• Title/Summary/Keyword: Comparative Time-Series Analysis

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Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (2) (장기유출량의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (II))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 1993
  • This study was conducted to get reasonable and abundant hydrological time series of monthly flows simulated by a best fitting stochastic simulation model for the establishment of rational design and the rationalization of management for agricultural hydraulic structures including reservoirs. Comparative analysis carried out for both statistical characteristics and synthetic monthly flows simulated by the multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as good one in the first report of this study and by Harmonic synthetic model analyzed in this report for the six watersheds of Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. 1.Arithmetic mean values of synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of Harmonic synthetic model in the applied watersheds. 2.In comparison with the coefficients of variation, index of fluctuation for monthly flows simulated by two kinds of synthetic models, those based on Gamma distribution are appeared closer to the observed data than those of Harmonic synthetic model both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. 3.It was found that synthetic monthly flows based on Gamma distribution are considered to give better results than those of Harmonic synthetic model in the applied watersheds. 4.Continuation studies by comparison with other simulation techniques are to be desired for getting reasonable generation technique of synthetic monthly flows for the various river systems in Korea.

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The Effect of Neurofeedback Training on Attention and School Achievement Motivation of primary (뉴로피드백 훈련이 초등학생의 주의력과 학업성취동기에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Sang-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.5525-5530
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    • 2011
  • This study was to examine the effectiveness of neurofeedback training by observing the pre and post brainwave measurement results of about 50 (experimental group 25. comparative group 25) subjects who have shown attention and school achievement motivation. The study took place at neuro-training center B, in between the months of Jun. 2010 and Dec. 2010. The objective of this study was to prove its scientific effect through experimentation. As the brainwaves are adjusted by time series linear analysis. The result confirmed the differences of both attention quotient, brain quotient and school achievement. The result of the study suggest neurofeedback technique's possibility in positively affecting the subjects' attention and school achievement motivation.

A Study on the effects of neurofeedback training on the resistance stress of kids (유아들의 스트레스저항 능력에 뉴로피드백 훈련이 미치는 영향)

  • Bak, Ki-Ja
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.1066-1070
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    • 2010
  • This study was to examine the effectiveness of Neurofeedback training by observing the pre and post brain wave measurement results of about S kindergarten kids 40 (experimental group 20 comparative group 20) subjects who have shown resistance stress, in between the months of Jan. 2008 and Dec. 2008. As the brain waves are adjusted by time series linear analysis, the result confirmed the differences of both resistance stress. The result of the study suggest Neurofeedback technique's possibility in positively affecting the subjects' mental state.

Comparative Assessment of Typical Year Dataset based on POA Irradiance (태양광 패널 일사량에 기반한 대표연도 데이터 비교 평가)

  • Changyeol Yun;Boyoung Kim;Changki Kim;Hyungoo Kim;Yongheack Kang;Yongil Kim
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2024
  • The Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) dataset compiles 12 months of data that best represent long-term climate patterns, focusing on global horizontal irradiance and other weather-related variables. However, the irradiance measured on the plane of the array (POA) shows certain distinct distribution characteristics compared with the irradiance in the TMY dataset, and this may introduce some biases. Our research recalculated POA irradiance using both the Isotropic and DIRINT models, generating an updated dataset that was tailored to POA characteristics. Our analysis showed a 28% change in the selection of typical meteorological months, an 8% increase in average irradiance, and a 40% reduction in the range of irradiance values, thus indicating a significant shift in irradiance distribution patterns. This research aims to inform stakeholders about accurate use of TMY datasets in potential decision-making. These findings underscore the necessity of creating a typical dataset by using the time series of POA irradiance, which represents the orientation in which PV panels will be deployed.

A Comparative Study of Simplified Probabilistic Analysis Methods for Plane Failure of Rock Slope (암반사면의 평면파괴해석을 위한 간이 확률론적 해석 비교연구)

  • Kim, Youngmin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.360-373
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    • 2021
  • Many sources of uncertainty exist in geotechnical analysis ranging from the material parameters to the sampling and testing techniques. The conventional deterministic stability analysis of a plane failure in rock slope produce a safety factor but not a probability of failure or reliability index. In the conventional slope stability analysis by evaluating the ground uncertainty as an overall safety factor, it is difficult to evaluate the stability of the realistic rock slope in detail. This paper reviews some established probabilistic analysis techniques, such as the MCS, FOSM, PEM, Taylor Series as applied to plane failure of rock slopes in detail. While the Monte - Carlo methods leads to the most accurate calculation of the probability of safety, this method is too time consuming. Therefore, the simplified probability methods could be alternatives to the MCS. In this study, using these simple probability methods, the failure probability estimation of a plane failure in rock slope is presented.

Trend Analysis of GPS Precipitable Water Vapor Above South Korea Over the Last 10 Years

  • Sohn, Dong-Hyo;Cho, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2010
  • We analyzed global positioning system (GPS)-derived precipitable water vapor (PWV) trends of the Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute 5 stations (Seoul, Daejeon, Mokpo, Milyang, Sokcho) where Korea Meteorological Administration meteorological data can be obtained at the same place. In the least squares analysis, the GPS PWV time series showed consistent positive trends (0.11 mm/year) over South Korea from 2000 to 2009. The annual increase of GPS PWV was comparable with the 0.17 mm/year and 0.02 mm/year from the National Center for Atmospheric Research Earth Observing Laboratory and Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder, respectively. For seasonal analysis, the increasing tendency was found by 0.05 mm/year, 0.16 mm/year, 0.04 mm/year in spring (March-May), summer (June-August) and winter (December-February), respectively. However, a negative trend (-0.14 mm/year) was seen in autumn (September-November). We examined the relationship between GPS PWV and temperature which is the one of the climatic elements. Two elements trends increased during the same period and the correlation coefficient was about 0.8. Also, we found the temperature rise has increased more GPS PWV and observed a stronger positive trend in summer than in winter. This is characterized by hot humid summer and cold dry winter of Korea climate and depending on the amount of water vapor the air contains at a certain temperature. In addition, it is assumed that GPS PWV positive trend is caused by increasing amount of saturated water vapor due to temperature rise in the Korean Peninsula. In the future, we plan to verify GPS PWV effectiveness as a tool to monitor changes in precipitable water through cause analysis of seasonal trends and indepth/long-term comparative analysis between GPS PWV and other climatic elements.

A Study of Active Labor Market Policy and Unemployment : An Analysis Using Fuller-Battese Model (적극적 노동시장정책의 실업 감소 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Chul-Hee;Kim, Kyo-Seong;Kim, Young-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.45
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    • pp.7-39
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    • 2001
  • This paper examines the effect of active labor market policy on the unemployment rates in 8 welfare states. This paper focuses on the following questions: what are the major predictors of the changes in unemployment rates?; and what is the effect of active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates? Using the data from Comparative Welfare States Data Set by Stephens (1997), Key Indicators of the Labour Market by ILO (1999) and Social Expenditure Database by OECD (1999), this paper attempts to answer the above research questions. Fuller-Battese model, a data analysis method in pooled cross-sectional time-series analysis, is adopted to identify variables predicting changes in unemployment rates. This paper analyzes the predictors by using 3 analysis models about 2 types of unemployment (overall unemployment and long term unemployment). Results are as follows: (1) economic variable such as changes in GDP has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; (2) active labor market policy has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates as well; (3) job brokering service among 3 major active labor market programs has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; and (4) there is an interaction effect between unemployment benefit level and active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates. Through the empirical analysis, this paper provides valuable knowledge about effects of active labor market policy on unemployment in 8 welfare states and discusses implications for the active labor market policy in Korea.

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A Comparative Study on Healthcare Autonomous Vehicle Technologies between South Korea and the US Based on Social N etwork Analysis (헬스케어 관련 자율주행 자동차 기술 한미 비교 연구 : 사회연결망 분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Ho-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.1036-1056
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    • 2017
  • The rapid increase of ageing population and chronic disease patients cause high medical expenses, and it led an increased attention to digital healthcare. Smart car technologies for healthcare have been developing to recognize drivers' status and predict diverse driving environments. The present study aimed to understand the research trends of autonomous vehicle technologies of Korea and the United States through time series analysis, network analysis, visualization, and comparison between the two countries. The results suggest that cooperative study needs to be done in common research areas such as driver's safety and algorithms. It is also needed to conduct studies and benchmark about liking technique related to part-to-part and vehicle-to-vehicle as America's competitive advantaged area. In the US, diverse approaches of autonomous vehicle technologies have used to consider the characteristics of various age groups and passengers' health status through sensor, while in Korea, only one aspect, older drivers, is mentioned. Implications for the development direction of autonomous vehicle technologies with competitiveness in considering public health, ethics, and driver's safety and convenience are discussed in detail.

Comparative Study on the Electromagnetic-Heat Transfer Co-simulation Analysis and High Frequency Induction Heating of Ti-6Al-4V Alloy (전자기-열전달 연동 해석과 Ti-6Al-4V 합금 고주파 유도가열 실험에 대한 비교 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jinki;Choi, Jinkyu;Cho, Mingoo;Lee, Seoksoon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • Demand for Ti-6Al-4V alloy is increasing in various industries because of its superior strength to weight and high-temperature strength properties. However, due to its low formability at room temperature, it is formed at high temperature, where its productivity and efficiency are low. The current high-temperature forming method has many limitations because it involves heating the specimen by heating the lower mold. It is expected that a process using high frequency induction heating, which can locally heat the product, can improve its productivity. In addition, time and cost can be saved if the process is simulated in advance with a reliable analysis. In this paper, we verified the reliability of the analysis by comparing the result of heating the specimen to 850 ℃ by high frequency induction heating and the temperature obtained through the co-simulation analysis.

Drought Analysis and Assessment by Using Land Surface Model on South Korea (지표수문해석모형을 활용한 국내 가뭄해석 적용성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Chung, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of a Land Surface Model (LSM) for drought analysis in Korea. For evaluating the applicability of the model, the model was calibrated on several upper dam site watersheds and the hydrological components (runoff and soil moisture) were simulated over the whole South Korea at grid basis. After converting daily series of runoff and soil moisture data to accumulated time series (3, 6, 12 months), drought indices such as SRI and SSI are calculated through frequency analysis and standardization of accumulated probability. For evaluating the drought indices, past drought events are investigated and drought indices including SPI and PDSI are used for comparative analysis. Temporal and spatial analysis of the drought indices in addition to hydrologic component analysis are performed to evaluate the reproducibility of drought severity as well as relieving of drought. It can be concluded that the proposed indices obtained from the LSM model show good performance to reflect the historical drought events for both spatially and temporally. From this point of view, the LSM can be useful for drought management. It leads to the conclusion that these indices are applicable to domestic drought and water management.