• Title/Summary/Keyword: Critical Probability

Search Result 425, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Modified Single Sampling Plan for the Inspection of Attribute Quality Characteristics

  • Subramani, J.;Balamurali, S.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-48
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this manuscript, a modified single sampling plan is proposed for the inspection of products in which the nonconforming items can be classified in to two categories namely critical and non-critical; and explained with the help of industrial example. The operating procedure of this plan is also proposed and the performance measures such as the probability of acceptance, average sample number, average total inspection and average out going quality are also derived. The optimal parameters are determined which will have minimum sample size. The efficiency of the proposed plan is also discussed over the conventional single sampling plan. The extensive tables for selecting a modified single sampling plan based on AQL and LQL are provided for both Binomial and Poisson distributions and explained with the help of industrial data.

Localized Algorithm to Improve Connectivity and Topological Resilience of Multi-hop Wireless Networks

  • Kim, Tae-Hoon;Tipper, David;Krishnamurthy, Prashant
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-81
    • /
    • 2013
  • Maintaining connectivity is essential in multi-hop wireless networks since the network topology cannot be pre-determined due to mobility and environmental effects. To maintain the connectivity, a critical point in the network topology should be identified where the critical point is the link or node that partitions the network when it fails. In this paper, we propose a new critical point identification algorithm and also present numerical results that compare the critical points of the network and H-hop sub-network illustrating how effectively sub-network information can detect the network-wide critical points. Then, we propose two localized topological control resilient schemes that can be applied to both global and local H-hop sub-network critical points to improve the network connectivity and the network resilience. Numerical studies to evaluate the proposed schemes under node and link failure network conditions show that our proposed resilient schemes increase the probability of the network being connected in variety of link and node failure conditions.

Failure Probability Evaluation of Pressure Tube using the Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics (확률론적 파괴역학 기법을 이용한 압력관의 파손확률 평가)

  • Son, Jong-Dong;Oh, Dong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.7-12
    • /
    • 2007
  • In order to evaluate the integrity of Zr-2.5Nb pressure tubes, probabilistic fracture mechanics(PFM) approach was employed. Failure assessment diagram(FAD), plastic collapses, and critical crack lengths(CCL) were used for evaluating the failure probability as failure criteria. The Kr-FAD as failure assessment diagram was used because fracture of pressure tubes occurred in brittle manner due to hydrogen embrittlement of material by deuterium fluence. The probabilistic integrity evaluation observed AECL procedures and used fracture toughness parameters of EPRI and recently announced theory. In conclusion, the probabilistic approach using the Kr-FAD made it possible to determine major failure criterion in the pressure tube integrity evaluation.

Critical Views of Qualification Studies and Pre-Exams for 2009 Korea School Math Teacher Appointment-Proportion of Issued Problems of Probability and Statistics

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.845-849
    • /
    • 2008
  • 2009 year new execution of appointments for secondary school teachers was announced at 2004 year by Ministry of Education. The new school teacher appointment has been developed and studied in various aspects of appropriate qualification for good school teacher. In the results of the studies by Korea School Mathematics Education Association and pre-exams by Korea Institute for Curriculum and Evaluation, the Probability and Statistics chapters are less revaluated as 7.5-10%, but we argue those more than 15% as along with our recent Korean school texts reviews(Lee, et al., 2005).

  • PDF

Time-dependent reliability analysis of coastal defences subjected to changing environments

  • Chen, Hua-Peng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.49-64
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper presents a method for assessing the risk of wave run-up and overtopping of existing coastal defences and for analysing the probability of failure of the structures under future hydraulic conditions. The recent UK climate projections are employed in the investigations of the influence of changing environments on the long-term performance of sea defences. In order to reduce the risk of wave run-up and overtopping caused by rising sea level and to maintain the present-day allowances for wave run-up height and overtopping discharge, the future necessary increase in crest level of existing structures is investigated. Various critical failure mechanisms are considered for reliability analysis, i.e., erosion of crest by wave overtopping, failure of seaside revetment, and internal erosions within earth sea dykes. The time-dependent reliability of sea dykes is analysed to give probability of failure with time. The results for an example earth dyke section show that the necessary increase in crest level is approximately double of sea level rise to maintain the current allowances. The probability of failure for various failure modes of the earth dyke has a significant increase with time under future hydraulic conditions.

Adaptive Control of Strong Mutation Rate and Probability for Queen-bee Genetic Algorithms

  • Jung, Sung-Hoon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-35
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper introduces an adaptive control method of strong mutation rate and probability for queen-bee genetic algorithms. Although the queen-bee genetic algorithms have shown good performances, it had a critical problem that the strong mutation rate and probability should be selected by a trial and error method empirically. In order to solve this problem, we employed the measure of convergence and used it as a control parameter of those. Experimental results with four function optimization problems showed that our method was similar to or sometimes superior to the best result of empirical selections. This indicates that our method is very useful to practical optimization problems because it does not need time consuming trials.

Selection of a Probability Distribution for Modeling Labor Productivity during Overtime

  • Woo, Sung-Kwon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.6 no.1 s.23
    • /
    • pp.49-57
    • /
    • 2005
  • Construction labor productivity, which is the greatest source of variation in overall construction productivity, is the critical factor for determining the project performance in terms of time and cost, especially during scheduled overtime when extra time and cost are invested. The objective of this research is to select an appropriate type of probability distribution function representing the variability of daily labor productivity during overtime. Based on the results of statistical data analysis of labor performance during different weekly work hours, lognormal distribution is selected in order to take advantage of easiness of generating correlated random numbers. The selected lognormal distribution can be used for development of a simulation model in construction scheduling, cost analysis, and other applications areas where representation of the correlations between variables are essential.

A Relay Selection Scheme for Network Security (네트워크 보안을 위한 중계기 선택 기법)

  • Lee, Byeong Su;Sung, Kil-Young;Ban, Tae-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.12
    • /
    • pp.2213-2218
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose a new relay selection scheme which can decrease the secrecy outage probability in a relay communication network with multiple relays and an eavesdropper. In the conventional relay selection scheme, a relay transmits jamming signal toward an eavesdropper to decrease the successful decoding probability of the eavesdropper. The coventional scheme has a critical problem that the successful decoding probability of a receiver also decreases. The new relay selection scheme proposed in this paper can significantly enhance the secrecy outage probability by selecting a pair of relays which can increase the successful decoding probability of the receiver while decreasing the successful decoding probability of the eavesdropper. We performed extensive computer simulation based on Monte-Carlo. The simulation results reveal that the proposed relay selection scheme can improve the secrecy outage probability by 10 to 50 times compared to the existing relay selection scheme.

Failure Probability of Scoured Pier Foundation under Bi-directional Ground Motions (2방향 지진하중을 받는 세굴된 교각기초의 파괴확률분석)

  • 김상효;마호성;이상우;김영훈
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
    • /
    • 2002.09a
    • /
    • pp.300-307
    • /
    • 2002
  • Bridge foundation failure considering the effect of local scour around pier foundations under hi-directional seismic excitations is examined in probabilistic perspectives. The seismic responses of bridges with deep foundations are evaluated with a simplified mechanical model, which can consider the local scour effect around the deep foundation in addition to many other components. The probabilistic characteristics of local scour depths are estimated by using the Monte Carlo simulation. The probabilistic characteristics of basic random variables used in the Monte Carlo simulation are determined from the actual hydraulic data collected in middle size streams in Korea. The failure condition of deep foundation is assumed as bearing capacity failure of the ground below the foundation base. The probability of foundation failure of a simply supported bridge with various scour conditions and hi-directional seismic excitations are examined. It is found that the local scour and the recovery duration are critical factors in evaluating the probability of foundation failure. Moreover, the probability of foundation failure under hi-directional seismic excitations is much higher than under uni-directional seismic excitations. Therefore, it is reasonable to consider hi-directional seismic excitations in evaluating the seismic safety of bridge systems scoured by a flood.

  • PDF

A Study on Probability of Home-ownership over the Family Life Cycle -Case of Oaxaca City of Mexico- (가족생활주기상의 주택소유확률에 관한 연구 -멕시코 Oaxact시 의 경우를 중심으로-)

  • 이인수
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-42
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study has been designed to analyze longterm trend of home-ownership probability over the family life cycle. In this study, 633 female household heads were interviewed on their critical life event such as pregnancy, birth or death of households, marriage, and residential movement between 1987 and 1990 in Oxaca, Mexico. The raw data composed of 100,000 lines were transformed into yearly segmented observation data, proposed by Allison. The results are drawn as follws: 1) There is significant effect of marriage cohort on residential mobility and home ownership: couples who married in 1960s are likely to change their residence at early stage of family life than those who married in 1940s. They also have lower probability of home ownership for 10 years after marriage than the other cohorts. 2) Over all the cohorts, it is consistent tendency that probability of home ownership continuously increases over the entire family life cycle for 40 years. 3) Of the logistic regression analysis of home ownership on household socioeconomic variables, the homeownership was positively related with age of marriage and time since marriage, and was negatively related with education of female head. Over in this study, it is proven that home owenership is ultimate goal of most families, and it is a function of family event variables.

  • PDF