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A comparison of deep-learning models to the forecast of the daily solar flare occurrence using various solar images

  • Shin, Seulki;Moon, Yong-Jae;Chu, Hyoungseok
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.61.1-61.1
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    • 2017
  • As the application of deep-learning methods has been succeeded in various fields, they have a high potential to be applied to space weather forecasting. Convolutional neural network, one of deep learning methods, is specialized in image recognition. In this study, we apply the AlexNet architecture, which is a winner of Imagenet Large Scale Virtual Recognition Challenge (ILSVRC) 2012, to the forecast of daily solar flare occurrence using the MatConvNet software of MATLAB. Our input images are SOHO/MDI, EIT $195{\AA}$, and $304{\AA}$ from January 1996 to December 2010, and output ones are yes or no of flare occurrence. We consider other input images which consist of last two images and their difference image. We select training dataset from Jan 1996 to Dec 2000 and from Jan 2003 to Dec 2008. Testing dataset is chosen from Jan 2001 to Dec 2002 and from Jan 2009 to Dec 2010 in order to consider the solar cycle effect. In training dataset, we randomly select one fifth of training data for validation dataset to avoid the over-fitting problem. Our model successfully forecasts the flare occurrence with about 0.90 probability of detection (POD) for common flares (C-, M-, and X-class). While POD of major flares (M- and X-class) forecasting is 0.96, false alarm rate (FAR) also scores relatively high(0.60). We also present several statistical parameters such as critical success index (CSI) and true skill statistics (TSS). All statistical parameters do not strongly depend on the number of input data sets. Our model can immediately be applied to automatic forecasting service when image data are available.

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The Actual Conditions of the Management of the Factory Ship GAECHEOG (공모선(工母船) 개척호(開拓號)의 운용(運用)에 관한 실태(實態) 분석(分析))

  • Jeong, Dong-Hee;Kim, Jin-Kun
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.149-166
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    • 1997
  • This thesis is studied by means of operation diary of the factory ship GAECHEOG in the Sea of Okhotsk and the Sea of Bering from Jul. 1993 to Dec. 1996, We summarize these results as follows : 1. The factory ship GAECHEOG equipped trawl winch able to haul raw fish 700M/T per day and cargo winch able to unload manufactured goods 900M/T. The crews consist of 290~330 persons. 2. Factory machineries equipped surimi making plant able to process about 150M/T per day and fish meal plant able to manufacture about 70M/T per day. 3. The fishing ground from June to Nov. was the western Bering sea lying in the eastern Kamchaka peninsula and from Dec. to May, the fishing period to gather roe of a Pollack, was the Sea of Ohotsk lying in the western Kamchaka peninsula. 4. The buying catch of fish per each voyage from Dec. to May, the fishing period gathering Pollack-roe, was about 17,000~33,000M/T and from Jul. to Oct., the fishing period gathering non Pollack-roe, was about 10,000~21,000 M/T. 5. Raw fish was the most about 33,000M/T of the 2nd voyage in 1994 and was the least about 8,300M/T of the 1st voyage in 1993. Other voyages were about 13,000~18,000M/T. 6. The Pollack buying from Jul. to Nov. in the Bering sea was 5~7 fishes for one row in pan and body length about 40~50cm, and from Dec. to May in the Sea of Ohotsk was 6~8 fishes for one row in pan and body length about 37~45cm. 7. Surimi production in the 2nd voyage in 1994 was the most about 7,300 M/T, in the 1st voyage in 1993 was the least 1,900M/T and in other voyages was about 2,500~3,800M/T. The extraction rate of surimi goods for raw fish was about 17.4~26.5%. 8. Fish meal production in the 2nd voyage in 1994 was the most about 2,300 M/T, in the 1st voyage in 1993 was the least about 780M/T and in other voyages was about 1,100~1,700M/T. The extraction rate of fish meal goods for raw fish was about 7.3~10.7%. 9. Pollack-roe production was very much from Jan. to Apr. and was about 380~700M/T per each voyage. The extraction rate of Pollack-roe for raw fish was about 1.2~4.9%.

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CWR for Seoul Subway No 2 DangSan Bridge by ZLR (Zero Longitudinal Restraint) (종방향 활동체결구를 사용한 당산철교 장대레일화 사례)

  • Lee Duck Young;Kong Sun Yong;Kwon Soon Sub;Kim Eun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2003
  • DangSan Bridge of Seoul Subway No 2 was rebuilt by safety reason. From Dec 1996 to Dec 1999 we were in charge of permanent way design of this rebuilt project. Especially we applied maintenance free system on the bridge by Cologne Egg alternative (ALT1) base plate and CWR (Continuous Welded Rail) by ZLR(Zero Longitudinal Restraint) for 125m (south approach section), 120m long(north approach section). This thesis generally introduce for CWR by ZLR which was first adapted CWR system in Korea.

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Forecasting of Stream Qualities in Gumho River by Exponential Smoothing at Gumho2 Measurement Point using Monthly Time Series Data

  • Song, Phil-Jun;Lee, Bo-Ra;Kim, Jin-Yong;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.609-617
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    • 2007
  • The goal of this study is to forecast the trend of stream quality and to suggest some policy alternatives in Gumbo river. It used the five different monthly time series data such as BOD, COD, T-N and EC of the nine of Gumbo River measurement points from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 2006. Water pollution is serious at Gumbo2 and Palgeo stream measurement points. BOD, COD, T-N and EC data are analyzed with the exponential smoothing model and the trend is forecasted until Dec. 2009.

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EFFECT OF WINTER SUPPLEMENTATION ON THE PERFORMANCE OF BALOCHI EWES GRAZING NATIVE RANGELANDS IN HIGHLAND BALOCHISTAN

  • Rafique, S.;Munir, M.;Sultani, M.I.;Rehman, A.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.333-339
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    • 1991
  • Eighty-two ewes of Balochi breed, two to four years of age were used in a completely randomized design to study the effect of winter supplementation on their performance in Kalat area of Balochistan and randomly divided into two groups of 40 and 42 animals. Two treatments (T1 and T2) studied were : 250 gm/animal/day of a 50 : 50 mixture of cottonseed cake and barley grain fed from Oct. 20 to Dec. 18, 1988 plus grazing and 500 gm/animal/day of the same feed mixture fed from Oct. 9 to Dec. 18, 1988 in addition to grazing. Lucerne hay and wheat straw in a 50 : 50 ratio were provided to all the ewes for a period of one month from Jan. 6, 1989 @ 320 gm/animal/day to sustain them in severe winter. Same feeding levels to the same ewe groups were again fed from Mar. 1 to May 27, 1989. Three breeding rams stayed with the flock from Nov. 1 to Dec. 13, 1988. Lambing took place from Apr. 2 to May 12, 1989. Conception, lambing and mortality percentage was found different (P<.05) between T1 and T2 (12.5 vs 14.8 kg). The ewes on T2 maintained higher body weights throughout winter than the ewes on T1. The results are suggestive of improvement in conception rate with winter supplementation (flushing) and decrease in ewe mortality. Late-gestation and early-lactation supplemental feeding of ewes results in increases in weaning weights of their lambs.

Effect of Diethylcarbamazine against Brugia malayi Infection on Cheju Island, evaluated in 1965 (1965년(年)에 실시(實施)한 Diethylcarbamazine의 말레이사상충(絲狀蟲)에 대한 구충효과(驅蟲效果)의 평가(評價))

  • Paik, Yung-Han
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.201-204
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    • 1986
  • A study on the effect of diethylcarbamazine (DEC) (Supatonin) against Brugia malayi infection was conducted on Cheju Island in September 1965. A total of 182 persons living in a village of Aiwol Myun, Bukcheju-Gun was examined for microfilaraemia. Microscopic examination of smears of $20{\mu}l$ of blood revealed a microfilaria positivity rate of 28.5%. At the end of September 1965, 34 confirmed microfilaria positive cases were treated with DEC at a daily dosage of 5mg/kg body weight. A full course of 12 days of drug administration divided of two rounds for 6 days each was used. The first round of treatment was given under a strict supervision of the author in order to observe carefully side-effects of the drug. The second round of treatment was given in January 1966. The microfilaria density in $20{\mu}l$ of blood of those who received the drug was checked four times; before the treatment, during the first round of the treatment, 2 weeks and 4 months after the completion of the first round. The pre-treatment mean microfilaria density of 104.6 diminished to nearly zero (only two cases with one microfilaria respectively) 2 weeks after the first round and again slightly rose up to 0.5 four months after the first round. These results indicate that DEC (Supatonin) is highly effective to eliminate the microfilaria of B. malayi. However, severe side-effects, e.g. fever (average $38.6^{\circ}C$, maximum $39.7^{\circ}C$), headache, backache and seldom abdominal discomfort etc. were observed. There were two cases of withdrawal from the scheme due to refusal.

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Functional and Performance Verification of the Space Weather Sensor on GEO-KOMPSAT-2A Satellite

  • Jin, Kyoungwook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2020
  • GK2A(GEO-KOMPSAT-2A)satellite has been operating excellently since its launch in Dec 2018. The secondary payload called KSEM (Korean Space Environment Monitor) was equipped into the GK2A satellite along with AMI (Advanced Meteorological Imager) sensor. KSEM is the Korea's first operational geostationary space weather sensor and has been developed collaboratively by KHU (Kyung Hee University) and KARI (Korea Aerospace Research Institute). The interface works between KSEM and GK2A were conducted by KARI. Various interface tests, which aim for evaluating effective functionality of KSEM with the spacecraft, were intensively conducted at KARI facilities. Main tests consisted of mechanical and electrical check-up activities between the KSEM and GK2A. Interface tests of KSEM, which involve pre-launch tests such as ETB and GK2A system level tests, were conducted to evaluate functional and performance of KSEM before the launch. The tests carried out during the GK2A LEOP (Launch and Early Orbit Phase) and IOT (In Orbit Test) period (Dec 2018 ~ June 2019) showed excellent in-orbit performance of KSEM data.

Charge-discharge Characteristics of $TiO_2$-Activated Carbon Composite Electrode using Electrospinning (전기방사법으로부터 제조된 $TiO_2$ 섬유 복합전극의 충방전 특성)

  • An, Mi-Sun;Kim, Han-Joo;Son, Won-Keun;Takahashi, Hideaki;Park, Soo-Gil
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07c
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    • pp.2022-2024
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    • 2005
  • Electrical double-layer capacitor (EDLC) is an electrochemical energy storage device in which electric charges only accumulated by a pure electrostatic attraction force are stored on the electrolyte-electrode interface in a form of double layer and separated by the electrolyte. The composite was prepared by mixing nanosize $TiO_2$ and activated carbon through a means of ultrasonic vibration in ethanol solution for 30 min in various mass ratios of $AC:TiO_2$ to form activated carbone-semiconducting oxide composites. Either 1.0 M $LiClO_4/EC-DEC$ or $Et_4NBF_4$/EC-DEC was used as the electrolyte. It was found that with modification of $TiO_2$, the specific capacitance of activated carbon measured at $1mA/cm^2$ was increased from 40 to 50 F/g. This method is unique in comparison the conventional method because it uses semiconducting TiO2 other than electrochemically active materials such as $RuO_2$. The increase in specific capacitance could be attributed to the decrease in electric polarization, caused by the introduction of $RuO_2$.

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ITZO 박막 트랜지스터의 산소 분압과 열처리 온도 가변에 따른 전기적 특성

  • Kim, Sang-Seop;Go, Seon-Uk;Choe, Byeong-Deok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2013.08a
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    • pp.243.1-243.1
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 산소 분압과 열처리 온도에 따른 ITZO 박막 트랜지스터의 전기적 특성 향상을 목적으로 실험을 진행하였다. 1) ITZO 박막 증착 시 산소 분압 가변($O_2/(Ar+O_2)$ 30~40%), 열처리 온도 고정($350^{\circ}C$)과 2) ITZO 박막 증착 시 산소 분압 고정(30%), 열처리 온도($200{\sim}400^{\circ}C$)를 가변하여 실험을 진행하였다. 두 실험 모두 특성향상을 위해 산소 분위기에서 열처리를 진행하였다. 산소의 분압이 증가할수록 산소 빈자리를 채우면서 전자 농도가 감소하여 채널 전도 효과가 줄어들면서 Hump 현상이 발생하였고, 스윙이 증가, 문턱 전압이 음의 방향으로 이동하였다. 이에 $O_2/(Ar+O_2)$)의 30%에서 30%일때, 문턱전압은 1.98 V, 전계 효과 이동도는 28.97 $cm2/V{\cdot}s$, sub-threshold swing은 280 mv/dec, on-off 비율은 ~107로 가장 우수한 전기적 특성을 보였다. 또한 열처리 온도 가변 시 $400^{\circ}C$에서 전계 효과 이동도는 28.97 $cm^2/V{\cdot}s$$200^{\circ}C$의 전계 효과 이동도는 11.59 $cm^2/V{\cdot}s$에 비해 약 3배 증가하였고, 소자의 스위칭 척도인 sub-threshold swing은 약 180 mv/dec 감소하였다. 문턱 전압은 0.97V, on-off ratio는 약 107을 보였다. 동일한 산소 분압의 분위기에서 $400^{\circ}C$ 열처리 시 가장 우수한 전기적 특성을 보였고, 저온 공정으로 인한 플렉서블 디스플레이 투명 디스플레이 적용 가능성을 확인하였다.

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