• 제목/요약/키워드: Crop Growth Model

검색결과 247건 처리시간 0.027초

기상자료 공간내삽과 작물 생육모의기법에 의한 전국의 읍면 단위 쌀 생산량 예측 (Yield and Production Forecasting of Paddy Rice at a Sub-county Scale Resolution by Using Crop Simulation and Weather Interpolation Techniques)

  • 윤진일;조경숙
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2001
  • Crop status monitoring and yield prediction at higher spatial resolution is a valuable tool in various decision making processes including agricultural policy making by the national and local governments. A prototype crop forecasting system was developed to project the size of rice crop across geographic areas nationwide, based on daily weather pattern. The system consists of crop models and the input data for 1,455 cultivation zone units (the smallest administrative unit of local government in South Korea called "Myun") making up the coterminous South Korea. CERES-rice, a rice crop growth simulation model, was tuned to have genetic characteristics pertinent to domestic cultivars. Daily maximum/minimum temperature, solar radiation, and precipitation surface on 1km by 1km grid spacing were prepared by a spatial interpolation of 63 point observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration network. Spatial mean weather data were derived for each Myun and transformed to the model input format. Soil characteristics and management information at each Myun were available from the Rural Development Administration. The system was applied to the forecasting of national rice production for the recent 3 years (1997 to 1999). The model was run with the past weather data as of September 15 each year, which is about a month earlier than the actual harvest date. Simulated yields of 1,455 Myuns were grouped into 162 counties by acreage-weighted summation to enable the validation, since the official production statistics from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry is on the county basis. Forecast yields were less sensitive to the changes in annual climate than the reported yields and there was a relatively weak correlation between the forecast and the reported yields. However, the projected size of rice crop at each county, which was obtained by multiplication of the mean yield with the acreage, was close to the reported production with the $r^2$ values higher than 0.97 in all three years.

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파키스탄 기후변화에 따른 밀생산량 모의 (Simulation of Wheat Yield under Changing Climate in Pakistan)

  • 미르자 주네이드 아흐메드;최경숙
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.199-199
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    • 2017
  • Sustainable wheat production is of paramount importance for attaining/maintaining the food self-sufficiency status of the rapidly growing nation of Pakistan. However, the average wheat yield per unit area has been dwindling in recent years and the climate-induced variations in rainfall patterns and temperature regimes, during the wheat growth period, are believed to be the reason behind this decline. Crop growth simulation models are powerful tools capable of playing pivotal role in evaluating the climate change impacts on crop yield or productivity. This study was aimed to predict the plausible variations in the wheat yield for future climatic trends so that possible mitigation strategies could be explored. For this purpose, Aquacrop model v. 4.0 was employed to simulate the wheat yield under present and future climatology of the largest agricultural province of Punjab in Pakistan. The data related to crop phenology, management and yield were collected from the experimental plots to calibrate and validate the model. The future climate projections were statistically downscaled from five general circulation models (GCMs) and compared with the base line climate from 1980 to 2010. The model was fed with the projected climate to simulate the wheat yield based on the RCP (representative concentration pathways) 4.5 and 8.5. Under the worst, most likely future scenario of temperature rise and rainfall reduction, the crop yield decreased and water footprint, especially blue, increased, owing to the elevated irrigation demands due to accelerated evapotranspiration rates. The modeling results provided in this study are expected to provide a basic framework for devising policy responses to minimize the climate change impacts on wheat production in the area.

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Estimating Leaf Area Index of Paddy Rice from RapidEye Imagery to Assess Evapotranspiration in Korean Paddy Fields

  • Na, Sang-Il;Hong, Suk Young;Kim, Yi-Hyun;Lee, Kyoung-Do;Jang, So-Young
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2013
  • Leaf area index (LAI) is important in explaining the ability of crops to intercept solar energy for biomass production, amount of plant transpiration, and in understanding the impact of crop management practices on crop growth. This paper describes a procedure for estimating LAI as a function of image-derived vegetation indices from temporal series of RapidEye imagery obtained from 2010 to 2012 using empirical models in a rice plain in Seosan, Chungcheongnam-do. Rice plants were sampled every two weeks to investigate LAI, fresh and dry biomass from late May to early October. RapidEye images were taken from June to September every year and corrected geometrically and atmospherically to calculate normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Linear, exponential, and expolinear models were developed to relate temporal satellite NDVIs to measured LAI. The expolinear model provided more accurate results to predict LAI than linear or exponential models based on root mean square error. The LAI distribution was in strong agreement with the field measurements in terms of geographical variation and relative numerical values when RapidEye imagery was applied to expolinear model. The spatial trend of LAI corresponded with the variation in the vegetation growth condition.

미국실새삼 발생밀도가 콩 생육 및 수량에 미치는 영향 (The Growth and Yield of Soybean as Affected by Competitive Density of Cuscuta pentagona)

  • 송석보;이재생;강종래;고지연;서명철;우관식;오병근;남민희
    • 한국잡초학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.390-395
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    • 2010
  • 콩재배시 발생하고 있는 기생잡초인 미국실새삼의 발생밀도가 콩 수량에 미치는 영향을 정량화하고 이들 경합에 의한 콩의 피해를 예측하여 콩 재배시 효율적인 잡초방제체계 관리정보를 제공하기 위하여 수행한 연구결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 미국실새삼의 발생밀도가 높아지더라도 콩의 생육초기에는 경장과 분지수에는 크게 영향을 미치지 않았으나 생육후기로 갈수록 감소하는 경향을 나타내었고 식물체 건물중, 백립중, 협수에서 유의적으로 감소하는 경향을 보였으며 콩에 미치는 피해정도는 협수> 백립중> 건물중> 분지수> 경장 순으로 영향을 미치는 것을 알 수 있었다. 미국실새삼 경합밀도가 1~48본 $m^{-2}$일때 콩 수량은 각각 80.3~99.7%의 수량감소를 보였으며, 미국실새삼 경합밀도별로 조사된 콩의 수량 자료에 따른 콩 수량 예측 모델은 Y = 274.6783/(1+4.3522X), $R^2=0.999$였으며 50% 수량감소를 유발하는 미국실새삼의 잡초밀도는 $m^2$당 0.23개로 추정되어 콩 재배지에 발생시 심각하게 피해를 줄 잡초로 예상된다. 생산 및 증수비용을 고려한 콩밭 미국실새삼의 경제적 피해한계 밀도 수준은 $m^2$당 0.004개로 예측할 수 있었으며 이보다 발생밀도가 많을 경우에는 잡초를 방제하는 것이 경제적으로 유리할 것으로 사료된다.

적엽작업을 반영하기 위한 시설토마토 생육모형(GreenTom) 개선 및 검증 (Improving and Validating a Greenhouse Tomato Model "GreenTom" for Simulating Artificial Defoliation)

  • 김연욱;김진현;이변우
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.373-379
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    • 2019
  • 스마트팜은 원예작물의 생산성과 품질을 제고하기 위한 생력화 방법으로 최근 많은 주목을 받고 있다. 하지만 국내의 스마트팜은 단순한 환경 모니터링과 환경제어만 가능한 초기단계에 머물고 있으며, 작물 생육에 최적화된 환경을 모의하는 의사결정도구의 개발은 미흡한 상태이다. 본 연구에서는 의사결정도구로써의 작물생육모형의 활용가능성을 확인하기 위해 국내에서 개발된 GreenTom모형의 품종모수를 추정하고 모형의 모의 성능을 검증하였다. 적엽은 시설토마토 재배에서 흔히 행해지는 농작업이지만 기존 모형은 이를 모의하지 않아 지상부 생육 모의에 문제를 나타냈다. 이를 해결하기 위해 적엽 알고리즘을 개발하여 기존 모형에 추가하고 모의 성능을 검증한 결과, 개선된 모형은 시설재배 토마토의 발달과 생육을 비교적 잘 모의하여 본 모형이 의사결정도구로 활용될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

기후변화 대응을 위한 농장수준 농업정보 생산 (Production of Farm-level Agro-information for Adaptation to Climate Change)

  • 문경환;서형호;신민지;송은영;오순자
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.158-166
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    • 2019
  • 농민이 농장에서 적지적작 기술을 구현하는 것은 기후변화에 적응하기 위한 효과적인 방법이 된다. 농민이 농장 수준에서부터 최적의 작물을 선택하고 최적의 재배기술을 구사하는데 농장의 기상과 작물의 생육상태를 실시간으로 파악하고 다양한 기술의 적용 결과를 사전에 모의해 볼 수 있다면 큰 도움이 될 것이다. 이를 시험하기 위하여 고랭지배추 주산지역을 대상으로 농업용 전자기후도와 작물 생육모형 기술을 결합하여 농장의 상세 기상과 작물 생육정보를 생산하는 시스템을 개발하였다. 이 시스템은 농장 수준의 농업 실황정보를 생산하여 농민에게 직접 제공할 수 있는 유력한 도구로 활용될 수 있다는 결과를 얻었다. 이러한 방식으로 농민이 직접 이용할 수 있도록 하기 위해서는 앞으로도 정보 생산 속도의 개선, 일부 기상요소에 대한 소기후 모형의 개발 및 여러 옵션을 시험해 볼 수 있도록 작물 생육모형을 개선하는 것 등이 필요하였다.

Perspective of breaking stagnation of soybean yield under monsoon climate

  • Shiraiwa, Tatsuhiko
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.8-9
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    • 2017
  • Soybean yield has been low and unstable in Japan and other areas in East Asia, despite long history of cultivation. This is contrasting with consistent increase of yield in North and South America. This presentation tries to describe perspective of breaking stagnation of soybean yield in East Asia, considering the factors of the different yields between regions. Large amount of rainfall with occasional dry-spell in the summer is a nature of monsoon climate and as frequently stated excess water is the factor of low and unstable soybean yield. For example, there exists a great deal of field-to-field variation in yield of 'Tanbaguro' soybean, which is reputed for high market value and thus cultivated intensively and this results in low average yield. According to our field survey, a major portion of yield variation occurs in early growth period. Soybean production on drained paddy fields is also vulnerable to drought stress after flowering. An analysis at the above study site demonstrated a substantial field-to-field variation of canopy transpiration activity in the mid-summer, but the variation of pod-set was not as large as that of early growth. As frequently mentioned by the contest winners of good practice farming, avoidance of excess water problem in the early growth period is of greatest importance. A series of technological development took place in Japan in crop management for stable crop establishment and growth, that includes seed-bed preparation with ridge and/or chisel ploughing, adjustment of seed moisture content, seed treatment with mancozeb+metalaxyl and the water table control system, FOEAS. A unique success is seen in the tidal swamp area in South Sumatra with the Saturated Soil Culture (SSC), which is for managing acidity problem of pyrite soils. In 2016, an average yield of $2.4tha^{-1}$ was recorded for a 450 ha area with SSC (Ghulamahdi 2017, personal communication). This is a sort of raised bed culture and thus the moisture condition is kept markedly stable during growth period. For genetic control, too, many attempts are on-going for better emergence and plant growth after emergence under excess water. There seems to exist two aspects of excess water resistance, one related to phytophthora resistance and the other with better growth under excess water. The improvement for the latter is particularly challenging and genomic approach is expected to be effectively utilized. The crop model simulation would estimate/evaluate the impact of environmental and genetic factors. But comprehensive crop models for soybean are mainly for cultivations on upland fields and crop response to excess water is not fully accounted for. A soybean model for production on drained paddy fields under monsoon climate is demanded to coordinate technological development under changing climate. We recently recognized that the yield potential of recent US cultivars is greater than that of Japanese cultivars and this also may be responsible for different yield trends. Cultivar comparisons proved that higher yields are associated with greater biomass production specifically during early seed filling, in which high and well sustained activity of leaf gas exchange is related. In fact, the leaf stomatal conductance is considered to have been improved during last a couple of decades in the USA through selections for high yield in several crop species. It is suspected that priority to product quality of soybean as food crop, especially large seed size in Japan, did not allow efficient improvement of productivity. We also recently found a substantial variation of yielding performance under an environment of Indonesia among divergent cultivars from tropical and temperate regions through in a part biomass productivity. Gas exchange activity again seems to be involved. Unlike in North America where transpiration adjustment is considered necessary to avoid terminal drought, under the monsoon climate with wet summer plants with higher activity of gas exchange than current level might be advantageous. In order to explore higher or better-adjusted canopy function, the methodological development is demanded for canopy-level evaluation of transpiration activity. The stagnation of soybean yield would be broken through controlling variable water environment and breeding efforts to improve the quality-oriented cultivars for stable and high yield.

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지리적환경조건에 따른 수도 보통기 재배시기 추정에 관한 연구 (Geographic Factors and the Modeling of Rice Culture under Normal Season in Korea)

  • 임무상;정근식;조재연;박래경;배성호;함영수;이은웅;최현옥
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 1984
  • 한국 수도작의 재배시기 추정식을 유도하기 위하여1962∼1980년의 지역적응시험성적을 이용하여 몇가지 분석을 한 결과틀 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 기상, 지리조건 및 재배시기 상호간에는 고도의 상관이 있었고 기상요인 중에서는 최저평균기온이 재배시기에 가장 크게 작용하나 기타요인들도 관여함을알 수 있었다. 지리적 요인 중에서는 위도, 고도 및 경도의 순으로 기상과 경종시기에 관여하였다. 2. 반종부터 적정출수까지의 전생육일수는 Japonica 품종군의 경우가 115일, I/J품종군은 111일 이었고 육묘기간은 각각 44일과 42일 이었다. 3. 위치결정요소인 위도, 경도 및 고도를 이용하여 파종기, 이앙기, 적정출수기 및 안전출수. 한계기 추정식을 유도한 결과 편회귀계수와 중상관계수가 모두 유의성을 보여 재배시기추정식은 합리적인 것으로 판단되었다. 4. 그러나 본 연구분석에 Topology 효과는 고려되지 않아서 특수지역에의 적용은 어려울 것으로 보인다. 또한 특수생태형을 가진 품종이나 특이한 재배법에의 적용은 좀더 검토되어야 할 것으로 생각된다.

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LC-MS Analysis According to the Combined Treatment of Paenibacillus yonginensis DCY84T and Silicon in Rice

  • Yo-Han Yoo;Mee Youn Lee;Yeon-Ju Kim;Eok-Keun Ahn;Ki-Hong Jung
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.232-232
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    • 2022
  • We reported in our recent studies that the combined treatment of Paenibacillus yonginensis DCY84T (DCY84T) and Silicon (Si) promotes initial plant growth and increases resistance to biotic and abiotic stress. To understand the molecular background of these phenotypes, Liquid Chromatography Mass Spectrometry (LC-MS) analysis was performed, and it was confirmed that unsaturated fatty acid metabolites such as oleic acid and linoleic acid decreased in response to the combined treatment of DCY84T and Si. The stearoyl-acyl carrier protein desaturase (SACPD) introduces the cis double bond into the acyl-ACPs at C9, resulting in the production of unsaturated fatty acid. We identified OsSSI2 encoding SACPD in rice and found that the expression of OsSSI2 was reduced under DCY84T and Si treatment. Furthermore, qRT-PCR analysis revealed that the expression of OsWRKY45, which is downstream of OsSSI2, was upregulated in response to DCY84T and Si treatment. These results enable the speculation that activation of the salicylic acid (SA)-responsive gene, OsWRKY45, may contribute to enhancing biological stress resistance. Based on this, we propose a probable model for the rice defense pathway following DCY84T and Si treatment. This model retains a WRKY45-dependent but NH1(NPR1)-independent SA signaling pathway.

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