• Title/Summary/Keyword: Daily-and Temperature Deviation Component

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Short-Term Load Forecasting Exponential Smoothoing in Consideration of T (온도를 고려한 지수평활에 의한 단기부하 예측)

  • 고희석;이태기;김현덕;이충식
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.730-738
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    • 1994
  • The major advantage of the short-term load forecasting technique using general exponential smoothing is high accuracy and operational simplicity, but it makes large forecasting error when the load changes repidly. The paper has presented new technique to improve those shortcomings, and according to forecasted the technique proved to be valid for two years. The structure of load model is time function which consists of daily-and temperature-deviation component. The average of standard percentage erro in daily forecasting for two years was 2.02%, and this forecasting technique has improved standard erro by 0.46%. As relative coefficient for daily and seasonal forecasting is 0.95 or more, this technique proved to be valid.

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Geomagnetic Field Monitoring at King Sejong Station, Antarctica (남극 세종기지에서의 지자기 모니터링)

  • Kim, DonIl;Jin, YoungKeun;Nam, SangHeon;Lee, JooHan
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2004
  • The variation of geomagnetic field and absolute magnetic field at the geomagnetic observatory of King Sejong Station has been measured with 3-component ring core fluxgate magnetometer, proton magnetometer and D-I magnetometer. With data obtained from King Sejong Station during 2003, thediurnal and annual variations of geomagnetic field were researched and compared with those at other observatories. The deviation of daily variation of magnetic field in antarctica decreased gradually during winter season due to sun effect. The rates of componental annual variation of magnetic field at King Sejong Station were calculated using the least-square method under the assumption that the annual variation of magnetic field is linear. The rates are -55.93 nT/year in horizontal intensity, -0.87 min./year in declination, 58.30 nT/year in vertical intensity, and -69.85 nT/year in total intensity of magnetic field. A remarkable variation was caused by the magnetic storms occurred on 29~30 October, which were so powerful that the variation was observed in mid latitudes as well as high latitudes. The values of variation are generally 1500 2000 nT in Antarctica including King Sejong Station, 350 500 nT in East Asia. The measurement of absolute magnetic field shows that ring core fluxgate magnetometer has relatively large error range under cold temperature.

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