• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost/Reliability analysis

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Modal Choice with Travel Time Reliability (통행시간 신뢰도를 고려한 통행수단선택모형에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • In mode choice decision, travelers consider not only travel time but also reliability of its modes. In this paper, reliability was expressed in terms of standard deviation and maximum delay that were measured based on triangular distribution. In order to estimate value of time and value of reliability, the Multinomial and Nested Logit models were used. The analysis results revealed that reliability is an important factor affecting mode choice decisions. Elasticity is used to estimate the impacts of the different policies and system improvements for water transportation mode. Among these policies, decision maker can assess and select the best alternative by doing the benefit and cost analysis based on a new market share, the value of time, and the value of reliability. Finally, a set of promising policies and system improvement of the water transportation were proposed.

Synthesizing Failure Data of Pump in PCB Manufacturing using Bayesian Method (베이지안 방법을 이용한 PCB 제조공정의 펌프 고장 데이터 합성)

  • Woo, Jeong Jae;Kim, Min Hwan;Chu, Chang Yeop;Baek, Jong Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2020
  • Failure data that has systematically managed for a long time has high reliability to an estimated volume. But since much cost and effort are needed to secure reliability data, data from overseas country is used in quantitative risk analysis in many workplaces. Reliability of the data that can be collected in workplaces can be dropped because of insufficient sample or lack of observation time. Therefore, estimated data is difficult to use as it is and environment and characteristic of the workplace cannot be reflected by using data from overseas country. So this study used Bayesian method that can be used reflecting both reliability data from overseas country and workplace failure data that has less samples. As a setting toward difficult situation that securing sufficient failure data cannot be achieved, we composed workplace failure data equivalent to mass observation time 20%(t=17000), 40%(t=24000), 60%(t=31000), 80%(t=38000) and IEEE data by using Bayesian method.

Photovoltaic Hybrid Systems Reliability and Availability

  • Zahran, Mohamed B.A.
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.145-150
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    • 2003
  • Reliability, availability, and cost have been the major concerns for photovoltaic hybrid systems since their beginning as primary sources for much critical applications like communication units and repeaters. This paper descnbes the performance of two hybrid systems, photovoltaic-battery, wind-turbine coupled with the public-grid (PVBWG) hybrid system and photovoltaic-battery, wind-turbine coupled With the diesel generator (PVBWD) hybrid system The systems are sized to power a typical 300W/48V de telecommunication load continuously throughout the year Such hybrid systems consist of subsystems, which in turn consist of components Failure of anyone of these components may cause failure of the entire system. The reliability and availability basics, and estimation procedure for the two proposals are introduced also in this paper. The PVBWG and PVBWD system configurations are shown with the relevant mean-time-between-faIlure (MTBF) and failure rate (${\lambda}$) of each component. The characteristics equations of the two systems are deduced as a function of operating hours and the percentage of sun and wind availabilities per day. The system probability failure as well as the reliability is estimated based on the fault tree analysis technique. The results show that, by using standard or normal components MTBF, the PVBWG is more reliable and the time of periodic maintenance period is more than one year especially in the rich sites of both sun and wind, but PVBWD competes else Also, in the first five years from the system installation, the system is quit reliable and may not require any maintenance. The results show also, as the sun and wind are available, as the system reliable and available.

Maintenance Priority Index of Overhead Transmission Lines for Reliability Centered Approach

  • Heo, Jae-Haeng;Kim, Mun-Kyeom;Kim, Dam;Lyu, Jae-Kun;Kang, Yong-Cheol;Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1248-1257
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    • 2014
  • Overhead transmission lines are crucial components in power transmission systems. Well-designed maintenance strategy for overhead lines is required for power utilities to minimize operating costs, while improving the reliability of the power system. This paper presents a maintenance priority index (MPI) of overhead lines for a reliability centered approach. Proposed maintenance strategy is composed of a state index and importance indices, taking into account a transmission condition and importance in system reliability, respectively. The state index is used to determine the condition of overhead lines. On the other hand, the proposed importance indices indicate their criticality analysis in transmission system, by using a load effect index (LEI) and failure effect index (FEI). The proposed maintenance method using the MPI has been tested on an IEEE 9-bus system, and a numerical result demonstrates that our strategy is more cost effective than traditional maintenance strategies.

Application of probabilistic VE/LCC Analysis Models for Quay Wall Structures (안벽구조물의 확률론적 VE/LCC 분석모델 적용방안)

  • Ahn, Jong-Pil;Lee, Cheung-Bin;Park, Ju-Won;Yu, Deog-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2007
  • It is common that the analysis of VE/LCC is performed in design phase of quay wall structures. The analysis is mainly executed based on experience and engineering sense of expert considering the selection of construction method, construction and maintenance cost. Recently there are increasing demands on the analysis that includes uncertainty and vulnerability of input parameters, for this purpose, fuzzy reliability based probabilistic VE/LCC analysis model for quay wall structures is suggested. In VE/LCC analysis for quay wall structures, the application of probabilistic analysis method give very similar results compare with those of deterministic analysis method. It is anticipated that the methodology proposed in this paper can also be utilized in the design and maintenance phase of other facilities where decision making is made for the probabilistic life cycle cost and value analysis.

Object-Parameter Integrated Schematic Estimation Model for Predicting Office Building Interior-finishing Costs (오브젝트-파라미터 통합 오피스 마감공사비 개산견적 모델)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Koo, Kyo-Jin;Park, Sung-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2008
  • For deciding the profitability and feasibility of the construction project, the schematic estimation has to not only link the design decision-making but also estimate the cost with reliability. The Object-based schematic estimation system was developed for easily linking with design-making and supports to evaluate the design alternatives in the design development stage but didn't consider the cost estimated by object supplementary and parameter work item. This research presents the Integrated Object-Parameter Schematic Estimation Model in the design development stage that can lead to more accurately estimate the cost through analyzing historical data from the high-storied office buildings. For the development of the proposed model for schematic estimation, after analyzing and classifying the work items from the Bills of Quantities(BOQs) and drawings of historical data, this research proposed the methods of estimating cost in accordance with attributes of each work item using regression analysis. In addition, a case study is performed for the effectiveness as comparing the proposed model with the previous estimating model.

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The Economic Analysis of IEC61850 for Substation Automation (IEC61850 변전자동화의 경제성분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.255-258
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    • 2009
  • This paper gives a feasibility reference of integrating power automation for digital substation. An overview and techno-economical potential of IEC61850 are introduced. The result of economic analysis is shown to save up to one-third of the total cost of automation installation. The gained benefits can be used to increase the economy and reliability of electrical power system.

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Image Analysis for Detection of Defects of BGA by Using X-ray Imaging

  • Sumimoto, Tetsuhiro;Maruyama, Toshinori;Azuma, Yoshiru;Goto, Sachiko;Mondou, Munehiro;furukwa, Noboru;Okada, Saburo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.87.5-87
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    • 2002
  • . A high peak power demand at substations will result under This paper deals with the detection of defects at BGA solder joints in PC boards by using X-ray Imaging. . To improve a cost performance and reliability of PC boards, an inspection of BGA is required in the surface mount process. . Contents 2 We attempt to detect the characteristic of the solder bridges based on an image analysis.

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The Prediction of Remaining Life of Concrete Bridge Decks Using The Reliability Analysis (신뢰도 분석을 통한 고속도로 교량의 바닥판 잔존 수명 예측)

  • Park, Jung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Soon;Kim, Ji-Won;Park, Cheol-Woo;Lee, Dong-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2011
  • Korean national highway has been increased 2 times more for the past ten years because of many highway geometric improvements and new routes since 2000. According to the reasons, maintenance cost has been increased continuously. Deterioration of concrete bridge decks caused by asphalt pavement deformation occupies a high proportion of overall bridge management budget. The number of current highway bridges has reached over 7,800 in 2011, and It is difficult to determine to some future budget. This study predicted the remaining life of concrete bridge decks using the reliability analysis based on Weibull distribution. and The expected future maintenance cost was estimated.

A Study on Strength Evaluation of LCD Glass for Drop test (액정 디스플레이(LCD) 낙하 충격해석에 관한 연구)

  • Joung, Jae-Hak;Kim, Han-Ba-Ra;Seong, Young-Ho;Choi, Hyun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2007
  • As the structure of a mobile phone becomes thin to catch up with a slim product trend, the reliability of a LCD module is on the rise as a big issue for a product design. A drop test is the most basic and important verification method for a mechanical quality control but it requires much time and cost during a product development process. Thus many manufacturers have considered design guide lines using CAE and simulation for more effective usage of limited resources on the market. In this paper, the Maximum Principle Stress of a LCD glass panel is calculated on the basis of explicit FE Analyses method and input conditions are determined according to the general test standard. The design guideline for reliability improvements are suggested on the basis of the results of FE Analysis.