• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand Characteristics

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Mid-Term Energy Demand Forecasting Using Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine (조건적 제한된 볼츠만머신을 이용한 중기 전력 수요 예측)

  • Kim, Soo-Hyun;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Dong-gu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Hyung-suk;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2019
  • Electric power demand forecasting is one of the important research areas for future smart grid introduction. However, It is difficult to predict because it is affected by many external factors. Traditional methods of forecasting power demand have been limited in making accurate prediction because they use raw power data. In this paper, a probability-based CRBM is proposed to solve the problem of electric power demand prediction using raw power data. The stochastic model is suitable to capture the probabilistic characteristics of electric power data. In order to compare the mid-term power demand forecasting performance of the proposed model, we compared the performance with Recurrent Neural Network(RNN). Performance comparison using electric power data provided by the University of Massachusetts showed that the proposed algorithm results in better performance in mid-term energy demand forecasting.

Development of Data Visualized Web System for Virtual Power Forecasting based on Open Sources based Location Services using Deep Learning (오픈소스 기반 지도 서비스를 이용한 딥러닝 실시간 가상 전력수요 예측 가시화 웹 시스템)

  • Lee, JeongHwi;Kim, Dong Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.1005-1012
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the use of various location-based services-based location information systems using maps on the web has been expanding, and there is a need for a monitoring system that can check power demand in real time as an alternative to energy saving. In this study, we developed a deep learning real-time virtual power demand prediction web system using open source-based mapping service to analyze and predict the characteristics of power demand data using deep learning. In particular, the proposed system uses the LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model to enable power demand and predictive analysis locally, and provides visualization of analyzed information. Future proposed systems will not only be utilized to identify and analyze the supply and demand and forecast status of energy by region, but also apply to other industrial energies.

Comparison and discussion of water supply and demand forecasts considering spatial resolution in the Han-river basin (분석단위 세분화에 따른 한강권역의 물수급 분석 비교 및 고찰)

  • Oh, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Yeon-Su;Ryu, Kyong Sik;Bae, Yeong Dae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2019
  • Our country is making efforts to manage water resources efficiently. In the future, It is necessary to develop a plan after subdividing the basin considering regional problems and water use, topographical and climatic characteristics. This study constructed water supply and demand system based on the standard watershed unit for water shortage evaluation considering spatial resolution. In addition, water shortage were calculated and compared using the MODSIM model in the Han-river basin. As a result, the average water shortage occurring during the 49 years (1967-2015) was 129.98 million $m^3$ for the middle watershed unit and 222.24 million $m^3$ for the standard watershed unit, resulting in a difference of about 2.1 billion m3. However, the trends and distribution of water shortage occurrence were very similar. The reason for this is that, in the case of the Middle watershed unit analysis, water shortages are calculated for the demand for living, industrial, and agricultural water for the representative natural flow value, assuming that all the water can be used in basin. The standard basin unit analysis showed that the difference between the fractionated supply and demand resulted in a large water shortage due to the relatively small amount of available water, and that the main stream did not show water shortage due to the ripple effect of the return flow. If the actual water use system is considered in the model as well as the subdivision of the spatial unit, it will be possible to evaluate the water supply and demand reflecting the regional characteristics.

Analysis of The Relationships between Religions in Southeast Asia and Tourism Demand in Korea (동남아시아 지역 종교와 방한 관광수요의 영향 관계분석)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2023
  • As part of the research on cultural factors that determine international tourism demand, this study was conducted based on regional interest and the need for understanding religion. The purpose of this study is to empirically test how religious factors affect tourism demand in Korea to find out that religious factors are important considerations in establishing tourism policies and strategies. To achieve the purpose of this study, the research target areas were selected as Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines, which have relatively many tourists visiting Korea among Southeast Asian countries and are well known for their religious characteristics. GDP and nominal exchange rate, which are economic factors, were selected as explanatory variables. And religious diversity was selected as a characteristic factor variable of the tourism demand model based on the characteristic theory. An empirical analysis was conducted through a gravity model. As a result of the estimation, it was found that GDP has a positive effect on tourism demand in Korea. Nominal exchange rate variables and religious diversity variables were found to have a negative effect on tourism demand in Korea. We have confirmed that religion is an important factor in choosing tourist destinations for Filipino, Thai, and Malaysian tourists visiting Korea, and they choose religiously similar destinations.

A Study on the Spatial Characteristics of Senior Complexes in Japan (일본 노인복합시설의 유형별 공간특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Ryoung;Soh, Jun-Young;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 2007
  • With a rapid expansion of the elderly population, there is a greater demand for the construction of senior complexes. However, due to a land price increase and insufficient financial resources, accommodating such a demand is challenging. Also, as aging progresses, many elderlies tend to be isolated from local community, because of deteriorating health. As a result, constructing senior complexes is becoming an important community project. The construction of senior complexes in Korea has been started since early 2000, so it is still in the beginning stage in Korea. However, in the case of Japan, they have more experience in building such buildings. Therefore, in this study, 49 senior complexes in Japan were analysed, and the following spatial characteristics were derived. 1. By classifying senior complexes largely into a complex type with similar facilities and a complex type with different facilities, 12 types were derived. Depending on the types of facilities, basic sharing rooms and selectively sharing rooms by need are suggested. 2. Depending on 4 characteristics, such as spatial composition, entrance type, circulation form, and complex facility type, 17 types of senior complexes were derived, and the characteristics of each type are presented.

Analysis of Borrows Demand for Books in Public Libraries Considering Cultural Characteristics (문화적 특성을 고려한 공공도서관 도서 대출수요 분석 : 대구광역시 시립도서관을 사례로)

  • Oh, Min-Ki;Kim, Kyung-Rae;Jeong, Won-Oong;Kim, Keun-Wook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2021
  • Public libraries are a space where residents learn a wide range of knowledge and ideologies, and as they are directly connected to life, various related studies have been conducted. In most previous studies, variables such as population, traffic accessibility, and environment were found to be highly relevant to library use. In this study, it can be said that the difference from previous studies is that the book borrow demand and relevance were analyzed by reflecting the variables of cultural characteristics based on the book borrow history (1,820,407 cases) and member information (297,222 persons). As a result of the analysis, it was analyzed that as the increase in borrows for social science and literature books compared to technical science books, the demand for book borrows increased. In addition, various descriptive statistical analyzes were used to analyze the characteristics of library book borrow demand, and policy implications and limitations of the study were also presented based on the analysis results. and considering that cultural characteristics change depending on the location and time of day, it is believed that related research should be continued in the future.

통신서비스 산업의 경쟁전략 분석을 위한 진화모형

  • 이승규;손병규;최성철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.207-210
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    • 1997
  • The drastic structural changes in telecommunications industry are imposing new strains on operators, regulators and customers. Many researchers have offered diverse frameworks for the changes from the perspectives of sociology, technology, and/or economics. However, there have been few attempts to document the competitive phenomena from management perspectives because of the technological complexities and dynamism in the fundamental transition of competition. In this study, we examine competitive environment in telecommunications industry, and identified five structural elements; telecom operator, competitors, regulation, suppliers, and customer demand. The suggested framework is used to provide a basis for explaining the changes in the characteristics of individual elements and the interactions among them. The dynamic industry-specific changes will be explained through an evolutionary model. We specify the characteristics of progressive stages and the determinants of the evolution. Changes are reviewed in terms of five criteria; regulations and competitions, value chain, technology, customers demand, and internal operations. The result of this study will be useful in analyzing and predicting industry structure and major participants' strategic behaviors and decision patterns. This study can alse be extended to other industries facing dynamic structural changes.

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The influence of exhaust system on heat efficiency and fuel consumption of S.I engine (엔진운전조건에 따른 배기시스템의 압력분포특성에 관한 연구)

  • 김동현;박세종;손성만;박경석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.1091-1096
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    • 2004
  • It is necessary to consider the stability, economic environmental-friendly problems by the development of the road, supply of the automobile, environmental problem as designing the exhaust system. To reduce the noise and the vibration of the automobile. The need for stricter regulation limits emission and demand for lower fuel comsumption. According to motor vehicle company develop variable type muffler, dual muffler and active intelligence exhaust system unit. Improvement in engine performance and fuel consumption for demand information of pressure fraction and heat characteristics. To be able to determine these factor for we experiment on each case of exhaust system unit. In this study, in order to establish the optimized conditions design factors which are taking many performance as the variable valve, it shows how the standard performance and the additional element of the exhaust system effects on the engine performance.

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A Study on the Structure and Characteristics of Light-duty FC Hybrid Vehicle (경부하 FC 하이브리드 자동차의 구조와 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Bong, Tae-Keun
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.911-917
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    • 2007
  • Global primary energy demand is projected to increase by 1.7% per year from 2000 to 2030. Almost three-quaters of the increase in demand will come from the transportation sector. Fuel cell hybrid vehicle technology has the potential to significantly reduce energy and harmful emissions, as well as our dependence on foreign oil. In this paper, a systematic and logical methodology is developed and improved mainly to design light duty fuel cell hybrid electric vehicle. We investigated structure and characteristics of light duty FC hybrid vehicle carefully. It can easily be expanded to analyze vehicle-to-grid power connectable plug-in NeHEV. A fuel cell hybrid neighbourhood electric vehicle configuration has been studied in-depth utilizing the proposed methodology.

Development of An Areal Elderly Migration Model for Demand Estimation of Rural Retirement Community (농촌지역 실버타운의 수요예측을 위한 노인인구이동 모형의 개발)

  • Jung, Nam-Su;Lee , Jeong-Jae;Kim , Han-Joong;Yoon , Seong-Su
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2004
  • An areal elderly migration model (AEMM) was developed to assess the demand of rural development projects targeted towards elderly people. The AEMM was developed with adaptation of the gravity model to represent spatial interaction regarding amenities. Areal characteristics were classified for estimating the amenities from the perspective of net migration. From 1990 to 2000, data were acquired from USCB, PASDA, PAHEALTH, PADCNR, PFBC, and NCDC in 67 Pennsylvania counties for analysis and application. The results revealed that elderly migration can be explained not only by areal characteristics but also by spatial interaction considering the population, distances, and amenities of surrounding areas.