• 제목/요약/키워드: Data least square method

검색결과 681건 처리시간 0.026초

우리나라 비중앙급전발전기의 하루전 출력 예측시스템 개발 (Development of One Day-Ahead Renewable Energy Generation Assessment System in South Korea)

  • 이연찬;임진택;오웅진;;최재석;김진수
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a probabilistic generation assessment model of renewable energy generators(REGs) considering uncertainty of resources, mainly focused on Wind Turbine Generator(WTG) and Solar Cell Generator(SCG) which are dispersed widely in South Korea The proposed numerical analysis method assesses the one day-ahead generation by combining equivalent generation characteristics function and probabilistic distribution function of wind speed(WS) and solar radiation(SR) resources. The equivalent generation functions(EGFs) of the wind and solar farms are established by grouping a lot of the farms appropriately centered on Weather Measurement Station(WMS). First, the EGFs are assessed by using regression analysis method based on typical least square method from the recorded actual generation data and historical resources(WS and SR). Second, the generation of the REGs is assessed by adding the one day-ahead resources forecast, announced by WMS, to the EGFs which are formulated as third order degree polynomials using the regression analysis. Third, a Renewable Energy Generation Assessment System(REGAS) including D/B of recorded actual generation data and historical resources is developed using the model and algorithm predicting one day-ahead power output of renewable energy generators.

미지 우주물체 궤도 정보 획득을 위한 스트릭 추정 방법 검토 (Streak Estimation Method for Obtaining Orbital Information of Unknown Space Objects)

  • 현철;이상욱;이호진;이종민
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제22권11호
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    • pp.1448-1454
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    • 2018
  • 광학관측 시스템에서, 미지의 우주물체의 궤도 정보를 얻을 수 있는 궤도 결정 방법에는, 균등한 시간 간격의 세쌍의 관측 값이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 하나의 스트릭 영상의 정보를 이용하여, 세 쌍의 관측 값을 획득하기 위한 스트릭 추정 방법에 대하여 살펴본다. 우주 물체의 궤도에 따른 특성을 확인하고, 추정 성능을 평가하기 위하여, STK 프로그램을 이용하여 총 9가지 경우에 대한 위성 궤적 모의 관측 자료를 생성하였다. 하나의 스트릭 영상 정보로부터 수 초 후의 다음 스트릭 위치를 추정할 수 있는 세 가지 접근 방법을 적용하여 시뮬레이션을 수행하고, 추정 성능을 평가해 보았다. 선형 가정을 기본으로 하는 선형 벡터 방법과 Kalman Filter 방법은 비선형성이 커지는 부분에서 추정 오차도 함께 증가하는 경향을 보였으나, 최소자승 기법을 기반으로 한 다항식 커브 피팅을 통한 추정 방법은, 앞선 방법들 보다 오차 값이 작고 균일한 결과를 보였다.

인천지방 확률강우강도식의 유도 (Derivation of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formulas at Inchon District)

  • 최계운;안태진;권영식
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문은 인천지방에서의 확률강우량과 확률강우강도식을 유도하기 위하여 인천기상대에서 관측된 자료로부터 강우 지속기간 10분 ~ 6시간까지의 연최대강우량을 선정하였다. 12개 강우지속기간별 확률강우량을 추정하기 위하여 11개 확률분포형을 적용하였으며 Chi-square 검정방법, Kolmogorov-Smirnov 검정방법, Cramer Von Mises 검정방법으로 적합도 검정과 함께 도시적 해석법으로 가정 적합한 분포형을 결정하였다. 확률강우도식은 최소자승법을 사용하여 Talbot 형, Sherman 형, Japanese 형의 3가지로 분석하고, 최소자승법과 함께 시산법을 사용하여 통합형I과 통합형II의 형태로 결정하였다. 표준제곱근오차와 계산된 강우강도와 추정된 강우강도와의 차이를 분석하여 단기 강우 지속기간에 관한 통합형I의 확률강우강도식을 인천지방 강우강도공식으로 제안하였다.

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Volume Transport on the Texas-Louisiana Continental Shelf

  • Cho Kwang-Woo
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.48-62
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    • 1998
  • Seasonal volume transport on the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf is investigated in terms of objectively fitted transport streamfunction fields based on the current meter data of the Texas­Louisiana Shelf Circulation and Transport Processes Study. Adopted here for the objective mapping is a method employing a two-dimensional truncated Fourier representation of the streamfunction over a domain, with the amplitudes determined by least square fit of the observation. The fitting was done with depth-averaged flow rather than depth-integrated flow to reduce the root-mean-square error. The fitting process filters out $11\%$ of the kinetic energy in the monthly mean transport fields. The shelf-wide pattern of streamfunction fields is similar to that of near-surface velocity fields over the region. The nearshore transport, about 0.1 to 0.3 Sv $(1 Sv= 10^6\;m^3/sec)$, is well correlated with the seasonal signal of along-shelf wind stress. The spring transport is weak compared to other seasons in the inner shelf region. The transport along the shelf break is large and variable. In the southwestern shelf break, transport amounts up to 4.7 Sv, which is associated with the activities of the encroaching of energetic anticyclonic eddies originated in Loop Current of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of streamfunction variability contains $67.3\%$ of the variance and shows a simple, shelf-wide, along-shelf pattern of transport. The amplitude evolution of the first EOF is highly correlated (correlation coefficient: 0.88) with the evolution of the along-shelf wind stress. This provides strong evidence that the large portion of seasonal variation of the shelf transport is wind-forced. The second EOF contains $23.7\%$ of the variance and shows eddy activities at the southwestern shelf break. The correlation coefficient between the amplitudes of the second EOF and wind stress is 0.42. We assume that this mode is coupled a periodic inner shelf process with a non-periodic eddy process on the shelf break. The third EOF (accounting for $7.2\% of the variance) shows several cell structures near the shelf break associated with the variability of the Loop Current Eddies. The amplitude time series of the third EOF show little correlation with the along-shelf wind.

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The Effect of Text Information Frame Ratio and Font Size on the Text Readability of Circle Smartwatch

  • Park, Seungtaek;Park, Jaekyu;Choe, Jaeho;Jung, Eui S.
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.499-513
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    • 2014
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to examine frame ratio of text information and font size in the circle smartwatch. Background: Recently, electronic manufacturers try to develop the original metaphor of traditional wrist watch (circle) in terms of smartwatch. They endeavor to break the square display in order to improve emotional customer satisfaction. Method: The experiments examined twenty level of text information design, combinations of four frame ratios (1:1, 4:3, 16:9, 21:9) and five font sizes (6pt, 7pt, 8pt, 9pt, 10pt). Nineteen participants volunteered for the experiment. Dependent variables were WPM (Words per Minute), reading preference, design preference and total preference. Furthermore, small circle display was made by using circle display data (1.3inch), which was exhibited in IFA (International Funkausstellung) 2014. Results: As a result, ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) revealed that WPM, and task time preference affect the specific frame ratio and font size. Results of ANOVA for reading preference, design preference, total preference were grouped by post-analysis LSD (Least Significant Difference). Among users, display ratio (16:9, 21:9), and font size (9pt) were preferred. In conclusion, 16:9 display ratio and 9pt are adaptable for text information in 1.3inch circle display. Conclusion: From the study, it is shown that 16:9 display ratio and 9pt size are more adaptable for text information in 1.3inch circle display than others. It is mainly due to the fact that the order of frame ratio and font size may affect the usability of reading long text information in a small circle display. Therefore, when developers design a circle display, the square frame ratio and font size are required to be considered according to circle size. Application: The 16:9 display ratio and 9pt font size may be utilized as a text information frame in the circle display design guideline for smartwatch.

The Effects of Restrictions in Economic Activity on the Spread of COVID-19 in the Philippines: Insights from Apple and Google Mobility Indicators

  • CAMBA, Abraham C. Jr.;CAMBA, Aileen L.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of restrictions in economic activity on the spread of COVID-19 in the Philippines. This research employs daily time-series data of confirmed new COVID-19 cases, Apple mobility trends (i.e., use of public transport to destinations, volume of people driving, and amount of walking to destinations) and Google community mobility (i.e., visits to transit stations, visits to workplaces, and staying-at-home) indicators covering the period February 17 to September 11, 2020. The analysis starts by establishing the correlation pattern of new confirmed COVID-19 daily infections to each independent variable. The results show negative linear correlation of the number of new COVID-19 daily infections with less visit to transit station, increase stay-at-home, less use of public transport, and less amount of walking to destinations. Interestingly, the number of new COVID-19 daily infections indicates some form of positive linear correlation with visits to workplaces and volume of people driving. Moreover, employing robust least square regression via the method of MM-estimation, major findings reveal that across mobility measures, staying-at-home has the highest impact on reducing the spread of COVID-19, followed by visiting transit stations less, less use of public transport, less amount of walking, and less workplace visits.

AE 센서와 신경회로망을 이용한 NAK80 금형강의 자기연마 가공특성 모니터링 (Surface Condition Monitoring in Magnetic Abrasive Polishing of NAK80 Using AE Sensor and Neural Network)

  • 김광희;신창민;김태완;곽재섭
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.601-607
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    • 2012
  • The magnetic abrasive polishing (MAP), for online monitoring with AE sensor attachment, was performed in this study. To predict the surface roughness after the magnetic abrasive polishing of NAK80, the signal data acquired from the AE sensor were analyzed. A dimensionless coefficient, which consisted of average of AErms and standard deviation of AE signal, was defined as a characteristic of the MAP and a prediction model was obtained using least square method. A neural network, which had multiple input parameters from AE signals and polishing conditions, was applied for predicting the surface roughness. As a result of this study, it was seen that there was very close correlation between the AE signal and the surface roughness in the MAP. And then on-line prediction of the surface roughness after the MAP of the NAK80 was possible by the developed prediction model.

용접부의 인장 및 압축잔류응력에 관한 피로균열 전파거동 (Fatigue Crack Propagation Behaviors on Tensile and Compression Residual Stresses in Weld Zone)

  • 이하성;강동명
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 1994
  • Effects of tensile and compression residual stresses in the welded SS41 and A17075-76 on fatigue crack propagation behavior are investigated when a crack propagates from residual stresses region. We propose the fatigue crack growth equation on tensile and compression residual stresses in welded metal. The results obtained in this experimental study are summarized as follows . 1 ) A fatigue crack growth equation which applied fatigue fracture behavior of the welded metal is proposed. (equation omitted) where, $\alpha$, $\beta$, ${\gamma}$ and $\delta$ are constants, and R$_{eff}$ is effective stress ratio [R$_{eff}$=(Kmin+Kres)/(Kmax+Kres)], Kcf is critical fatigue stress intensity factor. The constants are obtained from nonlinear least square method. The relation between crack length and number of cycles obtained by integrating the fatigue crack growth rate equation is in agreement with the experimental data. 2) The experimental results confirmed that the cause of crack extension and retardation by residual stresses has relation to the phenomenon of crack closure. 3) The relaxing trend of residual stresses by the crack propagation was greater In case of compressive residual stress than that of tensile residual stress in the welded metal.tal.

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장애유형별 편의시설에 대한 평가 및 개선요구에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Disabled′s Assessment of Accommodation Facilities and Needs for Improving the Facilities)

  • 이연숙;장윤정;이기정
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제26호
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2001
  • This study investigated the extend to which the facilities satisfactorily accommodate people with different disabilities and their specific needs for improving the facilities. Systematic interviews were conducted with 90 disabled people using the non-propertionate stratified cluster random sampling method. Frequency analysis, Chi-square tests, Duncan tests, and analysis of variance(ANOVA) were employed for data analysis. The findings indicated that the respondents' assessment of accommodations and needs for improving accommodations differed by the type of disabilities. People with physical disabilities were the least satisfied with stairs, followed by seating in stadiums and/or theaters. For people with visual disabilities, the lack of guidance and information facilities was the most difficult problem. People with hearing disabilities often pointed out difficulties in using public telephones. meanwhile, people with physical disabilities asked for easy access to assistive devices and improved mobility-related circumstances. yet people with visual disabilities expected to improve way-finding relevant issues, such as detectable warnings on walking surfaces and guidance and information facilities, whereas people with hearing disabilities desired to develop hearing-aid equipments, such as TDD and assistive listening systems.

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B2C 트위터를 통한 고객참여행위가 기업충성도에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Customer Participation Behavior on Brand Loyalty via B2C Microblogging)

  • 박종필
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.69-87
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    • 2013
  • Recently a large number of people have been using social networking and microblogging services such as Facebook and Twitter. These mediums play a pivotal communication channel in a business-to-customer (B2C) relationship. Given its importance in today's business, companies have invested in the strategic application of social network services to reach out to customers. This study provides a blueprint for mechanisms for successful execution of social network services in the context of developing an effective B2C relationship, such as customer participation behavior. The S-O-R(Stimulus-Organism-Response) framework lays out the foundation for developing our research model and provides a structured view for understanding customer participation behavior on brand loyalty. For the methodology, this study employed a mixed-method approach. Additionally, in order to provide empirical evidences, a total of 121 respondents have completed the survey. All the data were compiled and analyzed through structural equation modeling and were implemented in partial least square (PLS). To sum up, this study presented theoretical and practical implications by providing the effect of customer participation behavior on brand loyalty through B2C microblogging.