• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative Sum (CUSUM)

검색결과 65건 처리시간 0.019초

센서드리프트 판별을 위한 통계적 탐지기술 고찰 (Statistical Techniques to Detect Sensor Drifts)

  • 서인용;신호철;박문규;김성준
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2009
  • 원자력발전소에서 센서의 주기적 교정은 안전운전을 위해 꼭 필요하다. 그러나 실제 드리프트가 발생하여 교정을 요하는 센서는 약 2% 미만이다. 또한, 센서의 작동 상태를 매 핵연료 주기마다 수행하는 것은 고장 혹은 드리프트가 발생한 센서를 최대 18개월까지 감지하지 못한 채 운전할 위험이 있다. 원전의 안전운전 및 불필요한 교정을 줄이기 위해 센서의 상시 교정 감시가 필요하다. 이를 위해 주성분 분석과 Support Vector Regression(SVR)을 이용한 PCSVR 알고리즘을 개발하였고, 고리원전 3호기의 출력증발 데이터를 이용하여 검증하였다. 주성분분석은 선형변환을 통한 입력공간의 축소 및 노이즈 제거 효과를 나타내며, AASVR은 해석학적 및 기계학적 모델로 모델링하기 힘든 복잡계를 쉽게 나타낼 수 있는 장점이 있다. SVR의 세가지 파라미터는 반응표면분석법에 의해 최적화하였다. 센서의 고장탐지를 위해 모델 출력의 잔차를 슈하르트 관리도, EWMA, CUSUM 및 일반화우도비검정(GLRT)을 통해 그 결과를 비교하였다. 미세한 드리프트에 대해 CUSUM과 GLRT가 우수한 결과를 보였다. 개발된 알고리즘은 수출형 원전 APR1000 설계시 적용가능 할 것으로 판단된다.

Combining Adaptive Filtering and IF Flows to Detect DDoS Attacks within a Router

  • Yan, Ruo-Yu;Zheng, Qing-Hua;Li, Hai-Fei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.428-451
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    • 2010
  • Traffic matrix-based anomaly detection and DDoS attacks detection in networks are research focus in the network security and traffic measurement community. In this paper, firstly, a new type of unidirectional flow called IF flow is proposed. Merits and features of IF flows are analyzed in detail and then two efficient methods are introduced in our DDoS attacks detection and evaluation scheme. The first method uses residual variance ratio to detect DDoS attacks after Recursive Least Square (RLS) filter is applied to predict IF flows. The second method uses generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistical test to detect DDoS attacks after a Kalman filter is applied to estimate IF flows. Based on the two complementary methods, an evaluation formula is proposed to assess the seriousness of current DDoS attacks on router ports. Furthermore, the sensitivity of three types of traffic (IF flow, input link and output link) to DDoS attacks is analyzed and compared. Experiments show that IF flow has more power to expose anomaly than the other two types of traffic. Finally, two proposed methods are compared in terms of detection rate, processing speed, etc., and also compared in detail with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) methods. The results demonstrate that adaptive filter methods have higher detection rate, lower false alarm rate and smaller detection lag time.

가변 샘플링 간격(VSI)을 갖는 적응형 이동평균 (A-MA) 관리도 (An Adaptive Moving Average (A-MA) Control Chart with Variable Sampling Intervals (VSI))

  • 임태진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

Real-Time Spacer Etch-End Point Detection (SE-EPD) for Self-aligned Double Patterning (SADP) Process

  • Han, Ah-Reum;Lee, Ho-Jae;Lee, Jun-Yong;Hong, Sang-Jeen
    • 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국진공학회 2012년도 제42회 동계 정기 학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.436-437
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    • 2012
  • Double patterning technology (DPT) has been suggested as a promising candidates of the next generation lithography technology in FLASH and DRAM manufacturing in sub-40nm technology node. DPT enables to overcome the physical limitation of optical lithography, and it is expected to be continued as long as e-beam lithography takes place in manufacturing. Several different processes for DPT are currently available in practice, and they are litho-litho-etch (LLE), litho-etch-litho-etch (LELE), litho-freeze-litho-etch (LFLE), and self-aligned double patterning (SADP) [1]. The self-aligned approach is regarded as more suitable for mass production, but it requires precise control of sidewall space etch profile for the exact definition of hard mask layer. In this paper, we propose etch end point detection (EPD) in spacer etching to precisely control sidewall profile in SADP. Conventional etch EPD notify the end point after or on-set of a layer being etched is removed, but the EPD in spacer etch should land-off exactly after surface removal while the spacer is still remained. Precise control of real-time in-situ EPD may help to control the size of spacer to realize desired pattern geometry. To demonstrate the capability of spacer-etch EPD, we fabricated metal line structure on silicon dioxide layer and spacer deposition layer with silicon nitride. While blanket etch of the spacer layer takes place in inductively coupled plasma-reactive ion etching (ICP-RIE), in-situ monitoring of plasma chemistry is performed using optical emission spectroscopy (OES), and the acquired data is stored in a local computer. Through offline analysis of the acquired OES data with respect to etch gas and by-product chemistry, a representative EPD time traces signal is derived. We found that the SE-EPD is useful for precise control of spacer etching in DPT, and we are continuously developing real-time SE-EPD methodology employing cumulative sum (CUSUM) control chart [2].

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지수치를 이용한 노년 여성의 상반신 체형 분류와 판별에 관한 연구 (Upper Body Somatotype Classification and Discrimination of Elderly Women according to Index)

  • 김수아;최혜선
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제28권7호
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    • pp.983-994
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to provide fundamental data on the development of ready-to-wear clothes appropriate for the body types of elderly women. The study was conducted targeting 318 elderly women over 60 years of age whose fields of action were colleges for the elderly, sports centers, or business sites in Seoul and the neighboring districts. A total of 44 features in the upper body were used for the anthropometric measurement and analysis using anthropometry and photometry. The results of the study are as follows: 1. Somatotypes were classified into three types according to a cluster analysis using height and weight indices. Type 1 is the group with long and undersized upper body and straight body type since the face of the upper body is long relative to height and width, girth and depth are the smallest relative to weight, the breasts are somewhat fat, with a small extent of drooping and a straight back. Type 2 is the group that is considered fat relative to the body, has broad shoulders, drooping breasts with a wide space between them, and a back-bent upper body. Type 3 is the group that has a bent shape, the shortest upper body relative to height, and showing average obesity factors. 2. Indices of height and weight were used for factor analysis, cluster analysis, and discriminant analysis in order to classify upper body somatotype according to shape while excluding size factors of elderly women's upper body somatotype. The same method was used to compare and verify the result according to the absolute measurement and height index. Classification based on height and weight indices demonstrate that such somatotype classification minimizes the personal equation of body shape and it induces better classification based on shape as the results showed the highest cumulative sum of square(CUSUM) at 78.38% while six factors showed the smallest result and the hit rate for the classified three groups showed the highest result at 95.30%.