• 제목/요약/키워드: Credit Estimate

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.021초

Estimating the Credit Value-at-Risk of Korean Property and Casuality Insurers

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Suh, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1027-1036
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    • 2008
  • Value at Risk(VaR) is a fundamental tool for managing market risks. It measures the worst loss to be expected of a portfolio over a given time horizon under normal market conditions at a given confidence level. Calculation of VaR frequently involves estimating the volatility of return processes and quantiles of standardized returns. In this paper, we introduced and applied the CreditMetrics model to estimate the credit VaR of Korean Property and Casuality insurers.

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Credit Rationing and Trade Credit Use by Farmers in Vietnam

  • LE, Ninh Khuong;PHAN, Tu Anh;CAO, Hon Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of credit rationing on the amount of trade credit used by farmers in Vietnam. This study employs a survey data collected through direct interviews with heads of 1,065 rice households randomly selected out of provinces and city in the Mekong River Delta (MRD). In each province or city, the village with the largest area of land devoted to rice production from the district with the largest area of land devoted to rice production was picked up for survey. In each village, 200 rice farmers were randomly chosen for interview. Based on a probit model and a semi-parametric propensity score matching (PSM) estimator while controlling socio-demographic traits of rice farmers, the estimated results show that non-credit rationed farmers use less trade credit to finance production compared to their credit rationed counterparts. Moreover, the amount of trade credit used by farmers decreases as the degree of credit rationing drops. This paper provides evidence of the substitutive relationship between bank credit and trade credit. It also implicitly suggests that banks can drive trade creditors out of the market if they manage to solve the problem of information asymmetry and transaction cost.

Formal versus Informal Credit: Which is Better in Helping Rural Areas in Vietnam?

  • TRUONG, Thi Hoai Linh;LE, Thi Nhu Quynh;PHAN, Hong Mai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2020
  • The study seeks to evaluate the impacts of three types of credit - formal, semi-formal, and informal credits - on the well-being of households in Vietnam's rural areas. Based on data from the Vietnam Household Living Standard Surveys in 2014 and 2016, the research uses the instrumental variable fixed-effect models to estimate the effects of three kinds of credit on household's per capita income and expenditure. There are some significant findings. First, in rural areas, formal credit is the most popular source with stable and cheap borrowing costs. Informal credit is a complement to formal credit to meet urgent needs. Funding agriculture activities is the most commonly cited purpose of borrowing, followed by purchasing assets. The highest misuse rate belongs to the group of loans for agriculture production. Second, the results show that credit helps smoothen consumption rather than generate income for rural households. Three types of credit have insignificant or negative effects on household's per capita income. Formal loans significantly improve total expenditure and spending on healthcare and education. Informal and semi-formal credits show a little influence on consumption. Informal loans have a significantly positive effect on healthcare expenditure. In contrast, having semi-formal loans tends to decrease spending on foods.

The Effects of Lowering the Statutory Maximum Interest Rate on Non-bank Credit Loans

  • KIM, MEEROO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2022
  • This paper analyzes the effects of the cut in the legal maximum interest rate (from 27.4% to 24%) that occurred in February of 2018 on loan interest rates, the default rates, and the loan approval rate of borrowers in the non-banking sector. We use the difference-in-difference identification strategy to estimate the effect of the cut in the legal maximum interest rate using micro-level data from a major credit-rating company. The legal maximum rate cut significantly lowers the loan interest rate and default rate of low-credit borrowers (i.e., high-credit-risk borrowers) in the non-banking sector. However, this effect is limited to borrowers who have not been excluded from the market despite the legal maximum interest rate cut. The loan approval rate of low-credit borrowers decreased significantly after the legal maximum interest rate cut. Meanwhile, the loan approval rate of high-credit and medium-credit (i.e., low credit risk and medium credit risk) borrowers increased. This implies that financial institutions in the non-banking sector should reduce the loan supply to low-credit borrowers who are no longer profitable while increasing the loan supply to high- and medium-credit borrowers.

풍력발전기의 Capacity Credit추정에 관한 연구 (Analysis of the Capacity Credit of Wind Farms)

  • 오량;박정제;최재석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.16-18
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    • 2008
  • Because of being environmentally friendly, renewable energy resources has been growing at a high rate. Wind energy is one of the most successfully utilized of such sources for producing electrical energy. Due to the randomness of wind speed, wind farms can not supply power with a balanceable level as well as conventional power plants. The reliability evaluation of wind power is more and more important. Capacity credit is used to estimate the capacity credit of power systems including wind farms. This paper presents a method of capacity credit calculation for a power system considered wind farms and shows how it gets study on an actual power system (the Jeju Island power system). The paper describes the step of capacity credit calculation and presents test results, which indicate its effectiveness.

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보충교육서비스 요금의 신용카드 결제 실태 (The Rate of Credit Card Payment for Private Extracurricular Education in Korea)

  • 김혜선;김숙향
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the rate of credit card payment for private education. The results of study can be used to improve credit card handling problems of private educational institutes, leading toward improvements in income transparency, increase in tax burden equity and long-term economic welfare improvement for individual households. 424 households out of 586 household that were surveyed in September of 2002 had 1,700 cases private extracurricular education. 67 of the 1,700 cases that did not have expenditure records were removed from the analysis. Only 3.67% out of 1,633 cases were paid by a credit cards and the amount of credit card payment were only 5.65% of the total amount spent for private education. The average fee of private educational institutes that allow credit card payment was higher than the fees of private institutes which don't allow a credit card payment or those of private institutes where consumers don't know whether a credit card payment was allowed. The average fee of private education paid by credit cards was 34,465.46 won higher than that paid by cash. Credit card payments to private educational institutions is an important social issue with respect to fair tax collection and tax burden equity since most private educational services operate in fairly small sizes and are offered by the self-employed, and the expense of private education is a fairly large proportion of the household income. It is also important for consumers if credit card acceptance expands alternatives that consumers can choose in private education. Therefore, credit card payment should be encouraged in private extracurricular education. To do this, private education providers should be forced to join a credit card payment service by the National Tax Service. A regulation that prohibits the refusal of credit card payments should be required, and credit card service charges of private education providers should be incrementally decreased. Also, consumer education and public promotions for credit card use instead of cash in paying for private education fees are recommended.

국가·기업 간의 신용 리스크 네트워크 연구 (The Network Structure of Sovereign and Corporate Credit Risk)

  • 박해랑;이재우
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 우리나라 국가 및 기업의 신용 리스크 네트워크를 추정하고 최근 거시경제 상황에 따른 국가-기업 및 기업-기업 간의 연결성 변화를 살펴본다. 2015년 11월부터 2022년 10월까지의 신용부도스왑(CDS) 스프레드 데이터를 이용하여 네트워크를 Graphical Lasso로 추정한 결과, 우리나라 국가 및 기업 신용리스크 간의 연결성이 유의미하게 존재한다. 특히, 수출입 및 외환 거래를 담당하는 은행 부문의 연결성이 전반적으로 높은 편이다. 통화정책 긴축 기조가 두드러진 2022년 들어서는 공통 익스포져가 확대되어 이러한 연결성이 커진 것으로 보인다.

신용카드서비스에 대한 공적불평행동과 불평처리 만족에 관한 연구 (Consumer Public Complaint Behaviors and Satisfaction of Complaint Handling By Credit Card Services)

  • 이영애
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.957-973
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzed consumer public complaint behaviors and the satisfaction of complaint handling among credit card users who availed of credit card services. Relatively little research has been done in this area, despite the obvious importance of understanding and improving credit card market conditions. The purpose of this study was to examine consumer compliant behaviors with a focus on public actions, such as voice responses and the third party actions among credit card users. With the goal of providing consumers with more positive expectations of credit card companies' complaint handling process, this study investigated the status of public actions and the negative effect of complaints on the overall satisfaction of post-complaint behavior toward credit card services. The responses from 1,000 credit card users were analyzed using descriptive analysis, factor analysis, multi-logit analysis, and Heckman selection estimate. The analysis provided three major results: (1) perceived service quality among credit card users was conceptualized into groups such as responsiveness, innovation, company, additional service, and fee, (2) perceived service qualities, age, residential area, employment status, and subjective economic status had significant effect on public compliant action behaviors, and (3) unidimensional factors resulting from post-complaint behaviors were analyzed and several variables, such as period of credit card use, average amount used, and perceived service quality had significant effects on the degree of satisfaction associated with complaint handling in terms of credit card services. Several implications and directions for further research are discussed.

The Impact of Credit and Stock Market Development on Economic Growth in Asian Countries

  • NGUYEN, Bao K.Q.;HUYNH, Vy T.T.;TO, Bao C.N.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권9호
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2021
  • The paper has used the Solow-Swan growth model to analyze the long-term impact of credit market development and stock market development on economic growth in Asia from 2000 to 2019. The empirical model is performed with panel cointegration analysis by Common Correlated Effects (CCE) method with cross-sectional dependencies. The results find that there exists a cointegration relationship among stock market, credit market development, and economic growth. These results also show that financial structure improves the exact impact of financial development on economic growth, namely the opposite effect of stock market development and credit market development. Moreover, the Granger causality test reveals a bi-directional relationship between credit market development and economic growth, while only unidirectional causality from stock market development to economic growth for the whole group panel. And it is different for a specific country, according to Kónya's test. The view of the new structuralism does not apply in the Asian financial system when we estimate the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (NARDL) to analyze the asymmetric relationship between financial structure and economic growth. On the whole, policymakers can draw on the findings to provide policy implications to improve their country's financial system as well as pursue the goal of sustainable economic growth.

중소기업 기술신용평가모델 표준화안의 구조 타당성 검증 및 개선 (A Verification of Structural Validity for Technology/Credit Appraisal Model of Small and Medium Business Firms)

  • 조근태;조용곤;김재범;양동우
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.177-199
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    • 2006
  • Recently, it has become important to establish a technology appraisal system because of increasing a service of technology credit guarantee. Also, there have been many efforts to evaluate a technology in the advanced countries. The technology/credit appraisal model which can measure firms' performance was suggested by Small and Medium Business Administration. In this paper, we analyze a structural validity of the model by confirmatory factor analysis and estimate the model which can distinguish whether an investment is possible or not by discriminant analysis.

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