• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision making delay

검색결과 93건 처리시간 0.032초

응급의료센터를 위한 위험기반 운영계획 모델 (Risk-based Operational Planning and Scheduling Model for an Emergency Medical Center)

  • 이미림;이진표;박민재
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2019
  • In order to deal with high uncertainty and variability in emergency medical centers, many researchers have developed various models for their operational planning and scheduling. However, most of the models just provide static plans without any risk measures as their results, and thus the users often lose the opportunity to analyze how much risk the patients have, whether the plan is still implementable or how the plan should be changed when an unexpected event happens. In this study, we construct a simulation model combined with a risk-based planning and scheduling module designed by Simio LLC. In addition to static schedules, it provides possibility of treatment delay for each patient as a risk measure, and updates the schedule to avoid the risk when it is needed. By using the simulation model, the users can experiment various scenarios in operations quickly, and also can make a decision not based on their past experience or intuition but based on scientific estimation of risks even in urgent situations. An example of such an operational decision making process is demonstrated for a real mid-size emergency medical center located in Seoul, Republic of Korea. The model is designed for temporal short-term planning especially, but it can be expanded for long-term planning also with some appropriate adjustments.

국도포장 유지보수 공법 및 시기에 따른 편익산정 방안 (Methodology for Benefit Evaluation according to Maintenance Method and Timing of National Highway Pavement Section)

  • 도명식;권수안;최승현
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study aims at proposing the methodology for benefit evaluations in pavement maintenance methods and timings using KoPMS(Korean Pavement Management System) software which was developed for efficient pavement management. METHODS : This study classified pavement sections into 4 clusters considering AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) and ESAL(Equivalent Single-Axle Load) using cluster analysis and used the deterioration models in each cluster. Increased user costs due to pavement deterioration as time goes by and agent costs for maintenance were estimated. Based on deterioration model and KoPMS software, Methodology for benefit evaluation was proposed in pavement maintenance methods and with/without implementation using real pavement section data. RESULTS : This study verified that considering agent costs only would be constrained to decide pavement maintenance methods and timings, and ascertained that decision making with agent and user costs would be effective. In addition, this study revealed that pavement maintenance methods and timings can be affected by AADT and ESAL and frequent pavement maintenances can be more efficient for benefits in pavement sections with more AADT and ESAL. Also this study found that user costs would be more affected to decision making than agent costs. Moreover, Delay of conducting pavement maintenance caused increased vehicle operating costs and environmental costs because of poor conditions of pavements. CONCLUSIONS : This study proposed LCCA and benefit estimation methodology of pavement with considering agent and user costs. The results of this study can be used for baseline data of efficient pavement asset management.

기준 의사 결정에 의한 모바일 트래킹을 이용한 향상된 핸드오버 (An Improved Handover Method Using Mobile Tracking by Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making)

  • 강일고;신성윤;이종찬;표성배;이양원
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • 서비스를 요구하는 다수의 사용자를 수용하려면 마이크로-와 피코-셀과 같은 작은 셀로 크기를 더욱 줄이는 것이 일반적으로 수용되고 있다. 이런 환경에서는 빈번한 핸드오버가 발생하게 되고 이로 인해 허용 가능한 핸드오버 처리 지연 시간을 감소시켜 결국 패킷 손실과 핸드오버 실패를 초래하게 된다는 것이다. 또한 패킷 손실을 보상하기 위한 재전송이 필요하게 되어 시스템의 성능을 저하시킨다. 본 논문에서는 차세대이동통신시스템을 위한 새로운 핸드오버 기법을 제시한다. 이동 단말기의 현재 위치와 이동 방향을 기반으로 핸드오버 셀을 예측함으로서, 핸드오버 설정 절차가 핸드오버 요청 전에 선행된다. 시뮬레이션은 핸드오버 실패율과 패킷 손실율에 초점을 두었다. 시뮬레이션 결과를 통하여 제시된 방안이 기존의 방법보다 향상된 성능을 보임을 입증한다.

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철도 안전목표 설성을 위한 안전투자 시점에 대한 연구 (A Study on Safety Investment Moment for Safety Target)

  • 곽상록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.122-128
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    • 2017
  • Korean government announced long-term railway safety investment plan for the safety improvement by 2020. But no research have been done about differential analysis on railroad safety investment and safety improvement. In this study, recent 10 year data on safety investments and accident data are analysed for the differential analysis. Three main safety investments are analysed on regard to accident rate and accident fatalities. Three safety measures include level crossing accident, platform fatalities, and track trespass fatalities. About 90% of railway accident fatalities are caused by these three kind of accidents. Differential analysis shows about 4 to 6 years delay after railroad safety investment and safety improvement. This result can be utilized for the decision making on safety measures and safety target. Which required long term approach.

전진익형 항공기 공력특성 증진을 위한 풍동시험 (Wind Tunnel Test to Enhance Aerodynamic Characteristics of Forward Swept Wing Airplane)

  • 정진덕;이장연;성봉주;이종원
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제28권7호
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    • pp.800-808
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    • 2004
  • Wind tunnel test of an airplane model with forward swept wing was done in KARI LSWT to evaluate and measure the aerodynamic characteristics of initially designed configuration. Since the given wing planform did not fully satisfy the design requirements, local flow control devices such as vortilon, vortex generator and flow fence were used to delay separation and to enhance aerodynamic characteristics. Also decision making processes of design parameters such as vertical tail boom length, the location, size and the incidence angle of horizontal tail were discussed. The general aerodynamic characteristics of forward swept wing for various control surface deflection conditions of flap, aileron and elevator were also given.

국내외 Evacuation modelling 연구 및 개발의 연구 동향 (Trends in research and development of Evacuation modelling at Korea and Overseas)

  • 구지원;오륜석;최준호
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.233-234
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    • 2022
  • In order to minimize casualties in case of a fire in a building, it is necessary to anticipate the time required for evacuation of occupants and the delay in evacuation in advance, and prepare countermeasures for possible occurrences. In fact, various factors that cannot be predicted exist and cannot be considered by excluding them, so the risk is predicted and evaluated through quantitative evacuation modeling. In order to understand this, we analyzed domestic and international evacuation modeling research trends. For about 40 years, starting with the characteristics of human movement, an evacuation modeling technique based on scientific methods has been developed through actual fire accident cases and various real-world experiments with humans. Then, in order to analyze the natural reaction of humans, which has a decisive influence in the recognition and decision-making phase, evacuation modelling studies have been conducted in depth using psychological and physical experimental methods.

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지체와 사고를 고려한 평면교차로 적용기준에 관한 연구 (A Study on Application Standard of At-grade Intersection Considering Both Delay and Accident)

  • 박제진;정형모;하태준
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권3D호
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2008
  • 교차로란 2개 이상의 도로가 교차 접속되는 공간 및 그 내부의 교통시설물을 말하는 것으로 교차로의 기하구조 운영방법 등에 따라 운전자가 경로를 선정하는 의사결정 지점이다. 운전자에게 의사결정을 요구하는 것은 그들에게 부담을 주어 사고 발생확률을 높인다는 것을 의미한다. 따라서 운전자에게 의사결정 부담을 경감시켜주고 상충수를 현저하게 줄여주는 교차로의 형태로 회전형교차로(Roundabout)가 유럽 등에서는 성공적으로 많은 지점에서 시행되고 있다. 우리나라의 경우는 도입기에 있으며 도입에 많은 어려움이 있는 실정이다. 그리고 Roundabout을 적용하는데 있어 정량적인 기준이 없이 무차별적으로 도입되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 일반 평면교차로 유형적용의 우선순위를 위해 교통소통(지체)과 교통안전(사고)을 동시에 고려하여 교차로의 유형을 평가 결정하는 과정을 제시하였다. 첫째, 교통사고는 기존의 신호교차로, 비신호교차로, Roundabout의 사고예측모형을 고찰하고 이를 토대로 회전교통량에 따라 사고건수를 예측하여 각 교차로별로 그 건수를 제시하였다. 둘째, 지체는 TSIS-NETSIM 프로그램을 이용하여 각 교차로별, 회전교통량별로 구분하여 이를 계산 분석하였다. 셋째, 앞서 예측된 교통사고와 지체도를 통해서 얻어진 결과를 바탕으로 사고비용, 지체비용을 산정하고 이를 바탕으로 신호교차로, 비신호교차로, Roundabout의 회전교통량별로 우선순위를 선정하고 가장 적정한 교차로 유형을 결정하였다.

A Study on the Implement of AI-based Integrated Smart Fire Safety (ISFS) System in Public Facility

  • Myung Sik Lee;Pill Sun Seo
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2023
  • Even at this point in the era of digital transformation, we are still facing many problems in the safety sector that cannot prevent the occurrence or spread of human casualties. When you are in an unexpected emergency, it is often difficult to respond only with human physical ability. Human casualties continue to occur at construction sites, manufacturing plants, and multi-use facilities used by many people in everyday life. If you encounter a situation where normal judgment is impossible in the event of an emergency at a life site where there are still many safety blind spots, it is difficult to cope with the existing manual guidance method. New variable guidance technology, which combines artificial intelligence and digital twin, can make it possible to prevent casualties by processing large amounts of data needed to derive appropriate countermeasures in real time beyond identifying what safety accidents occurred in unexpected crisis situations. When a simple control method that divides and monitors several CCTVs is digitally converted and combined with artificial intelligence and 3D digital twin control technology, intelligence augmentation (IA) effect can be achieved that strengthens the safety decision-making ability required in real time. With the enforcement of the Serious Disaster Enterprise Punishment Act, the importance of distributing a smart location guidance system that urgently solves the decision-making delay that occurs in safety accidents at various industrial sites and strengthens the real-time decision-making ability of field workers and managers is highlighted. The smart location guidance system that combines artificial intelligence and digital twin consists of AIoT HW equipment, wireless communication NW equipment, and intelligent SW platform. The intelligent SW platform consists of Builder that supports digital twin modeling, Watch that meets real-time control based on synchronization between real objects and digital twin models, and Simulator that supports the development and verification of various safety management scenarios using intelligent agents. The smart location guidance system provides on-site monitoring using IoT equipment, CCTV-linked intelligent image analysis, intelligent operating procedures that support workflow modeling to immediately reflect the needs of the site, situational location guidance, and digital twin virtual fencing access control technology. This paper examines the limitations of traditional fixed passive guidance methods, analyzes global technology development trends to overcome them, identifies the digital transformation properties required to switch to intelligent variable smart location guidance methods, explains the characteristics and components of AI-based public facility smart fire safety integrated system (ISFS).

실시간 유비쿼터스 환경에서 센서 데이터 처리를 위한 대기시간 산출 알고리즘 (Queuing Time Computation Algorithm for Sensor Data Processing in Real-time Ubiquitous Environment)

  • 강경우;권오병
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2011
  • 실시간 유비쿼터스 환경은 센서로부터 얻어낸 데이터를 기반으로 상황을 인지하고 사용자에게 적절한 반응을 보이기까지 제한된 시간 내에 모든 것을 처리해야 한다. 전체적인 센서 데이터 처리는 센서로부터의 자료 확보, 상황 정보의 획득, 그리고 사용자로의 반응이라고 하는 과정을 거친다. 즉, 유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 미들웨어는 입력된 센서 자료 및 데이터베이스 또는 지식베이스로부터 일련의 자료들을 활용하여 상황을 인식하며, 그 상황에 적합한 반응을 하게 된다. 그런데 실시간 환경의 특징 상 센서데이터가 들어오면 각 가용 자원들을 검색하고 그 곳에 있는 미들웨어가 데이터를 처리 할 경우 어느 정도의 대기 시간이 필요한지를 결정해야 한다. 또한 센서 데이터 처리의 우선순위가 높을 때는 미들웨어가 현재 처리중인 데이터를 언제 처리를 중지하고 얼마나 대기시켜야 하는지도 결정해야 한다. 그러나 이러한 의사결정에 대한 연구는 아직 활발하지 않다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 유비쿼터스 미들웨어가 이미 센서 데이터를 처리하고 있고 동시에 새로운 센서 데이터를 처리해야 할 때 각 작업의 최적 대기시간을 계산하고 스케줄링하는 알고리즘을 제안한다.

Robust Design Method for Complex Stochastic Inventory Model

  • Hwang, In-Keuk;Park, Dong-Jin
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회:정보화시대의 지식경영
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    • pp.426-426
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    • 1999
  • ;There are many sources of uncertainty in a typical production and inventory system. There is uncertainty as to how many items customers will demand during the next day, week, month, or year. There is uncertainty about delivery times of the product. Uncertainty exacts a toll from management in a variety of ways. A spurt in a demand or a delay in production may lead to stockouts, with the potential for lost revenue and customer dissatisfaction. Firms typically hold inventory to provide protection against uncertainty. A cushion of inventory on hand allows management to face unexpected demands or delays in delivery with a reduced chance of incurring a stockout. The proposed strategies are used for the design of a probabilistic inventory system. In the traditional approach to the design of an inventory system, the goal is to find the best setting of various inventory control policy parameters such as the re-order level, review period, order quantity, etc. which would minimize the total inventory cost. The goals of the analysis need to be defined, so that robustness becomes an important design criterion. Moreover, one has to conceptualize and identify appropriate noise variables. There are two main goals for the inventory policy design. One is to minimize the average inventory cost and the stockouts. The other is to the variability for the average inventory cost and the stockouts The total average inventory cost is the sum of three components: the ordering cost, the holding cost, and the shortage costs. The shortage costs include the cost of the lost sales, cost of loss of goodwill, cost of customer dissatisfaction, etc. The noise factors for this design problem are identified to be: the mean demand rate and the mean lead time. Both the demand and the lead time are assumed to be normal random variables. Thus robustness for this inventory system is interpreted as insensitivity of the average inventory cost and the stockout to uncontrollable fluctuations in the mean demand rate and mean lead time. To make this inventory system for robustness, the concept of utility theory will be used. Utility theory is an analytical method for making a decision concerning an action to take, given a set of multiple criteria upon which the decision is to be based. Utility theory is appropriate for design having different scale such as demand rate and lead time since utility theory represents different scale across decision making attributes with zero to one ranks, higher preference modeled with a higher rank. Using utility theory, three design strategies, such as distance strategy, response strategy, and priority-based strategy. for the robust inventory system will be developed.loped.

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