• Title/Summary/Keyword: ConvLSTM

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Development of Demand Forecasting Model for Public Bicycles in Seoul Using GRU (GRU 기법을 활용한 서울시 공공자전거 수요예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Woon;Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • After the first Covid-19 confirmed case occurred in Korea in January 2020, interest in personal transportation such as public bicycles not public transportation such as buses and subways, increased. The demand for 'Ddareungi', a public bicycle operated by the Seoul Metropolitan Government, has also increased. In this study, a demand prediction model of a GRU(Gated Recurrent Unit) was presented based on the rental history of public bicycles by time zone(2019~2021) in Seoul. The usefulness of the GRU method presented in this study was verified based on the rental history of Around Exit 1 of Yeouido, Yeongdengpo-gu, Seoul. In particular, it was compared and analyzed with multiple linear regression models and recurrent neural network models under the same conditions. In addition, when developing the model, in addition to weather factors, the Seoul living population was used as a variable and verified. MAE and RMSE were used as performance indicators for the model, and through this, the usefulness of the GRU model proposed in this study was presented. As a result of this study, the proposed GRU model showed higher prediction accuracy than the traditional multi-linear regression model and the LSTM model and Conv-LSTM model, which have recently been in the spotlight. Also the GRU model was faster than the LSTM model and the Conv-LSTM model. Through this study, it will be possible to help solve the problem of relocation in the future by predicting the demand for public bicycles in Seoul more quickly and accurately.

Comparison of Fault Diagnosis Accuracy Between XGBoost and Conv1D Using Long-Term Operation Data of Ship Fuel Supply Instruments (선박 연료 공급 기기류의 장시간 운전 데이터의 고장 진단에 있어서 XGBoost 및 Conv1D의 예측 정확성 비교)

  • Hyung-Jin Kim;Kwang-Sik Kim;Se-Yun Hwang;Jang-Hyun Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.110-110
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 자율운항 선박의 원격 고장 진단 기법 개발의 일부로 수행되었다. 특히, 엔진 연료 계통 장비로부터 계측된 시계열 데이터로부터 상태 진단을 위한 알고리즘 구현 결과를 제시하였다. 엔진 연료 펌프와 청정기를 가진 육상 실험 장비로부터 진동 시계열 데이터 계측하였으며, 이상 감지, 고장 분류 및 고장 예측이 가능한 심층 학습(Deep Learning) 및 기계 학습(Machine Learning) 알고리즘을 구현하였다. 육상 실험 장비에 고장 유형 별로 인위적인 고장을 발생시켜 특징적인 진동 신호를 계측하여, 인공 지능 학습에 이용하였다. 계측된 신호 데이터는 선행 발생한 사건의 신호가 후행 사건에 영향을 미치는 특성을 가지고 있으므로, 시계열에 내포된 고장 상태는 시간 간의 선후 종속성을 반영할 수 있는 학습 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 고장 사건의 시간 종속성을 반영할 수 있도록 순환(Recurrent) 계열의 RNN(Recurrent Neural Networks), LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory models)의 모델과 합성곱 연산 (Convolution Neural Network)을 기반으로 하는 Conv1D 모델을 적용하여 예측 정확성을 비교하였다. 특히, 합성곱 계열의 RNN LSTM 모델이 고차원의 순차적 자연어 언어 처리에 장점을 보이는 모델임을 착안하여, 신호의 시간 종속성을 학습에 반영할 수 있는 합성곱 계열의 Conv1 알고리즘을 고장 예측에 사용하였다. 또한 기계 학습 모델의 효율성을 감안하여 XGBoost를 추가로 적용하여 고장 예측을 시도하였다. 최종적으로 연료 펌프와 청정기의 진동 신호로부터 Conv1D 모델과 XGBoost 모델의 고장 예측 성능 결과를 비교하였다

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Prediction for Energy Demand Using 1D-CNN and Bidirectional LSTM in Internet of Energy (에너지인터넷에서 1D-CNN과 양방향 LSTM을 이용한 에너지 수요예측)

  • Jung, Ho Cheul;Sun, Young Ghyu;Lee, Donggu;Kim, Soo Hyun;Hwang, Yu Min;Sim, Issac;Oh, Sang Keun;Song, Seung-Ho;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2019
  • As the development of internet of energy (IoE) technologies and spread of various electronic devices have diversified patterns of energy consumption, the reliability of demand prediction has decreased, causing problems in optimization of power generation and stabilization of power supply. In this study, we propose a deep learning method, 1-Dimention-Convolution and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (1D-ConvBLSTM), that combines a convolution neural network (CNN) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BLSTM) for highly reliable demand forecasting by effectively extracting the energy consumption pattern. In experimental results, the demand is predicted with the proposed deep learning method for various number of learning iterations and feature maps, and it is verified that the test data is predicted with a small number of iterations.

Prediction of Tier in Supply Chain Using LSTM and Conv1D-LSTM (LSTM 및 Conv1D-LSTM을 사용한 공급 사슬의 티어 예측)

  • Park, KyoungJong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2020
  • Supply chain managers seek to achieve global optimization by solving problems in the supply chain's business process. However, companies in the supply chain hide the adverse information and inform only the beneficial information, so the information is distorted and cannot be the information that describes the entire supply chain. In this case, supply chain managers can directly collect and analyze supply chain activity data to find and manage the companies described by the data. Therefore, this study proposes a method to collect the order-inventory information from each company in the supply chain and detect the companies whose data characteristics are explained through deep learning. The supply chain consists of Manufacturer, Distributor, Wholesaler, Retailer, and training and testing data uses 600 weeks of time series inventory information. The purpose of the experiment is to improve the detection accuracy by adjusting the parameter values of the deep learning network, and the parameters for comparison are set by learning rate (lr = 0.001, 0.01, 0.1) and batch size (bs = 1, 5). Experimental results show that the detection accuracy is improved by adjusting the values of the parameters, but the values of the parameters depend on data and model characteristics.

Measurement and Prediction of Spray Targeting Points according to Injector Parameter and Injection Condition (인젝터 설계변수 및 분사조건에 따른 분무타겟팅 지점의 측정 및 예측)

  • Mengzhao Chang;Bo Zhou;Suhan Park
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • In the cylinder of gasoline direct injection engines, the spray targeting from injectors is of great significance for fuel consumption and pollutant emissions. The automotive industry is putting a lot of effort into improving injector targeting accuracy. To improve the targeting accuracy of injectors, it is necessary to develop models that can predict the spray targeting positions. When developing spray targeting models, the most used technique is computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Recently, due to the superiority of machine learning in prediction accuracy, the application of machine learning in this field is also receiving constant attention. The purpose of this study is to build a machine learning model that can accurately predict spray targeting based on the design parameters of injectors. To achieve this goal, this study firstly used laser sheet beam visualization equipment to obtain many spray cross-sectional images of injectors with different parameters at different injection pressures and measurement planes. The spray images were processed by MATLAB code to get the targeting coordinates of sprays. A total of four models were used for the prediction of spray targeting coordinates, namely ANN, LSTM, Conv1D and Conv1D & LSTM. Features fed into the machine learning model include injector design parameters, injection conditions, and measurement planes. Labels to be output from the model are spray targeting coordinates. In addition, the spray data of 7 injectors were used for model training, and the spray data of the remaining one injector were used for model performance verification. Finally, the prediction performance of the model was evaluated by R2 and RMSE. It is found that the Conv1D&LSTM model has the highest accuracy in predicting the spray targeting coordinates, which can reach 98%. In addition, the prediction bias of the model becomes larger as the distance from the injector tip increases.

Handheld Shot Detection Technique based on LSTM (LSTM 기반의 Handheld 샷 검출)

  • Park, Se-Hee;Park, Ji-Young;Son, Jung-Eui;Park, Seung-Bo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.07a
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    • pp.193-194
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    • 2021
  • 영화, 드라마 등과 같은 콘텐츠에서 표현되는 감정은 등장인물의 대화와 표정뿐만이 아니라, 영상이 표현하는 다양한 정보 중 하나인 촬영기법, 장면의 배경 등을 통해서도 표현된다. 특히 핸드헬드 샷은 불안정하지만 현장감과 자유분방한 감정을 관객에게 전달하며 긴장감, 공포 등 배우들의 감정선을 따라가게 하는 효과가 있다. 따라서 영상 콘텐츠에서 감정 정보를 분석하기 위해서는 핸드헬드 샷을 검출하는 것은 기초적인 작업에 해당한다. 본 논문에서는 핸드헬드 샷을 양방향 LSTM을 활용하여 구별하는 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법으로 인식한 핸드헬드의 인식 정확도는 97%였다.

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Development of radar-based nowcasting method using Generative Adversarial Network (적대적 생성 신경망을 이용한 레이더 기반 초단시간 강우예측 기법 개발)

  • Yoon, Seong Sim;Shin, Hongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.64-64
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    • 2022
  • 이상기후로 인해 돌발적이고 국지적인 호우 발생의 빈도가 증가하게 되면서 짧은 선행시간(~3 시간) 범위에서 수치예보보다 높은 정확도를 갖는 초단시간 강우예측자료가 돌발홍수 및 도시홍수의 조기경보를 위해 유용하게 사용되고 있다. 일반적으로 초단시간 강우예측 정보는 레이더를 활용하여 외삽 및 이동벡터 기반의 예측기법으로 산정한다. 최근에는 장기간 레이더 관측자료의 확보와 충분한 컴퓨터 연산자원으로 인해 레이더 자료를 활용한 인공지능 심층학습 기반(RNN(Recurrent Neural Network), CNN(Convolutional Neural Network), Conv-LSTM 등)의 강우예측이 국외에서 확대되고 있고, 국내에서도 ConvLSTM 등을 활용한 연구들이 진행되었다. CNN 심층신경망 기반의 초단기 예측 모델의 경우 대체적으로 외삽기반의 예측성능보다 우수한 경향이 있었으나, 예측시간이 길어질수록 공간 평활화되는 경향이 크게 나타나므로 고강도의 뚜렷한 강수 특징을 예측하기 힘들어 예측정확도를 향상시키는데 중요한 소규모 기상현상을 왜곡하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 한계를 보완하기 위해 적대적 생성 신경망(Generative Adversarial Network, GAN)을 적용한 초단시간 예측기법을 활용하고자 한다. GAN은 생성모형과 판별모형이라는 두 신경망이 서로간의 적대적인 경쟁을 통해 학습하는 신경망으로, 데이터의 확률분포를 학습하고 학습된 분포에서 샘플을 쉽게 생성할 수 있는 기법이다. 본 연구에서는 2017년부터 2021년까지의 환경부 대형 강우레이더 합성장을 수집하고, 강우발생 사례를 대상으로 학습을 수행하여 신경망을 최적화하고자 한다. 학습된 신경망으로 강우예측을 수행하여, 국내 기상청과 환경부에서 생산한 레이더 초단시간 예측강우와 정량적인 정확도를 비교평가 하고자 한다.

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Exploring the Performance of Deep Learning-Driven Neuroscience Mining in Predicting CAUP (Consumer's Attractiveness/Usefulness Perception): Emphasis on Dark vs Light UI Modes (딥러닝 기반 뉴로사이언스 마이닝 기법을 이용한 고객 매력/유용성 인지 (CAUP) 예측 성능에 관한 탐색적 연구: Dark vs Light 사용자 인터페이스 (UI)를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Min Gyeong;Costello, Francis Joseph;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2022
  • In this work, we studied consumers' attractiveness/usefulness perceptions (CAUP) of online commerce product photos when exposed to alternative dark/light user interface (UI) modes. We analyzed time-series EEG data from 31 individuals and performed neuroscience mining (NSM) to ascertain (a) how the CAUP of products differs among UI modes; and (b) which deep learning model provides the most accurate assessment of such neuroscience mining (NSM) business difficulties. The dark UI style increased the CAUP of the products displayed and was predicted with the greatest accuracy using a unique EEG power spectra separated wave brainwave 2D-ConvLSTM model. Then, using relative importance analysis, we used this model to determine the most relevant power spectra. Our findings are considered to contribute to the discovery of objective truths about online customers' reactions to various user interface modes used by various online marketplaces that cannot be uncovered through more traditional research approaches like as surveys.

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Research on Methods to Increase Recognition Rate of Korean Sign Language using Deep Learning

  • So-Young Kwon;Yong-Hwan Lee
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2024
  • Deaf people who use sign language as their first language sometimes have difficulty communicating because they do not know spoken Korean. Deaf people are also members of society, so we must support to create a society where everyone can live together. In this paper, we present a method to increase the recognition rate of Korean sign language using a CNN model. When the original image was used as input to the CNN model, the accuracy was 0.96, and when the image corresponding to the skin area in the YCbCr color space was used as input, the accuracy was 0.72. It was confirmed that inserting the original image itself would lead to better results. In other studies, the accuracy of the combined Conv1d and LSTM model was 0.92, and the accuracy of the AlexNet model was 0.92. The CNN model proposed in this paper is 0.96 and is proven to be helpful in recognizing Korean sign language.

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Development of the Demand Forecasting and Product Recommendation Method to Support the Small and Medium Distribution Companies based on the Product Recategorization (중소유통기업지원을 위한 상품 카테고리 재분류 기반의 수요예측 및 상품추천 방법론 개발)

  • Sangil Lee;Yeong-WoongYu;Dong-Gil Na
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2024
  • Distribution and logistics industries contribute some of the biggest GDP(gross domestic product) in South Korea and the number of related companies are quarter of the total number of industries in the country. The number of retail tech companies are quickly increased due to the acceleration of the online and untact shopping trend. Furthermore, major distribution and logistics companies try to achieve integrated data management with the fulfillment process. In contrast, small and medium distribution companies still lack of the capacity and ability to develop digital innovation and smartization. Therefore, in this paper, a deep learning-based demand forecasting & recommendation model is proposed to improve business competitiveness. The proposed model is developed based on real sales transaction data to predict future demand for each product. The proposed model consists of six deep learning models, which are MLP(multi-layers perception), CNN(convolution neural network), RNN(recurrent neural network), LSTM(long short term memory), Conv1D-BiLSTM(convolution-long short term memory) for demand forecasting and collaborative filtering for the recommendation. Each model provides the best prediction result for each product and recommendation model can recommend best sales product among companies own sales list as well as competitor's item list. The proposed demand forecasting model is expected to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium-sized distribution and logistics industry.