• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand estimation

검색결과 831건 처리시간 0.331초

Likelihood Estimation of Release Incidents in Chlorine$(Cl_2)$ Facility (염소$(Cl_2)$시설에 대한 누출사고 가능성 추정)

  • Baek, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2007
  • Likelihood analysis was used for the revision of release probability/frequency in chlorine Injection facilities used in chlorine process. Typically these facilities consist of pressure cylinder, vaporizer, pipeline, measuring equipment and safety equipment. This paper described the incident scenarios considered, likelihood analysis procedure and the selection and application of basic events and for failure rates of mechanical components. Human errors were also considered. The major objective of this paper is to estimate the likelihood of each determined incident scenarios. We estimated failure rates of mechanical components based on likelihood analysis procedure. Human errors were also considered. It was estimated to have $5.73{\times}10^{-5}$ $Cl_2$ leak per year during the major $Cl_2$ handling process. The probability of failure in scrubber system was$4.11{\times}10^{-2}$/demand.

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Earthquake performance assessment of low and mid-rise buildings: Emphasis on URM buildings in Albania

  • Bilgin, Huseyin;Huta, Ergys
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.599-614
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    • 2018
  • This study focuses on the earthquake performance of two URM buildings having typical architectural configurations common for residential use constructed per pre-modern code in Albania. Both buildings are unreinforced clay brick masonry structures constructed in 1960 and 1984, respectively. The first building is a three-storey unreinforced one with masonry walls. The second one is confined masonry rising on five floors. Mechanical characteristics of masonry walls were determined based on experimental tests conducted according to ASTM C67-09 regulations. A global numerical model of the buildings was built, and masonry material was simulated as nonlinear. Pushover analyses are carried out to obtain capacity curves. Displacement demands were calculated according to Eurocode 8 and FEMA440 guidelines. Causes of building failures in recent earthquakes were examined using the results of this study. The results of the study showed that the URM building displays higher displacement and shear force demands that can be directly related to damage or collapse. On the other hand, the confined one exhibits relatively higher seismic resistance by indicating moderate damage. Moreover, effects of demand estimation approaches on performance assessment of URM buildings were compared. Deficiencies and possible solutions to improve the capacity of such buildings were discussed.

Development of an Evaluation Method and Support Policy for the Green Home Project (친환경주택평가기법개발 및 지원방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Sung;Yoo, Jung-Hyun;Rhim, Joo-Ho;Kim, Hyo-Jin
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2010
  • The energy consumption of residential sectors is given a sizable portion in total energy consumption. So, improvement of building performance can be as a part of principal energy strategy. For this reason, an evaluation tool for estimation of energy consumption was developed and supportive policies were considered in this study. In particular, energy saving technology were examined to practice the green home project, among them 7 items were selected as a factor for estimating energy consumption. In addition, to the simulation study on energy consumption, heating load, hot water demand and electric consumption was also studied with actual measured value. Further more, several supportive policies were discussed to encourage green home project in Korea.

A Study on the Estimation of Manufacture and Quality of Recycled Sand using Sand Flux System (샌드플럭스 장치를 활용한 순환모래의 제조 및 품질 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Hyon-Ung;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Lee, Jong-Gau;Lee, Do-Heun;Lee, Sang-Soo;Song, Ha-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.529-532
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    • 2006
  • In this study, recently it has to be solved urgently the unbalance of demand and supply about the fine aggregate because the sea sand is restricted by exhaustion of river sand and intensification of environmental law. In this background, manufacturing technology which can produce recycled sand from construction and demolition waste concrete mass is developed. However, the existed washing method has the problem which not only impurities but also many other things make poor quality. Therefore, it tries to conform in time necessity, the objective of this study is to develop the Sand Flux system which can product the high-quality recycled sand from wast concrete and high value-added technology of the high-quality recycled sand as basic materials for mortar and concrete. At the same time it will be able to improve the quality of recycled sand products as an experiment of the physical nature and a quality present condition the products of recycled sand from construction waste.

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Source Localization in the Anechoic Basin at KRISO/KORDI by Using MUSIC Algorithm (무향수조 내에서 MUSIC 알고리듬을 이용한 음원의 위치 추적)

  • Kim, Sea-Moon;Choi, Young-Cheol;Lee, Chong-Moo;Park, Jong-Won;Lim, Yong-Kon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 한국해양공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.68-72
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    • 2002
  • Localization with array sensors has been applied for not only military but also non-military purposes. The identification of submarines and fish finding are those examples. Nowadays the demand for noise identification is increasing to characterize noise sources and improve acoustic performance of underwater acoustic equipment. For that reason KRISO/KORDI recently constructed an anechoic basin which bus reflection only at the free surface. This paper suggests a noise identification methods using MUSIC algorithm in such an acoustic field. For comparison phase delay sum and minimum valiance methods are also described. At first basic principles are described. A several numerical simulations are also performed. The results say that reflection effect many cause a new non-real source although good estimation is obtained under no reflection conditions.

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A study on the Estimation of Significant Wave Height based on Ocean Wave Observation Data (해양파 관측자료에 기반한 유의파고 추정에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Jeong-Seok;Shin, Seung-Ho;Choi, Jong-Su;Hong, Keyyong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2018년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.197-198
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, diversified demand for marine utilization has been increasing not only through the development projects for the utilization of the conventional coastal zone but also by the development of marine leisure sports and marine energy. It is very important to understand the characteristics of blue for safe and economical utilization of the ocean. Using the observed wave data, we derive the wave parameters to represent the irregular sea state proposed in the previous studies and examine the relationship between them to confirm the characteristics of the ocean wave.

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The Comparative Analysis of Holding Pace and Decision Factors of Tractor in Korea and Japan (한.일 트랙터의 보유속도와 수요요인 비교)

  • 강창용;김남욱
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2000
  • This study was performed to analyze the holding pace and decision factors of tractor in Korea and Japan, which probably should be used for making master plan of agricultural mechanization. The logistic function is used for holding pace estimation of tractor, and log-log function for analysis of decision factors. The results of this study are as follows: First, the increasing rate of the total amount of holding tractor power in Korea has been over that in Japan during 1980∼、94 which is now, however, under Japan. So, it could be forecasted that the per tractor holding power in Japan will increase continuously, and will be over 30PS in the short run. Second, the most important one of decision factors to support tractor demand is agricultural income in Korea, but on the other hand Non-Agricultural Income in Japan. From these, the fast increase of total amount of holding power of tractor in Korea could not expected, because Korea Agriculture has some difficulties to increase Agricultural Income. There are differences on the holding pace and decision factors of tractor between Korea and Japan, therefore, the plan of agricultural mechanization should be made in accordance with self-features.

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Estimating of Transplanting Period of Highland Kimchi Cabbage Using UAV Imagery (무인비행체 영상을 활용한 고랭지배추 정식시기 추정)

  • Lee, Kyung Do;Park, Chan Won;So, Kyu Ho;Kim, Ki Deog;Na, Sang Il
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2017
  • Growth monitoring of highland Kimchi cabbage is very important to respond the fluctuations in supply and demand from middle of August to early September in Korea. For evaluating Kimchi cabbage growth, it needs to classify the transplanting period of Kimchi cabbage, preferentially. This study was conducted to estimate the transplanting period of highland Kimchi cabbage from 2015 to 2016 in the main production area of highland Kimchi cabbage, Anbandegi, Maebongsan, and Gwinemi. Correlation between NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) from UAV images and days after transplanting of Kimchi cabbage was high in early transplanting period. But because the growth curve of Kimchi cabbage showed S-type, joint use of multi-temporal linear regression equation for estimation of transplanting period was more suitable. Using application of these equations at Anbandegi, Maebongsan, and Gwinemi, we made the map of transplanting periods of highland Kimchi cabbage. Generally, highland Kimchi cabbage is harvested in sixty days later since transplanting. As a result, we could estimate the harvest time and area of highland Kimchi cabbage.

Estimating Optimized Bidding Price in Virtual Electricity Wholesale Market (가상 전력 도매 시장의 최적 경매 가격 예측)

  • Shin, Su-Jin;Lee, SeHoon;Kwon, Yun-Jung;Cha, Jae-Gang;Moon, Il-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.562-576
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    • 2013
  • Power TAC (Power Trading Agent Competition) is an agent-based simulation for competitions between electricity brokering agents on the smart grid. To win the competition, agents obtain electricity from the electricity wholesale market among the power plants. In this operation, a key to success is balancing the demand of the customer and the supply from the plants because any imbalance results in a significant penalty to the brokering agent. Given the bidding on the wholesale market requires the price and the quantity on the electricity, this paper proposes four different price estimation strategies: exponentially moving average, linear regression, fuzzy logic, and support vector regression. Our evaluations with the competition simulation show which strategy is better than which, and which strategy wins in the free-for-all situations. This result is a crucial component in designing an electricity brokering agent in both Power TAC and the real world.

A Study on the Optimal Operation According to Appropriate PCS and Battery Capacity Estimation of PV-BESS System (PV-BESS 시스템의 적정 PCS, 배터리용량 산정에 따른 최적 운영에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yun Suk;Na, Seung You
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • 제67권9호
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    • pp.1174-1180
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    • 2018
  • In December 2017, the government announced plans to increase the current proportion of renewable energy from 7% to 20% by 2030 through a plan called the Renewable Energy 3020 Implementation Plan. Therefore, the demand for installation of photovoltaic(PV), wind turbine(WT) and battery energy storage system(BESS) is expected to increase. In particular, the system combined with energy storage system(ESS) is expected to take up a large portion since PV and WT can receive high renewable energy certificates(REC) weights when combined with ESS. In this study, we calculate the optimal capacity of the power conditioning system(PCS) and the BESS by comparing the economical efficiency and maximize the efficiency of the PV-BESS system in which the PV and the BESS are connected. By analyzing the system marginal price(SMP) and REC, it maximize profits through application of REC weight 5.0 and optimal charge-discharge scheduling according to the SMP changes.