• Title/Summary/Keyword: Defaults

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Fuzzy Regression Model Using Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers for Re-auction Data

  • Kim, Il Kyu;Lee, Woo-Joo;Yoon, Jin Hee;Choi, Seung Hoe
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 2016
  • Re-auction happens when a bid winner defaults on the payment without making second in-line purchase declaration even after determining sales permission. This is a process of selling under the court's authority. Re-auctioning contract price of real estate is largely influenced by the real estate business, real estate value, and the number of bidders. This paper is designed to establish a statistical model that deals with the number of bidders participating especially in apartment re-auctioning. For these, diverse factors are taken into consideration, including ratio of minimum sales value from the point of selling to re-auctioning, number of bidders at the time of selling, investment value of the real estate, and so forth. As an attempt to consider ambiguous and vague factors, this paper presents a comparatively vague concept of real estate and bidders as trapezoid fuzzy number. Two different methods based on the least squares estimation are applied to fuzzy regression model in this paper. The first method is the estimating method applying substitution after obtaining the estimators of regression coefficients, and the other method is to estimate directly from the estimating procedure without substitution. These methods are provided in application for re-auction data, and appropriate performance measure is also provided to compare the accuracies.

Experimental Investigation of the Springback Characteristics of Tailor-Welded Strips in U-bending (용접판재의 U-벤딩시 스프링백 특성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • 신장모;장성호;허영무;서대교
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.48-53
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    • 2002
  • Sheet or plate bending is one of the most important industrial metal forming processes. And considerable attention has been focused on gaining a better understanding of many of bending characteristics. One of defaults in bending process is the springback. In this study, the springback characteristics of tailor-welded strips in U-bending process was investigated. Furthermore, not only the relationships between the springback and the process variables such as the geometry of the tools and thickness combination of workpiece but also the heat effect which affects the springback due to welding process was experimentally considered. First, tailor-welded strips are joined by the laser welding process and consisted of two types of thickness combinations of the SCPI sheet, 0.8t${\times}$1.2t and 0.8${\times}$1.6t to investigate the effect of different thickness combination on the springback. Secondly, two different directionally welded strips, one was welded along the centerline of the strip-width and the other was along the centerline of strip-length, were adopted to compare the effects of the location of weld line on the springback. And three punch profile radii of 3, 9, and 15 m were used. Some cases of the experimental results were simulated by using a commercial FEM code, PAM-STAMP to compare the experimental results to the analytical ones.

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An effect of rail accumulated passing tonnage measurement device which uses a optical fiber sensor rail pad (광섬유센서 레일패드를 이용한 레일누적통과톤수 실측장치의 효용성 분석)

  • Shin, Hyo-Jeong;Park, Eun-Yong;Kong, Sun-Yong;Kim, Bag-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2009
  • For maintaining railroad, accumulated passing tonnage is a determinant factor of appropriate rail replacement time. Recently, Seoul Metro's rail maintaining system and technology is being improved from previous years, which increasing a standard of rail replacement. Thus, this brings importance of estimating and managing for accumulated passing tonnage. In case of light weighted train such as subway, current method of calculating accumulated passing tonnage has defaults of misrepresenting accumulated passing tonnage data. Because current method is based on the weight of passengers and train., and operation data. In addition, currently there is no mechanical and electronic system that could represent and support the accurate data between heavy and non-heavy traffic area, and accumulated passing tonnage is calculated inaccurately by estimating average value each line. The current method of calculating accumulated passing tonnage misleads to unpredictable data that represent inappropriate rail replacement period, which leads to under or over analyzed replacement period. If accumulated passing tonnage is over estimated, rail replacement leads to waste of budget. Hence, it is necessary to construct reliable actual measurement system to manage rail's life safely and efficiently, and in this study the accumulated passing tonnage measurement device is installed with using rail pad of optical fiber sensors and its effect is analyzed.

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Roles of Capital Adequacy and Liquidity to Improve Banking Performance

  • MARGONO, Hery;WARDANI, Mursida Kusuma;SAFITRI, Julia
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to empirically test the effect of liquidity and adequacy on bank performance through interest rate risk and credit risk. Capital adequacy and liquidity are variables that can affect the ups and downs of opinion, where the bank's performance in this study is the dependent variable. Good credit distribution can minimize the occurrence of defaults. This study uses banking companies in Indonesia that are listed on the Indonesian stock exchange, with a total number of 43 banking companies, this study however, uses only 30 companies ranging from years 2014 to 2019, primarily due to the availability of the limited data. The data analysis techniques used in this study is PLS-SEM with the WarpPLS application. The research results show that capital adequacy and liquidity has a positive effect on bank performance, interest rate risk and credit risk can mediate capital adequacy on bank performance, interest rate risk can mediate liquidity on bank performance, and interest rate risk has a positive effect on bank performance. However, credit risk can't mediate liquidity on bank performance and credit risk does not have a positive effect on bank performance. This is in line with the commercial loan theory, shiftability theory and the doctrine of anticipated income, which explains how best to give credit, both in longer and the shorter term.

The Design and Implementation of the Explorer Robot Adaptive Pipe Magnitude Width and Curve (파이프 크기와 굴곡에 적응하는 탐사로봇 설계 및 구현)

  • Lee, Kwang-Seok;Lee, Byeong-Ro;Choo, Yeon-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2009
  • Most of explorer robot in past has the fixed magnitude and communicate with wire communication method. In case of various range of pipe's width and various angle in pipe inter structure, the exploring work is very difficult. Thus, in this paper, we design as dealing with spring tension with pushing out pipe exterior, and applied RF communication. We can accept good performance both structure change and improvement of ability, monitor and collect the defaults data in pipe inter structure. Newly designed and developed pipe explorer robot is very advantageous to carrying and driving as being small and law weight.

Springback Characteristics of Tailor-Welded Strips in U-bending (레이저 용접 판재의 U-벤딩시 스프링백 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 장성호;신장모;서대교
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.440-448
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    • 2003
  • Sheet or plate bending is one of the most important industrial metal forming processes. Considerable attention has been focused on gaining a better understanding of bending characteristics. One of defaults in bending process is the springback. In this study, the springback characteristics of tailor-welded strips in U-bending process was investigated. Furthermore, effect of the process variables such as the geometry of the tools, thickness combination of workpiece, and welding prcoessing on springback were experimentally clarified. First, tailor-welded strips are joined by the laser welding process and consisted of two types of thickness combinations of the SCPl sheet, $0.8t{\times}1.2t$ and $0.8t{\times}1.6t$ to investigate the effect of different thickness combination on the springback. Secondly, two different directionly welded strips, one was welded along the centerline of the strip-width and the other was along the centerline of strip-length, were adopted to compare the effects of the location of weld line on the springback. Some cases of the experimental results were compared to the results simulated by using a commercial FEM code, PAM-STAMP and the theoretical results using the springback formula as well.

Ex Post Monitoring and Loan Repayment Performance in Rural Vietnam

  • HA, Van Dung;DANG, Truong Thanh Nhan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2021
  • Loan monitoring is a fundamental element of credit control. The importance of loan monitoring is to reduce loan defaults and to increase loan repayment performance. The ex-post monitoring can also increase the loan quality and thus a concern to many creditors in the market economy. This study identifies the role of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance in the context of rural Vietnam. Employing primary data from rural areas of Vietnam, this study investigates the impacts of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance of individual borrowers in terms of on-time loan repayment and the rate of loan repayment. Descriptions of borrower demographics, loan information, and ex-post monitoring show the initial picture of borrowers and loans in Vietnam's rural areas. Quantitative estimations that use the Probit and the Tobit model confirm the argument that better ex-post monitoring would result in better loan repayment performance in both on-time repayment and repayment rate. Thus, some policy suggestions have been made to improve the monitoring system in each financial institution. The study also indicates that some other factors too affect loan repayment performance such as borrower's characteristics (education, agricultural working area, and income) as well as loan's characteristics (loan size, maturity, and loan purpose).

The Impact of ESG Performance on Debt Default Risk of Heavy Polluter Firms -Study of mediation effects based on financing constraints- (ESG 성과가 중오염기업의 채무불이행 위험에 미치는 영향 -융자규제 기반 매개효과에 관한 연구-)

  • Sisi Chen;Jae yeon Sim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2024
  • This study examines the impact of corporate ESG performance on debt default risk using a sample of Chinese A-share listed.The I mpact of ESG Performance on Debt Default Risk of Heavy Polluter Firms from 2012 to 2022. The findings show that good ESG performance can effectively reduce firms' debt default risk. Further analysis shows that firms' ESG performance reduces debt default risk by mitigating the impact of financing constraints. This study explores the influencing factors of debt default risk from the perspective of ESG performance, and also enriches the research on the economic impact of corporate ESG performance, providing empirical evidence for the prevention of corporate debt default risk.

Development of a Default Prediction Model for Vulnerable Populations Using Imbalanced Data Analysis (불균형 데이터 처리 기반의 취약계층 채무불이행 예측모델 개발)

  • Lee, Jong Hwa
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2024
  • Purpose This study aims to analyze the relationship between consumption patterns and default risk among financially vulnerable households in a rapidly changing economic environment. Financially vulnerable households are more susceptible to economic shocks, and their consumption patterns can significantly contribute to an increased risk of default. Therefore, this study seeks to provide a systematic approach to predict and manage these risks in advance. Design/methodology/approach The study utilizes data from the Korea Welfare Panel Study (KOWEPS) to analyze the consumption patterns and default status of financially vulnerable households. To address the issue of data imbalance, sampling techniques such as SMOTE, SMOTE-ENN, and SMOTE-Tomek Links were applied. Various machine learning algorithms, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machine (SVM), were employed to develop the prediction model. The performance of the models was evaluated using Confusion Matrix and F1-score. Findings The findings reveal that when using the original imbalanced data, the prediction performance for the minority class (default) was poor. However, after applying imbalance handling techniques such as SMOTE, the predictive performance for the minority class improved significantly. In particular, the Random Forest model, when combined with the SMOTE-Tomek Links technique, showed the highest predictive performance, making it the most suitable model for default prediction. These results suggest that effectively addressing data imbalance is crucial in developing accurate default prediction models, and the appropriate use of sampling techniques can greatly enhance predictive performance.

Estimation of Economics thorough Prediction of Methane Generation using IPCC Guideline from C Sanitary Landfill (IPCC가이드라인을 이용한 중소도시 C위생매립장의 메탄가스 발생량 예측을 통한 경제성 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo;Park, Seo-Yun;Chang, In-Soo;Kang, Byung-Wook;Park, Sang-Chan;Yeon, Ik-Jun
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.189.1-189.1
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    • 2011
  • Global warming effect was intensified due to rapid growth of fossil fuel consumption caused by urbanization and industrialization. Various efforts was being done to solve the problems leading to anomaly climate such as flood, downpour, heavy snow. As a results of international efforts for management of global warming, Kyoto Protocol, which was passed in Kyoto, Japan in 1997, designated $CO_2$, $CH_4$, $N_2O$, HFCs, PFCs, $SF_6$ as a global warming gases. And IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) suggested IPCC guideline for systematic establishment of national greenhouse gas inventory. Among five categories in IPCC guideline, the representative emission source of waste category is SWDS(solid waste disposal site). The concentrative research should progress for effective management of greenhouse gas related with waste. In this study, Tier1 and Tier2 methods which was suggested by 2006 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) guideline, was used to predict methane generation from C sanitary landfill located in Chungju area. To predict methane generation from C sanitary landfill, all factors were defaults values that were provided by 2006 IPCC guideline and Korea emission factors for Tier1 and Tier2 method. And economics of generated methane was estimated. From the predicted result using IPCC guideline, the methane generation was persistingly increased over a 9-year period(2000 ~ 2008). Aggregated amount of methane generation was about 3,017ton and 3,170ton predicted by Tier1 and Tier2, respectively. From the results of estimated economic value gained by generated methane from the C sanitary landfill for ten years from now(2010 ~ 2020), the profit was about 2.39 ~ 2.76 hundred million won.

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