• Title/Summary/Keyword: Deficit Model

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Development of a Monitoring Technique of Dryness and Wetness in Watershed using Climatic Water Budget (기후학적 물수지에 의한 유역의 건조 및 습윤 상황 감시 기법 개발)

  • Shin, Sha-Chul;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2008
  • Climatic water balance has been applied to obtain quantity of various hydrologic components. Hydrologic information is estimated by comparison between rainfall and evapotranspiration under complex terrain condition. Water deficit is defined as that subtraction of actual supply from climatic demand. The water deficit will occur, when monthly evapotranspiration exceed monthly rainfall. Contrary water surplus is defined as that surplus water after meeting the demand by plants. The water surplus will be occurred when monthly rainfall exceeds monthly evapotranspiration. Finally, the discrete moisture indices were calculated and mapped for the whole watershed to estimate dryness and wetness status using the climatic water balance approach. The result of this study can properly interpret the real drought and non drought. Based upon the results, it can be concluded that the climatic water balance model is useful to monitor water conditions for the watershed.

Association between Maternal Adverse Childhood Experiences and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in the Offspring: The Mediating Role of Antepartum Health Risks

  • Moon, Duk-Soo;Bong, Su-Jeong;Kim, Bung-Nyun;Kang, Na Ri
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: This study aimed to examine the effect of maternal adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) on the attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) symptoms in the offspring and to examine the mediating role of antepartum health risk on the intergenerational transmission of maternal ACEs. Methods: The participants consisted of 461 mother-child dyads. Mothers completed the ACEs questionnaire and Diagnostic Predictive Scales. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the risk of ADHD symptoms in the offspring of mothers with ACEs and the mediating effect of antepartum health risks by path analysis. Results: In all, 35.4% (n=163) had at least one maternal ACE, and 11.1% (n=51) had three or more. Compared to the non-ADHD symptom group, the group of offspring with ADHD symptoms showed a significant association with maternal ACE score (p<0.001) and antepartum health risks (p<0.001). Multivariate analysis further showed a significant association between the sum of maternal ACEs [odds ratio (OR)=1.264, 95% confidence interval (CI)= 1.060-1.516, p=0.009], antepartum health risks (OR=1.236, 95% CI=1.036-1.475, p=0.019), and ADHD symptoms in the offspring. In the mediation model in which the mother's ACE score affected the offspring's ADHD symptoms, partial mediation through antepartum health risks was found to be significant (B=0.041, 95% CI=0.011-0.124). Conclusion: Maternal ACEs are significantly related to the incidence of ADHD symptoms in the offspring and antepartum health risks exert an indirect effect. These findings suggest that maternal ACEs have a negative impact on the offspring's brain development through intergenerational transmission, resulting in neurodevelopmental disorders such as ADHD.

Association between polycystic ovary syndrome and risk of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in offspring: a meta-analysis

  • Maleki, Azam;Bashirian, Saeid;Soltanian, Ali Reza;Jenabi, Ensiyeh;Farhadinasab, Abdollah
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2022
  • Background: There is evidence of a relationship between prenatal excess androgen exposure and central nervous developmental problems and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the offspring of mothers with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). Purpose: Here we aimed to use a meta-analysis to investigate whether the offspring of mothers with PCOS are at an increased chance of developing ADHD. Methods: Three main English databases were searched for articles published through December 2020. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess study quality. Study heterogeneity was determined using I2 statistics and publication bias was assessed using Begg and Egger tests. The results are presented as odds ratio (OR) and relative ratio (RR) estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using a random-effects model. Results: Six articles (3 cohort and 3 case-control studies; 401,413 total ADHD cases) met the study criteria. Maternal PCOS was associated with an increased risk of ADHD in the offspring based on OR and RR (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.27-1.57) and (RR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.35-1.51), respectively. There was no heterogeneity among the included articles based on OR (I2=0.0%, P=0.588) and RR (I2=0.0%, P=0.878). Conclusion: Our study showed that maternal PCOS is a risk factor for ADHD. Therefore, screening their offspring for ADHD should be considered part of the comprehensive clinical care of women with PCOS.

Return on Equity Model and Its Application to Hospital Strategic Management (병원의 재무상태 개선전략 수립을 위한 기본재산순이익율모형의 적용사례)

  • Hwang, In-Kyoung
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.80-95
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    • 1997
  • It has been an issue in the field of hospital management to develope a systematic and comprehensive analysis frame for financial position. This study developed a return on equity(ROE) model that includes the components of financial profitability, activity, stability and growth with reference to that developed in the USA The application of the model was attempted to assess its feasibility using data collected from a general hospital that has long been in the red. The hospital's financial ratio were compared to those of another private hospital in the black and also to the average ratios values of the similar bed-sized hospitals. Factors that cause the financial deficit and the strategies that can help to reorient the management's financial decision-making together with requisite conditions for effective use of the model, were identified. This study concludes that the ROE model can be usefull when effective financial strategies of the private hospitals are to be formulated.

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Development of An Agricultural Drought Evaluation Model for Administrative Decision Support (가뭄대책 행정지원을 위한 지역논가뭄평가모형 ADEM의 개발)

  • Jang, Min-Won;Chung, Ha-Woo;Park, Ki-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.9 no.2 s.19
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2003
  • The objectives of this study are to develop an agricultural drought evaluation model based on administrative boundaries and to assist the effective drought-related decision-making of local governments. The model which was named ADEM(Administrative Drought Evaluation Model for Paddies) is designed to simulate daily water balance between available water quantities from various agricultural water facilities such as reservoirs, wells, pump stations, etc. and water requirements in paddies. And in order to numerically describe the agricultural drought severity, two indices were defined; One is ADFP(Agricultural Drought Frequency for Paddies) which is calculated with a frequency analysis of monthly water deficit, and the other is ADIP(Agricultural Drought Index for Paddies) with a scale of $-4.2{\sim}+4.2$. The developed model was applied to Yeoju district and showed good correspondence with the historical records of drought.

Effect of Fermented Garlic Extract Containing Nitric Oxide Metabolites on Impairments of Memory and of Neural Plasticity in Rat Model of Vascular Dementia (산화질소 대사체 함유 마늘 발효 추출물 이용 혈관성 치매 흰쥐 모델의 기억력 및 신경가소성 장애 개선 효과)

  • Zhang, Xiaorong;Moon, Se Jin;Kim, Yoo Ji;Jeong, Sun Oh;Kim, Min Sun
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2022
  • Rodent model for chronic cerebral hypoperfusion caused by bilateral carotid artery occlusion (BCAO) show clinically relevant evidences for vascular dementia and impairments of synaptic plasticity in the hippocampus. The purpose of this study was to evaluate effect of fermented garlic (F-Garlic) extract with NO metabolites on cognitive behaviors, synaptic plasticity, and molecular events in the hippocampus following BCAO. Adult male Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided three experimental groups into: control+water; BCAO+water; BCAO+F-Garlic. Animals were treated with oral administration of F-Garlic in tap water as a drinking water after surgery for 4 weeks. On passive avoidance test and Y-maze test, BCAO+water showed a significant decrease in step-through latency and spontaneous alteration, indicating deficit of hippocampal memory formation but the treatment of F-Garlic significantly increased these cognitive behaviors. In control+water, a robust increase in the amplitude of evoked field excitatory postsynaptic potentials was observed by theta burst stimulation to hippocampal neural circuit indicating formation of long-term potentiation (LTP) in the hippocampal CA1. BCAO+water showed a highly significant deficit in LTP induction 4 weeks after BCAO. On other hand, daily oral administration of F-Garlic extract caused the marked preservation of LTP induction. Moreover, parvalbumin was markedly reduced in the CA1, especially, in the stratum radiatum of BCAO+water. In contrast, BCAO+F-Garlic mitigate a significantly reduction of the parvalbumin. In summary, these results suggest that daily oral administration of F-Garlic extract can ameliorate cognitive memory deficit through the preservation of synaptic plasticity and interneurons integrity in the hippocampus in rodent model of chronic cerebral hypoperfusion.

The Effects of Middle School Students' Belongingness Orientation on their Psychological Adaptation and Friend Networks: A Short-term Longitudinal Social Network Analysis (중학생의 소속감 지향성이 심리적 적응 및 친구 네트워크에 미치는 영향력 비교: 소셜 네트워크 분석을 활용한 단기-종단적 분석)

  • Lee, Seungjin;Ko, Young-gun
    • Korean Journal of School Psychology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2021
  • Intimate friendships and a sense of belonging have positive effects on adolescent's psychological adaptation. Belongingness orientation is the motivation to belong. It is divided into growth orientation and deficit-reduction orientation, both of which have different effects on psychological adaptation and interpersonal characteristics. This study was conducted to determine how adolescents' belongingness orientation affected their psychological adaptation and friend networks. Students in their second year of middle school were surveyed both at the beginning and end of the spring semester. Friend networks were measured through network centrality analysis. Multilevel regression analysis produced three major results. The first major result was that the correlations between growth orientation and loneliness and between growth orientation and stress at the beginning of the spring semester was statistically significant even when friend network centrality was included in the analysis model, but the correlation between deficit-reduction orientation and loneliness and between deficit-reduction orientation and stress were not statistically significant. The second major result was that growth orientation significantly predicted friend network centrality at the end of the spring semester. This effect was significant even when friend network centrality at the beginning of the semester and psychological adaptation level at the end of the spring semester were added to the analysis model. The third major result was that the correlation between friend network centrality at the end of the semester and psychological adaptation level was statistically significant even when psychological adaptation levels at the beginning and the end of the semester were included in the analysis model. This study is meaningful in that it had a short-term longitudinal design and empirically demonstrated the relationship between belongingness orientation and psychological adaptation level of adolescents and between belongingness orientation and the development of friend networks. Lastly, we discussed limitations of this study and provided suggestions for future research.

Evaluation of Future Water Deficit for Anseong River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 안성천 유역의 미래 물 부족량 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Wung;Jung, Jaewon;Hong, Seung Jin;Han, Daegun;Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2017
  • The average global temperature on Earth has increased by about $0.85^{\circ}C$ since 1880 due to the global warming. The temperature increase affects hydrologic phenomenon and so the world has been suffered from natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Therefore, especially, in the aspect of water deficit, we may require the accurate prediction of water demand considering the uncertainty of climate in order to establish water resources planning and to ensure safe water supply for the future. To do this, the study evaluated future water balance and water deficit under the climate change for Anseong river basin in Korea. The future rainfall was simulated using RCP 8.5 climate change scenario and the runoff was estimated through the SLURP model which is a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model for the basin. Scenario and network for the water balance analysis in sub-basins of Anseong river basin were established through K-WEAP model. And the water demand for the future was estimated by the linear regression equation using amounts of water uses(domestic water use, industrial water use, and agricultural water use) calculated by historical data (1965 to 2011). As the result of water balance analysis, we confirmed that the domestic and industrial water uses will be increased in the future because of population growth, rapid urbanization, and climate change due to global warming. However, the agricultural water use will be gradually decreased. Totally, we had shown that the water deficit problem will be critical in the future in Anseong river basin. Therefore, as the case study, we suggested two alternatives of pumping station construction and restriction of water use for solving the water deficit problem in the basin.

How Does Economic News Affect S&P 500 Index Futures? (거시경제변수가 S&P 500 선물지수에 어떤 영향을 미치는가?)

  • So, Yung-Il;Ko, Jong-Moon;Choi, Won-Kun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.341-357
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    • 1996
  • Some empirical studies have shown that asset prices respond to announcements of economic news, however, others also have found little evidence. This study assesses how market participants of the S&P 500 Index Futures reacted to the U.S. economic news announcements. For this purpose, using a GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model, we use several U.S. news variables, its each surprise component and interest rates. We find that some economic news variables affected significantly on the S&P 500 Index Futures. In other words, we find that weekend variable, lagged volatility, and surprise component of trade deficit increased level of volatility. However, interest rate, M1, unemployment announcements caused the variance of the S&P 500 Index Futures to reduce, and each of the surprise component of M1 and trade deficit increased it. The result suggests that resolution of uncertainty, through economic news announcement, while, in some cases, causes market participants to reduce their forecast of volatility, a large difference between the market's forecast and the realization of the series causes the volatility to increase.

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Water Balance-based Farmland Suitability for Southern-type Garlic Cultivation (난지형 마늘의 농업수리학적 재배적지 분류)

  • Kim, Yong Wan;Hong, Suk Young;Kim, Yi Hyun;Jang, Min Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2012
  • This study carried out farmland suitability analysis for southern-type garlic cultivation considering soil and temperature as well as water deficit conditions. The spatial extent was limited within the area derived by Kim et al. (2012) using just soil and temperature constraints. Daily soil moisture was simulated using a one-layer soil water balance model at a $100{\times}100m$ grid unit, and then annual water deficit was calculated from 2000 to 2010. The farmland suitability was classified as four steps: best suitable, suitable, possible, and low productive. As a result, total area of best suitable or suitable farmland was about 375,900 ha, and Gimje-si and Haenam-gun were appeared as the largest favorable area for southern-type garlic cultivation. The best suitable or suitable area at Haenam-gun, Goheung-gun, Shinan-gun, Namhae-gun, and Muan-gun, major production regions of southern-type garlic, were extracted as 20,187 ha, 13,018 ha, 4,715 ha, 1,319 ha, and 349 ha, respectively. On the other hand, the result showed that the adoption of sprinkler irrigation systems might be critical in cultivating the southern-type garlic at some regions having poor water balance.