• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision support techniques

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Classification of Soil Creep Hazard Class Using Machine Learning (기계학습기법을 이용한 땅밀림 위험등급 분류)

  • Lee, Gi Ha;Le, Xuan-Hien;Yeon, Min Ho;Seo, Jun Pyo;Lee, Chang Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2021
  • In this study, classification models were built using machine learning techniques that can classify the soil creep risk into three classes from A to C (A: risk, B: moderate, C: good). A total of six machine learning techniques were used: K-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting and then their classification accuracy was analyzed using the nationwide soil creep field survey data in 2019 and 2020. As a result of classification accuracy analysis, all six methods showed excellent accuracy of 0.9 or more. The methods where numerical data were applied for data training showed better performance than the methods based on character data of field survey evaluation table. Moreover, the methods learned with the data group (R1~R4) reflecting the expert opinion had higher accuracy than the field survey evaluation score data group (C1~C4). The machine learning can be used as a tool for prediction of soil creep if high-quality data are continuously secured and updated in the future.

A Study on The Development Methodology for Intelligent College Road Map Advice System (지능형 전공지도시스템 개발 방법론 연구)

  • Choi, Doug-Won;Cho, Kyung-Pil;Shin, Jin-Gyu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2005
  • Data mining techniques enable us to generate useful information for decision support from the data sources which are generated and accumulated in the process of routine organizational management activities. College administration system is a typical example that produces a warehouse of student records as each and every student enters a college and undertakes the curricular and extracurricular activities. So far, these data have been utilized to a very limited student service purposes, such as issuance of transcripts, graduation evaluation, GPA calculation, etc. In this paper, we utilized Holland career search test results, TOEIC score, course work list and GPA score as the input for data mining, and we were able to generate knowledge and rules with regard to the college road map advisory service. Factor analysis and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) were the primary techniques deployed in the data mining process. Since these data mining techniques are very powerful in processing and discovering useful knowledge and information from large scale student databases, we can expect a highly sophisticated student advisory knowledge and services which may not be obtained from the human student advice experts.

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Prediction of the Movement Directions of Index and Stock Prices Using Extreme Gradient Boosting (익스트림 그라디언트 부스팅을 이용한 지수/주가 이동 방향 예측)

  • Kim, HyoungDo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2018
  • Both investors and researchers are attentive to the prediction of stock price movement directions since the accurate prediction plays an important role in strategic decision making on stock trading. According to previous studies, taken together, one can see that different factors are considered depending on stock markets and prediction periods. This paper aims to analyze what data mining techniques show better performance with some representative index and stock price datasets in the Korea stock market. In particular, extreme gradient boosting technique, proving itself to be the fore-runner through recent open competitions, is applied to the prediction problem. Its performance has been analyzed in comparison with other data mining techniques reported good in the prediction of stock price movement directions such as random forests, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks. Through experiments with the index/price datasets of 12 years, it is identified that the gradient boosting technique is the best in predicting the movement directions after 1 to 4 days with a few partial equivalence to the other techniques.

A Date Mining Approach to Intelligent College Road Map Advice Service (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 지능형 전공지도시스템 연구)

  • Choe, Deok-Won;Jo, Gyeong-Pil;Sin, Jin-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.266-273
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    • 2005
  • Data mining techniques enable us to generate useful information for decision support from the data sources which are generated and accumulated in the process of routine organizational management activities. College administration system is a typical example that produces a warehouse of student records as each and every student enters a college and undertakes the curricular and extracurricular activities. So far, these data have been utilized to a very limited student service purposes, such as issuance of transcripts, graduation evaluation, GPA calculation, etc. In this paper, we utilize Holland career search test results, TOEIC score, course work list, and GPA score as the input for data mining and generation the student advisory information. Factor analysis, AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process), artificial neural net, and CART(Classification And Regression Tree) techniques are deployed in the data mining process. Since these data mining techniques are very powerful in processing and discovering useful knowledge and information from large scale student databases, we can expect a highly sophisticated student advisory knowledge and services which may not be obtained with the human student advice experts.

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Evaluation of Classification Algorithm Performance of Sentiment Analysis Using Entropy Score (엔트로피 점수를 이용한 감성분석 분류알고리즘의 수행도 평가)

  • Park, Man-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1153-1158
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    • 2018
  • Online customer evaluations and social media information among a variety of information sources are critical for businesses as it influences the customer's decision making. There are limitations on the time and money that the survey will ask to identify a variety of customers' needs and complaints. The customer review data at online shopping malls provide the ideal data sources for analyzing customer sentiment about their products. In this study, we collected product reviews data on the smartphone of Samsung and Apple from Amazon. We applied five classification algorithms which are used as representative sentiment analysis techniques in previous studies. The five algorithms are based on support vector machines, bagging, random forest, classification or regression tree and maximum entropy. In this study, we proposed entropy score which can comprehensively evaluate the performance of classification algorithm. As a result of evaluating five algorithms using an entropy score, the SVMs algorithm's entropy score was ranked highest.

Forecasting of Customer's Purchasing Intention Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine 기법을 이용한 고객의 구매의도 예측)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwa;Nam, Ki-Chan;Lee, Sang-Jong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.137-158
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    • 2008
  • Rapid development of various information technologies creates new opportunities in online and offline markets. In this changing market environment, customers have various demands on new products and services. Therefore, their power and influence on the markets grow stronger each year. Companies have paid great attention to customer relationship management. Especially, personalized product recommendation systems, which recommend products and services based on customer's private information or purchasing behaviors in stores, is an important asset to most companies. CRM is one of the important business processes where reliable information is mined from customer database. Data mining techniques such as artificial intelligence are popular tools used to extract useful information and knowledge from these customer databases. In this research, we propose a recommendation system that predicts customer's purchase intention. Then, customer's purchasing intention of specific product is predicted by using data mining techniques using receipt data set. The performance of this suggested method is compared with that of other data mining technologies.

Fast On-Road Vehicle Detection Using Reduced Multivariate Polynomial Classifier (축소 다변수 다항식 분류기를 이용한 고속 차량 검출 방법)

  • Kim, Joong-Rock;Yu, Sun-Jin;Toh, Kar-Ann;Kim, Do-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Youn
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.8A
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    • pp.639-647
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    • 2012
  • Vision-based on-road vehicle detection is one of the key techniques in automotive driver assistance systems. However, due to the huge within-class variability in vehicle appearance and environmental changes, it remains a challenging task to develop an accurate and reliable detection system. In general, a vehicle detection system consists of two steps. The candidate locations of vehicles are found in the Hypothesis Generation (HG) step, and the detected locations in the HG step are verified in the Hypothesis Verification (HV) step. Since the final decision is made in the HV step, the HV step is crucial for accurate detection. In this paper, we propose using a reduced multivariate polynomial pattern classifier (RM) for the HV step. Our experimental results show that the RM classifier outperforms the well-known Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier, particularly in terms of the fast decision speed, which is suitable for real-time implementation.

A Study on the Framework of Decision Making on the Facility Investment of Production Automation Using CYCLONE Techniques (사이클론 기법 기반 생산자동화의 설비투자 의사결정 Framework에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hyeon-ki;Lee, Dong-soo;Bae, Jeong-hoon;Shin, Sung-chul;Kim, Soo-young;Lee, Jae-chul;Jeong, Bo-yong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.420-427
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    • 2016
  • The marine equipment companies expanding facility investment in accordance with the booming economy are suffering from the reduced demand and the growth of chinese businesses. In this regard, the risk of overinvestment and the importance of prudent equipment investment must be reconsidered. Thus, in this study we performed a productivity and economical efficiency analysis in order to evaluate the investment value on production facilities in a company under the present conditions. The freezer of a fishing vessel manufactured by N company is selected as the subject of our study, while the assembly and welding cooling plates are configured as the scope of automation. Analysis on productivity and economical efficiency was conducted through CYCLONE (Cyclic Operation Network) simulation and economic analysis methods after analyzing the production process of freezer. The proposed analytical technique can be used to support the investment decision in production automation equipment of fishing vessels freezer.

Examining the PMIS Impacts on the Project Performance, User Satisfaction and Reuse Intention among the Project based Industries (프로젝트 성과, 사용자 만족도 및 재사용의도에 미치는 PMIS의 산업별 영향 비교)

  • Park, So-Hyun;Lee, Ayeon;Kim, Seung-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.276-287
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    • 2021
  • Project Management Information System (PMIS) is a special purpose information system that is created to provide useful information for project managers and participants to make effective and efficient decision making during projects. The use of PMIS is increasing in project based industries such as construction, defense, manufacturing, software development, telecommunication, etc. It is generally known that PMIS helps to improve the quality of decision making in project management, and consequently improves the project management performance. However, it is unclear what are the difference of PMIS impacts between industries, and still need to be studied further. The purpose of this study is to compare the impact of PMIS on project management performance between industries. We assume that the effects of PMIS will be different depending on the industry types. Five hypotheses are established and tested by using statistical methods. Data were collected by using a survey questionnaire from those people who had experience of using PMIS in various project related industries such as construction, defense, manufacturing, software development and telecommunication. The survey questionnaire consists of 5 point scale items and were distributed through e-mails and google drive network. A total of 181 responses were collected, and 137 were used for analysis after excluding those responses with missing items. Statistical techniques such as factor analysis and multiple regression are used to analyze the data. Summarizing the results, it is found that the impacts of PMIS quality on the PM performance are different depending on the industry types where PMIS is used. System quality seems to be more important for improving the PM performance in construction industry while information quality seems more important for manufacturing industry. As for the ICT and R&D industries, PMIS seems to have relatively lesser impact compared to construction and manufacturing industries.

Decision based uncertainty model to predict rockburst in underground engineering structures using gradient boosting algorithms

  • Kidega, Richard;Ondiaka, Mary Nelima;Maina, Duncan;Jonah, Kiptanui Arap Too;Kamran, Muhammad
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.259-272
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    • 2022
  • Rockburst is a dynamic, multivariate, and non-linear phenomenon that occurs in underground mining and civil engineering structures. Predicting rockburst is challenging since conventional models are not standardized. Hence, machine learning techniques would improve the prediction accuracies. This study describes decision based uncertainty models to predict rockburst in underground engineering structures using gradient boosting algorithms (GBM). The model input variables were uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), uniaxial tensile strength (UTS), maximum tangential stress (MTS), excavation depth (D), stress ratio (SR), and brittleness coefficient (BC). Several models were trained using different combinations of the input variables and a 3-fold cross-validation resampling procedure. The hyperparameters comprising learning rate, number of boosting iterations, tree depth, and number of minimum observations were tuned to attain the optimum models. The performance of the models was tested using classification accuracy, Cohen's kappa coefficient (k), sensitivity and specificity. The best-performing model showed a classification accuracy, k, sensitivity and specificity values of 98%, 93%, 1.00 and 0.957 respectively by optimizing model ROC metrics. The most and least influential input variables were MTS and BC, respectively. The partial dependence plots revealed the relationship between the changes in the input variables and model predictions. The findings reveal that GBM can be used to anticipate rockburst and guide decisions about support requirements before mining development.