregivers with high levels of dementia patients' unmet needs and low level of caregiving satisfaction.

Factors Influencing Cognitive Impairment in Elders with Dementia Living at Home (재가치매노인의 인지장애 영향 요인)

  • Ha, Eun-Ho;Park, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.317-327
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to contribute data toward prevention from advancing dementia and also prevention of deterioration in cognitive impairment by constructing an optimal prediction model and verifying factors influencing cognitive impairment in elders with dementia who reside at home. Methods: The participants in this study were 351 elders who were registered at dementia day care centers in 11 regions of Metropolitan Incheon. Collected data were analyzed using SPSS Statistics 17.0 and SAS 9.1. Bootstrap method using the Clementine program 12.0 was applied to build an optimum prediction model. Results: Gender and education (general characteristics), alcohol, urinary/fecal incontinence, exercise, weight, and ADL (state of health), and depression (psychological state) were found to have an affect on cognitive impairment in these elders. Conclusion: Study results indicate nine key factors that affect cognitive impairment of elders with dementia who reside at home and that could be useful in prevention and management nursing plans. These factors could also be used to expand the role of nurses who are working in community day care centers, and can be applied in the development and provision of various programs to aid retention and improve cognitive function as well as preventing deterioration of cognition.

A Study on Dementia Prediction Models and Commercial Utilization Strategies Using Machine Learning Techniques: Based on Sleep and Activity Data from Wearable Devices (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 치매 예측 모델과 상업적 활용 전략: 웨어러블 기기의 수면 및 활동 데이터를 기반으로)

  • Youngeun Jo;Jongpil Yu;Joongan Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.137-153
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    • 2024
  • This study aimed to propose early diagnosis and management of dementia, which is increasing in aging societies, and suggest commercial utilization strategies by leveraging digital healthcare technologies, particularly lifelog data collected from wearable devices. By introducing new approaches to dementia prevention and management, this study sought to contribute to the field of dementia prediction and prevention. The research utilized 12,184 pieces of lifelog information (sleep and activity data) and dementia diagnosis data collected from 174 individuals aged between 60 and 80, based on medical pathological diagnoses. During the research process, a multidimensional dataset including sleep and activity data was standardized, and various machine learning algorithms were analyzed, with the random forest model showing the highest ROC-AUC score, indicating superior performance. Furthermore, an ablation test was conducted to evaluate the impact of excluding variables related to sleep and activity on the model's predictive power, confirming that regular sleep and activity have a significant influence on dementia prevention. Lastly, by exploring the potential for commercial utilization strategies of the developed model, the study proposed new directions for the commercial spread of dementia prevention systems.

Alzheimer's disease recognition from spontaneous speech using large language models

  • Jeong-Uk Bang;Seung-Hoon Han;Byung-Ok Kang
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 2024
  • We propose a method to automatically predict Alzheimer's disease from speech data using the ChatGPT large language model. Alzheimer's disease patients often exhibit distinctive characteristics when describing images, such as difficulties in recalling words, grammar errors, repetitive language, and incoherent narratives. For prediction, we initially employ a speech recognition system to transcribe participants' speech into text. We then gather opinions by inputting the transcribed text into ChatGPT as well as a prompt designed to solicit fluency evaluations. Subsequently, we extract embeddings from the speech, text, and opinions by the pretrained models. Finally, we use a classifier consisting of transformer blocks and linear layers to identify participants with this type of dementia. Experiments are conducted using the extensively used ADReSSo dataset. The results yield a maximum accuracy of 87.3% when speech, text, and opinions are used in conjunction. This finding suggests the potential of leveraging evaluation feedback from language models to address challenges in Alzheimer's disease recognition.

Mild Cognitive Impairment Prediction Model of Elderly in Korea Using Restricted Boltzmann Machine (제한된 볼츠만 기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 우리나라 지역사회 노인의 경도인지장애 예측모형)

  • Byeon, Haewon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2019
  • Early diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) can reduce the incidence of dementia. This study developed the MCI prediction model for the elderly in Korea. The subjects of this study were 3,240 elderly (1,502 men, 1,738 women) aged 65 and over who participated in the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Aging (KLoSA) in 2012. Outcome variables were defined as MCI prevalence. Explanatory variables were age, marital status, education level, income level, smoking, drinking, regular exercise more than once a week, average participation time of social activities, subjective health, hypertension, diabetes Respectively. The prediction model was developed using Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) neural network. As a result, age, sex, final education, subjective health, marital status, income level, smoking, drinking, regular exercise were significant predictors of MCI prediction model of rural elderly people in Korea using RBM neural network. Based on these results, it is required to develop a customized dementia prevention program considering the characteristics of high risk group of MCI.

Dementia Prediction Model based on Gradient Boosting (이기종 머신러닝 모델 기반 치매예측 모델)

  • Lee, Taein;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.1729-1738
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    • 2021
  • Machine learning has a close relationship with cognitive psychology and brain science and is developing together. This paper analyzes the OASIS-3 dataset using machine learning techniques and proposes a model for predicting dementia. Dimensional reduction through PCA (Principal Component Analysis) is performed on the data quantifying the volume of each area among OASIS-3 data, and only important elements (features) are extracted and then various machine learning including gradient boosting and stacking Apply the models and compare the performance of each. Unlike previous studies, the proposed technique has a great differentiation because it uses not only the brain biometric data, but also basic information data such as the participant's gender and medical information data of the participant. In addition, it was shown that the proposed technique through various performance evaluations is a model that can better predict dementia by finding features that are more related to dementia among various numerical data.

Development of Cerebral Amyloid Positivity Predicting Models Using Clinical Indicators (임상적 지표를 이용한 대뇌 아밀로이드 단백 축적 여부 예측모델 개발)

  • Chun, Young Jae;Joo, Soo Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Biological Psychiatry
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.94-100
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    • 2020
  • Objectives Amyloid β positron emission tomography (Aβ PET) is widely used as a diagnostic tool in patients who have symptoms of cognitive impairment, however, this diagnostic examination is too expensive. Thus, predicting the positivity of Aβ PET before patients undergo the examination is essential. We aimed to analyze clinical predictors of patients who underwent Aβ PET retrospectively, and to develop a predicting model of Aβ PET positivity. Methods 468 patients who underwent Aβ PET with cognitive impairment were recruited and their clinical indicators were analyzed retrospectively. We specified the primary outcome as Aβ PET positivity, and included variables such as age, sex, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, education, dementia family history, Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE), Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Box (CDR-SB), hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM) and presence of apolipoprotein E (ApoE) E4 as potential predictors. We developed three final models of amyloid positivity prediction for total subjects, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia using a multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed and the area under curve (AUC) value was calculated for the ROC curve. Results Aβ PET negative patients were 49.6% (n = 232), and Aβ PET positive patients were 50.4% (n = 236). In the final model of all subjects, older age, female sex, presence of ApoE E4 and lower MMSE are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.296. In the final model of MCI subjects (n = 244), older age and presence of ApoE E4 are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.725. In the final model of AD subjects (n = 173), lower MMSE scores, the presence of ApoE E4 and history of HTN are associated with Aβ PET positivity. The AUC value was 0.681. Conclusions The cerebral amyloid positivity model, which was based on commonly available clinical indicators, can be useful for prediction of amyloid PET positivity in MCI or AD patients.

Cognitive Impairment Prediction Model Using AutoML and Lifelog

  • Hyunchul Choi;Chiho Yoon;Sae Bom Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2023
  • This study developed a cognitive impairment predictive model as one of the screening tests for preventing dementia in the elderly by using Automated Machine Learning(AutoML). We used 'Wearable lifelog data for high-risk dementia patients' of National Information Society Agency, then conducted using PyCaret 3.0.0 in the Google Colaboratory environment. This study analysis steps are as follows; first, selecting five models demonstrating excellent classification performance for the model development and lifelog data analysis. Next, using ensemble learning to integrate these models and assess their performance. It was found that Voting Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Extra Trees Classifier, and Random Forest Classifier model showed high predictive performance in that order. This study findings, furthermore, emphasized on the the crucial importance of 'Average respiration per minute during sleep' and 'Average heart rate per minute during sleep' as the most critical feature variables for accurate predictions. Finally, these study results suggest that consideration of the possibility of using machine learning and lifelog as a means to more effectively manage and prevent cognitive impairment in the elderly.

Hippocampus Segmentation and Classification in Alzheimer's Disease and Mild Cognitive Impairment Applied on MR Images

  • Madusanka, Nuwan;Choi, Yu Yong;Choi, Kyu Yeong;Lee, Kun Ho;Choi, Heung-Kook
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 2017
  • The brain magnetic resonance images (MRI) is an important imaging biomarker in Alzheimer's disease (AD) as the cerebral atrophy has been shown to strongly associate with cognitive symptoms. The decrease of volume estimates in different structures of the medial temporal lobe related to memory correlates with the decline of cognitive functions in neurodegenerative diseases. During the past decades several methods have been developed for quantifying the disease related atrophy of hippocampus from MRI. Special effort has been dedicated to separate AD and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) related modifications from normal aging for the purpose of early detection and prediction. We trained a multi-class support vector machine (SVM) with probabilistic outputs on a sample (n = 58) of 20 normal controls (NC), 19 individuals with MCI, and 19 individuals with AD. The model was then applied to the cross-validation of same data set which no labels were known and the predictions. This study presents data on the association between MRI quantitative parameters of hippocampus and its quantitative structural changes examination use on the classification of the diseases.

Prediction Models of Mild Cognitive Impairment Using the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing (고령화연구패널조사를 이용한 경도인지장애 예측모형)

  • Park, Hyojin;Ha, Juyoung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare sociodemographic characteristics of a normal cognitive group and mild cognitive impairment group, and establish prediction models of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI). Methods: This study was a secondary data analysis research using data from "the 4th Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing" of the Korea Employment Information Service. A total of 6,405 individuals, including 1,329 individuals with MCI and 5,076 individuals with normal cognitive abilities, were part of the study. Based on the panel survey items, the research used 28 variables. The methods of analysis included a χ2-test, logistic regression analysis, decision tree analysis, predicted error rate, and an ROC curve calculated using SPSS 23.0 and SAS 13.2. Results: In the MCI group, the mean age was 71.4 and 65.8% of the participants was women. There were statistically significant differences in gender, age, and education in both groups. Predictors of MCI determined by using a logistic regression analysis were gender, age, education, instrumental activity of daily living (IADL), perceived health status, participation group, cultural activities, and life satisfaction. Decision tree analysis of predictors of MCI identified education, age, life satisfaction, and IADL as predictors. Conclusion: The accuracy of logistic regression model for MCI is slightly higher than that of decision tree model. The implementation of the prediction model for MCI established in this study may be utilized to identify middle-aged and elderly people with risks of MCI. Therefore, this study may contribute to the prevention and reduction of dementia.