• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand pattern

검색결과 701건 처리시간 0.027초

냉방용 가스사용을 중심으로 추정한 냉방전력수요 평가 (A Study on the Evaluation of Cooling Demand using Cooling Gas Sales)

  • 김창수;이창호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.660-662
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    • 2004
  • Cooling demand in Korea has increased constantly. Furthermore, an evaluation and savings of cooling demand has impacted on summer DSM and investment in Korea. Absorbed cooling system uses gas. It could achieve reductions in summer peak load and increase gas demand simultaneously. However its efficiency rate is lower than electric system. Gas cooling system uses separate meter. Therefore we could analyze monthly cooling demand and derive annual uses pattern. This paper analyzes demand pattern of gas cooling and its effects on electricity savings. Also this paper presents the course of policy in electricity sector on spreading of gas cooling measures.

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Planning ESS Managemt Pattern Algorithm for Saving Energy Through Predicting the Amount of Photovoltaic Generation

  • Shin, Seung-Uk;Park, Jeong-Min;Moon, Eun-A
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.20-23
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    • 2019
  • Demand response is usually operated through using the power rates and incentives. Demand management based on power charges is the most rational and efficient demand management method, and such methods include rolling base charges with peak time, sliding scaling charges depending on time, sliding scaling charges depending on seasons, and nighttime power charges. Search for other methods to stimulate resources on demand by actively deriving the demand reaction of loads to increase the energy efficiency of loads. In this paper, ESS algorithm for saving energy based on predicting the amount of solar power generation that can be used for buildings with small loads not under electrical grid.

An Order Level Inventory Model for Deteriorating Items with Power Pattern Demand

  • Hwang, Hark;Ree, Paek
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 1980
  • An order level inventory model is developed for deteriorating items. The demand during prescribed scheduling period is constant and deterministic in which the demand follows power pattern. Deterioration is assumed to be a constant fraction of the on hand inventory. The expression for the optimal order level is developed and an example is given to illustrate the model.

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광주시 어린이공원의 분포 Pattern에 관한 연구 (A Study on Distributional Pattern of Children's of Children's Parks in Kwang Joo City)

  • 오병태
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.29-45
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    • 1992
  • This study provides the phenomenon of distributional pattern of children's parks in Kwang-Joo city and shows the procedure of distributional changes. The demand of children's parks by Dong was estimated and a gap between present provision and demand was calculated with the aid of regression residuals by Dong. This research has produced the following major conclusions : 1. The distribution of children's parks shows minor relationship to urban variable, in terms of children's population (R=0.5402). 2. There is impressive evidence that children's parks delivery is highly responsive to laws and regulations of land development.

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적은 소모량과 불분명한 소모패턴을 가진 수리부속의 수요예측 (Demand Forecast of Spare Parts for Low Consumption with Unclear Pattern)

  • 박민규;백준걸
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.529-540
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    • 2018
  • As the equipment of the military has recently become more sophisticated and expensive, the cost of purchasing spare parts is also steadily increasing. Therefore, demand forecast accuracy is also becoming an issue for the effective execution of the spare parts budget. This study predicts the demand by using the data of spare parts consumption of the KF-16C fighter which is being operated in the Republic of Korea Air Force. In this paper, SARIMA(Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) is applied to seasonal data after dividing the spare parts consumptions into seasonal data and non-seasonal data. Proposing new methods, Majority Voting and Hybrid Method, to the non-seasonal data which consists of spare parts of low consumption with unclear pattern, We want to prove that the demand forecast accuracy of spare parts improves.

수요량과 다양성 패턴에 의해 유형화된 단기간 표준화 관리도와 단기간 합격판정 관리도의 개발 (Development of Short-Run Standardized Control Charts and Acceptance Control Charts Classified by the Demand Volume and Variety)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2010
  • The research developes short-run standardized control charts(SSCC) and short-run acceptance control charts(SACC) under the various demand patterns. The demand patterns considered in this paper are three types such as high-variety and repetitive low-volume pattern, extremely-high-variety and nonrepetitive low-volume pattern, and high-variety and extremely-low-volume pattern. The short-run standardized control charts developed by extending the long-run ${\bar{x}}$-R, ${\bar{x}}$-s and I-MR charts have strengths for practioners to understand and use easily. Moreover, the short-range acceptance control charts developed in the study can be efficiently used through combining the functions of the inspection and control chart. The weighting schemes such as Shewhart, moving average (MA) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) can be considered by the reliability of data sets. The two types according to the use of control chart are presented in the short-range standardized charts and acceptance control charts. Finally, process capability index(PCI) and process performance index(PPI) classified by the demand patterns are presented.

EHD 원리를 이용한 정전기장 유도 잉크젯 프린터 헤드의 마이크로 Drop-on-Demand 제팅 성능 연구

  • 최재용;김용재;손상욱;안기철;이석한;고한서;;변도영
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1947-1950
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    • 2008
  • Printing technology is a very useful method in the several process of industrial fabrication due to noncontact and fast pattern generation. To make micro pattern, we investigate the electrostatic induced inkjet printer head for micro droplet generation and drop-on-demand jetting. In order to achieve the drop-on-demand micro droplet ejection by the electrostatic induced inkjet printer head, the pulsed DC voltage is supplied. In order to find optimal pulse conditions, we tested jetting performance for various bias and pulse voltages for drop-on-demand ejection. In this result, we have successful drop-on-demand operation and micro patterning. Therefore, our novel electrostatic induced inkjet head printing system will be applied industrial area comparing conventional printing technology.

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자원 수급 및 가격 예측 -니켈 사례를 중심으로- (Resource Demand/Supply and Price Forecasting -A Case of Nickel-)

  • 정재헌
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2008
  • It is very difficult to predict future demand/supply, price for resources with acceptable accuracy using regression analysis. We try to use system dynamics to forecast the demand/supply and price for nickel. Nickel is very expensive mineral resource used for stainless production or other industrial production like battery, alloy making. Recent nickel price trend showed non-linear pattern and we anticipated the system dynamic method will catch this non-linear pattern better than the regression analysis. Our model has been calibrated for the past 6 year quarterly data (2002-2007) and tested for next 5 year quarterly data(2008-2012). The results were acceptable and showed higher accuracy than the results obtained from the regression analysis. And we ran the simulations for scenarios made by possible future changes in demand or supply related variables. This simulations implied some meaningful price change patterns.

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항공화물의 간헐적 수요예측에 대한 비교 모형 연구 - Croston모형과 Holts모형을 중심으로 - (A Comparative Model Study on the Intermittent Demand Forecast of Air Cargo - Focusing on Croston and Holts models -)

  • 유병철;박영태
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2021
  • 기업이 물류비용을 절감할 수 있는 정교한 수요 예측 모형은 그동안 수많은 연구를 통해 다양한 방법들이 제시되었다. 이러한 연구들은 주로 수요 패턴에 의해서 적용 가능한 수요 예측 모형을 결정하고, 통계적 검증을 통해서 모형의 정확성을 판단하였다. 수요 패턴은 크게 규칙성과 불규칙성으로 나뉘어 질 수 있다. 규칙적인 패턴은 주문이 정기적이고 주문량이 일정한 경우를 의미한다. 이러한 경우에는 주로 회귀모형이나 시계열 모형을 통해서 수요를 예측하는 방법들이 사용된다. 그러나 불규칙적이고 주문량의 변동 폭이 큰 경우는 간헐적 수요(Intermittent Demand)라고 하는데, 기존의 회귀 모형이나 시계열 모형으로는 수요 예측의 오류 발생 가능성이 높기 때문이다. 간헐적 수요를 보이는 품목에 대해서는 주로 Croston모형 혹은 Holts모형 등을 사용하여 수요를 예측한다. 본 연구에서는 간헐적 수요 패턴을 보이는 항공 화물의 다양한 품목에 대해서 수요 패턴을 분석하고, 다양한 모형을 통해 수요를 예측하여 각 모형의 예측력을 비교 분석하였다. 이 과정에서 항공 화물의 품목별, 지역별로 다양한 모형의 적합도를 분석하여 항공사가 가장 효율적으로 운영할 수 있는 항공 화물의 수요 예측 모형에 대한 개발 방향을 제시하고자 함이 본 논문의 목적이다.

상시수요응답(Day Ahead Demand Response) 운영에서의 CBL 활용방안 연구 (A Study for CBL(Customer Baseline Load) utilization in Day Ahead Demand Response operation)

  • 고종민;양일권;송재주;진성일
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권1호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2009
  • In this study firstly we survey the calculation method and the characteristics of the way of estimating CBL(Customer BaseLine Load) that is important calculation tool for DRP internationally. Also we analyze the power consumption pattern using the 15 minutes load profiles of about 120,000 customers in domestic. Based on this pattern, we provide the CBL calculation method that can be utilized in DRP to save the cost, and analyze the accuracy of the CBL calculation proposed in this paper through the simulation.