• 전기학회논문지
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• 제59권2호
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• pp.232-241
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• 2010

This paper describes the development of robust contingency analysis program for Korean Energy Management System. The important function of contingency analysis is to determine the bus/branch model for contingency, and to calculate the state of the power network based on the network model and topology output. In the proposed method, the bus/branch models for contingencies are determined exactly using a fast linked-list method based on the application common model database. To calculate the state of the power system included contingency, the full-decoupled powerflow approach, the partial powerflow method for contingencies and the proposed contingency screening algorithm are also used to contingency analysis. To verify the performance of the developed processor, we performed a file-based test using several structured input data and online test using the database which resides on memory. The results of these comprehensive tests showed that the developed processors can accurately calculate the power system contingency state from online data and can be applied to Korea Power Exchange system.

• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제34권11호
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• pp.421-429
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• 1985

With the rapid increase of contingency cases due to complication of power system, the reduction of computation time in contingency analysis has become more significant than ever before. This paper deals with the development of a fast contingency analysis algorithm by using a matrix decomposition method. The proposed matrix decomposition method of contingency analysis yields an accurate solution by using the original triangular factor table. An outstanding feature of this method is of no need of factor table modification for network changes due to contingency outages. The proposed method is also applicable to multiple contingency analysis withremarkable reduction of computation time. The algorithm has been tested for a number of single and multiple contigencies in 17-bus and 50-bus systems. The numerical results show its applicability to practical power systems.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권11호
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• pp.507-517
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• 2005

This paper presents the results of critical contingency analysis for the Korean power system which is performed to identify the impact of the critical contingencies on the Korean power system and set up a short term system operation planning for the purpose of preventing large scale blackout. The static and dynamic simulation is carried out for each critical contingency and the simulation results for each contingency are shown under the peak load condition for the year 2005, 2007 and 2010.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제63권9호
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• pp.1171-1179
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• 2014

ISO(Independent System Operator) or TSO(Transmission System Operator) use power system analysis program to simulate contingency analysis and remedial actions to operate power system stably. Generally, power system analysis program provides automated analysis functions(or modules) to deal with wide area power system. However, because of missed contingency cases, automated contingency analysis has no practical use or has limitation. And in case of remedial action, it doesn't support automated function or takes a lot of times to study, because of simulation in manual for each cases. This paper suggests that new relation with buses and transmission line properties of power system DB used for power system analysis program to simulate automated contingency including all contingency cases needed in the field without missed cases. And it proposes automated remedial action scheme based on practical approach analysis to alleviate overloading or voltage problems. Finally it deals with automated contingency/remedial action analysis(automated scheduled outage) program which is developed by KEPCO and its performance and proposed schemes are proven by case study for real Korean power system data.

• Architectural research
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.75-80
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• 2014

Risks, uncertainties, and associated cost overruns are critical problems for construction projects. Cost contingency is an important funding source for these unforeseen events and is included in the base estimate to help perform financially successful projects. In order to predict more accurate contingency, many empirical models using regression analysis and artificial neural network method have been proposed and showed its viability to minimize prediction errors. However, categorical factors on contingency cannot have been treated and thus considered in these empirical models since those models are able to treat only numerical factors. This paper identified potential factors on contingency in transportation construction projects and evaluated categorical factors using the one-way ANOVA statistical method. Among factors including project work type, delivery method type, contract agreement type, bid award type, letting type, and geographical location, two factors of project work type and contract agreement type were found to be statistically important on allocating cost contingency.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제65권8호
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• pp.1317-1325
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• 2016

This paper identifies the issues of contingency analysis for restoration in distribution systems. Contingency analysis has been applied to transmission systems but not to distribution systems. The distribution system is different from transmission system. So it is hard to apply for existing contingency analysis to distribution system. In this paper, a new contingency analysis method for distribution systems is proposed. The proposed method is based on service restoration capability. It aims to minimize outage left after service restoration in case of a fault in advance. The method estimates the vulnerability which is represented by zone restoration index proposed in [1]. Applying the proposed method, operators could change the system so that it does not leave any outage left after restoration. Case study has been carried out on a five feeder system and its results show effectiveness of the method.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.381-391
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• 1996

In the analysis of contingency table with ordered categories, the relationship between odds for adjacent categories has received con-siderable interest. We consider likelihood ratio tests of independence against an order restriction on odds in 2 $\times$ k contingency tables.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.127-137
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• 2003

논문에서는 대규모 계통의 미소신호안전도 평가 및 해석을 위해 고유치 감도/perturbation 이론에 근거한 상정사고 지표를 제안하였으며 이를 실제 계통에 적용한 결과를 기술하였다. 선로정수와 제어기점수에 대한 미소신호 안정도 상정사고 지표를 제시하였고 이로부터 심각한 저주파진동 문제를 발생할 수 있는 파라메타들을 선택하였다. 또한 각 발전기의 발전량 증감에 대한 고유치 변화로부터 미소신호안정도 상정사고를 일으킬 수 있는 발전기들을 선택하였다. 이 논문에서는 모든 결과들을 2000년 KEPCO 실계통의 시간영역해석과 비교 검증하여 제안한 미소신호안정도 상정사고 해석법이 정확함을 확인하였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.39-49
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• 2001

When an appropriate model is fitted to explain a certain categorical data, outlying cell detection plays very important role to reduce the lack of fit. There exist many statistical methods to identify outlying cells in contingency table. In this paper, correspondence analysis is applied to identify one or two outlying cells. When corresponding relationships between categories of the row and columns are explored, we find that outlying cells could be identified via the correspondence analysis map.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.84-92
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• 2007

사업비의 불확실성에 대응하고 합리적인 사업비 계획을 위해서는 정확한 견적과 함께 사업수행에 따라 사업의 실패 및 예측하지 못한 리스크 발생 가능성에 대비한 공사예비비 추정이 중요하다. 사업의 특성에 따른 불확실성을 반영하여 공사예비비를 추정한다면 사업의 주요 의사결정 시점에서 리스크에 충분히 대비할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서 합리적인 공사예비비 관리를 위해서는 세분화된 의사결정 프로세스에 대한 연구가 필요하며, 본 연구에서는 건설공사 성과분석을 통한 공사예비비 관리 프로세스 제시를 연구의 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 초기단계에서 공사예비비를 추정할 수 있는 프로세스를 제시한다. 또한 EVM을 활용하여 시공단계에서 공사비 변동범위를 예측하고, 그 결과를 반영하여 합리적으로 공사예비비를 운영할 수 있는 프로세스를 제시하고자 한다.