• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand estimation

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Novel State-of-Charge Estimation Method for Lithium Polymer Batteries Using Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy

  • Lee, Jong-Hak;Choi, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.237-243
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    • 2011
  • Lithium batteries are widely used in mobile electronic devices due to their higher voltage and energy density, lighter weight and longer life cycle when compared to other secondary batteries. In particular, a high demand for lithium batteries is expected for electric cars. In the case of the lithium batteries used in electric cars, driving distance must be calculated accurately and discharging should not be done below a level that makes it impossible to crank. Therefore, accurate information on the state-of-charge (SOC) becomes an essential element for reliable driving. In this paper, a novel method for estimating the SOC of lithium polymer batteries using AC impedance is proposed. In the proposed method, the parameters are extracted by fitting the measured impedance spectrum on an equivalent impedance model and the variation in the parameter values at each SOC is used to estimate the SOC. Also to shorten the long length of time required for the measurement of the impedance spectrum, a novel method is proposed that can extract the equivalent impedance model parameters of lithium polymer batteries with the impedance measured at only two specific frequencies. Experiments are conducted on lithium polymer batteries, with similar capacities, made by different manufacturers to prove the validity of the proposed method.

A Study on the Possible Running Time Estimation of Tilting Train on the Gyeongbu line (경부선 틸팅열차의 가능 운전시간 추정 연구)

  • Rho, Hag-Lae;Han, Seong-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2015
  • A rising attention is paid to the railway system in many countries. KOREA is also of the opinion that the railway has to play a more important role in the near future to face up to the problems that increase gradually in the transport sector. To attract more traffic to the rail networks, it is important for rail modes to have running time competitiveness. Tilting trains, where it is possible to tilt the car-body towards the center of the curve, are a less expensive alternative to shorten travelling times on existing lines. Running time for tilting train is one of the most important factors, with which passenger demand forecasting or economic feasibility analysis will be done. This paper evaluates the speed limitation of tilting train around curves and also presents calculation process of its simulated possible running time. Then the adequacy of estimated time is verified with running time for Korean protype tilting train TTX (Tilting Train eXpress) by actual test run. As a case study, the estimated running time for the production version of tilting train and its time saving are presented compared with 2012's conventional Saemaul trains and non-tilting trains on the Gyeongbu line in the Korean rail network.

M&S Tool for Analysis of Detection Coverage and Target Localization in Bistatic Radar Systems (바이스태틱 레이더의 탐지 커버리지 분석 및 표적 위치 산출을 위한 M&S Tool)

  • Park, Jung-Hee;Lee, Won-Woo;Yoo, Jin-Cheol;Yang, Hoon-Gee;Chung, Young-Seek;Bae, Kyung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.904-912
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we have proposed a M&S tool for analyzing detection coverage and target localization in bistatic radar system. The detection coverage determined by radar parameters is meaningful when it satisfies the clear line-of-sight condition. We improved the method to find the minimum altitudes of transmitter and receiver for meeting the condition by considering three-dimensional coverage. Its computational burden is not problematic because the calculation is for maximizing the performance of the radar and does not demand a real-time operation. In addition, target localization on three-dimensional earth model based on the information of the height, longitude, and latitude is proposed instead of the previous unpractical calculation on two-dimensional bistatic plane. Its precalculated result can reduce its computation burden and it is suitable for real-time estimation of target location.

Travel Demand Estimation using Traffic Counts on the Large Scale Network (대규모교통망에서 관측교통량기반 통행수요추정)

  • 김종형;이승재;조범철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2001
  • 대부분의 관측교통량기반 수요추정기법은 소규모 및 중규모 교통망 등의 상대적으로 규모가 작은 교통망에서 기본적으로 가정된 수요를 가지고 얻은 추정O/D를 기본O/D와 비교하여 그 추정의 정확성이 어느 정도인가를 오차분석법 등을 이용하여 비교.분석하는 것이 그 주요한 분석방향이라고 할 수 있었다. 이러한 접근법은 실제 현실에서는 알 수 없는 참O/D나 참관측교통량을 가정하고 제시된 모형을 면밀히 관찰하여 모형의 장단점이 무엇인지를 파악하거나 타모형과의 비교.분석을 용이하게 하고자 할 때 많이 이용된다. 그러나 이러한 가정된 교통망이나 참O/D(true O/D) 등은 모형의 적용가능성을 살필 경우에 이용 가능한 방법이라고 할 수 있지만, 참O/D를 알지 못하는 현실상황(대규모 교통망)에서는 추정O/D의 신뢰성을 평가하기란 매우 힘든 작업이거나 거의 불가능한 일이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 보완하고자 본 연구에서는 서울시의 1996년도 교통센서스 자료를 이용하여 가정된 수요가 아닌 실제적이고 현실적인 자료를 가지고 대규모 교통망에서 이용될 수 있는 모형을 살펴보았다. 연구방법은 대규모 교통망에 기존의 단일차종기반모형과 본 연구에서 제시한 다차종(multiclass)기반모형을 적용하여 추정된 O/D에 TLFD(Trip Length Frequency Distribution)개념을 이용하여 추정된 O/D의 신뢰성을 평가하고자 하였다. 또한, $R^2$를 이용하여 모형 적용 전후의 관측교통량과 배분교통량을 비교하여 추정력을 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 단일차종기반모형보다는 차종간 혼잡효과 및 노선선택비율을 차종별로 감안할 수 있는 다차종기반모형이 대규모교통망에서는 보다 적절한 결과를 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다.

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Likelihood Estimation of Release Incidents in Chlorine$(Cl_2)$ Facility (염소$(Cl_2)$시설에 대한 누출가능성 예측)

  • Lee, Jae-Jun;Kim, Tae-Su;Lee, Dae-Hee;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Baek, Jong-Bae;Ko, Jae-Wook;An, Hyung-Hwan
    • 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2007
  • Likelihood analysis was used for the revision of release probability/frequency in chlorine Injection facilities used in chlorine process. Typically these facilities consist of pressure cylinder, vaporizer, pipeline, measuring equipment and safety equipment. This paper described the incident scenarios considered, likelihood analysis procedure and the selection and application of basic events and for failure rates of mechanical components. Human errors were also considered. The major objective of this paper is to estimate the likelihood of each determined incident scenarios. We estimated failure rates of mechanical components based on likelihood analysis procedure. Human errors were also considered. It was estimated to have $5.73{\times}10^{-5}\;Cl_2$ leak per year during the major $Cl_2$ handling process. The probability of failure in scrubber system was $4.11{\times}10^{-2}/demand$.

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Study on Application of Superconducting Fault Current Limiter Considering Risk of Circuit Breaker Short-Circuit Capacity in a Loop Network System

  • Kim, Jin-Seok;Lim, Sung-Hun;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.1789-1794
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    • 2014
  • This paper suggests an application method for a superconducting fault current limiter (SFCL) using an evaluation index to estimate the risk regarding the short-circuit capacity of the circuit breaker (CB). Recently, power distribution systems have become more complex to ensure that supply continuously keeps pace with the growth of demand. However, the mesh or loop network power systems suffer from a problem in which the fault current exceeds the short-circuit capacity of the CBs when a fault occurs. Most case studies on the application of the SFCL have focused on its development and performance in limiting fault current. In this study, an analysis of the application method of an SFCL considering the risk of the CB's short-circuit capacitor was carried out in situations when a fault occurs in a loop network power system, where each line connected with the fault point carries a different current that is above or below the short-circuit capacitor of the CB. A loop network power system using PSCAD/EMTDC was modeled to investigate the risk ratio of the CB and the effect of the SFCL on the reduction of fault current through various case studies. Through the risk evaluations of the simulation results, the estimation of the risk ratio is adequate to apply the SFCL and demonstrate the fault current limiting effect.

Seismic demand estimation of RC frame buildings based on simplified and nonlinear dynamic analyses

  • Borzi, B.;Vona, M.;Masi, A.;Pinho, R.;Pola, D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.157-179
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    • 2013
  • Vulnerability studies on the existing building stock require that a large number of buildings is analyzed to obtain statistically significant evaluations of the seismic performance. Therefore, analytical evaluation methods need to be based on simplified methodologies of analysis which can afford the treatment of a large building population with a reasonable computational effort. Simplified Pushover-Based Earthquake Loss Assessment approach (SP-BELA), where a simplified methodology to identify the structural capacity of the building through the definition of a pushover curve is adopted, was developed on these bases. Main objective of the research work presented in this paper is to validate the simplified methodology implemented in SP-BELA against the results of more sophisticated nonlinear dynamic analyses (NLDAs). The comparison is performed for RC buildings designed only to vertical loads, representative of the "as built" in Italy and in Mediterranean countries with a building stock very similar to the Italian one. In NLDAs the non linear and degrading behaviour, typical of the structures under consideration when subjected to high seismic loads, is evaluated using models able to capture, with adequate accuracy, the non linear behaviour of RC structural elements taking into account stiffness degradation, strength deterioration, and pinching effect. Results show when simplified analyses are in good agreement with NLDAs. As a consequence, unsatisfactory results from simplified analysis are pointed out to address their current applicability limits.

Estimating Paddy Rice Evapotranspiration of 10-Year Return Period Drought Using Frequency Analysis (빈도 분석법을 이용한 논벼의 한발 기준 10년 빈도 작물 증발산량 산정)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2007
  • Estimation of crop consumptive use is a key term of agricultural water resource systems design and operation. The 10-year return period drought has special aspects as a reference period in design process of irrigation systems in terms of agricultural water demand analysis so that crop evapotranspiration (ETc) about the return period also has to be analyzed to assist understanding of crop water requirement of paddy rice. In this study, The ETc of 10-year return period drought was computed using frequency analysis by 54 meteorological stations. To find an optimal probability distribution, 8 types of probability distribution function were tested by three the goodness of fit tests including ${\chi}^2$(Chi-Square), K-S (Kolmogorov-Smirnov) and PPCC (Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient). Optimal probability distribution function was selected the 2-parameter Log-Normal (LN2) distribution function among 8 distribution functions. Using the two selected distribution functions, the ETc of 10-year return period drought was estimated for 54 meteorological stations and compared with prior study results suggested by other researchers.

Studies for the Sustainable Management of Oyster Farms in Pukman Bay, Korea: Estimation of Carrying Capacity from Food Availability

  • Jeong, Woo-Geon;Cho, Sang-Man;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2009
  • To develop a sustainable management model for oyster farming in Pukman Bay, Korea, we estimated the carrying capacity for oyster farming using food availability data. Optimal culture densities were calculated to be 124-133 individuals per unit flux area ($m^2$) and 310-330 individuals per string. The present annual production is approximately 1,038 tons/year, which is 87% of the estimated maximum yield of 1,193 tons/year. Therefore, considering annual fluctuations and a critical buffer to reduce ecological impacts, the current level is within optimal conditions. During periods of increased water temperature, energy demand was largely met by high primary production. The food supply significantly decreased as the harvest season approached, and 10 out of 21 oyster farms had a deficient food supply for at least 1 month. Therefore, these farms (39% of the farms within the bay) exceeded optimal densities.

Modelling the Subway Demand Estimation by Station Using the Multiple Regression Analysis by Category (카테고리별 다중회귀분석 방법을 이용한 지하철역별 수요 추정 모형 개발)

  • Shon, Eui-Young;Kwon, Byoung-Woo;Lee, Man-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.1 s.72
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2004
  • 지하철역별 수요는 개통 후 경과 연도에 따라서 S자 형태로 증가한다. 즉 개통 초기에는 잠재되어 있던 지하철 수요가 시간의 경과에 따라 계속적으로 증가하다가, 개통 후 10$\sim$13년 정도가 경과하면 최대를 나타낸 후 거의 정체하는 현상을 보인다. 그러나 지금까지 지하철 수요를 추정하기 위해서 이용되었던 4단계 모형은 이러한 지하철 수요의 증가 추세를 반영할 수 없기 때문에 실제 수요와 많은 차이를 보였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제를 해결해 보고자 서울시 지하철 2$\sim$8호선의 실제 수요를 토대로 지하철역별 수요, 특히 순수한 승차인원을 추정하는 모형을 개발하였다. 모형에 적용되는 함수식은 실제 지하철역별 수요와 가장 유사한 형태를 보이고 있는 로지스틱 함수식을 이용하였다. 또한 각각의 지하철역별로 나타나는 상이한 특성은 카테고리로 분류하여 모형에 반영하였다. 카테고리는 토지이용도, 사회경제활동의 규모, 그리고 지하철역의 특성에 따라 분류하였다. 각 카테고리별 특성을 대표하는 독립 변수로 인구 종사자수, 학생수와 개통 후 경과 연도 등을 선정하였다. 그 결과 카테고리별로 추정된 지하철역별 수요는 통계적으로 매우 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 지하철역별로 승차하는 순수한 수요를 보다 정확하게 추정하기 위한 모형을 개발하는 것이 주된 목적이다. 반면에 본 모형을 이용하여 지하철역별 하차 수요 및 횐승 수요를 추정하는 것은 어렵다. 따라서 기존에 지하철 수요를 추정하는 데에 가장 많이 사용된 4단계 모형과 접목하여야 하며, 이에 대한 방안도 본 연구에서 제시하였다.