• 제목/요약/키워드: Crime Rates

검색결과 41건 처리시간 0.023초

해상범죄발생의 경제적 원인에 대한 연구 (The Economic Analysis of Marine Crime)

  • 나호수
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2002년도 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 2002
  • The relatively rapid rising trends of crime rates in marine situations leads to social concerns in Korea. This study reviews some theoretical backgrounds of the economics of crime and apply econometric models to Korean marine crimes. We find that there is a negative relationship between marine crime rates and unemployment rates and positive relationship between price level and marine crime in Korea. And also we find that unemployment elasticities are higher in the 1980s' and price elasticities are higher in th 90's in comparison with the results of the other periods. This findings are incompatible with the previous theoretical researches in advanced countries. This findings show that in rapidly growing economy, marine crime occurrence is proportional to marine economic activity frequency. This result may reflect that marine crimes are different from land crimes.

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해상범죄의 거시경제적 요인에 관한 연구 (The Study on The Macroeconomic Factors of Marine Crime)

  • 나호수
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2002
  • The relatively rapid rising trend of crime rates in marine situations leads to social concerns in Korea. This study reviews some theoretical backgrounds of the economics of crime and applies econometric models to Korean marine crimes. This research finds that there is a negative relationship between marine crime rates and unemployment rates and a positive relationship between the price level and marine crimes in Korea. The other finding results are that unemployment elasticities are higher in the 1980s and price elasticities are higher in th 1990s in comparison with the results of the other periods. This findings are incompatible with the previous theoretical researches in advanced countries. These findings show that In rapidly growing economy, marine crime occurrence is proportional to marine economic activity frequency. This result may reflect that marine crimes are different from land crimes.

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해상범죄와 경기변동 (Marine Crime and Business Cycle)

  • 나호수
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2001
  • The relatively rapid rising trends of crime rates in marine situations leads to social concerns in Korea. This study reviews some theoretical backgrounds of the economics of crime and apply econometric models to Korean marine crimes. We find that there is a positive relationship between marine crime rates and unemployment rates in Korea and the degree of the relationship is higher in the 1990s' in comparison with the results of 1970s' and 1980s'. This findings are compatible with the previous theoretical researches in advanced countries. These findings show that recently the structure of our economy and the economic behaviors of economic agents in Korea have been similar to those of the advanced economies. Therefore this study shows that there exists the additional social costs of economic depression by causing the social crimes and the necessity of public policies to reduce unemployment rates would be higher.

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The Relationship between Residential Distribution of Immigrants and Crime in South Korea

  • Park, Yoonhwan
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제16권7호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study aims to not only investigate spatial pattern of immigrants' residence and crime occurrences in South Korea, but shed light on how geographic distribution of immigrants and immigrant segregation affect crime rates. Research design, data, and methodology - Th unit of analysis is Si-Gun-Gu municipal level entities of South Korea. The crime data was obtained by Korea National Police Agency and two major types(violence and property) of crime were measured. Most demographic, social, and economic variables were derived from Korean Census Data in 2015. In order to examine spatial patterns of immigrants' distribution and crime rates in South Korea, the present study utilized GIS mapping technique and Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) tools. The causal linkage was investigated by a series of regression models using STATA. Results - Spatial inequality between urban metropolitan vs rural areas was visualized by mapping. Assuming large Moran's I value, spatial autocorrelation appeared to be quite strong. Several neighborhood characteristics such as residential stability and economic prosperity were found to be important factors leading to crime rate change. Residential distribution and segregation for immigrants were negatively significant in the regression models. Conclusions - Unlike the traditional arguments of social disorganization theory, immigrant segregation appeared to reduce violent crime rate and the high proportion of immigrants also turned out to be a crime prevention factor.

Crime Occurrence Patterns from the Perspective of Land-use

  • Kinashi, Machiko;Tan, Yen Xin
    • 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘텐츠학회 2015년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.17-18
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    • 2015
  • To improve urban safety there is an increasing social need for environmental design against crime, which is defined as the creation of inconvenient environments or situations for criminal offenders. By using a cluster analysis, we aimed to clarify crime occurrence patterns from the perspective of land-use. Osaka Prefecture was chosen as the study area because it has the highest crime rate in Japan. The results revealed that there are six patterns of crime occurrence, and that cities of medium-level of mixed land-use have the lowest crime rates.

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Classification Model and Crime Occurrence City Forecasting Based on Random Forest Algorithm

  • KANG, Sea-Am;CHOI, Jeong-Hyun;KANG, Min-soo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2022
  • Korea has relatively less crime than other countries. However, the crime rate is steadily increasing. Many people think the crime rate is decreasing, but the crime arrest rate has increased. The goal is to check the relationship between CCTV and the crime rate as a way to lower the crime rate, and to identify the correlation between areas without CCTV and areas without CCTV. If you see a crime that can happen at any time, I think you should use a random forest algorithm. We also plan to use machine learning random forest algorithms to reduce the risk of overfitting, reduce the required training time, and verify high-level accuracy. The goal is to identify the relationship between CCTV and crime occurrence by creating a crime prevention algorithm using machine learning random forest techniques. Assuming that no crime occurs without CCTV, it compares the crime rate between the areas where the most crimes occur and the areas where there are no crimes, and predicts areas where there are many crimes. The impact of CCTV on crime prevention and arrest can be interpreted as a comprehensive effect in part, and the purpose isto identify areas and frequency of frequent crimes by comparing the time and time without CCTV.

초등학교 주변 방범용CCTV의 범죄감소효과 연구 (The Crime-reduction Effects of Open-Street CCTV around Elementary Schools)

  • 임형진
    • 시큐리티연구
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    • 제51호
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    • pp.199-219
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    • 2017
  • 이 연구는 초등학교 주변에 설치된 방범용CCTV가 범죄를 감소하는 효과가 있는지를 검증하였다. 이를 위해 춘천시에 설치된 9개의 방범용CCTV의 위치와 종류에 관한 데이터 및 춘천시의 범죄데이터가 수집되었다. 분석단위로 월 단위가 사용되었으며, 날짜, 월평균 온도, 범죄 추이를 통제한 후 포아송 회귀분석을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과는 초등학교 주변에 설치된 방범용CCTV로 인해 전체범죄와 중범죄가 감소하였음을 보여주었다. 그러나 경범죄에서는 그러한 결과가 나타나지 않았다. 본 연구는 방범용CCTV가 초등학교 인근에 설치되었을 때 중범죄율과 전체범죄율을 낮추는 데 도움을 줄 수 있음을 시사한다.

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아이겐벡터 공간필터링을 이용한 도시주거범죄의 분석 (An Analysis of Urban Residential Crimes using Eigenvector Spatial Filtering)

  • 김영호
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.179-194
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    • 2009
  • 도시에서 범죄는 해당 지역 인구의 사회경제적 특징과 공간적 상호관계를 반영한다. 범죄의 피의자와 피해자 사이의 상호작용은 범죄패턴의 공간적 자기상관으로 나타난다. 이러한 범죄의 공간자기상관은 일반적인 최소자승모델에서 편향된 추정치를 제공하여 잘못된 해석으로 이어질 수 있다. 본 연구는 도시주거범죄로서 2000년에 오하이오주 콜럼버스에서 발생한 주거 강도와 절도를 분석 하였다. 특히 주거 범죄율의 공간적 분포패턴은 공간자기상관을 반영하는 아이겐벡터(Eigenvector)를 이용하여 최소자승모델로 분석 하였다. 아이겐 벡터를 이용한 공간자기상관의 필터링은 기존의 모델에서는 잔차에 남아있던 공간자기상관 요소를 설명하기 때문에, 더 효율적인 추정을 가능하게 하였다. 경제적 궁핍과 범죄의 기회가 주거범죄율을 추정하는데 통계적으로 유의미한 요인이었다.

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Innovative Spatial Analysis of Violent Crime Hot Spots in Korea: Implications for Urban Policy

  • Kyungjae, Lee
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.320-341
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    • 2022
  • Empirical applications to explain criminogenic events are abundant. While much of the research in criminal studies concentrates on understanding the motivations of offenders and preventing victimization from a micro perspective, there have been recent theoretical advancements that give priority to the role of spatial factors in directly impacting crime rates. The primary purpose of this study is to investigate the empirical inference between violent crime incidence and spatial characteristics of local areas focusing particularly on spatial accessibility conditions in the areas. Applying discrete spatial econometrics models, this study reveals a significant relationship between spatial accessibility and the formation of violent crime hot spots in South Korea. Along with other variables, it is revealed that road accessibility has a clear association with violent crime hot spots. Based on the findings, this study suggests some policy implications such as effective surveillance systems, land use restrictions, and advanced street lighting.

도시녹지와 옥외범죄율 간의 상관관계 연구 - 텍사스 오스틴 지역을 중심으로 - (Correlation between Urban Green Areas and Outdoor Crime Rates - A Case Study of Austin, Texas -)

  • 김영재
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2019
  • 도시녹지는 환경적, 정서적, 신체 활동적 측면에서 인간의 삶에 긍정적인 역할을 하고 있다. 기존의 알려진 긍정적인 역할 이외에 미시적인 환경을 대상으로 한 몇몇의 선행연구는 도시녹지가 안전성을 제고할 수 있는 연구결과를 보여주고 있다. 하지만, 광역적인 측면에서의 도시녹지와 안전성에 대한 연구는 부족하다. 따라서 본 연구는 미국 텍사스 오스틴 시를 대상으로 도시녹지요소를 독립변수로 설정하고, 도시안전성과 관련이 있는 실제 옥외범죄율을 종속변수로 하여 이들 간의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 미국의 인구조사 통계청에서 제공하는 블록그룹을 분석 단위로 하여 오스틴 시의 사회 인구학적 특성을 파악하고, GIS 및 ENVI 프로그램을 활용하여 도시녹지 변수와 옥외범죄율 변수를 구축하였다. 통계분석방법으로는 도시수목비율에 따른 옥외범죄율의 비교를 위해 일원분산분석이 사용되었고, 사회 인구학적 특성을 통제시키며, 도시녹지변수와 옥외범죄율의 상관관계분석을 위해 최소자승법 회귀분석이 사용되었다. 일원분산분석결과, 도시수목비율이 0%~25%에 해당하는 지역의 acre당 연간 옥외범죄율은 1.20%로서 수목비율이 높은 25%~50%의 지역 및 50% 이상의 지역보다 acre당 연간 옥외범죄율이 각각 0.59%, 1.17% 높은 것으로 나타났다. 회귀분석결과, 소수인종비율과 학교중퇴자비율은 연간 옥외범죄율과 양의 상관관계를 보이고, 연간 개인소득수준과 도시녹지요소인 정규식생지수(NDVI) 및 공원 면적 비율은 연간 옥외범죄율과 음의 상관관계를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 도시의 안정성 제고를 위해 도시녹지의 공급이 필요함을 시사하고 있다.