• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand estimation

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The Estimation of the Demand of Newly Married Couples for Public Rental Housing in Chungnam (충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택 수요 추정과 정책적 함의)

  • Hong, Sung-Hyo;Im, Jun-Hong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2022
  • This paper estimates the demand of newly married couples for public rental housing in Chungnam. This research attempts to overcome data limitations by linking survey data with administrative data for analysis. First, the results of a binary logit model that analyzes newly married couples' intention to move into public rental housing, based on the Chungnam Social Survey 2019, reveal that residential location, educational level, housing type, and tenure type have a statistically significant effect. By combining the estimated coefficients with another dataset, the statistics of newly married couples for administration purposes acquired from Statistics Korea, this research estimates the demand for public rental housing among the newly married couples in Chungnam. The estimation results show that the total demand for public rental housing in Chungnam is 11,424 units among 43,705 newly married couples. The total demand of 21,685 newly married couples who occupy rental housing is estimated to be 9,436 units. The policy for providing public rental housing to newly married couples in Chungnam aims to increase their fertility rates. Hence, further research should be followed up to evaluate the effect of the supply of public rental housing on fertility rates. Also, a research method should be developed to control for possible endogeneity between the demand for public rental housing and childbirths.

A Novel Expectation-Maximization based Channel Estimation for OFDM Systems (Expectation-Maximization 기반의 새로운 OFDM 채널 추정 방식)

  • Kim, Nam-Kyeom;Sohn, In-Soo;Shin, Jae-Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4C
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    • pp.397-402
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    • 2009
  • Accurate estimation of time-selective fading channel is a difficult problem in OFDM(Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing) system. There are many channel estimation algorithms that are very weak in noisy channel. For solving this problem, we use EM (Expectation-Maximization) algorithm for iterative optimization of the data. We propose an EM-LPC algorithm to estimate the time-selective fading. The proposed algorithm improves of the BER performance compared to EM based channel estimation algorithm and reduces the iteration number of the EM loop. We simulated the uncoded system. If coded system use the EM-LPC algorithm, the performance are enhanced because of the coding gain. The EM-LPC algorithm is able to apply to another communication system, not only OFDM systems. The image processing of the medical instruments that the demand of accurate estimation can also use the proposed algorithm.

A Study on the Estimation of Temperature, Humidity and Cooling Load (온도, 습도 및 냉방부하 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Han, Seung-Ho;Lee, Je-Myo;Han, Kyou-Hyun;Noh, Kwan-Jong
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 2006
  • The peak demand of electricity in summer season mainly comes from the day time cooling loads. Ice thermal Storage System (ITSS) uses off-peak electricity at night time to make ice for the day time cooling. In order to maximize the use of cold storage in ITSS, the estimation of day time cooling load for the building is necessary. In this study, we present a method of cooling load estimation using 5 years of normalized outdoor temperature, relative humidity, and the building construction data. We applied the hourly-based estimation to a general hospital building with relatively less sudden heat exchange and the results are compared with the measured cooling load of the building. The results show that the cooling loads estimation depends on the indoor cooling design temperature of the building.

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Methods to Predict Demand for Workforce in New & Renewable Energy Industry (신.재생에너지 인력수요전망 방법론 및 사례 연구)

  • Lee, You-Ah;Heo, Eunn-Yeong
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2011
  • Prediction of demand for workforce in new and renewable energy is precondition for sustainable growth of an industry. The purpose of this research is to review prediction methods and case studies of workforce in new and renewable energy industry. This research compares the three methods in the focused on possibility of applying in renewable energy industry; survey, input-output and labor function estimation methods. Also, three cases are reviewed in the focused on applied method; Korea, America and Australia. As a result, the survey method was wildly used in the new and renewable industry. Also the improvement rates of work force are difference depending on the methodology. This result can be applied to set up the policy of human resource development of renewable energy.

An Estimation on Demand of Telephone Service in Major Cities of Korea (우리나라 지역별 전화서비스 수요의 추정 - 주택용 전화서비스 수요를 중심으로 -)

  • 최동수
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.374-385
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    • 1998
  • This study is estimates telephone service demand based on empirical studies of telecommunication service demand model. First, the telephone charge(call price index) by each location and subscription fee bring about a negative effect to telephone distribution rate: while the other explanatory variables bring about a positive effect. Second, the flexibility of telephone charge in A location(relevant location) and the flexibility between the distance of A location and B location are negative values, while the flexibility of other explanatory variables is represented in a positive value. This means that the long distance call numbers from A location to B location are in inverse proportion against the phone charge(call price index) of A location and against the distance between A location and the distance of other locations except A location, while they are in direct proportion with an average call number per minute from A location to other locations except A location, and also with subscription numbers of A location, other subscribers in locations other than A location, and the total expenditures of A location.

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A Statistical Pattern Recognition Method for Providing User Demand in Community Computing (커뮤니티 컴퓨팅에서 사용자 요구 반영을 위한 통계적 패턴 인식 기법)

  • Kim, Sung-Bin;Jung, Hye-Dong;Lee, Hyung-Su;Kim, Seok-Yoon
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.287-289
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    • 2009
  • The conventional computing is a centralizing system, but it has been gradually going to develop ubiquitous computing which moves roles away from the main. The Community Computing, a new paradigm, is proposed to implement environment of ubiquitous computing. In this environment, it is important to accept the user demand. Hence in this paper recognizes pattern of user's activity statistically and proposes a method of pattern estimation in community computing. In addition, user's activity varies with time and the activity has the priority We reflect these. Also, we improve accuracy of the method through Knowledge Base organization and the feedback system. We make program using Microsoft Visual C++ for evaluating performance of proposed method, then simulate it. We can confirm it from the experiment result that using proposal method is better in environment of community computing.

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Estimating Reorder Points for ARMA Demand with Arbitrary Variable Lead Time

  • An, Bong-Geun;Hong, Kwan-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 1992
  • It an inventory control system, the demand over time are often assumed to be independently identically distributed (i. i. d.). However, the demands may well be correlated over time in many situations. The estimation of reorder points is not simple for correlated demands with variable lead time. In this paper, a general class of autoregressive and moving average processes is considered for modeling the demands of an inventory item. The first four moments of the lead-time demand (L) are derived and used to approximate the distribution of L. The reorder points at given service level are then estimated by the three approximation methods : normal approximation, Charlier series and Pearson system. Numerical investigation shows that the Pearson system and the Charlier series performs extremely well for various situations whereas the normal approximation show consistent underestimation and sensitive to the distribution of lead time. The same conclusion can be reached when the parameters are estimated from the sample based on the simulation study.

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Demand and Supply of Physicians for Oriental Medicine : Review and Prospects (한의사인력의 수급전망과 대책)

  • Lee Sun-Dong;Byun Jin-Seok;Kim Jin-Hyun
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • This paper estimated the demand and supply of physicians for oriental medicine for the period of $2009{\sim}2019$. Two equation models were used in the estimation of manpower. In 2004, the total number of physicians of oriental medicine was amounted to 13,662 registered and 10,532 available in clinical practice, respectively. According to estimates in the study, overall excess supply of physician manpower in oriental medicine was expected in the period, such as $5,300{\sim}5,700$ persons in 2009 and $900{\sim}1,700$ persons in 2019. However, the excess supply would be mitigated after 2019 mainly due to an increase in demand for oriental medical services. Specially, opening medical service market to overseas could be an exogenous variable in physician supply. An alternative manpower policy for oriental medical doctors is needed in a way of controlling oversupply.

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Estimation of Demand on Bulk-Type Dryer for Agricultural Products in Korea (농산물(農産物) 건조기(乾燥機)(벌크형)의 수요추정(需要推定)에 관(關)한 조사(調査) 연구(硏究) -고추 및 엽연초(葉煙草)를 대상(對象)으로)

  • Koh, H.K.;Noh, S.H.;Cho, Y.J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 1988
  • Bulk-type dryers which are widely used for drying special agricultural products such as tobaco leaf, red pepper, mushroom, ginseng, medicinal herb, etc, began to be distributed on a full scale since 1980 and the total number of dryers introduced to farms reached to about 36,600 units as of the end of 1986. In this study a survery was carried on the farmers cultivating special crops, dryer manufacturers and related administrative institutes and associations by means of on-the-spot investigation, mail or interview to collect data on scales and patterns of farming, utilization of bulk-type dryers, production and price streams of the special crops etc. Based on the analysis of the data surveyed predictions were made for the total demand on the bulk-type dryers and for annual demand over five-year span.

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A Study on the Demand Modelling for District Cooling Energy Source (지역냉방 열원의 수요모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin Hyung;Choi, Byung Ryeal
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.633-657
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    • 2002
  • This study presents a demand modelling for landfill gas, which is used as alternative energy source for district cooling business. By analyzing the cost minimizing behavior of producer facing with three alternative energy sources such as electricity, cooling heat water, and gas, a demand function for landfill gas is derived from the optimal operating time of gas fired production facility, and estimated using unpublished data, which are associated with Seoul city's development plan for Sang-am area. The estimation results repeals that Seoul City could supply the land-fill gas of 13.76 million cubic meters each year at the price of about 16 won per cubic meters. However, if the investment costs associated with installation of gas collecting facilities are treated as sunk costs, annual amount of gas supplied is expected to increase to 14.22 million cubic meters at a lower unit price of 14.76 won.

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