• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.5-25
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• 2008

This paper analysed the impact of return policy as a coordination mechanism for decentralized supply chain with one capacitated supplier and two competing retailers under random demand distribution. In this study, Shortage gaming also considered to reflect a competing environment of two retailers. System dynamics approach was used to model the baseline two echelon supply chain and return policy on it. Given each of 4 experiment settings being used for 100 simulations with different random seeds, 400 random samples were used in a t-test. The result show that return policy significantly enhance the supply chain profits and fillrates. The analysis suggest that the supply chain performance can be build up by implementing a return policy even though under consideration of a capacitated supplier and competing retailers.

• 경영과학
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.51-58
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• 1994

The purpose of this study is to extend the current sensitivity analysis of the transportation problem. In this paper we present a systematic method to obtain the variation range of supplies or demands by introducing a dummy column or dummy row. By using this approach we can deal with the case of fixed demands, and the unbalanced problem that the total demand is greater than the total supply.

• 산업공학
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.124-132
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• 2006

The system under study is a single item, multi-echelon distribution system with a capacitated production facility. All the nodes at the downstream ends are demand-sites, i.e., ordered items are delivered to the customers from the node. Also any transshipment depots in the midstream can be demand-sites as well. For a given planning period, at each of demand-site, demand is forecasted and known. Our objective is to minimize the average system cost per period which is the sum of holding and backorder costs in the entire network. Due to the capacity restrictions, it is difficult to establish efficient distribution planning. To overcome such a difficulty and obtain a reasonable and better solution, we convert this problem into a single machine earliness and weighted tardiness scheduling. We propose a simple but cost-effective heuristic for this problem. The experimental results showed that the proposed heuristic obtained much better solutions compared with another approach.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.87-104
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• 2022

해운시장의 구조적 복잡성 및 높은 변동성을 감안할 때, 해운시황에 미치는 영향요인을 식별하고 상호관계를 파악하는 것은 아주 중요하다. 본 연구는 해운시장에서 가장 근본적인 수요 및 공급요인이라고 할 수 있는 세계 경제상황 및 선대량과 해운시황 간의 동적 상호관계 분석을 목적으로 한다. 벌크선형 중 케이프선과 파나막스선을 대상으로 1999년 2021년까지의 GDP, 선대량 성장률, BCI 및 BPI의 분기 자료를 사용하였으며, 웨이블릿 결합성 분석 및 웨이블릿 그랜저 인과관계 분석을 통해 시간-주기영역에서 변수 간 동조화 및 인과관계를 파악하고자 하였다. 실증분석 결과, 변수 간 동조화 및 인과관계에 있어 주기별 및 시기별로 큰 차이를 보여 이들 변수 간 동적 상호작용이 존재한다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 또한 수요와 공급요인을 동시에 적용한 다중 웨이블릿 결합성 분석에서 변수간 인과성이 명확하게 드러나지 않은 것과는 달리 제어변수로 선대량 성장률과 GDP를 설정한 부분 웨이블릿 결합성 분석에서는 주기 및 시기별 인과관계를 파악할 수 있었다. 이를 통해 두 수급요인이 해운경기에 뚜렷한 영향을 미친다는 것과 해운시황 영향요인의 상호관계 분석을 위해서는 수요와 공급요인을 분리하여 해석하는 것이 필요하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 마지막으로 해운시장의 호황과 불황에 해상운임지수는 각각 수요 및 공급요인과 높은 상관성을 보였으며, 전반적으로 호황일 때는 GDP가 운임지수를 동일 위상으로 선도하고 불황일 때는 선대량 성장률이 운임지수를 반대 위상으로 선도하였다. 본 연구의 분석결과는 기존에 사용이 미미했던 웨이블릿 분석방법을 해운분야에 적용했다는 점과 수급요인을 분리하여 해운시황을 분석함으로써 수요 및 공급으로 해운시황을 판단할 수 있는 합리적인 근거를 제시하였다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.470-478
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• 2016

화석연료 사용으로 인한 환경오염과 기후변화는 전 지구적인 환경 문제로 대두되고 있다. 또한 화석연료 고갈 및 경제적 취약성을 극복하기 위하여 태양광, 풍력 등 신재생에너지 자원 기반 에너지공급 시스템 구축이 많은 관심을 받고 있다. 이러한 신재생에너지 시스템은 자원의 낮은 공급안정성을 극복하기 위하여 다양한 자원을 이용한 독립 통합 에너지공급 시스템 설계 및 운전 전략이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 PV, Wind turbine, 화석연료 기반 발전 및 저장장치 등으로 구성된 독립 에너지공급 시스템을 설계하였다. 또한 최적화 모델을 이용하여 각 지역별 최적 전력생산 시스템의 구성요소를 규명하고 소요비용을 분석하였다. 제시된 모델 검증을 위하여 한국의 주거, 농업, 상업부문 등 주요 에너지수요 만족을 위한 설계문제를 해결하였다. 그 결과 주거부문의 경우 $0.37~$0.44/kWh, 농업부문의 경우 $0.15~$0.61/kWh, 상업부문의 경우 $0.12~$0.28/kWh의 단위전력 비용을 보였다.

• 경영과학
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.75-89
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• 2002

According to the fast-paced environment of information technology and improving customer services, the design activities of logistics systems improve customer centric services and delivery performance implementing e-logistics system. The fundamental design issues that arise in the delivery system planning are optimizing the system with minimum cost and maximum throughput and service level. This study is concerned with the integrated model development of delivery system with customer responsive service level for DCM, Demand Chain Management. We used a two-step approach for this study. First, we formulated the supply. center facility planning using stochastic set-covering problem and assigned the customers to the supply center using clustering algorithm. Second, we developed vehicle delivery planning for a supply center based on GIS, GIS-VRP. Also we developed a GUI-type computer program for proposed method for supply center problem using GIS and Geo-DataBase of Busan area. The computational results showed that the proposed method was very effective on a set of test problems.

• Korean Circulation Journal
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• 제54권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2024

Background and Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the supply and demand for cardiologists in Korea and provide evidence for healthcare policy to ensure a stable and adequate workforce for optimal cardiovascular disease management. Methods: Past trends of inflow and outflow of cardiologists were used to make crude projections, which were then adjusted based on demands of services to obtain final projections. Inflow of cardiologists was estimated using second-order polynomial regression and demand for cardiology care was estimated using linear regression. Results: There were 1,139 active cardiologists who were under the age of 65 in clinical practice in Korea. The estimated number of cardiologists from 2022 to 2040 showed that the number of cardiologists would peak at 1,344 in 2032 and gradually decrease thereafter. We also estimated an increase of 947,811 cases of heart-related procedures annually from 2023 to 2032. The number of heart-related procedures per cardiologist would increase 1.4 times from 12,964 in 2023 to 17,862 in 2032. The estimated number of emergency patients per cardiologist under 50 years old would almost double from 544 in 2022 to 987 in 2032. Conclusions: We expect significant shortage of cardiologists in Korea within the next 10 years. The number of emergency patients per cardiologist will increase by nearly 50%, leading to high individual workload for cardiologists. To prevent this imbalance between supply and demand, an organized and collective approach by the specialty of cardiology is imperative to produce a balanced workforce.

• 국토계획
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• 제53권7호
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• pp.67-86
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• 2018

This paper attempted to analyze impacts of transition in electricity generation system on a national economy and environmental level in Korea using a recursive computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. In particular, the paper presented a hybrid model combining the top-down CGE model with the bottom-up model which describes the structure of electricity production in detail. The impacts were analyzed by two policy scenarios base on the basic plan for electricity supply and demand proposed by the Korean government. As a result, the paper specifically showed that there exists a trade-off relationship in the policy-making between economic efficiency and environmental level. The paper also suggested that the transition in electricity generation system should be done more gradually and carefully.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1015-1022
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• 2009

Currently, Korean real estate market has experienced cooling down of the business because of the global economic crisis which resulted from the subprime mortgage lending practice. In response, the Korean government has enforced various policies at the base of deregulating real estate speculation, such as increasing Loan to value ratio (LTV) in order to stimulate housing demand and supply. However, these policies seemed to result in deep confusion in the Korean housing market. Furthermore, analysis for housing market forecasting, especially international financial crisis on Korean real estate market, has been partial and fragmentary, therefore comprehensive solution and systematical approach is required to analyze the real estate and real estate financial market including causal nexus between market determining factors. In an integrated point of view, applying the system dynamics modeling, the paper aims at proposing Korean Real Estate and Mortgage market dynamics models based on fundamental principles of housing market determined by supply and demand. We also find the impact of deregulation policies focusing on mortgage loan which is the main factors of policies.

• 한국항만학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.27-40
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• 1999

This study aims to apply and examine the stochastic approach for empty container repositioning and leasing problem. For this a case study has been carried out on actual data such as various cost components and traffic flow. The results reveal that the proposed methodology produces more realistic results than the conventional deterministic approaches. It is also found that the results are significantly affected by the accuracy of demand and supply forecast.