• Title/Summary/Keyword: Defense Expenditure

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A Causality Analysis of Korean Defense Expenditure and Economic Variables (한국의 국방비지출과 경제변수의 인과관계 분석)

  • 김종문
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.135-152
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    • 2004
  • Ever since Benoit's(1973, 1978) study, the relationship between defense spending and economic growth has been the subject of extensive empirical works. While a number of studies have reported that higher defense expenditure stimulate economic growth, many other studies have reported that an increase in military burden may hinder economic growth. To the extent that countries differ substantially in socioeconomic structures, the effects of defense spending cannot be generalized across countries. In this paper, Granger causality tests are performed between Korean defense expenditure and economic growth, consumption, investment, inflation and unemployment rate during the period from 1970 to 2002. The results show that Korean defense expenditure did not affect economic growth and unemployment rate. However, Korean defense expenditure caused consumption and inflation to decrease and investment to increase. On the other hand Korean defense expenditure was not Granger-caused by economic growth, consumption, investment, inflation and unemployment rate. In conclusion, the opportunity cost of Korean defense expenditure seemed to be relatively moderate considering Korean security environment. Even if it was not statistically significant, Korean defense burden at least did not bother economic growth.

The Study on Needs of Guaranteed Funding for Defense Science & Technology through Defense Expenditure Pattern Analysis (국방비 성장패턴 분석을 통한 국방과학기술에 대한 안정적 투자 필요성 연구)

  • Bae, Yoon-Ho;Choi, Seok-Cheol;Youn, Jun-Hwan
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2010
  • Defense expenditure is the investment for national defense capabilities acquisitions based on the national competitiveness, and includes research and development budgets more than some fixed ratio. So we need to guarantee the defense research and development budgets for National Defense Reform 2020 to posture that correspond to the future warfare, to acquire advanced weapon systems and critical technologies effectively. Especially advancement of the defense technology capabilities for future warfare is one of the issues that we are faced, and it needs to be researched and interested continuously. In this paper, we analysed 16 nation`s defense expenditures growth patterns and defense S&T indices, and proposed the needs of the guaranteed funding at the fixed ratio for defense S&T development.

The Weekly and Daily Energy Expenditure and Nutrition Survey on the Republic of Bores Army Cadets (육군 사관생도의 에너지소비량 및 영양섭취량에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, T.H.
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 1967
  • Determination of weekly and daily energy expenditure was made on 62 Republic of Korea Army cadets who were selected at random in order to estimate the weekly and daily ealorie expenditure. Basal metabolic rate (B.M.R.), and energy cost of various military and daily activities were measured by indirect calorimetry using open circuit method. Time-motion studies were also carried on using a stop-watch. The total weekly energy expenditure was calculated by summation of data using energy cost per minute, and the time spent on each activity. Determination of daily energy expenditure was deduced from each data of weekly energy expenditure. Food survey was also carried on for a week, and daily calorie intake was determined by a weekly average discounting loss in cooking. All measurements were determined from the Standard Table of Food Composition published by the Ministry of National Defense (1961). Following data were observed. 1. Physical status of cadets are as follows. Please note that the height and weight averages are 1-2cm and 4-5kg respectively over that of the Seoul National University students. First year Height 167.92 cm $(S.D.{\pm}4.09)$ Weight 61.72 kg $(S.D.{\pm}4.53)$ Second year Height 167.89 cm $(S.D.{\pm}3.46)$ Weight 63.01 kg $(S.D.{\pm}4.61)$ Third year Height 168.15 cm $(S.D.{\pm}4.24)$ Weight 43.48 kg $(S.D.{\pm}5.03)$ Fourth year Height 168.10 cm $(S.D.{\pm}3.70)$ Weight 64.02kg $(S.D.{\pm}5.10)$ 2. The B.M.R. of cadets averaged $36.57\;Cal./m^2/hr.(S.D.{\pm}3.63\;Cal./m^2/hr.)$ is almost equal with data on the same ages of civilians and the Japanese, but a lower average of $5.1\;Cal./m^2/hr.$ than that of a common soldier. 3. The energy expenditure during various military activities is close agreement with Consolazio. Passmore and Durnin, and Japanese reports.

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Forecast of Korea Defense Expenditures based on Time Series Models

  • Park, Kyung Ok;Jung, Hye-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2015
  • This study proposes a mathematical model that can forecast national defense expenditures. The ongoing European debt crisis weighs heavily on markets; consequently, government spending in many countries will be constrained. However, a forecasting model to predict military spending is acutely needed for South Korea because security threats still exist and the estimation of military spending at a reasonable level is closely related to economic growth. This study establishes two models: an Auto-Regressive Moving Average model (ARIMA) based on past military expenditures and Transfer Function model with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate and consumer price index as input time series. The proposed models use defense spending data as of 2012 to create defense expenditure forecasts up to 2025.

A Study on Improvement of Defense R & D Program by PMB (PMB적용을 통한 국방연구개발 사업관리 개선방안 연구)

  • Choi, Seok-Cheol;Bae, Yun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.9 no.2 s.25
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    • pp.60-69
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    • 2006
  • The PMB(performance measurement baseline) is the total time-phased budget plan against which program performance is measured. Additionally it is the schedule for expenditure of the resources allocated to accomplish program scope and schedule objectives, and is formed by the budget assigned. In this paper, we suggest an improvement of the R & D(research and development) program for defense acquisition by using the PMB and an application of the IBR(integrated baseline review) to review the PMB for project manager of the defense agency.

Naval Vessel Spare Parts Demand Forecasting Using Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 활용한 해군함정 수리부속 수요예측)

  • Yoon, Hyunmin;Kim, Suhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.253-259
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    • 2017
  • Recent development in science and technology has modernized the weapon system of ROKN (Republic Of Korea Navy). Although the cost of purchasing, operating and maintaining the cutting-edge weapon systems has been increased significantly, the national defense expenditure is under a tight budget constraint. In order to maintain the availability of ships with low cost, we need accurate demand forecasts for spare parts. We attempted to find consumption pattern using data mining techniques. First we gathered a large amount of component consumption data through the DELIIS (Defense Logistics Intergrated Information System). Through data collection, we obtained 42 variables such as annual consumption quantity, ASL selection quantity, order-relase ratio. The objective variable is the quantity of spare parts purchased in f-year and MSE (Mean squared error) is used as the predictive power measure. To construct an optimal demand forecasting model, regression tree model, randomforest model, neural network model, and linear regression model were used as data mining techniques. The open software R was used for model construction. The results show that randomforest model is the best value of MSE. The important variables utilized in all models are consumption quantity, ASL selection quantity and order-release rate. The data related to the demand forecast of spare parts in the DELIIS was collected and the demand for the spare parts was estimated by using the data mining technique. Our approach shows improved performance in demand forecasting with higher accuracy then previous work. Also data mining can be used to identify variables that are related to demand forecasting.

Analysis on the Relationship between R&D Inputs and Performance by using Panel Data : Focus on Defense Industry (패널 데이터를 이용한 방위산업의 R&D 투입과 성과 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Kang-Taek;Kim, Geun-Hyung;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Ik-Do
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.491-497
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the relationship between R&D input and performance using panel data from the defense industry. A research model is established based on the R&D logic model, and the study sample consists of a strongly balanced panel data (n=351) empirically analyzed using panel linear regression. Results identified that defense improvement expenditure has a positive influence on the R&D input, and R&D input positively affected patents using a 5-year time lag. In addition, R&D input positively impacts economic performance, including sales and profit. Hence, the major finding includes R&D inputs have statistically significant effects on economic outcome and the R&D logic model featuring a time-lag.

Survey on the Application of Standards and Specifications in Munitions Companies (II) (군수업체에서의 표준·규격 활용실태 조사 연구 (II))

  • Choi, Ki-In;Park, Il-Gwang;Kim, Sung-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1597-1602
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    • 2011
  • To understand current status for the utilization of Korean military specifications(KDS) and other standards/specifications in munitions companies, we have surveyed 150 companies mainly related with electrical and electronic industry. Most of the companies have expected that the harmonization of KDS and KS would bring a positive effect on their business, especially from the point of quality control, productivity increase, the reduction of expenditure for standard management and so on. This survey result will help to build more user-friendly management system for KDS as well as KS.

Recent U.S. Efforts on RMA/MTR and Suggestions for ROK Military Progress (미국의 군사혁명(RMA/MTR)추세와 우리군의 미래발전방향)

  • 권태영;정춘일
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 1996
  • Sun Tzu once clarified that "One who knows the enemy and knows himself will not be endangered in a hundred engagements, " while Clausewitz explained that "A victory will be guaranteed for one who can overcome 'fog and friction' at a battlefield." Now the U.S. is striving hard to develop an American version of RMA (Revolution in Military Affairs)/MTR (Military Technical Revolution) by utilizing its rapidly emerging information technology in the information age. The U.S. firmly believes that its RMA/MTR with less defense expenditure can provide all combat players in the battlespace with "dominant battle awareness, " by which no nation will be able to challenge U.S. military superiority. In this paper, the recent efforts of the U.S. Armed Forces on RMA/MTR will be briefly introduced, some lessons and expertises from the U.S. RMA/MTR are extracted, and, in this regard, several suggestions are provided for the progress of the ROK Armed Forces.gress of the ROK Armed Forces.

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