• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1176-1182
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• 2009

Due to recession in real estate market, interest of risk analysis is increasing. Feasibility study in the first stage takes a great role in a project. There are not objectified tools which are able to cope with uncertainty of project, and feasibility study based on selected method of determinism does not include liquidity of weight risk. Also, shortage of consideration for subjective and atypical external factors causes inappropriate results. Therefore, this study proposes feasibility study model focused on risk factor influences in construction cost and sales cost. Considering effective level of cost based on objective risk factors and probable weight of risk by this model, real workers are able to bring correct and scientific decisions better than former method based on selective analysis of real estate development.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1591-1598
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• 2009

Recently, the researches on the urban regeneration projects have been performed very actively. It is a part of the effort that solves some social and economical problems occurred by deteriorated buildings and degraded infrastructures through new urban regeneration projects or redevelopment projects. However, the urban regeneration projects show the characteristics that can not guarantee in the project performance because the projects have various and complex stakeholders related to these projects and are exposed to lots of risks due to its huge scale. This study proposed the risk performance index method to improve the efficiency of the overall performance measurement for a mega-project by extending from the traditional cost/schedule based performance measurement system. The risk performance index method proposed in this study has a similar system to the EVMS, and makes possible to perform a three dimensional integrated performance measurement in cost/schedule/risk through 18 different indexes that compose the risk performance index.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.228-231
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• 2004

Recently, a risk management in the construction project is getting more important. But the field application cases of risk management and its performance level that have been worked in the construction field are so rare and poor, because an application criteria on the risk management technique is not established systematically. So in order to apply of risk management in the field more successfully, it is necessary to optimize the technique of situational application on the risk management. The purpose of this study proposes the optimized application criteria in the field risk management based on the three categories such as historical data, experts, and analysis time.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.109-121
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• 2012

Overseas construction project orders have shown steady increase since 2001, and it took 44.5% of the total construction project orders in 2010. Overseas construction project needs more complex risk management because it is affected by more various circumstance factors than the domestic construction is. Previous studies have centered on the internal risk factors to assist the decision-making, but there are few researches on the importance and techniques of foreign exchange risk management. Inadequate management of foreign exchange risk has been found to cause huge damages due to the lacking recognition on the importance of foreign exchange risk management. Therefore, current study designed a foreign exchange risk manage model to help efficient management and decision-making. This model was developed as a technique to meet the demand of the increasing overseas construction projects for the efficient management of foreign exchange risk, and the technique will lower the risk with more and more accurate outcome by accumulating the data of profit-and-loss.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 2006.10a
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• pp.509-514
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• 2006

Considering the risk management, there are many examples and various studies for the corporation risk. However, I have never seen the project risk management that applied a construction site for practical approach. Therefore, I have developed a chart (I-Chart) for the project risk management, and also built a model (I-Chart scenario analysis) that I could use. I applied this model to container yard reclaimed land in harbor construction with approaching of geotechnical engineering.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.70-79
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• 2012

The Korean Government recently has been focused on strengthening competitiveness of order and stimulating construction market in the international construction industry. It has planned to extend the ODPs (overseas development projects) in order to diversifying the international construction market of which is domestic construction companies, placing too much emphasis on plant projects of the Middle East. However, literature review of risk analysis in the ODPs shows that the number of case study is several. Therefore, Authors asserted the necessity of risk analysis in the ODPs. The purpose of this study is to suggest a methodology that find KRFs (key risk factors) in the ODPs and analyze them, using AHP and Fuzzy theory. As a result, the 37 KRFs are selected and explained characteristics of them. A future direction of this study is to suggest a risk management model in the ODPs and prove feasibility of it.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.69-70
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• 2020

Accidents in the construction industry are very high compared to other industries, and the number is also increasing steeply every year. Relevant studies were limited for solving the problems. The purpose of this study is to develop a comprehensive risk prediction process for personnel deployed at construction sites on safety management. First of all, the variables were divided into fixed, real-time and working types variables, and the relevant comprehensive data were collected. Second, the probability of a disaster was derived based on the collected data, and weights for each variable were calculated using the dummy regression analysis method using statistical methodology. Lastly, the resulting weighting and disaster probability equation was constructed, and The Final Risk Calculation Formula was developed. The Final Risk Calculation Formula presented in this study is expected to have a significant impact on the establishment of effective safety management measures to prevent possible safety accidents at construction sites

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.168-169
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• 2016

Risk management at an early stage of projects is known as an effective method expected various benefits. The PDRI(Project Definition Rating Index) by the CII(Construction Industry Institute) is defined project scope for reducing risks. In addition, the PDRI is one of the verified methods for achieving benefits by a risk management. The literature review in Korea about risk management is all about focusing on construction works and the construction phase. Thus, we need to extend the perspective of a project management such as the PDRI. To develop the Korean PDRI, However, we have to consider Korean situations. Therefore, in this study, we analyze some previous studies of PDRI' indexes and its using methods, and suggest the new direction for using PDRI in Korea. This method will enable to improve the scoring method of a project management with PDRI in Korea.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.6 no.4 s.22
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• pp.53-60
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• 2006

Quality control and safety represent increasingly important concerns for project managers. In the worst case, failures may cause personal injuries or fatalities. Accidents during the construction process can similarly result in personal injuries and large costs. We present the results of a study designed to identify the tools that are most widely used and those that are associated with successful project management in general, and with effective project risk management in particular. The study is based on a questionnaire administered to a sample of project managers from construction enterprises. The response data was analyzed in order to find which tools are more likely to be used in the those organizations that report better project management performance and in those that value the contribution of risk management processes.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2013.01a
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• pp.488-493
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• 2013

Accurate initial cost estimates are essential to effective management of construction projects where many decisions are made in the course of project management by referencing the estimates. In practice, the initial estimates are frequently derived from historical actual cost data, for which standard distribution-based techniques are widely applied in the construction industry to account for risk associated with the estimates. This approach assumes the same probability distribution of estimate errors for any selected estimates. This assumption, however, is not always satisfied. In order to account for the probabilistic nature of estimate errors, an alternative method for measuring the risk associated with a selected initial estimate is developed by applying the Bayesian probability approach. An application example include demonstrates how the method is implemented. A hypothesis test is conducted to reveal the robustness of the Bayesian probability model. The method is envisioned to effectively complement cost estimating methods that are currently in use by providing benefits as follows: (1) it effectively accounts for the probabilistic nature of errors in estimates; (2) it is easy to implement by using historical estimates and actual costs that are readily available in most construction companies; and (3) it minimizes subjective judgment by using quantitative data only.