• Title/Summary/Keyword: Curve Estimation Regression

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Estimation of Asymmetric Bell Shaped Probability Curve using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 비대칭 종형 확률곡선의 추정)

  • 박성현;김기호;이소형
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2001
  • Logistic regression model is one of the most popular linear models for a binary response variable and used for the estimation of probability function. In many practical situations, the probability function can be expressed by a bell shaped curve and such a function can be estimated by a second order logistic regression model. However, when the probability curve is asymmetric, the estimation results using a second order logistic regression model may not be precise because a second order logistic regression model is a symmetric function. In addition, even if a second order logistic regression model is used, the interpretation for the effect of second order term may not be easy. In this paper, in order to alleviate such problems, an estimation method for asymmetric probabiity curve based on a first order logistic regression model and iterative bi-section method is proposed and its performance is compared with that of a second order logistic regression model by a simulation study.

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Comparison of Jump-Preserving Smoothing and Smoothing Based on Jump Detector

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.519-528
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of discontinuous regression curve. Quite number of researches about this topic have been done. These researches are classified into two categories, the indirect approach and direct approach. The major goal of the indirect approach is to obtain good estimates of jump locations, whereas the major goal of the direct approach is to obtain overall good estimate of the regression curve. Thus it seems that two approaches are quite different in nature, so people say that the comparison of two approaches does not make much sense. Therefore, a thorough comparison of them is lacking. However, even though the main issue of the indirect approach is the estimation of jump locations, it is too obvious that we have an estimate of regression curve as the subsidiary result. The point is whether the subsidiary result of the indirect approach is as good as the main result of the direct approach. The performance of two approaches is compared through a simulation study and it turns out that the indirect approach is a very competitive tool for estimating discontinuous regression curve itself.

A Development of the Operating Speed Estimation Model of Truck on Four-lane Rural Highway (지방부 일반국도 4차로의 화물차 주행속도 예측모형 개발)

  • Park, Min Ho;Lee, Geun Hee
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of the study is to a) explore the operating speed of trucks on rural highways affected by road geometry, and thereby b) develop a predictive model for the operating speed of trucks on rural highways. METHODS : Considering that most of the existing studies have focused on cars, the current study aimed to predict the operating speed of trucks by conducting linear regression analysis on the speed data of trucks operating on the linear-curved-linear portions of the road as a single set. RESULTS : The operating speed in the plane curve portion increased with the length of the curve, and decreased with a lower vertical grade and a smaller curve radius. In the straight plane portion, the operating speed increased with a larger curve radius(upstream), and decreased with an increase in the change of the vertical grade, depending on the length of the vertical curve. CONCLUSIONS : This study developed estimation models of truck for operational speed and evaluated the degree of safety for horizontal and vertical alignments simultaneous. In order to represent whole area of the rural highway, the models should be ew-analyzed with vast data related with road alignment factor in the near future.

Parameter Estimation and Prediction for NHPP Software Reliability Model and Time Series Regression in Software Failure Data

  • Song, Kwang-Yoon;Chang, In-Hong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2014
  • We consider the mean value function for NHPP software reliability model and time series regression model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from two data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from two data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual two data sets using the mean value function and regression curve.

Comparison of Regression Models for Estimating Ventilation Rate of Mechanically Ventilated Swine Farm (강제환기식 돈사의 환기량 추정을 위한 회귀모델의 비교)

  • Jo, Gwanggon;Ha, Taehwan;Yoon, Sanghoo;Jang, Yuna;Jung, Minwoong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2020
  • To estimate the ventilation volume of mechanically ventilated swine farms, various regression models were applied, and errors were compared to select the regression model that can best simulate actual data. Linear regression, linear spline, polynomial regression (degrees 2 and 3), logistic curve, generalized additive model (GAM), and gompertz curve were compared. Overfitting models were excluded even when the error rate was small. The evaluation criteria were root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The evaluation results indicated that degree 3 exhibited the lowest error rate; however, an overestimation contradiction was observed in a certain section. The logistic curve was the most stable and superior to all the models. In the estimation of ventilation volume by all of the models, the estimated ventilation volume of the logistic curve was the smallest except for the model with a large error rate and the overestimated model.

An Exploratory Study on the New Product Demand Curve Estimation Using Online Auction Data

  • Shim Seon-Young;Lee Byung-Tae
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2005
  • As the importance of time-based competition is increasing, information systems for supporting the immediate decision making is strongly required. Especially high -tech product firms are under extreme pressure of rapid response to the demand side due to relatively short life cycle of the product. Therefore, the objective of our research is proposing a framework of estimating demand curve based on e-auction data, which is extremely easy to access and well reflect the limited demand curve in that channel. Firstly, we identify the advantages of using e-auction data for full demand curve estimation and then verify it using Agent-Eased-Modeling and Tobin's censored regression model.

Comparison of Nonparametric Function Estimation Methods for Discontinuous Regression Functions

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1245-1253
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    • 2010
  • There are two main approaches for estimating the discontinuous regression function nonparametrically. One is the direct approach, the other is the indirect approach. The major goal of the two approaches are different. The direct approach focuses on the overall good estimation of the regression function itself, whereas the indirect approach focuses on the good estimation of jump locations. Apparently, the two approaches are quite different in nature. Gijbels et al. (2007) argue that the comparison of two approaches does not make much sense and that it is even difficult to choose an appropriate criterion for comparisons. However, it is obvious that the indirect approach also has the regression curve estimate as the subsidiary result. Therefore it is necessary to verify the appropriateness of the indirect approach as the estimator of the discontinuous regression function itself. Park (2009a) compared the performance of two approaches through a simulation study. In this paper, we consider a more general case and draw some useful conclusions.

A Software Cost Estimation Using Growth Curve Model (성장곡선을 이용한 소프트웨어 비용 추정 모델)

  • Park, Seok-Gyu;Lee, Sang-Un;Park, Jae-Heung
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.11D no.3
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2004
  • Accurate software cost estimation is essential to both developers and customers. Most of the cost estimating models based on the size measure methods, such as LOC and FP, are obtained through size estimation. The accuracy of size estimation directly influences the accuracy of cost estimation. As a result, the overall structure of regression-based cost models applies the power function based on software size. Many growth phenomenon in nature such as the growth in living organism, performance of technology, and learning capability of human show an S-shaped curve. This paper proposes a model which estimates the developing effort by using the growth curve. The presented model assumes that the relation cost and size follows the growth curve. The appropriateness of the growth curve model based on Function Point, Full-Function Point and Use-Case Point, which are the general methods in estimating the software size have been confirmed. The proposed growth curve model shows similar performance with power function model. In conclusion, the growth curve model can be applied in the estimation of the software cost.

Optimal Design for Locally Weighted Quasi-Likelihood Response Curve Estimator

  • Park, Dongryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2002
  • The estimation of the response curve is the important problem in the quantal bioassay. When we estimate the response curve, we determine the design points in advance of the experiment. Then naturally we have a question of which design would be optimal. As a response curve estimator, locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator has several more appealing features than the traditional nonparametric estimators. The optimal design density for the locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator is derived and its ability both in theoretical and in empirical point of view are investigated.

On the Selection of Bezier Points in Bezier Curve Smoothing

  • Kim, Choongrak;Park, Jin-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1049-1058
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    • 2012
  • Nonparametric methods are often used as an alternative to parametric methods to estimate density function and regression function. In this paper we consider improved methods to select the Bezier points in Bezier curve smoothing that is shown to have the same asymptotic properties as the kernel methods. We show that the proposed methods are better than the existing methods through numerical studies.